Majority believe US would support Alberta separation.
This survey gauged the views of Canadians on US support for Alberta separation.
Ford Government Approval Falls as Liberals Surge and Ontario Politics Tightens
Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives enter February in a weaker position than they held at the start of the year. The PCs remain ahead on vote intention, but their lead has narrowed considerably. Approval of the Ford government has fallen sharply. The desire for change remains elevated. And the Ontario Liberals, despite lacking a permanent leader following Bonnie Crombie’s...
Toronto: Chow 40%, Tory 33%, Bradford 18%
A new Liaison Strategies survey finds Mayor Olivia Chow’s approval rating at 55% (up 1 point) as Toronto heads into a municipal election year and gears up for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. On the ballot test, Chow sits at 40% (up 1), leading former mayor John Tory at 33% (down 2) by seven points, with City Councillor Brad Bradford at 18%.
What Americans think about Canada, USMCA, tariffs, and the idea of joining Canada
It has been more than a year since Abacus Data last measured American attitudes toward Canada, trade, and tariffs. To revisit these issues, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 4,000 American adults from February 2 to 4, 2026, including an oversample in several northern and border states. The survey explored how Americans feel about the direction of their country...
Treason in the Air: Most Canadians Back Premier Eby’s Comment Over Alberta Separatists, Split on Premier Smith’s Retorts
Treason in the Air: Most Canadians Back Premier Eby’s Comment Over Alberta Separatists, Split on Premier Smith’s Retorts
No lift for Poilievre Conservatives coming out of Calgary gathering – LPC 39, CPC 35, NDP 13
Although only a week out of the tracking there is no current lift for the Conservatives or Poilievre coming out of their convention. They continue to trail the Liberals by four points. Poilievre remains 29 points behind Carney on the preferred PM tracking.
Double-Digit Advantage for Governing Liberals in Canada. Carney holds a significant lead over Poilievre when voters ponder who would make the best PM
Mark Carney holds a significant lead over Pierre Poilievre when voters ponder who would make the best prime minister. Vancouver, BC [February 9, 2026] – The governing Liberal Party remains ahead of all other contenders in Canada’s federal political scene, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of a representative national sample, 45% of decided voters...
Confidence up, hits level not seen since August 2025
After a prolonged flatline trend, consumer confidence is up for the first time in almost six months. The Bloomberg Nanos Index is largely up on more positive sentiment related to personal finances and job security compared to four weeks ago.
Unity or Separation: Quebec, Alberta & Canada’s future: In Alberta, a divided right dampens the sovereignty spark
They’ve made headlines for months, but Alberta separatists have apparently convinced few beyond a reasonable doubt that their path is the right one. New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds determined and decided opposition to separation vastly outpaces this sentiment on the other side. There are, however, many minds that are not made up. This report is the...
Unlocking Homeownership: What Canadians Want from Housing Policy
Abacus Data, in partnership with the Canadian Home Builders’ Association (CHBA), conducted a national survey to understand how Canadians view the housing crisis. This release examines the growing gap between the scale of the problem and the scale of the response, the balance between market and non-market housing, and the policy levers Canadians believe can make a real difference.
Carney Liberals dominate in new Mainstreet Research poll
The latest federal voter intentions from Mainstreet Research show a surge for the Mark Carney Liberals who now hold a 15 point advantage over the Conservatives. The latest snapshot was fielded over the weekend from January 31 to February 2, 2026 with a sample size of 1,276. This carries a margin of error of +/- 2.7 19 times out of...
Canadians are split on what should happen if an MP decides to change political parties.
This research gauged the opinion of Canadians on what should happen if a member of parliament (MP) decides to change political parties.
Importance of the rising cost of living as the top priority for 2026 Parliamentary Agenda up since the Fall. Other top priorities for Canadians include jobs/the economy and trade negotiations with the US.
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,077 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between between December 27th and December 29th, 2025 as part of an omnibus survey.
Liberals lead by four points – Carney ahead of Poilievre by 29 points - Canadian concern about Trump surges.
Concern about Trump/US relations has surged in the wake of the WEF Davos meeting which featured speeches by Carney and Trump. Liberals hold a tenuous four point lead over the Conservatives while Carney has opened up a substantial 29 point advantage on the preferred PM tracking.
Federal Tracker: Liberals Continue 8 Point Lead
A new Liaison Strategies national survey finds the Liberal Party of Canada maintaining an eight-point advantage over the Conservative Party of Canada. Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals lead with 43% to the Conservatives’ 35%, with the New Democratic Party at 8%, and the Bloc Québécois at 7%. Simultaneously, Prime Minister Mark Carney's approval rating has reached an approval...
