Polls
Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead by 14, NDP Edges Up to 15%

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead by 14, NDP Edges Up to 15%

The latest Liaison Strategies Weekly Federal Tracker shows the Liberals leading the Conservatives by 14 points among decided and leaning voters, while the NDP has edged up to 15%. The Liberals are at 45%, up one point from last week, followed by the Conservatives at 31%, down one, and the NDP at 15%, up one. The Bloc Québécois is at...

Alberta Referendum Deep Dive: Question wording may overstate support for some government proposals

Alberta Referendum Deep Dive: Question wording may overstate support for some government proposals

Albertans voting in the fall referendum will be asked to weigh in on a sweeping collection of policy questions, from immigration and access to social programs to the balance of power between Edmonton and Ottawa. On their faces, several of the proposals command majority support. But new research suggests the answers Albertans give may depend considerably on exactly what they...

Canadian confidence slips below neutral for first time in about five months

Canadian confidence slips below neutral for first time in about five months

The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index moved below the neutral 50-point mark, declining from 52.81 four weeks ago to 49.86. The change reflected lower expectations for the economy and housing market, while assessments of personal finances and job security remained relatively stable. Overall confidence is below both its 2026 average and its long-term historical average, indicating a more subdued economic...

3 out of 4 Canadians are open to a different model for operating airports.

3 out of 4 Canadians are open to a different model for operating airports.

One of my early polling experiences was around the privatization of Air Canada in 1988. Prime Minister Mulroney had made the case that the public no longer needed to, or should, own and operate the airline. Canadians were somewhat hesitant at first – worried that something important to our sense of national pride and cohesion might be lost. But they...

BC’s Political Orphans: Unhappy with NDP, wary of alternatives, half say they have no party to gladly support

BC’s Political Orphans: Unhappy with NDP, wary of alternatives, half say they have no party to gladly support

Premier David Eby kicked election speculation into overdrive this week when he stated that his party needed to be “election ready”. But would his constituents be ready? New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds half (51%) of British Columbians saying they “feel like a political orphan” without a party to enthusiastically throw their support behind. That sentiment is...

Premiers’ Performance: Ford, Eby rebound; the rest benefit little from intensifying US-Canada trade war

Premiers’ Performance: Ford, Eby rebound; the rest benefit little from intensifying US-Canada trade war

Some might say the U.S.-Canada trade war has become a renewed source of political leverage for this country's politicians. But unlike last year, when the non-profit Angus Reid Institute found rising personal popularity for a majority of provincial premiers, few of the provincial first ministers appear to be benefiting this fall, even as trade animosity between Canada and the U.S...

Québec Election Survey: PQ 27.9%, Liberals 23.7%, CAQ 21.6%, Conservatives 16.4% and Québec solidaire 8.7%

Québec Election Survey: PQ 27.9%, Liberals 23.7%, CAQ 21.6%, Conservatives 16.4% and Québec solidaire 8.7%

“As of September 14th, the PQ holds a marginal lead in the ballot race while the premier contest is still highly competitive. The CAQ led by Christine Fréchette retains an issue-management advantage on economic and trade matters. On improving the finances of Quebecers, it is a horse race.” Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The Parti Québécois have a marginal lead...



The American shadow: Concern about Trump/US on upward trajectory – LPC (48.3), CPC (30.9), NDP (10.9)

The American shadow: Concern about Trump/US on upward trajectory – LPC (48.3), CPC (30.9), NDP (10.9)

Concern over the United States has surged to the top of Canadians’ list of national priorities, overtaking jobs and the economy and underscoring how cross-border uncertainty continues to shape the political landscape. Twenty-seven per cent of Canadians now cite relations with the United States as the country’s most important issue, up sharply from 11.4% four weeks earlier, while concern about...

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead Conservatives by 12 as Poilievre Improves Slightly

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead Conservatives by 12 as Poilievre Improves Slightly

September 14, 2026 (Toronto, ON) - The latest Liaison Strategies Weekly Federal Tracker shows the Liberals holding a 12-point lead over the Conservatives among decided and leaning voters, while Pierre Poilievre's favourability has improved slightly from last week.

A growing appetite for making streamers fund Canadian content.

A growing appetite for making streamers fund Canadian content.

This research gauged the opinion of Canadians on streaming services financially supporting the creation of Canadian content.

As Carney Heads to Europe, 4 in 5 Canadians Support Closer Integration with the EU

As Carney Heads to Europe, 4 in 5 Canadians Support Closer Integration with the EU

Our latest national survey finds broad and growing support for Canada deepening its relationship with Europe, as Prime Minister Mark Carney prepares to travel to Strasbourg and Liverpool amid speculation that the trip could include a significant new announcement about Canada’s relationship with its European partners.

