Canadian consumer confidence continues to trend downwards in an environment of uncertainty spurred by US President Trump. Of note, pessimism on the future strength of the economy hit a high not seen since the summer of 2020. Those who report their job is absolutely secure hit a low also not seen since the summer of 2020. -Nik Nanos, Chief Data...
A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 44% (-1) to the Conservatives 38% (+1). The rolling survey, conducted from April 11 to April 13, 2025, used interactive voice response technology to...
The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same...
The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted from Friday, April 11th to Sunday, April 13th, 2025, among a sample of 1388 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was conducted using text message invite to complete an online survey. The survey is intended to represent the voting population in...
A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 45% (-1) to the Conservatives 37% (-2). The rolling survey, conducted from April 10 to April 12, 2025, used interactive voice response technology to...
As we move into debate week, the Liberal party (42%, -4 pts vs. last week) has lost a bit of ground for the first time since the campaign began, and the Conservative party (36%, +2 pts) has narrowed the gap behind the Liberals. Around one in ten Canadians (11%, -1 pt) say that they would vote for the NDP if...
What is striking about this election is the consolidation of votes around the two front running parties. Together, as of last night 83 percent of Canadians are voting either Liberal (44%) or Conservative (39%). As context, in the last election about 67 percent of Canadians voted for the Conservatives or the Liberals. The frontrunners are crushing the rest of the...
At about the three-week mark of the campaign, a new Abacus Data poll conducted from April 7 to 10, 2025 finds the Liberals holding a 4-point lead over the Conservatives. We see not only a shift in raw vote intention but a broader convergence of factors—leader impressions, expectations of who will form the next government, and top-of-mind issues—that now firmly...
When thinking about aspects of navigating the troubled waters of Canada’s relationship with the United States under President Donald Trump, Canadians continue to prefer Carney as best leader to negotiate, unite Canadians to make the country less dependent on the US, and have the skills needed to help Canadians deal with economic hardship owing to Trump’s tariffs. Poilievre, for his...
When asked about the most crucial issues facing the country, Canadians continue to rank affordability and the cost of living as their top concern, increasing by five percentage points since late March. Following the stock market crash in early April, concern about the economy has risen in priority, now ranking second – surpassing healthcare, housing, and Canada’s relationship with the...
The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted from Thursday, April 10th to Saturday, April 12th, 2025, among a sample of 1370 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was conducted using text message invite to complete an online survey. The survey is intended to represent the voting population in...
A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 46% (+2) to the Conservatives 39% (no change). The rolling survey, conducted from April 9 to April 11, 2025, used interactive voice response technology...
The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same...
The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted from Wednesday, April 9th to Friday, April 11th, 2025, among a sample of 1445 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was conducted using text message invite to complete an online survey. The survey is intended to represent the voting population in...
The CTV News-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the...
The CTV News-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the...
The race appears to have settled into a holding pattern, with the Liberal Party maintaining a stable 13-point lead. Both our three-day and five-day rolls (the latter offering more reliable regional estimates) show exactly the same top-line national results. The demographic and regional patterns also appear to have stabilized.
As Canadians prepare to tune into the federal Leaders’ Debates next week—April 16 in French and April 17 in English—new data from Abacus Data finds they are coming with a clear set of expectations about what the leaders should talk about. We asked 1,800 Canadians surveyed from April 7 to 10, 2025 to choose up to five issues they believe...
A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 44% (+1) to the Conservatives 39% (-1). The rolling survey, conducted from April 8 to April 10, 2025, used interactive voice response technology to...
Liberals are breaking through with younger voters in this wave. Leadership, shared values and bandwagon effects are driving the Liberal vote. Shared values and time for a change drive Conservative voters. These are the topline findings of an online survey of 1,341 Canadian citizens sponsored and conducted by Innovative Research Group Inc. (INNOVATIVE) between April 3rd and April 7th, 2025...
While Canada and most of the rest of the world have evidently received a reprieve in the ongoing trade war with the United States, which appears to have picked a much larger battle with China, few Canadians are feeling mollified. New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds nine-in-10 Canadians (91%) are concerned about the prospect of a recession...
The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same...
