Between December 5 and 9, 2025, Abacus Data surveyed 1,500 Canadian adults, offering a final snapshot of the federal political landscape as Parliament wrapped up for the year and the country entered the holiday season. This is our last federal political tracker of 2025. This wave captures public response to several key developments: the Carney government’s early November budget, the...
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,009 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between November 29th and December 2nd, 2025, as part of an omnibus survey.
Like snow blanketing the country, a quieting has settled upon caucus rumblings over the leadership of Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre. But as the days count down until the January Conservative convention, and his leadership review, is Poilievre standing on solid ground or skating on thin ice? New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds a majority (58%) of recent...
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,009 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between November 29th and December 2nd, 2025, as part of an omnibus survey. The margin of error for this survey is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
As the federal government’s agreement with Alberta to advance a new bitumen pipeline project continues to spark strong political reactions nationwide, a new Leger survey finds that 50% of Canadians still support the initiative — even amid rising tension, environmental concerns, and opposition from several Indigenous communities and provincial leaders.
After an initial Liberal lift immediately following the federal budget, the race has returned to a statistical Liberal-Conservative coin toss as Canadians increasingly become concerned about jobs/the economy. This has occurred in an environment where concern about Trump/the US has significantly dropped in the tracking.
More than five in ten Canadians support or somewhat support both building a new pipeline from Alberta to BC, even if BC opposes it (56%) and lifting the ban on oil tanker traffic in BC to support a new pipeline (55%), while about a third of Canadians oppose or somewhat oppose each (37% each). Residents of the Prairies are twice...
Normally if people are down about the economy they are angry at government. It’s more complicated right now, as people see economic pressures from outside our borders. Other than tagging every scandal something-gate, It’d be hard to find a more overused phrase in modern political analysis than “it’s the economy, stupid”. In 1992, James Carville wrote it on a sign...
Canadian consumer sentiment continues in a neutral position with a score of 49.45 on the 100 point diffusion index that makes up the BNCCI. The forward looking Expectations Sub-Indice remains in negative territory but has been improving over the past four weeks.
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,009 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between November 29th and December 2nd, 2025, as part of an omnibus survey. The margin of error for this survey is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,009 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between November 29th and December 2nd, 2025, as part of an omnibus survey. The margin of error for this survey is ±3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
The research gauged the opinions among Canadians on the Bank of Canada’s interest rate. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,009 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between November 29th and December 2nd, 2025 as part of an omnibus survey. The margin of error for this survey is ±3....
A new Liaison Strategies riding poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada shows the Conservatives maintaining a narrow lead in Edmonton Riverbend - the riding where Conservative MP Matt Jeneroux has announced he will resign. Today’s release is the fourth in a series of daily riding polls Liaison published this week following polls of Acadie—Annapolis, Vancouver...
As Canada grapples with a period of intense political debate — including renewed controversy over the federal agreement with Alberta to fast-track construction of a new pipeline — the latest Leger survey on federal politics, conducted for Postmedia, shows that Prime Minister Mark Carney continues to enjoy relatively stable support across the country.
The political fortunes of Canada’s provincial leaders are varied this holiday season, with some – Manitoba’s Wab Kinew, New Brunswick’s Susan Holt, and Saskatchewan’s Scott Moe – set for a merry break from the legislature. Others – namely Ontario’s Doug Ford and Quebec’s Francois Legault – may be in for a more Dickensian season of holiday introspection, as they contend...
A new Liaison Strategies riding poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada shows new Liberal MP, Chris d'Entremont firmly in the lead in Acadie—Annapolis after crossing the floor. Today’s release is the third in a series of daily riding polls Liaison will publish this week following yesterday's poll of Vancouver Kingsway and an earlier poll of...
A new Liaison Strategies riding poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada shows the NDP firming up support in Vancouver Kingsway. Today’s release is the second in a series of daily riding polls Liaison will publish this week following yesterday's poll of Eglinton-Lawrence. Conducted from November 24 to 30, 2025, using Interactive Voice Response (IVR), the...