Confidence eases amid uncertainty over Canada-U.S. trade

Confidence eases amid uncertainty over Canada-U.S. trade

Canadian consumer confidence eased in early September, with the Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index lowering to 50.38 from 53.38 four weeks earlier. The decline was driven by softer expectations for the economy and real estate, while views on personal finances and job security remained comparatively stable.

Liberals Open 14-Point Lead, Largest Since 2017, as Trump Continues to Dominate the Agenda

Liberals Open 14-Point Lead, Largest Since 2017, as Trump Continues to Dominate the Agenda

Our latest national tracking survey was conducted from September 4 to 9, in a political environment that continues to be shaped overwhelmingly by Canada’s confrontation with the United States. Since our last survey, the Liberals swept three federal byelections on August 31, holding Beaches–East York and North Vancouver–Capilano and winning Chicoutimi–Le Fjord from the Bloc Québécois.

Carney Extends Lead on Economic Management in Canada

Carney Extends Lead on Economic Management in Canada

Just under three-in-five Canadians rate the country’s economic conditions as “poor” or “very poor”. Vancouver, BC [September 10, 2026] – The gap between Canada’s prime minister and the leader of the Official Opposition on financial matters has grown over the past seven months, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of a representative national sample, 59%...

“Trump Bump” lifts Liberals to 14-point vote intent lead over CPC; challenges for Poilievre continue

“Trump Bump” lifts Liberals to 14-point vote intent lead over CPC; challenges for Poilievre continue

As Canadians brace for the impact of the latest round of counter-tariffs put in place on Sept. 8, many are rallying around Prime Minister Mark Carney and the Liberal government sitting across the table from U.S. President Donald Trump. And while the Liberals gain, the Conservative Party and leader Pierre Poilievre are looking for the path back to competitiveness. New...

Toronto: Chow 50%, Bradford 39%; Voters Resist Tax Hikes

Toronto: Chow 50%, Bradford 39%; Voters Resist Tax Hikes

A new Liaison Strategies Toronto Pulse survey shows Mayor Olivia Chow leading Councillor Brad Bradford by 11 points among decided and leaning voters, while Torontonians push back against property tax increases ahead of the next city budget.



Trump trumps the economy – Worries about Washington top the national agenda for the first time in a year, as the Liberals hold a 16-point lead.

Trump trumps the economy – Worries about Washington top the national agenda for the first time in a year, as the Liberals hold a 16-point lead.

Federal political preferences remain broadly unchanged in the latest Nanos tracking. The Liberals stand at 47.3% support, followed by the Conservatives at 31.3%, while the NDP records 10.8%. Mark Carney remains the preferred choice for prime minister at 55.2, compared with 21.3% for Pierre Poilievre. Meanwhile, Donald Trump and the Canada-US relationship ranks as the country’s leading national issue of...

Canada-U.S. trade: Fewer say talks should resume quickly, amidst division over Canada’s negotiating strength

Canada-U.S. trade: Fewer say talks should resume quickly, amidst division over Canada’s negotiating strength

Canada's latest rupture with the United States appears to have delivered Prime Minister Mark Carney another political boost, even as Canadians remain deeply uncertain about the country's leverage in its escalating trade fight with Washington. New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds three-in-five Canadians (62%) now approve of Carney's performance, up 11 points from August and approaching his...

Consumers confidence holds its ground as expectations ease

Consumers confidence holds its ground as expectations ease

Canadian confidence held its score since the last wave of tracking, with the Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index at 51.80. Views on personal finances and job security were stronger, reflected in a Pocketbook Index score of 54.83. Expectations for the economy and housing were weaker, leaving the Expectations Index at 48.76 and below the neutral 50-point mark.

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead by 14 as Carney Approval Hits 66%

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead by 14 as Carney Approval Hits 66%

The latest Liaison Strategies Weekly Federal Tracker shows the Liberals holding a 14-point lead over the Conservatives, while Prime Minister Mark Carney's approval has climbed to 66%. This is the first weekly tracker in which the entire sample was collected after Carney's August 21 statement suspending Canada-U.S. trade negotiations and announcing that Canada would match new U.S. tariffs dollar for...

Canadians prefer trade peace, but are ready to defend ourselves with whatever it takes.

Canadians prefer trade peace, but are ready to defend ourselves with whatever it takes.

80% are willing to tax or limit exports of oil, canola, potash and electricity, and end purchases of US military equipment. The jibes aimed at Canadians from the US President and his Cabinet are hard to miss. Canadians are following the tariff dispute like they’ve followed few issues in the 45 years I’ve been measuring public opinion.

