The last party to hit 47 per cent support in the Nanos ballot track was the Poilievre Conservatives for the tracking ending January 10, 2025. The Liberals under Carney are at their all-time high in the Nanos tracking for Liberal support. On the preferred PM tracking Carney is the choice of 56.5 per cent of Canadians while Poilievre trails at 22.0 per cent.
Just a few days out from the first anniversary of the start of the 2025 election campaign, Mark Carney’s Liberals would likely win well over 200 seats if another election were held today. That’s what The Writ’s new model shows in its inaugural projection. Yes, the vote and seat projection model is finally live!
The Chair of Unifor’s National Auto Council is disappointed the union wasn’t consulted on the Conservative Party’s proposed auto plan. “What was most frustrating is the fact that you think you [would] go to the experts that have to deal with it every day and sit down with our leader who’s been involved,” said John D’Agnolo. While in Windsor on...
Canada can successfully navigate President Donald Trump's call for NATO allies to secure the Strait of Hormuz without getting drawn into the war, Defence Minister David McGuinty said Monday. U.S. President Donald Trump warned in an interview with The Financial Times newspaper that it "will be very bad" for the future of NATO if alliance members fail to help secure...
U.S. President Donald Trump is struggling to persuade other nations to help protect commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz — a development that analysts say is partly the result of treating allies with contempt since returning to the White House last year. Iran has effectively shut down the narrow strait at the mouth of the Persian Gulf, threatening to...
The last party to hit 47 per cent support in the Nanos ballot track was the Poilievre Conservatives for the tracking ending January 10, 2025. The Liberals under Carney are at their all-time high in the Nanos tracking for Liberal support. On the preferred PM tracking Carney is the choice of 56.5 per cent of Canadians while Poilievre trails at 22.0 per cent.
Prime Minister Mark Carney has responded to the U.S.-Israeli bombardment of Iran with a mix of support and hesitation, leading some to wonder if his position is in need of clarification, while others praise his strategic ambiguity. For Canadians, there’s little in the way of guess work. New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds three-quarters of Canadians (74%)...
Channeling his inner DJ Khaled, Prime Minister Mark Carney has gotten “another one.” A floor-crosser, that is. Lori Idlout is the latest MP to cross over to the government benches, this time from the NDP, making her the fourth floor-crosser and edging the Liberals ever closer to that coveted 172 seat majority. The Liberals now have 170 seats in the...
Trouble from the progressive wing of the Liberal party as dozens of Liberal MPs have just broken with the government over arms sales
A group that protests Canada’s electoral system by loading up ballots with the names of dozens of little-known candidates says it is looking to do so in the April by-election in Terrebonne, Que., a race that could give Prime Minister Mark Carney’s government a much firmer grip on the House of Commons. Tomas Szuchewycz, an organizer with the Longest Ballot...
Israel is pursuing a sweeping diplomatic and public relations campaign to convince Canada to change the way it tackles acts of antisemitism. From the office of Israel's president down to its ambassador in Ottawa, the message is the same: Canada must do more to curb threats against Jews. But while the country's ambassador is suggesting Ottawa should limit certain "freedoms"...
There is a nostalgic, almost wistful thread that runs through Pierre Poilievre’s approach to trade with the United States, as if he still can’t believe the happy days of the past are gone and therefore thinks it’s easy to put forward a simple idea that will bring them back. On Sunday, when the Conservative Leader presented his plan to save...
Whatever you may think about Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre’s chances of becoming prime minister—the proverbial snowball in hell comes to mind—he keeps trying to find a way to stay in the game against Mark Carney. It is no easy task. Prime Minister Mark Carney’s lead over Poilievre in the polls keeps growing, recently hitting 13 points. If that spread were...
Donald Trump famously said “I could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody, and I wouldn’t lose any voters, OK? It’s like incredible.” All the evidence so far has suggested that he was right. But few things shift the winds of US politics like wars.
There are political miscalculations, and then there are gifts to your opponents so perfectly timed they seem almost deliberate. Pierre Poilievre’s campaign to nominate Don Cherry for the Order of Canada belongs firmly in the second category. The Conservative leader declared last week that Cherry “embodies what it means to be a proud Canadian,” throwing his personal support behind a...
Alberta Premier Danielle Smith speaks out on this day. Article content But the premier is not on about budgets or pipelines or the place of Alberta in Canada. Smith is talking about Don Cherry, the man also known by his nickname, Grapes. For years, for far too many years, Don Cherry has been snubbed by the establishment types in this...
