The research gauged the opinions among Canada aiming to accept 380,000 new immigrants as permanent residents, and an additional 385,000 workers and students as temporary residents. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (cell and landlines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,058 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, from October 31st to November 2nd, 2026, as part of...
A new Abacus Data survey conducted ahead of Thursday’s federal budget finds Canadians approaching Budget Day with significant concerns about their household finances and the country’s economic future. The rising cost of living remains the most important issue facing Canada, while Donald Trump and the United States are increasingly seen as the country’s greatest threat. Concern about artificial intelligence has...
The latest Nanos Weekly Tracking finds the Liberals at 45.4% in federal voting intentions, compared with 28.9% for the Conservatives. The NDP stands at 13.6%, followed by the Bloc Québécois at 7.4%, the People’s Party at 2.7% and the Greens at 1.9%.
A new Liaison Strategies Ontario Political Tracker puts the Progressive Conservatives at 39%, the Ontario Liberals at 32% and the Ontario NDP at 22% among decided and leaning voters. The PCs hold a seven-point lead, but education presents a more difficult picture for Premier Doug Ford: 62% disapprove of his handling of the file.
The latest Liaison Strategies National Tracker puts the Liberals at 45% and the Conservatives at 30% among decided and leaning voters, restoring a 15-point Liberal lead. Ahead of the American midterm elections, 70% of Canadians would prefer Democrats to control both the House of Representatives and the Senate. Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,000 Canadians from October 18 to...
In our latest Spark Insights survey (Online, October 16-21, 3992 interviews nationally) we asked how people felt about a number of global figures. Here are some of the things that popped out for me, from the findings:
The Bloomberg-Nanos Canadian Confidence Index stands at 50.98, little changed from 50.45 four weeks earlier and below its long-term average of 54.65. Household sentiment is firmer, with the Pocketbook Index at 54.19, while expectations for the economy and property prices remain weaker at 47.77. Confidence has eased from its February peak of 54.19, leaving Canadians broadly divided over their economic...
In our latest Spark Advocacy polling we found that 74% give Mark Carney and his government a good or acceptable rating for handling Canada-US relations, a number which has held steady from our last measurement, when negotiations had broken off.
Despite, or because of, these uniquely challenging times, Carney has drawn support from left, right and centre; and polarization has eased. Our latest Spark Advocacy survey wrapped up 3992 interviews on October 21. Confidence in the Carney government remains at quite elevated levels by historical standards. With a voting intention advantage over the Conservatives of 49%-28%, the Liberals have built...
Federal politics continues to favour the Liberals, who stand at 47.3%, followed by the Conservatives at 27.8% and NDP at 12.9%. Mark Carney leads as preferred prime minister at 57.7%. On issues, Canada-U.S. relations remain the leading concern at 19.9%, down from 25.2% four weeks earlier. Jobs and the economy also declined, from 19.4% to 15.0%, with national unity rising...
Canada’s economic mood remains finely balanced. The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index stands at 51.22, little changed from 50.88 four weeks ago. Household sentiment remains the stronger component, with the Pocketbook Index at 54.34. Expectations are more subdued at 48.09, suggesting Canadians remain cautious about the economic and housing outlook. Confidence has improved from spring lows, but a decisive turn...
The latest Liaison Strategies National Tracker finds the Liberals at 44%, the Conservatives at 31% and the NDP at 14% among decided and leaning voters. The Liberal lead has narrowed for a third consecutive week, falling from 18 points at the start of October to 13 points now. Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,000 Canadians from October 11 to...
The latest Liaison Strategies Toronto Pulse results put Olivia Chow at 52% among decided and leaning voters, followed by Brad Bradford at 44% and someone else at 4%. With the candidates drawing support from different parts of Toronto, the geographic composition of the final vote will be important. Liaison surveyed a random sample of 750 Toronto residents from October 2...
Our latest national tracking survey was conducted from October 16 to 21, 2026, as the federal government continues to navigate an uncertain economic environment, ongoing tensions with the United States, and persistent concerns about affordability and the cost of living. Despite those pressures, support for the Liberal Party and the federal government led by Mark Carney remains strong. In fact...