Canada-U.S. Trade War: 41% of Canadians Now See the United States as an Enemy

Canada-U.S. Trade War: 41% of Canadians Now See the United States as an Enemy

Canada-U.S. trade tensions are increasingly shaping how Canadians view the United States, while the cost of living remains their top concern. Our latest survey finds that 41% of Canadians now consider the United States an enemy country, up 15 points from June 2025. At the same time, 64% say their impression of the United States would change if Donald Trump...

United Conservatives Keep Lead Over New Democrats in Alberta

United Conservatives Keep Lead Over New Democrats in Alberta

The governing United Conservative Party (UCP) remains ahead of the New Democratic Party (NDP) in Alberta’s provincial political scene, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of a representative sample of likely voters in Alberta, 46% of decided voters would support the UCP Candidate in their constituency while 43% would back the NDP. The Progressive Tory...

The Trade War Next Door: What American Voters Think About Tariffs, Canada and the Battle for the U.S. Senate

The Trade War Next Door: What American Voters Think About Tariffs, Canada and the Battle for the U.S. Senate

As the trade dispute between Canada and the United States escalates, much of the focus in Canada has understandably been on what it means for our economy, our businesses and our politics. But we wanted to look at the other side of the border. Specifically, we wanted to understand how American voters are reacting to the trade war, whether they...

Liberals lead 49%-29%. Approval of Carney government climbs to new high.

Liberals lead 49%-29%. Approval of Carney government climbs to new high.

Canadian voters are galvanized by Trump’s attacks and aligned with Carney’s approach. The recent tensions in the Canada US relationship have firmed – not softened – support for Prime Minister Carney’s leadership. Across Canada, (according to our latest Spark Insights survey 6535 interviews, online) the Liberals now hold a 20 point lead over the Conservatives, 49% to 29%. The NDP...


Gap between Liberals and Conservatives narrows in wake of trade talk turbulence

Gap between Liberals and Conservatives narrows in wake of trade talk turbulence

Concern about Trump/US relations is now statistically tied with jobs/the economy. Of note, in the immediate wake of the Carney government breaking off talks with the Americans, the gap between the Liberals and the Conservative narrowed to 11 points in the Nanos weekly tracking.

Liberals Open 17-Point Lead as Conservatives Fall Below 30%

Liberals Open 17-Point Lead as Conservatives Fall Below 30%

The latest Liaison Strategies Weekly Federal Tracker shows the Liberals opening a 17-point lead over the Conservatives, with more than half of the sample now collected after the latest escalation in the Canada-U.S. trade war. Unlike last week's tracker, which only included one day of interviewing after Prime Minister Mark Carney's August 21 statement on Canada-U.S. trade negotiations, this week's...

Fewer Than 1/4 of Voters in Alberta Side with Separation - Stephen Harper and Mark Carney are the most trusted sources on the issue of Alberta seceding from Canada.

Fewer Than 1/4 of Voters in Alberta Side with Separation - Stephen Harper and Mark Carney are the most trusted sources on the issue of Alberta seceding from Canada.

Stephen Harper and Mark Carney are the most trusted sources on the issue of Alberta seceding from Canada. Vancouver, BC [August 31, 2026] – The upcoming referendum in Alberta would see a high level of support for the questions related to immigration, but the idea of holding a binding vote on separation is not resonating with the public, a new...

Consumer confidence declines on trade uncertainty

Consumer confidence declines on trade uncertainty

Canadian consumer confidence showed negative pressure immediately on the escalation of trade tensions with the United States. The forward looking Expectations Sub-indice declined, in a seven day period, from 51.61 to 49.70 points on the 100 point diffusion index. Any score above 50 is positive while a score below 50 is negative. This should be monitored in terms of new trajectory for the trend line.

Canadians Give the Carney Government Strong Overall Marks, but its Approval Rests Heavily on the Canada-U.S. file

Canadians Give the Carney Government Strong Overall Marks, but its Approval Rests Heavily on the Canada-U.S. file

Roughly eighteen months into its mandate, the federal government led by Prime Minister Mark Carney continues to enjoy a level of public support that most governments at this stage would envy. A new Abacus Data survey of 2,022 Canadian adults finds that 56% approve of the job the government is doing while 29% disapprove, a net rating of +27. Impressions...

Liberals Open 10-Point Lead as Trump Returns to the Centre of the Agenda

Liberals Open 10-Point Lead as Trump Returns to the Centre of the Agenda

Our latest national tracking survey was conducted as Canada-U.S. trade negotiations broke down and new American tariffs took effect. Prime Minister Mark Carney suspended talks on August 21 rather than accept Washington’s terms, and 50% U.S. tariffs took effect the following day. Most interviews were completed after those developments. And on the eve of three byelections in Quebec, Ontario, and...