It’s always weird to be reminded that the world as it is – to borrow a phrase, if I may – was a very different place not so long ago, and that what now seems constant and obvious was once strange or unknown. The phone you unthinkingly grab from your pocket to do, well, everything, used to be a crazy...
For a career banker, Mark Carney plays the role of Machiavellian politician very well. The prime minister has now plucked a third MP from the opposition benches and is just two by-election wins in safe Liberal seats away from a majority government. This time Carney’s fruit was harvested from the NDP, not the Conservatives, and came in the form of...
The balance of power is shifting in favour of the western democracies. With all the controversy over the fast-moving war in Iran, it is easy to lose sight of the fact that the world balance of power and international correlation of forces are shifting in favour of the western democracies. Since the reinstallation of the present U.S. administration less than...
Much is being made of Prime Minister Mark Carney’s successful efforts to poach MPs from both the Conservative and New Democratic parties in an effort to convert his minority Liberal government into a majority. But these MPs’ parliamentary perambulations are small potatoes compared to events in the early 2000s. Floor-crossings in those years helped determine the future of the conservative...
“Let the party begin.” That’s how Mark Carney started his first press conference after being sworn in as Canada’s 24th prime minister, on March 14, 2025, after a whirlwind leadership contest.
We live in a world of chatbots. The economic and social promise of large language models has driven the Western world into an AI mania that’s driving our stock markets and leading to massive investments in data centres and energy infrastructure. Yet we still don’t really know how AI works — nor the very real impacts it can have on...
The three federal by-elections that will happen in April are going to be consequential. They’ll determine whether the federal Liberal caucus will have enough members to carry votes in the House of Commons without relying on support from other parties.
A LITTLE LESS THAN a year after the April 2025 federal election, public opinion data continues to break strongly in favour of Mark Carney’s Liberal government. The latest federal poll by Leger suggests the Liberal Party now holds a substantial lead in voting intentions. The survey, conducted from February 27 to March 2 among 1,627 respondents, puts the Liberals at...
UNITED STATES PRESIDENT Donald Trump is not primarily waging war on Iran. In waging war on Iran, Trump is waging war on human reason. I do not say that war with Iran is inherently unreasonable. Nor do I mean that Trump has offered poor justifications, or justifications that most people would recognize as inadequate, in defence of his war in...
After Nunavut MP Lori Idlout announced Tuesday night that she would join the Liberals, a grim-looking Don Davies — interim leader of the NDP — had the dreary task of responding. “The position of the New Democratic Party is long-standing and clear,” he said, accurately. “To us, the decision of the voters at the ballot box is a sacred trust...
Pierre Poilievre recently declared that he would prefer not to have an election anytime soon. The Conservative leader may be in the process of getting that wish. Thanks to another floor-crossing over to the Liberals and three byelections now under way, Mark Carney may have the 172 seats he needs for a majority government, possibly plus one additional MP.
There are three federal by-elections currently underway for voting on April 13; in the ridings of University-Rosedale, Scarborough Southwest, and Terrebonne. If at least two of these go Liberal, which is almost guaranteed, Prime Minister Mark Carney will have successfully performed the political equivalent of the miracle of the loaves and fishes: he’ll have created a majority government out of...
With polling numbers showing support for the governing Liberals approaching numbers not seen since Brian Mulroney’s “grand coalition” win in 1984, it is only natural for Prime Minister Carney’s entourage to begin feeling brave about converting those numbers into a snap election sweep. Some in Liberal circles will argue that the moment has arrived to strike while the iron is...
It wasn’t that long ago that the federal NDP held the balance of political power in Canada. Now, it looks like it will be lucky to hold onto any political power at all. The defection by Nunavut MP Lori Idlout leaves them with just six federal MPs, and that’s without accounting for Alexandre Boulerice’s widely rumoured move to provincial politics...
That the riding of Terrebonne is at all competitive tells you a lot about Quebec’s shifting political landscape in the Mark Carney era. Until last year, the suburban riding on Montreal’s Rive-Nord had been a Bloc Québécois stronghold for three decades, with the exception of a one-term flirtation with the New Democratic Party in the ephemeral Orange Wave of 2011...
