• David Coletto

Between February 18 and 23, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 1,500 Canadian adults to understand how Canadians view Prime Minister Mark Carney’s approach to dealing with President Donald Trump and how they see the risks and stakes as the 2026 CUSMA joint review approaches. The results point to a striking and potentially underappreciated dynamic. While business leaders and policy insiders have...

• 2026-03-03
• — Abacus Data

• Nik Nanos

The positive movement in consumer confidence has been primarily driven by perceptions that the Canadian economy will get stronger in the next six months. The proportion of Canadians who believe things will get better has increased from 17 to 26 percent in the past four weeks. This has coincided with a series of trade meetings initiated by Prime Minister Carney.

• 2026-03-02
• — Nanos Research

Prime Minister Mark Carney’s middle-power outreach tour is in India as he looks to continue patching up a relationship that’s frayed in recent years while broadening Canada’s economic horizons in the Indo Pacific. New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute in partnership with the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada finds a majority of Canadians say Carney’s trip to India...

• 2026-03-01
• — Angus Reid

• David Valentin

A new Liaison Strategies of Ontario reveals a tightening provincial race, with the Progressive Conservatives (PCs) and the Ontario Liberal Party (OLP) nearly neck-and-neck among decided and leaning voters. The PCs led by Doug Ford would garner 40% of the decided and leaning vote, followed closely by the Ontario Liberals at 36%. The Ontario NDP sits at 17%, with the Green Party at 5%.

• 2026-02-25
• — Liaison Strategies

As American President Donald Trump addresses the union this evening, Canadians may have some interest in the chosen topics, which will likely reference the Supreme Court’s recent decision to strike down his tariffs, and even Canada’s heartbreaking losses in the Olympic hockey tournament, both men’s and women’s. If Trump’s speech is anything like his first year, Canadians will likely be...

• 2026-02-24
• — Angus Reid

• Nik Nanos

In a week that featured a focus on US tariffs and an MP defection, last week was not a great week for Pierre Poilievre. He now trails Mark Carney in the preferred PM tracking by 31 points. The Liberals have opened a lead in the Nanos tracking outside of the margin of error for the research: LPC 41, CPC 34, NDP 11.

• 2026-02-24
• — Nanos Research

The likelihood of Canada losing either Alberta or Quebec from its federation appears low for now – given that a strong majority of residents in both provinces say they have no interest in the idea – but it certainly has the rest of the country talking, and alive to the potential consequences of separation. New data forming the last of...

• 2026-02-23
• — Angus Reid

• Nik Nanos

Nanos Research was retained by the Business Council of Canada to gauge the impressions Canadians on Canada potentially negotiating a renewed trade deal with Mexico and the United States. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,007 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between February 8th and 16th, 2026 as...

• 2026-02-23
• — Nanos Research

• Nik Nanos

Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,009 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between January 31st and February 4th, 2026 as part of an omnibus survey. The margin of error for this survey is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

• 2026-02-20
• — Nanos Research

More than 30 years after the narrowly defeated second Quebec referendum, the separatist movement has been resurrected again on the backs of a resurgent Parti Québécois, who have not governed the province in more than a decade With still much to be decided in the fall provincial race – and when, if ever, the PQ decides “winning conditions” make it...

• 2026-02-18
• — Angus Reid

• Kelly Bennett, David Coletto

From January 21 to 28, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 601 adults living in Nova Scotia. Our latest Nova Scotia release provides a detailed snapshot of the province’s political landscape as Premier Tim Houston and his Progressive Conservative government returns to the legislature and prepares to table their 2026-27 budget, which is widely expected to emphasize spending restraint.

• 2026-02-18
• — Abacus Data

• Nik Nanos

Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,018 respondents in Canada. This report is based on the four waves of tracking ending February 13th, 2026. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,018 Canadians is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The research was commissioned by the Bloomberg and was conducted by Nanos Research.

• 2026-02-17
• — Nanos Research

• David Valentin

A new national survey by Liaison Strategies reveals that if a federal election were held today, the Liberal Party, led by Mark Carney, would hold a substantial 9 point lead over the Conservative Party. The Weekly Federal Tracker shows high approval ratings for Prime Minister Mark Carney, while Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre continues to face high unfavourable numbers. Among decided...

• 2026-02-16
• — Liaison Strategies

• Nik Nanos

The research gauged the opinions among Canadians on likelihood of purchasing a Chinese manufactured electric car and threats to the security of Canada.

• 2026-02-16
• — Nanos Research

• David Coletto

Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives enter February in a weaker position than they held at the start of the year. The PCs remain ahead on vote intention, but their lead has narrowed considerably. Approval of the Ford government has fallen sharply. The desire for change remains elevated. And the Ontario Liberals, despite lacking a permanent leader following Bonnie Crombie’s...

• 2026-02-12
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

It has been more than a year since Abacus Data last measured American attitudes toward Canada, trade, and tariffs. To revisit these issues, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 4,000 American adults from February 2 to 4, 2026, including an oversample in several northern and border states. The survey explored how Americans feel about the direction of their country...

• 2026-02-11
• — Abacus Data

• Nik Nanos

Although only a week out of the tracking there is no current lift for the Conservatives or Poilievre coming out of their convention. They continue to trail the Liberals by four points. Poilievre remains 29 points behind Carney on the preferred PM tracking.

• 2026-02-10
• — Nanos Research

• Nik Nanos

After a prolonged flatline trend, consumer confidence is up for the first time in almost six months. The Bloomberg Nanos Index is largely up on more positive sentiment related to personal finances and job security compared to four weeks ago.

• 2026-02-09
• — Nanos Research

• Eddie Sheppard, David Coletto

Abacus Data, in partnership with the Canadian Home Builders’ Association (CHBA), conducted a national survey to understand how Canadians view the housing crisis. This release examines the growing gap between the scale of the problem and the scale of the response, the balance between market and non-market housing, and the policy levers Canadians believe can make a real difference.

• 2026-02-06
• — Abacus Data