The last and final snapshot of the 2026 BC Provincial election shows the BC Conservatives poised to win a majority Government tomorrow. The BC Green Party will play spoiler on Saturday and prevent David Eby and the NDP from an opportunity to return after this election. The BC Conservatives lead with 42.9% ahead of the BC NDP 37.2% and the...
The opposition Conservative Party of BC heads to tomorrow’s provincial election in British Columbia as the frontrunner, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of a representative provincial sample, 44% of decided likely voters would back the BC Conservatives (= since a similar poll conducted in mid-October, while 40% (-2) would support the governing BC New...
With British Columbians heading to the polls on October 24, the Conservatives enter the final days of the provincial election campaign with a five-point lead over the NDP. According to our latest BC election poll, conducted from October 20 to 22, voting intentions have shifted throughout the campaign, with Conservative support strengthening and fewer voters remaining undecided. The results offer...
Abacus Data is continuing to expand its presence in Western Canada. Following our acquisition of Winnipeg-based Probe Research earlier this year, we are taking the next step in our growth across the Prairies with a renewed focus on Saskatchewan. As part of that commitment, we are launching a new quarterly omnibus survey to regularly track public opinion, political attitudes, and...
A new Liaison Strategies Mississauga Tracker survey finds Bonnie Crombie leading with 35% among decided and leaning voters, followed by Alvin Tedjo at 31% and Mayor Carolyn Parrish at 28%. Dipika Damerla receives 4%, while 2% choose someone else. Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,000 Mississauga residents from October 19 to October 20, 2026, using Interactive Voice Recording (IVR)...
“The Toronto mayoral contest may very well be decided in the Chow-Bradford debate showdown. Asked what leadership qualities residents are on the look out for from the contenders, honesty and problem solving top list. Chow voters focused on honesty, Bradford supporters on managing finances. Cost of living, traffic, housing and homelessness top list of issues people want to hear about...
The latest BC snapshot by Mainstreet Research shows the Greens on the rise, and the NDP down. Although this may be simple ballot confusion, the BC Greens now sit at 14.6% with the BC NDP down to 36%. The BC Conservatives continue to lead with 41.7%.
A new Liaison Strategies Toronto survey finds Brad Bradford at 49% and Mayor Olivia Chow at 47% among decided and leaning voters, with 3% choosing someone else. That reverses Chow's five-point advantage in the previous survey, although the latest two-point gap does not establish a clear lead. Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,000 Toronto residents from October 18 to...
The latest Nanos federal tracking has the Liberals at 50.6%, followed by the Conservatives at 28.3% and the NDP at 11.5%. The Bloc Québécois stands at 6.2%, the Green Party at 2.2% and the People’s Party at 1.2%.
“Ballot support for the two front runners among all residents is within the margin of error for the CP24/Nanos survey. Chow ahead in Toronto/East York, Bradford leads in North York. The deciding factors in the race will be debate performance and organizational muscle to deliver supporters. The Nanos data reflects public opinion at the time of the survey which ended...
The latest wave of Abacus Data’s Ontario political tracking for the Toronto Star finds Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives have lost some of the ground they recovered in August. The PCs remain ahead of their political opponents, but their lead has narrowed, their government continues to face more disapproval than approval, and the desire for political change remains widespread...
As the 2026 BC election campaign enters its final days, the parties and their leaders attempt the arduous multitasking assignment of balancing three priorities: expanding their base, if possible, at this late stage, solidifying support among undecided or wavering voters, and ensuring their existing supporters turn out to vote. Amid this spinning of political plates, the non-partisan, not for profit...
The latest Liaison Strategies National Tracker finds the Liberals holding at 45% among decided and leaning voters, followed by the Conservatives at 30% and the NDP at 14%. The Conservatives have gained in each of the last two releases, reducing the Liberal lead from 18 points to 15. In Alberta, the Liberals trail the Conservatives by just three points as...
Canadian consumer confidence strengthened in mid-October, with the Bloomberg-Nanos index rising to 51.68 from 49.86 four weeks earlier. The improvement was driven largely by brighter expectations: that sub-index climbed to 48.41 from 44.82. Pocketbook confidence, covering personal finances and job security, was broadly unchanged at 54.94. Even so, overall confidence remains below its long-run average of 54.66, suggesting Canadians are...
