Talk of provincial independence has resurfaced in different parts of the country, raising questions about national unity, economic impact, and how Canadians would respond if Alberta or Quebec were to leave Confederation. Leger’s latest survey explores how closely Canadians are following these discussions, which province they believe would have the greater impact on Canada if it became independent, and whether...
Three in five Canadians are outright not likely to purchase dairy products from the US if the dairy supply management system changed and more dairy from the United States was available for sale at lower costs. An additional one in ten is somewhat unlikely.
Leger’s latest federal polling shows the Liberal Party continuing to strengthen its position nationally, reaching 50% support among decided voters. This represents a two-point increase since April and marks the highest level of support recorded by Leger for the Liberals since they first formed government in 2015.
The Liberals maintain a clear lead in federal voter preferences at 41.1%, ahead of the Conservatives at 32.7%, though the margin has narrowed to single digits, indicating a more competitive environment may be emerging. Other parties remain well behind, with the NDP at 12.6% and smaller shares for the Bloc, Greens and People’s Party. Public attention continues to centre on...
The Liberals still lead nationally, but the NDP has jumped to 16% while Mark Carney’s approval slips to 57%.
Canadians continue to skip along in neutral territory. Of note, Ontario remains the noticeably most negative in terms of consumer sentiment compared to all other parts of the country.
The Liberals maintain a clear lead in federal voter preferences at 41.1%, ahead of the Conservatives at 32.7%, though the margin has narrowed to single digits, indicating a more competitive environment may be emerging. Other parties remain well behind, with the NDP at 12.6% and smaller shares for the Bloc, Greens and People’s Party. Public attention continues to centre on...
A long-simmering "what if" has become a reality in Alberta, with federalists and separatists now on a five-month clock to convince Albertans to either stay in Canada or "start a legal process" for a binding referendum on separation. The UCP government led by Premier Danielle Smith will put a 37-word question to Albertans in an Oct. 19 referendum. New data...
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding a 12-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives. Meanwhile, the Prime Minister's approval has rebounded to 59%. If a federal election were held today among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals would receive 43% of the vote, followed by the Conservatives at...
From May 11 to 14, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 610 adults living in Nova Scotia. Our latest Nova Scotia Omnibus release provides a detailed snapshot of the province’s political landscape following a challenging budget season for Tim Houston’s PC government, marked by public protests over cuts to arts, culture, and community organizations, and critical commentary.
Canada’s economic mood is holding broadly steady, with confidence at 51.73, plateauing after consecutive weeks of recovery from recent lows. Firmer views on job security and household finances support the index, while expectations for the wider economy remain subdued.
This latest wave of Abacus Data’s federal political tracking finds the opinion environment around Prime Minister Mark Carney and the Liberal government continuing to strengthen. Most of this survey was conducted following the announcement on a pipeline between the Prime Minister and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith.
The latest Ontario Political Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Progressive Conservatives and Ontario Liberals tied among decided and leaning voters. If a provincial election were held today, the PCs led by Doug Ford and the Ontario Liberal Party led by John Fraser would each receive 37% of the vote. The Ontario NDP led by Marit Stiles sits at 20%...
The latest Capital Tracker from the Ottawa Compass and Liaison Strategies shows Mayor Mark Sutcliffe leading among decided and leaning voters in an early Ottawa mayoral ballot, while Tim Tierney would enter the race in double digits. Among decided and leaning voters, with Tierney included on the ballot, Sutcliffe leads with 37%, followed by Jeff Leiper at 32%, Alex Lawson...
Economic concerns continue to dominate, with jobs and inflation at the forefront. Strained relations with the United States remain closely tied to this uncertainty. The Liberals maintain their lead over the Conservatives, with Mark Carney remaining as the preferred choice for prime minister, suggesting a largely stable political landscape shaped by persistent economic pressures.
In our latest Spark Insights nationwide survey (3450 cases, online, May 10-14) we found Carney government approval at 67%, similar to our results in April. A majority in every part of the country indicates approval, the lowest level being 61% in Alberta, and the highest in Quebec at 73%.
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding a 9-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives. Meanwhile, the Prime Minister's approval continues to fall and is now at 56%. If a federal election were held today among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals would receive 43% of the vote, followed...
Canadian consumer confidence ticked up to 51.88, a modest improvement from recent weakness but still below its long-term average. People feel somewhat better about their own finances and job security, while views on the broader economy remain more subdued. Overall, the picture is fairly steady: a bit more confidence in current conditions, alongside continued caution about the near-term outlook.
The Ontario Progressive Conservatives continue to lead in provincial voting intentions, while the Ontario Liberals sit within striking distance, according to a new Leger survey of Ontarians.
A new Liaison Strategies survey shows Mayor Olivia Chow holding a 13-point lead over Councillor Brad Bradford among decided voters, while Torontonians express overwhelming frustration with traffic congestion and road construction coordination. If a mayoral election were held today among decided voters, Olivia Chow would receive 50% support, followed by Brad Bradford at 37% and another candidate at 13%. Among...
In this week’s political tracking, the Liberal’s currently have a 12 point lead over the Conservatives. Of note there has been downward pressure on NDP support in the period following the NDP leadership race. The Canadian top issue of concern remains centered on the economy. Jobs and the economy lead, followed by inflation and relations with the United States.