New Brunswickers are about to find out exactly how Premier Susan Holt's Liberal government plans to tackle the province's worsening finances. Finance Minister Rene Legacy is expected to table the new provincial budget in Fredericton today.
VICTORIA -- The number of candidates running for the leadership of the British Columbia Conservatives has shrunk to seven.
Officials in Cuba reported an islandwide blackout Monday in the country of some 11 million people as its energy and economic crises deepen and its power grid continues to crumble. The Ministry of Energy and Mines on X noted a “complete disconnection” of the country’s electrical system and said it was investigating, noting there were no failures in the units...
Defence Minister David McGuinty says Canada is “leaving the door open” to providing assistance in the Middle East — as the conflict in Iran exceeds two weeks and spreads further throughout the region — but he also insists Canada “will not be engaging offensively.” “We’re leaving the door open to be, I think, of assistance to any neighbouring states that...
Lori Idlout's switch to the Liberals is drawing attention across the country, and from the people she represents in the territory. Nunavut NDP supporter Joanasie Akumalik thinks the North will lose a fierce public critic of the government. “I think she will not be critical anymore with the government, and she will not be critical anymore with Liberal policies,” he...
The federal government is putting $200 million toward a Canadian-owned launch pad to send satellites into orbit. Ottawa will use the funds over the next decade to lease a space launch pad near Canso, Nova Scotia, which will serve as the foundation for a future spaceport.
BCE Inc. says it’s planning to build a new data centre just outside of Regina. The parent company of Bell Canada says the 300 megawatt data centre will be located in the rural municipality of Sherwood, Sask., with construction slated to begin this spring.
Inflation was showing signs of easing in February but economists warn price relief will be short lived as the war in the Middle East fuels surging energy costs. Statistics Canada said Monday that February's inflation reading came in at 1.8 per cent year-over-year, half a percentage point lower than January's figures and just under economists' expectations for the month. The...
U.S. President Donald Trump warned NATO allies of “very bad” consequences if the military alliance — which includes Canada — doesn’t help him secure the Strait of Hormuz, which has been blocked by Iran since the start of the war, in a newspaper interview published Sunday. “It’s only appropriate that people who are the beneficiaries of the Strait will help...
Richard Madan can also claim up to $51K in expenses. A former CTV and CBC reporter hired to serve as Manitoba’s trade envoy to the United States is taking home more than $480,000 Cdn a year in consulting fees, according to his contract with the province.
Canada is considering eventual membership in a UK-led multinational rapid response force, but its immediate priority is rebuilding its military and reducing reliance on the US, Defense Minister David McGuinty said. Canada is considering eventual membership in a UK-led multinational rapid response force, but its immediate priority is rebuilding its military and reducing reliance on the US, Defense Minister David...
Canadian oil production is set to increase by 140,000 barrels per day starting in April, according to the Natural Resources Minister’s office, a part of the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) plan to increase oil supply impacted by the war in Iran. On late Friday, Natural Resources Minister Tim Hodgson promised that Canada would contribute 23.6 million barrels as a part...
Prime Minister Mark Carney met with British Prime Minister Keir Starmer on Monday, and while both remarked the world has become a more challenging place since their first meeting a year ago, neither named a specific issue in their public remarks. A readout issued by Carney's office after the meeting in London said the two leaders condemned Iran's missile and...
Nunavut MP Lori Idlout’s defection from the NDP to the Liberal caucus has almost guaranteed a majority for Prime Minister Mark Carney, provided the Liberals win two of the three upcoming byelections. But governing with a slim majority would pose a significant challenge for the prime minister, as the loss of even one or two MPs could bring the government...
President Donald Trump may delay his China trip due to the Iran war, but Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Monday it's not to pressure Beijing on the Strait of Hormuz. Bessent said any delay to Trump's trip to Beijing would not be because of disagreements over the Iran war or efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. "If the meeting...
Every day more than $4 billion worth of goods cross the United States' borders with Canada and Mexico - U.S. auto parts headed for car factories in northern Mexico, cartons of Mexican avocados bound for California supermarkets, Canadian aluminum destined to become cans of Campbell Soup. Much of this bustling cross-border commerce is duty-free, thanks to the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement, or...
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has unveiled a new auto plan aiming to secure tariff-free access to the U.S. market. The plan would harmonize tailpipe emissions reductions with the U.S., and align Canada with the United States on Chinese tariffs in a move meant to give Canada leverage in trade talks.
