The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, widening its lead to 12 percentage points over the Conservatives. If a federal election were held today among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals would receive 45% of the vote, followed by the Conservatives at 33%, the NDP at 10%, and the...
Number of past Conservative voters calling for a new leader has risen significantly since last year. The erosion of the standing of the Conservative Party in the House of Commons has raised questions of the leadership of Pierre Poilievre to a new volume. The Liberals may have earned a majority government through three byelection victories, but the path to majority...
After weeks of sliding sentiment, Canada’s economic mood may be finding a floor. The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index edged up to 47.23 from 46.31 last week, a modest break in the downward trajectory from its 2026 high of 54.19 in late February. The Expectations Index remains subdued at 42.60, while the Pocketbook Index holds above neutral at 51.86, suggesting...
But young people are more tempted by the idea, and federalists should concentrate on narrowing that generation gap. In 1980, 40% of Quebecers voted to separate. Fifteen years later, 49% took that position in a second referendum. Fast forward 30 years, and the Parti Quebecois is promising a third referendum if they win the next election, a promise that is...
A new Liaison Strategies survey show Mayor Olivia Chow holding a 11-point lead among decided voters while Councillor Brad Bradford sees a significant surge in support, particularly among younger demographics. If a mayoral election were held today among decided and leaning voters, Olivia Chow would lead with 46% support, followed by Brad Bradford at 35% and Anthony Furey at 11%...
The latest snapshot of BC from Mainstreet Research shows the continued dominance of Mark Carney among BC Voters. A majority of voter (51%) now say they would vote for Mark Carney if an election were held today. This would be the highest recorded number for the federal Liberal in BC in Mainstreet history. Provincially, all BC Conservative candidates tested did...
The Liberals hold a 13-point lead, and Mr Carney is the preferred prime minister. The economic picture is darkening fast: concern over jobs and the economy has risen nearly five points in a month, inflation worry is up and anxieties about Trump and America has dropped to the third most important national issue.
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker rom Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party maintaining a steady 10-percentage-point lead over the Conservatives, bolstered by high approval ratings for Prime Minister Mark Carney and significant leads in key regions like Ontario and the Prairies. If a federal election were held today the Liberals would receive 43% of the vote, followed by the Conservatives...
Canada’s economic mood has darkened decisively. Confidence has slipped below neutral territory with weak expectations about the economy and housing. The signal maybe that Canadians are bracing for leaner months ahead.
This latest wave of research finds a political environment that remains largely unchanged from late March, even as the political context becomes more dynamic. With the Liberal Party meeting in Montreal for its national convention, three federal by-elections approaching, and ongoing global instability, including conflict in Iran and rising oil prices, the underlying structure of public opinion appears steady.
Our latest Spark Insights polling (Sample 4026, nationwide, online, April 4-8) finds the Liberals (46%) well ahead of the Conservatives (32%) buttressed by a 19 point lead in BC, a 17 point lead in Ontario, and 20 points ahead of the BQ in Quebec. Underpinning this support is wide approval (65%) of the government’s performance. Liberal governments have historically faced...
Formed in 1949, in the wake of a world war which cost tens of millions of lives, 12 countries signed the NATO charter in Washington, D.C. The aims were to deter Soviet expansionism, to prevent the rise of nationalistic militarism in Europe, and to promote European integration. A lot has changed, in Trump’s America.
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1099 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between March 31 to April 4, 2026 as part of an omnibus survey. The sample included both land- and cell-lines across Canada. The results were statistically checked and weighted by age and gender using the latest...
This research gauged the opinions of Canadians on rising gas prices and the actions they are taking to in response and how the federal government should be responding.
After a period of relative stability, the latest wave of Abacus Data’s Ontario tracking finds renewed movement in the province’s political landscape, driven by a notable drop in Progressive Conservative support, continued erosion in Premier Doug Ford’s personal standing, and a meaningful uptick for the NDP. While the PCs remain in first place, their advantage has narrowed and the broader...
The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Stratégies shows the Liberal Party, led by Mark Carney, maintaining a commanding 11-percentage-point lead over the Conservatives as the spring political season intensifies. The survey finds the Liberals with 44% (-1) support, followed by the Conservatives at 33% (no change) and the NDP at 9% (no change). Liaison surveyed a random sample of...
The research gauged the opinions among Canadians on their general impression of the Canadian Armed Forces, their views on whether a career in the CAF is a good option for young people today, whether the CAF makes them feel proud to be Canadian, whether they would be willing to serve in the CAF in either a full time or part...
Two thirds think the UK made a mistake getting out of the EU. The disruption that President Trump has caused in international relationships and markets has prompted a lot of people to open their minds to new possibilities, and new directions. Prime Minister Carney’s speech in Davos gave flight to the idea that middle powers should look for ways to...
Survey of 3,000+ Residents across the Québec City and Toronto Corridor. Capturing Public Opinion in the Early Stages of the Project
The latest Ontario survey from Liaison Strategies shows a tightening provincial race, with the Progressive Conservatives holding a narrow three-percentage-point lead over the Ontario Liberal Party. The survey finds the PCs at 39% support, followed by the Liberals at 36%, the NDP at 18%, and the Greens at 5%. The survey also reveals widespread public opposition to recent government moves...
