Polls
Doug Ford is best known Premier across Canada

Doug Ford is best known Premier across Canada

In advance of the upcoming First Minister Meeting, fresh polling by Pollara shows Ontario Premier Doug Ford stands out as the most recognized Premier in Canada, with 79% of Canadians familiar with him. Alberta’s Danielle Smith (50%) and Quebec’s François Legault (44%), the only other premiers with significant national profiles, trail far behind. Ford’s name recognition nears that of many...

Measles Outbreak: Support for mandatory childhood vaccination rebounds, but one-in-five parents hesitant to vax

Measles Outbreak: Support for mandatory childhood vaccination rebounds, but one-in-five parents hesitant to vax

Alberta Health Minister Adriana LaGrange had a message for her province earlier this month, “don’t get measles; get immunized”. This, as outbreaks of the highly contagious disease continue, appearing in nine provinces so far, with the vast majority occurring in that province and in Ontario. The good news for health officials is that the outbreak appears to have increased support...

Trump concern fading as worry about healthcare and housing on the rise – Liberals and Conservatives tied in ballot support

Trump concern fading as worry about healthcare and housing on the rise – Liberals and Conservatives tied in ballot support

The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...

Consumer confidence continues to improve in wake of Canadian election

Consumer confidence continues to improve in wake of Canadian election

Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,081 respondents in Canada. This report is based on the four waves of tracking ending May 23rd, 2025. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,081 Canadians is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The research was commissioned by the Bloomberg and was conducted by Nanos Research.

Liberals and Conservatives statistically tied as Carney government approval reaches multi-year high

Liberals and Conservatives statistically tied as Carney government approval reaches multi-year high

Our latest poll tracking opinions about Canadian politics was conducted from May 15 to 21, 2025 and interviewed 2,273 Canadian adults. The survey was conducted entirely after the swearing in of the Liberal government led by Prime Minister Mark Carney. Just before King Charles is set to deliver the new government’s Speech from the Throne, a new Abacus Data poll...

Historic Election Concludes amid Deepened Polarization

Historic Election Concludes amid Deepened Polarization

Below is a retrospective of the 45th Canadian federal election, the forces that shaped it, and the challenges Canada faces. Please click here for a PDF version of this report.

When travelling out of town for arts and culture experiences, culture-goers prefer new and unique experiences over traditional and known ones

When travelling out of town for arts and culture experiences, culture-goers prefer new and unique experiences over traditional and known ones

Close to a quarter of culture-goers (22%) say it is now much more or somewhat more important for them to attend art and cultural events and performances or visit museums and galleries that include or promote Canadian artists or content, compared to just over one in ten who say it is much less or somewhat less important (11%). Over fifty...



Canadian consumer confidence rebounds in wake of Carney victory

Canadian consumer confidence rebounds in wake of Carney victory

The BNCCI is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of 1,000 respondents...

Liberals and Conservatives tied in popular support. Concern about jobs/the economy numerically surpasses concern about Trump/US for first time since February.

Liberals and Conservatives tied in popular support. Concern about jobs/the economy numerically surpasses concern about Trump/US for first time since February.

The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...

From Precarity to a Prepared and Competitive Canada

From Precarity to a Prepared and Competitive Canada

Between April 16 and 21, 2025, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,920 Canadian adults (18+), on behalf of the University of Toronto, to understand what Canadians believe is needed to succeed in a rapidly changing world. The findings reveal a country at a turning point: confidence in long-term stability is wavering, yet support for bold, forward-looking action is...

Appetite to purchase US-made goods continues to drop – Four in five Canadians agree to some extent that Canada’s old relationship with the United States is over

Appetite to purchase US-made goods continues to drop – Four in five Canadians agree to some extent that Canada’s old relationship with the United States is over

The research gauged the opinions among Canadians on the impact of tariffs on purchase of US-made goods and the US-Canada relationship. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,055 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between May 5th and 8th, 2025 as part of an omnibus survey. The margin of...

Alberta Politics and Separatism Sentiments

Alberta Politics and Separatism Sentiments

44% of Albertans identify as primarily Canadian, while 21% identify as primarily Albertan, and 32% identify as both equally 29% of Albertans support the idea of Alberta becoming a country independant of Canada, while 67% are opposed to that idea.

New cabinet, meet familiar challenges in Alberta, Sask. Canadians divided on response to Smith’s demands

New cabinet, meet familiar challenges in Alberta, Sask. Canadians divided on response to Smith’s demands

Prime Minister Mark Carney unveiled a new cabinet this week, but some of the key challenges for he and his ministers (and secretaries) are hardly unfamiliar. Central among these will be assuaging separation movements in the Prairies by setting the agenda for resource development and environmental management. These priorities come to a head in perhaps no more obvious way than...

Ontario PCs Lead by 10 as Ontario NDP Squeezed Out

Ontario PCs Lead by 10 as Ontario NDP Squeezed Out

– A new Liaison Strategies poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) finds the Ontario PCs leading the Ontario Liberals, 46% to 36%, while the Ontario NDP find themselves squeezed out at 13% Conducted from May 5-9, 2025, using interactive voice response technology, the Liaison poll surveyed 1,000 Ontario voters. The margin of error for...