Liberal candidate Tatiana Auguste is hoping to be elected in the April 13 byelection in the Montreal-area riding of Terrebonne, and this time, for good. Auguste opened her riding office in the Montreal-area riding today, telling supporters she wants Terrebonne to be part of the solution and have a voice at the decision-making table. Elections Canada had declared Auguste the...
Public Safety Minister Gary Anandasangaree insists the federal government’s approach to people associated with the Iranian regime in Canada is “aggressive,” despite having only deported one person in the last three years. Late last month, the United States and Israel began strikes on Iran, targeting the country’s leadership, with retaliatory strikes since widening the conflict in the region. Against the...
PMO staffers Andrée-Lyne Hallé and Angad Dhillon now attend national caucus meetings every week to take notes for Prime Minister Mark Carney, say Liberal MPs. Less than a year after the Liberal caucus decided that senior staffers from the Prime Minister’s Office could not attend confidential weekly meetings, two senior staffers have been invited back at the request of Prime...
The prime ministers of Canada and Nordic countries have agreed to continue working to deepen economic ties as technology and international trade are increasingly used as a "coercive tool," they said in a joint statement. Prime Minister Mark Carney is concluding his time in Norway meeting with that country's prime minister, along with the leaders of Denmark, Iceland, Sweden and...
Liberal candidate Tatiana Auguste is hoping to be elected in the April 12 byelection in the Montreal-area riding of Terrebonne, and this time, for good. Auguste opened her riding office in the Montreal-area riding today, telling supporters she wants Terrebonne to be part of the solution and have a voice at the decision-making table. Elections Canada had declared Auguste the...
Prime Minister Mark Carney's office wouldn't weigh in on a push by the federal Conservatives to award the Order of Canada to controversial hockey commentator Don Cherry. Audrey Champoux, a spokesperson for Carney, declined to say whether the prime minister felt that Cherry had met the requirements for the accolade, which is awarded in recognition of exceptional achievements, extraordinary contributions...
Prime Minister Mark Carney says Ottawa is planning to revamp its funding for Canadian athletes and will tackle the issue "very deliberately" over the next six months — news that comes just before a federal commission on the future of Canadian sport releases its final report. Carney shared the information to a group of Canadian athletes in Holmenkollen, just north of
Prime Minister Mark Carney says that countries like Canada do not need to have oil reserves as a net exporter, after the energy minister announced Canada will contribute 23.6 million barrels to help stabilize international energy markets. The 32 member countries of the International Energy Agency, including Canada, have agreed to a co-ordinated release of oil stocks as the war...
Donald Trump's miscalculations on the impact of a war in Iran go well beyond the price of oil, and if the war doesn't end soon, we're all, Canada included going to feel it. Bruce Anderson and Chantal Hebert join for the regular Friday Good Talk where we'll also discuss: more floor crossings, more dilemmas for the NDP, and a strange...
Mark Carney’s government is in talks with Saskatchewan towards reaching an energy deal that could fast-track federal approvals of that province’s uranium mining projects, speed development of small modular nuclear reactors and build out its energy grid, the Star has learned. Much as it did with Alberta, the federal government is negotiating with Premier Scott Moe’s government to develop a...
Ever since the U.S. launched its war against Iran on Feb. 28, Foreign Affairs Minister Anita Anand has said her top priority is helping Canadians who want to leave the Middle East. As of Friday, nearly 8,500 Canadians and permanent residents have made it home to Canada from the region, while more than a thousand have left the Middle East...
When you walk into the Club Pays coffee shop in Montreal, the first thing you see are the posters with Quebec sovereignty slogans plastered on every wall. Complete with comfortable couches, a polished-wood espresso bar, a small stage and even a conference room, Club Pays -- country club in English -- opened its doors to the public on Friday and...
COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP) -- More than three decades after Lindsey Graham first arrived in Washington, he has everything he could ever want. The senator has President Donald Trump 's ear, a war in Iran and a well-funded path to reelection in his home state of South Carolina.
WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Donald Trump relied on his gut and largely side-stepped diplomatic coordination as he made the decision to launch strikes on Iran with Israel. But now with the war's economic and geopolitical consequences unfurling rapidly, he's cajoling allies and other global powers to help mop up the mess.
WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. (AP) -- In the two weeks since the U.S. and Israel launched strikes on Iran, President Donald Trump increasingly has been knocked on his political heels.