With just two weeks left in the campaign, the data suggests Mark Carney and the Liberal Party are within striking distance of defying expectations if just a few months ago and pulling off a fourth straight election win. While many observers had written off the Liberals, new analysis offers a more nuanced picture—one that highlights the opportunity ahead for Carney...
The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted from Tuesday, April 8th to Thursday, April 10th, 2025, among a sample of 1548 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was conducted using text message invite to complete an online survey. The survey is intended to represent the voting population in...
Last week comments from Pierre Poilievre about biological clocks sparked two conversations; one about the validity of these comments for young Canadians, and another about the messenger. Before the election kicked off officially the Conservatives had been performing well among both men and women. Here we dive into how things are playing out in the election campaign thus far.
– A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 43% (-2) to the Conservatives 40% (+2). The rolling survey, conducted from April 7 to April 9, 2025, used interactive voice response technology...
The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same...
More than three in five Canadians (62%) think Mark Carney would do the best job at negotiating with US President Donald Trump, while one in four believe Pierre Poilievre would do the best job (24%). Bernier, Blanchet and Singh each received one per cent, while fewer than one per cent each think Elizabeth May or Jonathan Pedneault would do the...
Mark Carney begins his time as Prime Minister with a big brand advantage over Pierre Poilievre on the question dominating Canadian politics at the moment: Who do you trust to deal with Donald Trump? On this, 47% of Canadians trust Carney to deal with Trump, compared to 33% who trust Poilievre. Carney also holds large leads over Poilievre when it...
The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted from Monday, April 7th to Wednesday, April 9th, 2025, among a sample of 1500 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was conducted using text message invite to complete an online survey. The survey is intended to represent the voting population in...
At about the halfway point of the campaign, a new poll conducted entirely after Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs last week finds the Liberals opening up a six point lead over the Conservatives. The survey of 1,900 Canadian adults was conducted from April 3 to 8, 2025.
A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 45% (no change) to the Conservatives 38% (-1). The rolling survey, conducted from April 6 to April 8, 2025, used interactive voice response technology...
The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same...
Between March 20 and 25, 2025, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,000 Canadian adults (18+) as part of our weekly election tracking. This wave explores how emotional drivers are shaping vote intentions and leadership preferences in the lead-up to the election. As affordability pressures and global instability dominate public discourse, Canadians are increasingly dividing along two emotional lines...
The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted from Sunday, April 6th to Tuesday, April 8th, 2025, among a sample of 1289 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was conducted using text message invite to complete an online survey. The survey is intended to represent the voting population in...
Mark Carney and the Liberal Party lead Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives on all aspects of managing Canadian energy and resources. The Liberals are ahead of the Conservatives when it comes to managing our energy and resources to create jobs and grow the economy, to ensure that we proceed in an environmentally responsible and sustainable manner, and in balancing economic...
As the third week of the election campaign begins, Mark Carney’s Liberal Party remains in the lead in voting intentions. Currently, 44% of Canadians say they would vote for the Liberal Party if the election were held today, compared to 37% for Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party. These numbers remain stable compared to the past two weeks.
Mark Carney leads Pierre Poilievre when likely voters are asked who would be best to manage seven important issues.Vancouver, BC [April 8, 2025] – The governing Liberal Party holds an eight-point advantage over the opposition Conservative Party as the federal election campaign continues in Canada, a new Research Co. poll has found.
A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 45% (no change) to the Conservatives 39% (no change). The rolling survey, conducted from April 5 to April 7, 2025, used interactive voice response...
The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same...
Once again, a Trump tariff deadline has given the Liberals a boost, this time driving into a clear 6-point lead over the Conservatives. These are the topline findings of an online survey of 1,341 Canadian citizens sponsored and conducted by Innovative Research Group Inc. (INNOVATIVE) between April 3rd and April 7th, 2025. Results are weighted by age, gender, region, education...
The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted from Saturday, April 5th to Monday, April 7th, 2025, among a sample of 1148 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was conducted using text message invite to complete an online survey. The survey is intended to represent the voting population in...
MQO Research is conducting public opinion polling about the 2025 Canadian federal election. This research is commissioned by Global Public Affairs (check out their ongoing insights about the election here).