Public support for the governing Liberal Party is still high in Canada, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of a representative national sample, 46% of decided voters across Canada would back the Liberal candidate in their riding in a federal election, up one point since a similar Research Co. poll conducted in February 2026.
The federal approval of Enbridge's Westcoast LNG pipeline expansion is being met with little public opinion opposition in what is further evidence of the changed landscape on pipelines in British Columbia. New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds majority support for the Westcoast LNG pipeline expansion across the country (55%) and in B.C. (61%), where support outnumbers opposition...
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding an 11-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives but the Prime Minister's approval rating has fallen to 58%. If a federal election were held today among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals would receive 44% of the vote, followed by the Conservatives...
The research gauged the opinions among Canadians on their perceptions and concerns regarding economic conditions.
Canada’s economic mood is edging up. Stronger views of personal finances and job security are lifting sentiment, while expectations have improved but remain in neutral territory. After a recent dip, confidence is stabilizing.
This latest wave of Abacus Data’s federal political tracking finds the opinion environment remains positive for Mark Carney and the Liberal government. Government approval has reached a new high, the Liberals hold a 10-point lead over the Conservatives, and optimism about the direction of the country continues to be relatively high. Carney’s personal numbers also remain strong, Pierre Poilievre continues...
The research gauged the opinions among Canadians on military spending and defence cooperation. It explores whether Canada should change its defence budget in response to calls for higher NATO contributions.
A new Liaison Strategies survey of Quebec shows a close provincial race, with the Parti Québécois narrowly ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party among decided and leaning voters. If a provincial election were held today, the PQ would receive 32% of the decided and leaning vote, followed by the Liberals at 32%, the CAQ at 16%, the PCQ at 11%...
The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...
It’s been a rough 2026 for the governing BC NDP and new data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds it falling further behind the opposition in vote intent. The BC Conservatives, weeks away from deciding who will lead the party, lead the BC NDP by 10 points in vote intention. Meanwhile, Premier David Eby’s approval has fallen from a...
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, maintaining a double-digit lead over the Pierre Poilievre Conservatives. If a federal election were held today among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals would receive 45% of the vote, followed by the Conservatives at 33%, the NDP at 9%, and the Bloc...
Canada’s confidence has stabilized at neutral. The index has recovered from April lows, signalling a pause in pessimism rather than a clear recovery. Of note, personal finances and economic expectations remain weak. Improved expectations suggest cautious hope, but momentum is limited and fragile overall nationwide.
Canadians’ views of the federal government remain largely positive, with a majority expressing satisfaction with the government led by Prime Minister Mark Carney. Among decided voters, 48% say they would vote for the Liberal Party of Canada if a federal election were held today, compared to 37% for Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party. The New Democratic Party and the Bloc Québécois...
The perceptions of British Columbians on the five contenders in the Conservative Party of BC’s leadership race have not changed dramatically over the past two months, and no candidate would award the party a significant advantage over the governing BC New Democratic Party (NDP) in a snap election, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of...
The deadline for the joint review of the U.S.-Canada-Mexico Agreement looms as the war of words between Canada and U.S. officials intensifies. There appears much work to be done before the trilateral talks begin. Notably, the U.S. and Mexico have set a date to discuss their respective positions on the trade pact, while a Canada-U.S. one remains absent from the...
71% of Albertans don't want to leave Canada. 17% do. Who can influence the other 12% and what will matter to them? 120 years ago Alberta became a Canadian province. This year, residents may or may not have a vote on whether they want to remain. The proposed questions of the Smith government aren’t directly on this question - they...
The latest Liaison Strategies survey for Ontario shows the PCs trailing the Liberals by 2 points. It is the first time the PCs have trailed since Liaison began its monthly tracking series of Ontario. The PCs led by Doug Ford would garner 36% of the decided and leaning vote compared to the Ontario Liberals at 38%. The Ontario NDP sits...
While the national unemployment rate has held steady in recent months, a surge in youth unemployment and widespread pessimism about job prospects point to a labour market that feels far weaker than top-line numbers suggest. This, as federal government announced plans Tuesday, to invest billions in skills training and workforce growth as part of the government’s spring economic statement.
Canada’s political landscape remains tilted towards the incumbents, though with signs of restlessness beneath the surface. Economic pressures continue to dominate public concern, with jobs, inflation and the broader cost of living crowding out other issues. Support for the governing Liberals remains well ahead of their rivals, while the Conservatives struggle to convert dissatisfaction into momentum. Smaller parties hold their...
The Liberal Party maintains a commanding lead, though its advantage has narrowed somewhat over the past month. The Liberals stand at 44.5 per cent nationally, while the Conservatives are 14 points behind at 31.0 per cent. Although the Liberals would easily win a majority government with these numbers, the margin has tightened from nearly 21 points last month.
New Abacus Data polling conducted following the federal government’s decision to temporarily suspend the federal fuel excise tax on gasoline and diesel finds that most Canadians believe the measure will provide at least some relief, although relatively few expect it to make a major difference. Overall, 64% of Canadians say the decision will help reduce the cost of living, including...