Concern about Trump declines as front running parties gripped in a tie – LPC 42, CPC 41, NDP 8

Concern about Trump declines as front running parties gripped in a tie – LPC 42, CPC 41, NDP 8

The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...

Consumer confidence rises with election of Carney government

Consumer confidence rises with election of Carney government

Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,259 respondents in Canada. This report is based on the four waves of tracking ending May 9th, 2025. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,259 Canadians is ±2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The research was commissioned by the Bloomberg and was conducted by Nanos Research.



Most Canadians anticipate at least some positive impact from Mark Carney on Canadian Unity

Most Canadians anticipate at least some positive impact from Mark Carney on Canadian Unity

The objective of the research was to gauge views of Canadians on newly-elected Prime Minister Mark Carney’s impact on unity among Canadians. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,055 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between May 5th and 8th, 2025 as part of an omnibus survey. The margin...

Referendum Reality? Half in Alberta & Saskatchewan call for vote on independence, but fewer would actually leave

Referendum Reality? Half in Alberta & Saskatchewan call for vote on independence, but fewer would actually leave

The path for a referendum on separation in Alberta was laid out this week by Premier Danielle Smith, even though she has been adamant that she does not support the movement. In Saskatchewan, Premier Scott Moe has said his government does not support separation, but he wouldn’t stand in the way of a vote. As these dual referendums loom, new...

Trump continues to dominate issue mindshare – LPC 42, CPC 39, NDP 8

Trump continues to dominate issue mindshare – LPC 42, CPC 39, NDP 8

The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...

Canadian Voters Open to Changing the Electoral System

Canadian Voters Open to Changing the Electoral System

Two-in-five voters in this year’s federal election (40%) think the possibility of Alberta separation is real, while 46% disagree. Vancouver, BC [May 8, 2025] – Many voters across Canada are willing to explore modifications to the way the members of the House of Commons are chosen, a new Research Co. “Exit Poll” poll has found. In the online survey of...

What Happened? The 2025 Canadian Election Post-Mortem

What Happened? The 2025 Canadian Election Post-Mortem

For much of 2023 and 2024, Canadians were deeply entrenched in a scarcity mindset—a psychological state characterized by anxiety about the accessibility and affordability of basic necessities. This mindset had profound political implications, creating widespread discontent. Life felt perpetually uncertain, with essential items and services harder to obtain, increasingly expensive, and prone to sudden loss. Such sentiments inevitably translated into...

BC: Conservatives Lead NDP, 47% to 45%

BC: Conservatives Lead NDP, 47% to 45%

A new Liaison Strategies poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) finds the BC Conservatives leading the BC NDP by 2 points. Conducted from May 2-4, 2025, using interactive voice response technology, the Liaison poll surveyed 800 British Columbia voters. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.45%, 19 times out of 20.

Conservative Golf Ad Missed Mark with Most Canadian Voters

Conservative Golf Ad Missed Mark with Most Canadian Voters

A side-by-side test of two political advertisements from the main federal parties in Canada yields mixed results, a new Research Co. “Exit Poll” poll has found. The online survey of a representative national sample of English-speaking Canadians who voted in the 2025 federal election showed respondents two advertisements that were featured on broadcast television in the final days of the...

After steady decline in consumer confidence, last week showed an uptick (Bloomberg/Nanos)

After steady decline in consumer confidence, last week showed an uptick (Bloomberg/Nanos)

Overall consumer confidence remains in negative territory with a score below 50 on the 100 point diffusion scale in the Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index. Compared to four weeks ago three of the four indicators showed an improvement with the exception of positive perceptions of the future value of real estate which continued to register a decline. -Nik Nanos, Chief...

Over six in ten Albertans think being part of Canada is the best option for Alberta’s economy, rest prefer separation or joining the US

Over six in ten Albertans think being part of Canada is the best option for Alberta’s economy, rest prefer separation or joining the US

A majority of Albertans believe Alberta being part of Canada would be best for creating a strong economy in Alberta in the long run (64%). On the other hand, those who lean more toward separation (29%) for a strong Alberta economy prefer Alberta being an independent country (20%) over Alberta being part of the US (10%). Younger Albertans were less...

Perceptions of the United States Take Drastic Tumble in Canada

Perceptions of the United States Take Drastic Tumble in Canada

Favourable views of the United States among Canadians have dropped to the lowest level recorded in the past seven years, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of a representative national sample, only 26% of Canadians have a positive opinion of the United States, down 28 points since a similar Research Co. poll conducted in July...

Canadians Split on Preferred Result of 2025 Federal Ballot

Canadians Split on Preferred Result of 2025 Federal Ballot

Canadian voters are deeply divided when assessing the possible outcome of the 2025 federal election, a new Research Co. “Exit Poll” poll has found. In the online survey of a representative national sample of Canadians who voted in the 2025 federal election, 49% of respondents say they would be “very upset” if the Conservative Party forms the government, while a...

