Despite an unusually active week for the federal government, the political environment remains largely unchanged. Affordability continues to create an opening for the Conservatives, while concern about Donald Trump remains a major Liberal advantage. The week before this survey began may be one of the most consequential of Mark Carney’s time as prime minister.
A new Abacus Data survey finds broad public support for the federal government’s plan to purchase up to 12 new submarines for the Canadian navy, although Canadians are somewhat more divided when asked whether the program represents good value for public money. After being told the purchase could cost at least $24 billion and represent the largest military procurement in...
The Calgary Stampede political circuit was focused on the two Ps: pancakes and pipelines. Plenty of the former were flipped while plans were laid for the latter. New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds majority support both for the long awaited proposal for a new pipeline from Alberta to B.C. (63%) and the less heralded announcement of a...
The federal political landscape endures, with the Liberals at 43.0 per cent among committed voters compared with 31.0 per cent for the Conservatives. Mark Carney remains the preferred choice for prime minister at 51.5 per cent. Jobs and the economy continue to be Canadians’ top national concern at 21.5 per cent, followed by cost of living at 12.0 per cent.
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding a 6-point lead over Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives. Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals stand at 41%, followed by the Conservatives at 35%, the NDP at 14%, the Bloc Québécois at 6%, the Green Party at 2%, and the People's Party...
The research gauged the views of Canadians on Prime Minister Mark Carney’s job of handling the economy.
Fresh polling by Pollara Strategic Insights offers a reminder of how disconnected most Canadians are from federal politics, with just 57% of Canadians able to name the leader of the federal Conservative Party and only 12% able to name the leader of the federal NDP. This leaves Avi Lewis with much to do this summer when it comes to introducing...
The Liberals continue to lead federal voting intentions, with their advantage over the Conservatives shrinking into the single digits. Mark Carney remains the preferred choice for prime minister, while jobs, the economy and cost-of-living pressures continue to rank among Canadians’ top concerns.
A new Liaison Strategies Toronto Pulse survey shows Mayor Olivia Chow holding a 9-point lead over Councillor Brad Bradford among decided and leaning voters, while Bradford continues to gain ground. If a mayoral election were held today, Chow would receive 49% among decided voters, followed by Bradford at 40% and someone else at 10%. In May, Chow stood at 50%...
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding a 9-point lead over Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives. Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals stand at 43%, followed by the Conservatives at 34%, the NDP at 14%, the Bloc Québécois at 6%, the Green Party at 2%, and the People's Party...
About 100 days after Avi Lewis was elected leader of the federal New Democratic Party on March 29 the party remains in a familiar place: liked by a relatively small core of voters, but still struggling to broaden its appeal in a political environment dominated by the Liberals and Conservatives.
Canada’s economic confidence has remained broadly stable. The Bloomberg-Nanos Canadian Confidence Index stood at 51.24, slightly higher than four weeks earlier and just above the neutral benchmark. Views on personal finances and job security were largely unchanged, while expectations for the economy and housing have improved modestly.
Our latest wave of federal political tracking finds remarkably little movement in the political landscape. This survey was done entirely before news of the agreements between British Columbia and Canada and the news about a new pipeline from Alberta to the B.C. coast. It was also done mostly before the Trump Administration announced it would not be renewing CUSMA.
Nanos was retained to conduct research to gauge the views of Canadians on the importance of the Alto High-Speed Rail Project as a government priority.
Provincial Government Performance: Results of Narrative Research’s most recent Atlantic Quarterly© survey show that Atlantic Canadians’ satisfaction with their respective provincial government’s performance is low. In both PEI and Nova Scotia, a majority are dissatisfied with their provincial government’s performance (55% and 59%, respectively). In New Brunswick and Newfoundland & Labrador, opinions are more divided between those who are satisfied...
A vast majority of Canadians say it is important (77%) or somewhat important (11%) for Canada to remain a united country.
Canada’s federal political landscape remains steady, with little movement in party support. The Liberals continue to lead comfortably at 43.8%, ahead of the Conservatives at 30.4%. The NDP sits at 12.0%, while the Bloc (6.5%) and Greens (5.2%) remain smaller players.
A new Canada Day survey from Liaison Strategies finds Canadians remain proud of their country, but that pride is mixed with anxiety about the country's direction. Thinking about Canada Day this year, 51% of Canadians say they are very proud to be Canadian, while 29% say they are somewhat proud. Nine per cent say they are not very proud, 6%...
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding an 8-point lead over Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives. Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals stand at 42%, followed by the Conservatives at 34%, the NDP at 13%, and the Bloc Québécois at 6%.
Canadian economic sentiment remains stable. The Bloomberg‑Nanos index stood at 50.88, up from 50.70 four weeks earlier and close to neutral. Current conditions eased slightly, with the pocketbook measure at 51.82, while expectations rose to 49.93. Overall levels remain below the longer-term average of 54.73 and the recent peak of 54.19, suggesting a broadly balanced but somewhat cautious economic outlook.
Canada Day is often a time to reflect on the country’s history, but this July 1, perhaps more so than others, will have Canadians pondering Canada’s future. National unity is set to be challenged during a pivotal fall with both a Quebec provincial election and Alberta referendum on the calendar. New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds most...