A new Leger poll suggests the federal political picture in Canada remains defined by Liberal stability and NDP uncertainty. The Liberals, led by Mark Carney, continue to lead, with both personal approval ratings and satisfaction with the government remaining high, although the upward trend appears to have plateaued. At the same time, the federal New Democratic Party (NDP) is entering...
The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...
The latest polling from Liaison Strategies shows Mark Carney’s Liberal Party posting a 12-percentage-point lead over the Conservatives among decided and leaning voters, down from a 14-percentage-point lead from last week. The survey finds the Liberals with 45% support, followed by the Conservatives at 33% and the NDP at 9%. Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,000 Canadians from March...
The American and Israeli war against Iran is 29 days old, and is costing America somewhere between a billion and 2 billion dollars a day. Far from getting a “rally around the flag” public opinion boost, Americans were skeptical from the start, and opinion has been hardening, especially against the idea of putting American troops on the ground. Even most...
Between March 19 and 24, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 1,515 Canadian adults as part of our ongoing federal political tracking. This latest wave of research finds a political environment that remains largely unchanged from earlier in March. The Liberals continue to hold a clear national advantage, underlying attitudes about the government are steady, and the broader context shaping public opinion shows little meaningful movement.
Liberals lead everywhere except Saskatchewan and Alberta and the gap has closed there. A few weeks shy of the first anniversary of the election of a Mark Carney led government finds the country broadly endorsing his leadership. Our latest Spark Insights national survey (4000, online, field work between March 22-26, 2025) finds Liberal support at 46% compared to 30% for the Conservatives.
Over half of Atlantic Canadians say they are fluid voters, in that they potentially change which party they support each election (55%), compared with 41% who usually vote for the same party. But in early 2026, that flexibility is consolidating decisively behind the Carney‑led Liberal government. New results from Narrative Research’s Atlantic Quarterly® show strong and broad satisfaction with the...
A new national survey from Liaison Strategies reveals a shifting landscape in the NDP leadership race, with Avi Lewis and Heather McPherson both making notable gains in favorability over the past year. The survey, which tracked the favorability of potential and declared candidates, highlights a significant increase in profile for Avi Lewis. Lewis has seen his favorability nearly double, rising...
Voting is open in the federal NDP leadership race, with five candidates hoping to lead the party into an uncertain future. The leader will be announced at the convention in Winnipeg on Sunday, and the first task after winning will evidently be introducing themselves to many would-be voters. New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute examines the views of...
As the Ontario government considers changes to the province’s freedom of information (FOI) framework, the debate has quickly become about more than administrative reform. At its core is a broader question about transparency, accountability, and how much access the public should have to the inner workings of government.
Worry about jobs/economy pulling away from the other concerns of Canadians. The Liberals are maintaining a double-digit lead over the Conservatives. Carney has a 32-point advantage on the preferred Prime Minister tracking over Poilievre.
Across North America, the rapid expansion of AI infrastructure has begun to collide with public concerns about energy use, environmental impact, and who ultimately benefits.
A new national survey from Liaison Strategies shows Mark Carney’s Liberal Party continuing a 14 point lead over the Conservatives led by Pierre Poilievre. The Weekly Federal Tracker reveals that the Liberals now hold 46% of decided and leaning support, followed by the Conservatives at 32% and the NDP at 9%. Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,000 Canadians from...
Canadian consumer confidence continues to slide and is moving from a somewhat positive position towards neutrality. Of note the four-week decline in consumer confidence in the Prairies has been greater than other regions.
One of those was the “acquiescence bias”, sometimes referred to in shorthand terms as yea-saying. It reflects that fact that some people - especially if they don’t have a strong opinion themselves are more likely to agree with a statement or idea than disagree with it. It’s something one always has to take into account when doing polling, especially on...
The war in Iran has wiped out positive momentum on inflation in Canada, driving up the price of gas more than 20 per cent in less than a month. Whether this is a price spike or plateau depends on the resolution of the international conflict that may have domestic ramifications for Canadian politics. New data from the non-profit Angus Reid...
The research gauged the opinions among Canada aiming to accept 380,000 new immigrants as permanent residents, and an additional 385,000 workers and students as temporary residents.
After several months of declining approval and a narrowing political environment, the Ford government appears to have stabilized. The Progressive Conservatives continue to lead comfortably on vote intention. The Ontario Liberals remain firmly in second place despite still lacking a permanent leader. And the NDP remains well behind in third. At the same time, approval of the Ford government remains...
At the end of 2024, the Liberals trailed the Conservatives by a massive and seemingly insurmountable 25 points. Today, that deficit has flipped to a 20-point Liberal lead.
Ontario’s Doug Ford drops back close to record low, with just 31 per cent approving of him. As B.C. abandons the biannual tradition of changing clocks, Premier David Eby is falling back as some others spring ahead. New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds Eby’s approval rating has declined 16-points year-over-year. In March 2025, when most premiers enjoyed...