Consumer confidence flatlines in neutral – Positive perceptions on future strength of economy hits 10 week low.
Consumer confidence in Canada continues to flatline in neutral. Of note, the percentage of Canadians who believe the economy will get stronger in the next six months has hit a 10 week low.
Since Poilievre’s Leadership Win: What’s Happened to Conservative Support?
This report includes the Nanos weekly tracking on accessible voters and qualities of a good political leader for the Conservatives and Pierre Poilievre respectively and compares data since Poilievre was selected leader of the CPC. Overall, the Conservatives trail the Liberals by a handful of percentage points. However, the proportion of Canadians who believe Poilievre has the qualities of a...
Prime Minister Carney’s Standing Improves as Liberals Strengthen Ahead of Conservative Convention
Between January 22 and 27, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 2,498 Canadian adults as part of our ongoing federal political tracking. This wave lands at a politically consequential moment. Conservative Party members are set to gather in Calgary for a leadership review of Pierre Poilievre, while Prime Minister Mark Carney has just concluded a high-profile appearance at the World Economic Forum...
Positive Opinions on Immigration Tumble Across Canada
Only a third of Canadians currently hold favourable views on immigration, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of a representative national sample, 34% of Canadians think immigration is having a mostly positive effect in Canada, down nine points since a similar Research Co. poll conducted in July 2025. Almost half of Canadians (48%, +9) say...
Importance of reducing grocery costs twice as high as reducing housing costs.
This research gauged the opinion of Canadians on areas of spending where they would like to see more reduced costs in 2026.
Shifting perspectives: More Canadians now prioritize trade opportunities over China’s human rights record
Political economy isn’t a zero-sum game, but relationships ebb and flow. The best evidence of this in 2026 is Canada’s re-engagement with China as the traditional foundation of economic cooperation with the United States becomes more tenuous. New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds Canadians, much like their government, more open to economic opportunities with China than they...
Federal Government Satisfaction
This week, we surveyed Canadians on politics, government performance, and key national issues.
LPC 39, CPC 35, NDP 12. - Concern about Trump/US relations on the rise, closing gap with jobs/the economy
Concern about Trump/US relations is on the rise, up six points in four weeks. Jobs/the economy remains the top national issue of concern. There is a four-point gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives in ballot support. While Carney is ahead of Poilievre in the preferred PM by 28 percentage points.
At a Crossroads: How Canadians Think the Conservative Party Should Change (or Not
Between January 12 and 16, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 2,008 Canadian adults as part of a special polling series examining public opinion about the Conservative Party of Canada and its leader, Pierre Poilievre.
Ontarians show strong support for increasing funding and staff in hospitals – Most believe there isn’t currently enough staff in Ontario hospitals
Over nine in ten Ontarians support (79%) or somewhat support (15%) the provincial government increasing funding to hospitals, so they do not have to cut staff or reduce surgeries. A similar proportion support (79%) or somewhat support (18%) increasing the number of hospital staff to treat more patients in a timely way. Support is also strong for the government releasing...
Ontario vs. Manitoba: Voters Torn Between Protecting Local Jobs and Harming Neighbours
A new provincial survey conducted by Liaison Strategies reveals a complex balancing act in public opinion regarding Ontario Premier Doug Ford’s threat to remove Crown Royal from LCBO shelves. While a majority of Ontarians support using the LCBO's market power to defend local jobs, there is significant concern regarding the potential collateral damage to workers in Manitoba.
Federal Politics: Carney receives post-Davos bump in approval, though vote intention picture remains tight
Prime Minister Mark Carney prompted international headlines – and late-night Truth Social posts – with his speech in Davos at the World Economic Forum last week, as he rebuked the predatory and unreliable nature of great economic powers and called on Canada and other so called “middle powers” to realign the global system around national autonomy and cooperation.
Canadians sharply divided on Pierre Poilievre’s leadership
Between January 12 and 16, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 2,008 Canadian adults as part of a special polling series examining public opinion about the Conservative Party of Canada and its leader, Pierre Poilievre.
Federal Tracker: Liberals Widen Lead to 8, 42% to 34%
A new Liaison Strategies national survey finds the Liberals continuing to pull away from the Conservatives, widening their lead to eight points. Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals lead with 42% to the Conservatives' 34%, with the NDP at 10% and the Bloc Québécois at 8%. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Mark Carney's approval rating has climbed again, now reaching 62%...
Canadian consumer remains tentative.