Over the past year, Canadians have spent a lot of time thinking about their country. Some of that reflection has been driven by challenges. Housing affordability remains a defining concern. The cost of living continues to put pressure on households. Political debates about immigration, identity, and the country’s future have become more intense. Trade tensions and economic disputes with the...
In a Spark Advocacy survey in May (10th to 14th, 3450 interviews, nationwide online) of this year, we asked the following question about the idea of allowing private donations to fund renovations to 24 Sussex.
Provincial Government Performance: Results of our most recent Atlantic Quarterly© survey show that Atlantic Canadians’ satisfaction with each of their respective provincial government’s performance is low. In both PEI and NS, a majority are dissatisfied (55% and 59%, respectively), while in NB and NL there is a more even split between those who are satisfied (NB 35%, NL 28%) and...
The shine has gone off Doug Ford a little this year. And his government has some miles on the odometer. While Ford has surpassed the expectations of his critics in the past, time and circumstances may be catching up. Liberal chances will have a lot to do with how Ford comes across over the next couple of years. It’s very...
Only 27% think - in the end - Canada will be worse off than before the Trump tariff conversation started. For more than a year, Canadians have paid a great deal of attention to the Trump Administration and the trade conversation the US President has triggered with his wave of tariffs and talk of annexation.
The latest Leger federal polling shows a stable federal landscape: the Liberals continue to lead nationally, the Conservatives hold their ground, and Canadians’ assessment of the Carney government remains more positive than negative. Among decided voters, the Liberals hold 48% support, followed by the Conservatives at 34%. The NDP and Bloc Québécois each stand at 6%, while the Green Party...
Canadians outside Alberta remain overwhelmingly committed to the idea of a united country and many appear willing to entertain significant changes to the federation if doing so helps keep Alberta in Canada. Three-quarters (76%) of Canadians living outside Alberta say they want Alberta to remain part of Canada, including 63% who say they strongly want it to stay. Only 4%...
The Liberals continue to lead the Nanos Ballot numbers at 43.5%, maintaining their lead over the Conservatives at 31.5%, with other parties trailing. Economic concerns, jobs, inflation and the cost of living remain the most prominent issues of national concern, alongside housing and Trump/US relations.
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, returning to an 11-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives, a margin they last held in late May. Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals stand at 43%, followed by the Conservatives at 32%, the NDP at 14%, and the Bloc Québécois at...
Every so often, it’s worth digging deeper into the data to understand some of the undercurrents of Canadian public opinion. Today, we dig into some of the generational and gendered differences and similarities in how Canadians are feeling and thinking about the country and its politics.
A quarter of federal Conservative voters in Alberta want the province to leave Canada. Between Jun 7-12th Spark interviewed 777 adults across Alberta. Here’s what we found:
Canadian consumer confidence remains subdued, with the composite index edging down to 50.42 from 51.73 four weeks earlier, remaining close to neutral. Household sentiment has weakened, as the pocketbook measure declined to 51.48 from 55.01, reflecting softer views on personal finances and job security. Expectations improved modestly to 49.36 but remains below neutral.
This latest wave of Abacus Data’s federal political tracking finds little evidence that the shifts we observed earlier this month have continued. After a survey two weeks ago showed declining optimism about the country, lower government approval, softer ratings for Prime Minister Mark Carney, and a narrowing Liberal lead, this latest wave suggests the drop we measured last wave hasn’t...
Poilievre has failed to galvanize his 2025 coalition by arguing that Carney has been a failure. And the NDP voters no longer look like they would only vote Liberal to avoid a Conservative government.
A new leader of the Conservative Party of B.C. may have changed the face of the opposition, but new data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds the governing BC NDP's larger problem is not who sits across the aisle. British Columbians are three times as likely to say the province is on the wrong track (60%) as the right...
Canada’s federal polling shows a stable Liberal lead, with support at 42.7% compared with 30.7% for the Conservatives. Other parties remain at lower levels of support. Preferences for prime minister follow a similar pattern. Mark Carney is the most selected first choice at 48.6%, while Pierre Poilievre stands at 24.1%, with others trailing.
The latest Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding a 9-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives. The Liberals stand at 41% among decided and leaning voters, followed by the Conservatives at 32%, the NDP at 14%, and the Bloc Québécois at 6%. The Green Party, People’s Party, and Other parties are...
The war was never popular with Canadians but the economic impacts are now driving a desire to see it come to an end. As rumours about potential resolution to the war that has been going on for more than three months, Canadians want to see a quick end to it. In our latest Spark Insights polling (June 7-12, 4462 adults...
Canada’s economic mood remains near neutral with a slight dip from recent weeks. Household sentiment has eased, while expectations remain broadly unchanged. Overall, views are balanced, with Canadian’s cautious sentiment prevailing.
Our latest Spark Advocacy nationwide polling wrapped up late this week, with a large sample of 4462 adults across Canada. Here’s what we find as Parliament gets ready to rise for the summer. Overall satisfaction with the “way in which the federal government is handling its responsibilities” sits at 66%. Over 12 data points in our tracking since Carney took...