Consumer confidence hits low not seen since December 2022

Consumer confidence hits low not seen since December 2022

Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,290 respondents in Canada. This report is based on the four waves of tracking ending April 25th, 2025. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,290 Canadians is ±2.7 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The research was commissioned by the Bloomberg and was conducted by Nanos Research.

ELXN CALL > LPC 42.6, CPC 39.9, NDP 7.8, BQ 6.4, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1

ELXN CALL > LPC 42.6, CPC 39.9, NDP 7.8, BQ 6.4, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1

The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same...

EKOS Predicts Liberal Majority

EKOS Predicts Liberal Majority

We submit our final poll for the 2025 federal election. We are selecting our 3-day rolling IVR poll as our choice to predict the final vote outcome. Our chosen final poll shows a stable six-point Liberal lead (44.4 per cent versus 36.5 per cent for the Conservatives), which we believe will produce a 184-seat majority government. The NDP is in...

No Major Shifts Seen in Final Week of Canada’s Federal Election

No Major Shifts Seen in Final Week of Canada’s Federal Election

Likely voters who are Millennials or Generation Z members are more concerned about housing than their older counterparts. Vancouver, BC [April 27, 2025] – The Liberal Party heads to tomorrow’s federal election in Canada as the frontrunner, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of a representative national sample of likely voters and Canadians who have...

National Tracker: Liberals 43%, Conservatives 41%

National Tracker: Liberals 43%, Conservatives 41%

The final poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media for the 45th Canadian election, finds the Liberals leading with 43% (-1) to the Conservatives 41% (no change). The survey, conducted on April 27, 2025, used interactive voice response...

Liberals Poised to Win Fourth Term - Carney Seen As Best to Lead Canada

Liberals Poised to Win Fourth Term - Carney Seen As Best to Lead Canada

On the eve of the 45th Canadian federal election, Ipsos polling for Global News reveals that the Liberals are poised to earn their fourth consecutive mandate, leading the Conservatives by four points nationally among decided voters (42% Liberal vs. 38% Conservative). The NDP trails with 9%, while the Bloc Québécois holds 6% support nationally — 25% in Québec. The Green...

Our Final Poll of the Campaign

Our Final Poll of the Campaign

Tomorrow is Election Day in Canada. Months ago, the outcome looked fairly certain – a Conservative victory. But today, as we release our final poll of the campaign, it looks like the Liberals are now the favourites to pull off a fourth straight victory under the leadership of Mark Carney. After 40 turbulent days, Canada’s 45th general election comes down...

National Tracker: Liberals 44%, Conservatives 41%

National Tracker: Liberals 44%, Conservatives 41%

A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 44% (no change) to the Conservatives 41% (+1). The rolling survey, conducted from April 24 to April 26, 2025, used interactive voice response technology to poll 1,500 Canadian voters.

LPC 43.0, CPC 38.9, NDP 8.0, BQ 6.1, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1

LPC 43.0, CPC 38.9, NDP 8.0, BQ 6.1, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1

The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same...

Canadian Federal Election Daily Tracker Poll, Day 35

Canadian Federal Election Daily Tracker Poll, Day 35

The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted from Thursday, April 24th to Saturday, April 26th, 2025, among a sample of 1669 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was conducted using IVR. The survey is intended to represent the voting population in Canada. The margin of error for the...

National Tracker: Liberals 44%, Conservatives 40%

National Tracker: Liberals 44%, Conservatives 40%

A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 44% (no change) to the Conservatives 40% (+1). The rolling survey, conducted from April 23 to April 25, 2025, used interactive voice response technology...

All down to E-Day: Liberal voters dominate early voting but election day support splits evenly between CPC, LPC

All down to E-Day: Liberal voters dominate early voting but election day support splits evenly between CPC, LPC

– While it may be one of the most cliched statements about politics, in the case of Canada’s 45th federal election, it is also true: it will all come down to election day. The non-profit Angus Reid Institute’s final data set before Monday, April 28 yields a number of contrasting stories, reinforcing key themes ARI has highlighted throughout the campaign...

LPC 41.9, CPC 38.6, NDP 9.4, BQ 6.0, GP 2.9, PPC 1.3

LPC 41.9, CPC 38.6, NDP 9.4, BQ 6.0, GP 2.9, PPC 1.3

The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same...

Canadian Federal Election Daily Tracker Poll, Day 34

Canadian Federal Election Daily Tracker Poll, Day 34

The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted from Wednesday, April 23rd to Friday, April 25th, 2025, among a sample of 1405 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was conducted using IVR. The survey is intended to represent the voting population in Canada. The margin of error for the...

No Significant Shifts Since Last Poll

No Significant Shifts Since Last Poll

There have been no significant shifts in voting intentions since our last poll. When asked who they would vote for if elections were held today, 43% of Canadians said they would vote for the Liberal Party compared to 39% for Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party.

National Tracker: Liberals 44%, Conservatives 39%

National Tracker: Liberals 44%, Conservatives 39%

A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 44% (+1) to the Conservatives 39% (+1). The rolling survey, conducted from April 22 to April 24, 2025, used interactive voice response technology to...