About three-in-four voters in Alberta will cast a ballot for the province to remain in Canada in tomorrow’s referendum, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of a representative sample of likely voters in Alberta, 74% will support Alberta remaining a province in Canada, while fewer than one-in-four (22%) prefer to commence the legal process required...
Should Alberta remain a province of Canada, or should the Government of Alberta commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether or not Alberta should separate from Canada?
Our latest survey finds Albertans are increasingly inclined to remain in Canada ahead of the October 19 referendum. Support for starting the process toward a binding vote on separation has not moved, with those who were undecided breaking towards remaining.
The ‘remain’ and ‘leave’ campaigns may be wrapping up as the time nears for referendum ballots to be counted, but few Albertans believe the separatist issue will be buried regardless of how Monday’s referendum turns out. New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds three-in-five (62%) Albertans believing “there will never be an end to the separatist movement” in...
Our latest Abacus Data survey finds Albertans are preparing for the historic October 19 referendum, but already expecting the debate over the province’s place in Canada to continue well after ballots are counted. The ballot asks whether Alberta should remain in Canada or begin the legal process toward a binding referendum on separation. Conducted October 7 to 13, 2026, the...
“Chow voters prioritise TTC investment (32%), while Bradford voters favour congestion relief (37%). Bike-lane expansion divides them: 74% of Chow voters support or somewhat support it, while 74% of Bradford voters oppose or somewhat oppose it.”
Our latest national tracking survey was conducted from October 2 to 13, 2026, as the federal government continues to navigate an uncertain economic environment, ongoing tensions with the United States, and persistent concerns about affordability. Since our previous survey in late September, the Carney government has continued to emphasize economic growth, investment, and affordability. The Prime Minister announced a $2-billion...
The Liberals remain ahead in federal voting intentions, with 48.8% support among decided voters compared with 29.5% for the Conservatives and 11.1% for the NDP. Mark Carney is the first choice for prime minister among 60.7% of Canadians, followed by Pierre Poilievre at 20.9%. Concern about Donald Trump and Canada-U.S. relations ranks as the country’s leading national issue. Jobs and...
The opposition Conservative Party of BC has a slight edge over the governing BC New Democratic Party (NDP) in the provincial snap election campaign, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of a representative provincial sample, 44% of decided likely voters would support the BC Conservatives (+4 since a similar poll conducted in August), while 42%...
“Chow still leads, but Bradford has cut her cushion to 3.5 points among decided voters. Chow draws strength from Toronto and East York, women and voters under 55. Bradford fares better in North York, among men and voters aged 55 and older. Etobicoke/York is close, and Scarborough closer still. With 17 per cent undecided, Toronto’s race remains an open contest.”
Canada’s economic mood remained broadly stable in early October. The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index changed to 51.34 from 50.38 four weeks earlier, remaining at the neutral threshold. Views on personal finances and job security were comparatively stronger, while expectations relating to the economy and real estate were more mixed. Overall, the results point to modestly positive consumer sentiment, with...
A new Liaison Strategies Toronto survey finds Mayor Olivia Chow leading Brad Bradford 51% to 46% among decided and leaning voters, with 3% choosing someone else. The race divides sharply by housing tenure: Chow leads among renters, while Bradford leads among homeowners. Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,000 Toronto residents from October 8 to October 9, 2026, using Interactive...
Liberals lead by 16 points. Poilievre is at 32% favourable and 55% unfavourable, while Lewis improves to 35% favourable without lifting the NDP above 15%. The latest Liaison Strategies Weekly Federal Tracker finds the Liberals at 45% and the Conservatives at 29% among decided and leaning voters, a 16-point Liberal lead. The Conservative vote has edged up from last week's...
With Alberta’s October 19 referendum approaching, the electorate appears increasingly engaged, and increasingly decided. Our latest report finds that 70% of Albertans say the province should remain part of Canada, up from 65% in August. Another 22% would choose to have the Government of Alberta begin the legal process required to hold a binding referendum on separation, while just 7% remain undecided.
A new Liaison Strategies British Columbia Political Tracker finds the BC Conservatives leading the BC NDP 43% to 37% among decided and leaning voters. Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,000 British Columbians from October 7 to October 8, 2026, using Interactive Voice Recording (IVR) technology. Participants were reached through random digit dialling (RDD) across both landline and cellular phone...