Liberal Lead Holds Through Rupture With U.S. On Trade

Liberal Lead Holds Through Rupture With U.S. On Trade

A Majority Support Canada’s Government Walking Away

Canadians Support A Robust Response To U.S. Tariffs

Canadians Support A Robust Response To U.S. Tariffs

Canadians Support COVID-Style Program To Protect Workers

Seven in Ten Canadians Back Carney’s Decision to Walk Away From U.S. Trade Talks

Seven in Ten Canadians Back Carney’s Decision to Walk Away From U.S. Trade Talks

Canada’s trade relationship with the United States entered a new and more uncertain phase last week after Prime Minister Mark Carney suspended negotiations with the U.S. government rather than accept the terms being offered by Washington.

Liberals lead by 14 points - Worry about jobs/the economy continues. Concern about Trump/US relations up

Liberals lead by 14 points - Worry about jobs/the economy continues. Concern about Trump/US relations up

Canadians remain preoccupied with their pocketbooks, but a new worry is climbing fast. Jobs and the economy still tops the list of unprompted national concerns at 20.2%, little changed from 21.1% four weeks ago, while inflation edges up to 11.3%. The striking movement is Trump and relations with the United States, which has nearly doubled to 14.9% from 8.1% in...

Anger, frustration, worry and disappointment: Canadians describe their feelings about the latest wave of the tariff storm

Anger, frustration, worry and disappointment: Canadians describe their feelings about the latest wave of the tariff storm

Prime Minister Mark Carney’s decision to walk away from the negotiating tables with the United States on a potential trade deal to avoid new tariffs has become a launching point for escalation in what is looking to be an extended trade war.

Canadian confidence is climbing the wall of worry

Canadian confidence is climbing the wall of worry

Canadian confidence is climbing the wall of worry. The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index stands at 52.81, up from 52.55 four weeks ago and within sight of its twelve-month high of 54.19. The advance is one of expectation rather than experience. Only 13 per cent of Canadians say they are better off than a year ago, while 35 per cent say they are worse off.

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead by 11, But Trade War Fallout Barely Captured

Federal Tracker: Liberals Lead by 11, But Trade War Fallout Barely Captured

The latest Liaison Strategies Weekly Federal Tracker shows the Liberals holding an 11-point lead over the Conservatives, but the results should be read with an important caveat: only one day of tracking took place after Donald Trump's latest trade-war escalation with Canada. Fielding for this tracker ran from August 9 to August 22. That means the survey largely captures the...

Resolve & apprehension: 76% say Canada was right to ditch trade talks, but two-in-five have fear for their jobs

Resolve & apprehension: 76% say Canada was right to ditch trade talks, but two-in-five have fear for their jobs

Three-in-four Canadians are endorsing the Carney government’s decision to walk away from trade negotiations with the United States late Friday night, confirming that long-expressed national resolve and desire to see Canadian negotiators take a “hard line” with Washington was more than theoretical.

Toronto: Chow 49%, Bradford 38%; Voters Want Balance with Ford

Toronto: Chow 49%, Bradford 38%; Voters Want Balance with Ford

A new Liaison Strategies Toronto survey shows Mayor Olivia Chow leading Councillor Brad Bradford by 11 points among decided and leaning voters, while Torontonians prefer a balanced approach to the next mayor's relationship with Premier Doug Ford and the Ontario government. Among decided and leaning voters, Chow receives 49%, Bradford receives 38%, Chris Alexander receives 11%, and someone else receives...

Governing New Democrats Retake Lead in British Columbia

Governing New Democrats Retake Lead in British Columbia

The governing BC New Democratic Party (NDP) is once again first in British Columbia’s political scene, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of a representative provincial sample, 44% of decided voters (+2 since a similar Research Co. poll conducted in June 2026) would back the BC NDP candidate in their constituency in a provincial election...

No More Concessions: Canadians Want a Tougher Approach to U.S. Trade Talks

No More Concessions: Canadians Want a Tougher Approach to U.S. Trade Talks

As Canada prepares for another round of trade negotiations with the United States, Canadians appear to have little appetite for giving more ground. Our latest survey shows that many feel the federal government has already been too passive. When Canadians are asked what should happen next, the preference is clearer: push harder, limit concessions and keep more aggressive responses on...

Canadians’ anxieties remain stubbornly material but the neighbours are intruding: Jobs/the economy top concern followed by Trump/US.

Canadians’ anxieties remain stubbornly material but the neighbours are intruding: Jobs/the economy top concern followed by Trump/US.

Jobs and the economy still top the unprompted list of national concerns at 19.6 per cent, easing from 20.6 four weeks ago, while inflation has slipped to 10.1 from 11.6. The mover is Trump and relations with the United States, up to 11.4 per cent from 8.4, now second only to the economy; environment (7.6%), health care (7.5%) and housing...