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The Buzz June 22nd 2024: Byelection in Toronto-St Paul’s, Biden-Trump debate, decline in Canadian minor hockey teams, and more in The Buzz

Good morning and welcome to The Buzz, where we count you among the thousands of those who start their Saturdays off with a bit of buzz.

 
There’s an old saying about byelections that goes something like this: “Byelections are fire on ice”.  I always thought it was an old Winston Churchill line but years of searching for proof, I have failed to deliver any hard evidence of that. You can take “fire on ice” to mean any number of things, but many feel that it suggests that byelections can produce interesting fiery results, but ice stops the fire from spreading. In other words, don’t assume they mean anything in the long run. Well, yes, and no.  Remember Deborah Grey?  She won a byelection in 1989 in Beaver River, Alberta becoming the first sitting member for the Reform Party, which eventually led to many more Reform seats and the disintegration of the Progressive Conservative Party.   
 
Some fire.  
 
Some ice.  
 
Okay. I know. Too cute.

 

All this preamble brings me to the Toronto-St Paul’s byelection coming up in just a few days on Monday. 

Everyone has a take on this.  It’s the topic of discussion around Parliament Hill for analysts and political pros of all stripes, and of course journalists and political junkies haunting the city’s restaurants and bars.
 
Most seem to feel that if the Liberals lose their three decades old safe seat, then Justin Trudeau is dead man walking. That by the morning after, Liberals will be openly talking about him “having to go”. Maybe.
 
But what if the Liberals win? Then what? Does it suddenly become last week’s news, and everything just carries on the way it was?
 
Don’t you just love Canadian politics?  
 
Well, I know Reg Cohn of the Toronto Star does, and he leads us off this week with his take on the dilemma for the riding’s voters:   

Justin Trudeau and Pierre Poilievre have lots on the line in this Toronto byelection — but there’s one mistake voters might make

Read >

You want more on the byelection? Click on the link at nationalnewswatch.com to find the YouTube version of Good Talk with Chantal Hebert and Bruce Anderson.

 

Do you know what a twenty-point lead in a national poll could look like? 

And to be specific, a twenty-point lead by the opposition party just before an election. That’s what Pierre Poilievre has in a few different polls. So does Sir Keith Starmer and his Labour party in Britain where I’ve been the last two months. Their election day is just weeks away and it's looking like a full-on rout. As I was passing through Heathrow on Thursday, I saw this in The Telegraph. I don’t need to explain it beyond saying, this is exactly what change from a twenty-point lead can look like: 

Sunak to lose seat in Tory wipeout, major poll predicts 🔒

Read >

 

 

This is a big week in US politics too, as the first of the presidential TV debates takes place.  

At one podium a convicted felon, adjudicated rapist, twice impeached, 2020 defeated former President, Republican Donald Trump.  At the other podium, the father of a convicted felon, the oldest president ever to run for re-election, the current President, Democrat Joe Biden. To be fair, both men do have other things on their resumes, but still, what a choice. But hey, will you be watching? I know I will.

Here's how Puck sets it up:

Will voters watch the Biden-Trump debate? 🔒

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CNN is sure hoping you’ll be watching the debate.

They’re desperate that a big audience number will pull them out of a terrible ratings slump. They’re not alone as cable and broadcast TV audiences are dying while streaming is the new ratings champ. Dominick Mastrangelo of The Hill has the latest numbers:

Streaming topped broadcast, cable viewership by double digits in May

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My son grew up in Stratford, Ontario and like almost every other kid in town he played minor hockey, from Tim Hortons up. 

He mostly loved it and so did I, coaching for about ten years. I wasn’t very good at coaching aside from opening and closing the bench doors, and yelling at the refs. Actually, I was pretty bad at yelling at the refs, and even the players let me know the refs were just trying to do their unpaid jobs.
 
But even back then you could see hockey was heading for troubled waters. On a lot of fronts. And it’s only gotten worse.  
 
Gary Mason wrote a smart, short piece on this in The Globe the other day:  

There’s a growing disconnect between hockey and Canadian families

Read >

 

Does the name Ian Botham mean anything to you?    

If it does, it means you love cricket. Botham was an all-rounder, a great bowler and a great batsman for England in the mid 1980’s when I spent a lot of time working out of the London bureau of the CBC. I got hooked on the sport in those years because of Botham, which wasn’t hard as my father had been a pretty good cricketer in his day when we lived in Malaya in the early fifties.
 
Anyway, this story isn’t about me, my Dad, or Ian Botham. But it is about cricket and why we should watch. Take it away Aftab Ahmed of The Line:

Aftab Ahmed: It's time to embrace cricket, North Americans

Read >

 

Okay, here’s one for you. Do you sit down and stay seated for a good chunk of the day?  

Like, say, six hours a day? Well, if you believe in this upcoming study, as reported by the Washington Post, then you better drink coffee, perhaps a lot of coffee. The study claims that you will live longer if you drink coffee while you’re sitting around all day than if you don’t. These are the kind of studies that make me wonder about studies… but hey, don’t shoot the messenger. Double, double please.

More good news for coffee drinkers from a study of sitting and sipping

Read >

That’s it for this week. Enjoy your weekend, we’re only a week or so away from July. Summer is here.

We plan to keep the Buzz going all summer or so my bosses have instructed me! See you next week.

The Buzz is a weekly publication from National Newswatch that shares insights and commentary on the week’s developments in politics, news and current affairs.

Subscribe to 'The Buzz' with Peter Mansbridge

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