The World Anti-Doping Agency is considering rewriting its rules to try barring President Donald Trump and all U.S. government officials from attending the LA Olympics in 2028 in a move that could also have implications for the World Cup being hosted by the U.S. this summer.
Officials in Cuba reported an islandwide blackout Monday in the country of some 11 million people as its energy and economic crises deepen and its power grid continues to crumble. The Ministry of Energy and Mines on X noted a “complete disconnection” of the country’s electrical system and said it was investigating, noting there were no failures in the units...
Defence Minister David McGuinty says Canada is “leaving the door open” to providing assistance in the Middle East — as the conflict in Iran exceeds two weeks and spreads further throughout the region — but he also insists Canada “will not be engaging offensively.” “We’re leaving the door open to be, I think, of assistance to any neighbouring states that...
U.S. President Donald Trump warned NATO allies of “very bad” consequences if the military alliance — which includes Canada — doesn’t help him secure the Strait of Hormuz, which has been blocked by Iran since the start of the war, in a newspaper interview published Sunday. “It’s only appropriate that people who are the beneficiaries of the Strait will help...
President Donald Trump may delay his China trip due to the Iran war, but Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Monday it's not to pressure Beijing on the Strait of Hormuz. Bessent said any delay to Trump's trip to Beijing would not be because of disagreements over the Iran war or efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. "If the meeting...
Every day more than $4 billion worth of goods cross the United States' borders with Canada and Mexico - U.S. auto parts headed for car factories in northern Mexico, cartons of Mexican avocados bound for California supermarkets, Canadian aluminum destined to become cans of Campbell Soup. Much of this bustling cross-border commerce is duty-free, thanks to the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement, or...
A one-time northern Ontario fur-trading post, Sault Ste. Marie’s fortunes changed when U.S. industrialist Francis Clergue built a hydroelectric power plant on the banks of the St. Mary’s River more than 100 years ago. The dam brought cheap power to the area and turned it into an industrial hub. Clergue also opened a steel mill, a pulp and paper mill...
Canada is confronting a rapidly expanding illicit nicotine market that has evolved well beyond traditional contraband tobacco. Criminal networks that once focused on cigarettes now traffic in high-nicotine disposable vapes, unauthorized nicotine pouches, and a sprawling ecosystem of online black market platforms. Fragmented regulation, uneven enforcement, and the rise of e-commerce have created structural vulnerabilities that illicit actors are exploiting...
A collection of SubStack publishing within Canadian public affairs.
For a moment there, it looked like Mark Carney would be the torchbearer for countries opposed to Trump’s big power politics. Now, not so much. In fact, it seems Prime Minister Carney is ready to embrace the “end of the international rules-based order” rather than oppose it – thanks to the confusing and contradictory statements by the Canadian government following...
On Thursday, the Liberal government finally got around to asking ordinary Canadians how to fix the country’s premier transparency law, the Access to Information Act. The Act, dating from 1983, empowers citizens to hold governments to account through requests for internal information.
Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was a monster. For close to thirty years, he presided over a police state that violated human rights at home and exported terror to the world. Now he is dead, crushed by the American assault on Iran that flattened his compound and sparked a regional war. From Tehran to Toronto, thousands of Iranians are celebrating...
One of the most brutal fronts in the escalating war in the Middle East right now is in Lebanon. Israel’s ground troops have crossed the border into the south of the country, and the bombing campaign continues in cities like Beirut. Israel says its mission is to root out and defang Hezbollah and to carve out a security buffer zone...
Donald Trump keeps saying the US and Israel are ahead of schedule in their war against Iran. Do they have the strategy? So far that seems in doubt. Dr. Janice Stein from the Munk School at U of T has her take on where things stand during her regular Monday segment on The Bridge.
It’s been one year since Mark Carney became Prime Minister. He was long known as a technocrat, having held the position of central banker for both Canada and the United Kingdom. But when Justin Trudeau resigned, Liberals – and later, Canadians – decided Carney was the man for the moment. One year later, his popularity is holding strong: an Angus...
Peter Mazereeuw tackles the hot topic of immigration fraud, a problem that has spurred the government to introduce controversial changes in law, and the opposition to demand more. He speaks to Ravi Jain, an immigration lawyer who makes the case that immigration consultants are the root of the problem, and Dory Jade, a spokesperson for professional immigration consultants who defends...