Canadian consumer confidence remains gripped in neutrality with a score at 50.36 points on the 100 point diffusion index. People are two and one half times more likely to believe that the Canadian economy will get weaker rather than stronger in the next six months.
Approval of Carney government rises to 64%; 78% believe arrangement with China on canola and cars was the right thing to do.
Two thirds think the Conservatives should replace Poilievre, including 27% of Conservative voters. Since a noticeable dip in November, approval levels for the Carney government have reversed course and sit at 64% nationally. Approval is over 66% in every region but Alberta, where it stands at 57%. Approval is over 60% with every age group. These are results from the...
Who is in the Conservative Party “base” and how does it differ from other Canadians
Between January 12 and 16, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 2,008 Canadian adults as part of a polling series with the Toronto Star examining public opinion about the Conservative Party of Canada and its leader, Pierre Poilievre. This second installment explores the composition and values of the Conservative coalition, with particular focus on the party’s base: the 23 percent of Canadians...
Ontario: PCs Lead, But 65% Disapprove of Ford
New Liaison Strategies tracking data shows the Progressive Conservatives continue to lead province-wide, but the political environment is increasingly defined by broad dissatisfaction: nearly two-thirds of Ontarians say the province is headed in the wrong direction and Premier Doug Ford’s job approval remains sharply negative. The PCs have lost 5 points since a high of 47% in October.
Alberta: UCP & NDP Locked in Tight Race
A new Liaison Strategies survey finds Alberta’s two main parties in a competitive contest, with the United Conservative Party (UCP) holding a narrow edge over the Alberta NDP. If a provincial election were held today, 46% of voters would support the UCP Party, compared with 44% for the NDP.
Where the Conservative Party and Pierre Poilievre Stand in Public Opinion
Between January 12 and 16, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 2,008 Canadian adults as part of a new research series examining public opinion about the Conservative Party of Canada and its leader, Pierre Poilievre, as he faces a leadership review vote at the party’s convention at the end of the month. This first installment establishes the baseline: where the Conservatives stand...
Liberals 39, Conservatives 35, NDP 12 – Jobs/the economy, Trump/US relations and inflation round out top national issues of concern of Canadians.
Concern about US president Trump is up although still trails jobs/the economy as the top national issue of concern. The Liberals have a marginal advantage over the Conservatives but Carney leads Poilievre by 26 percentage points when Canadians are asked who they would prefer as PM.
Majority of Canadians Oppose U.S. Military Action in Venezuela
On the one-year anniversary of the second inauguration of U.S. President Donald Trump, a new national survey from Liaison Strategies reveals that a significant majority of Canadians are opposed to U.S. military intervention in Venezuela. 64% of respondents oppose the United States using military force to remove Nicolás Maduro from power, while only 32% support such action. "As the world...
Liberals Widen lead to 5, 40% to 35%
A new Liaison Strategies national survey finds the Liberals widening their lead over the Conservatives. Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals lead with 40% to the Conservatives 35%, with the NDP at 11% and the Bloc at 8%. Meanwhile, Mark Carney’s approval rating is up once again to 57%. Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,000 Canadians from January...
Waiting to exhale: Canadian consumer confidence trapped in neutral
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,084 respondents in Canada. This report is based on the four waves of tracking ending January 16th, 2026. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,084 Canadians is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The research was commissioned by the Bloomberg and was conducted by Nanos Research.
New Year, Same Deadlock: Liberals and Conservatives Tied as Trump Re-Emerges and Voters Stay Cautious
Between January 9 and 14, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 1,850 Canadian adults, offering our first snapshot of the federal political landscape in the new year.
Canadians Open to an Early Election if Framed Around Stability or a Parliamentary Reset
Between January 9 and 14, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 1,850 Canadian adults to better understand how Canadians would react to the possibility of an early federal election.
Canadians split on Maduro’s removal but reactions hinge on views of Trump
Between January 9 and 14, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed Canadian adults as part of its national omnibus survey to understand how Canadians are processing the dramatic events in Venezuela following President Donald Trump’s U.S. military operation to remove Nicolás Maduro from power and take Maduro into U.S. custody. The intervention, announced on January 3, has triggered a fast moving and...
Ontario PCs Start 2026 in Front, But Appetite for Change Grows as Affordability and Health Care Define the Risk
Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives begin 2026 in a dominant position. Our latest survey finds the PCs continue to hold a wide lead on vote intention and remain the default choice for many Ontarians. But beneath that topline advantage, there is a building undercurrent of restlessness. Nearly half now say it is definitely time for a change in government...