The political news cycle moved quickly last week as the federal and Alberta governments announced a wide-reaching memorandum of understanding on energy and climate policy. The agreement includes a federal green light for a new oil pipeline from Alberta to the British Columbia coast, a pause on clean electricity rules in Alberta, and a shared commitment to net-zero emissions by...
A new Liaison Strategies riding poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada shows the Liberals firming up their lead in Eglinton–Lawrence, the city’s closest race in the last federal election. Today’s release is the first in a series of daily riding polls Liaison will publish this week following new national numbers released yesterday. Conducted from November...
When Mark Carney became Prime Minister earlier this year, he promised a new way of governing. A leadership built on strategic discipline, clearer expectations, and a tighter focus across a sprawling federal system. Rather than issuing dozens of mandate letters, Carney set out a unified set of seven national priorities meant to guide every minister and every department. The message...
New public opinion polling data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute – the first comprehensive, regional and national dive into political dynamics since last week’s announcement of a memorandum of understanding regarding a potential pipeline from Alberta to northwest British Columbia – shows that while Prime Minister Mark Carney lost a cabinet minister who disapproved of the MOU deeply, the...
A new national Liaison Strategies poll conducted over the weekend shows the Carney Liberals down three points to 41%, while the Conservatives hold at 36%. Fielded after Carney announced a memorandum of understanding with Alberta on a pipeline, the survey also finds the NDP up two points to 12%, with some signs of life in British Columbia, where they now...
When trying to image outcomes of US presidential elections, it’s normal to focus on a list of about 6-7swing states and more or less ignore the rest. What happens in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Michigan pretty much decide which candidate gets the required number of electoral college votes and moves into the White House. But a lot...
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,084 respondents in Canada. This report is based on the four waves of tracking ending November 28th, 2025. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,084 Canadians is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The research was commissioned by the Bloomberg and was conducted by Nanos Research.
Between November 20 and 27, 2025, Abacus Data surveyed 2,421 Canadian adults to assess the post-budget political landscape. The survey was conducted just days after the Carney government passed its budget and survived a confidence vote. The results suggest that while the budget slightly lifted Liberal support and improved impressions of Prime Minister Mark Carney, it has not fundamentally altered...
Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith were all smiles as they put their signatures to an energy co-operation agreement that specifies the conditions that must be met for a new bitumen pipeline to the Pacific to be approved under the federal major projects law.
Recently, the U.S. Ambassador to Canada, Pete Hoekstra, has said he doesn’t understand why Canadians are angry about comments regarding this country becoming a part of the United States. He has also stated publicly that when President Trump calls upon Canada to become the 51st American state, that it is a compliment and a term of endearment.
Nearly two in five Canadians (39%) believe it is the best time (score of 7-10 out of 10) for Canada to be ambitious in addressing climate change even if there are costs to the economy. This is consistent with the latest wave of tracking in May 2025 (37%). Over one in three say it is the worst time (score of...
The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,053 respondents in Canada. This report is based on the four waves of tracking ending November 21st, 2025. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,053 Canadians is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The research was commissioned by the Bloomberg and was conducted by Nanos Research.
The results below are from Physician Pulse, a joint initiative of Abacus Data and the Canadian Medical Association surveying physicians across the country. The survey was completed by 447 physicians between November 11th-17th 2025.
Recently, Abacus Data partnered with Colleges Ontario to better understand how Ontarians feel about the future of work, the economy, and the role colleges play in preparing people for change. Ontarians are increasingly anxious about their future. Rising costs, job insecurity, and rapid technological change have created a precarity mindset – a feeling that stability can no longer be taken...
The tight race between the Liberals and the Conservatives in ballot support continues with the front runners within the margin of error of each other. Canadians continue to be fixated on Trump/US relations and jobs/the economy while Carney maintains an advantage on the preferred PM tracking over Poilievre.
Liberals hold two-point vote intention advantage, 40 per cent to 38 per cent over opposition CPC. Despite boos for the Prime Minister at the Grey Cup on Sunday, new data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds Carney approved of by 52 per cent of Canadians. He’s disapproved of by 39 per cent, putting his net approval rating at plus 13.
The research gauged the opinions among Canadians on their views towards taking bold action, innovative ideas, risk of failure and embracing ambition. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,045 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between October 27th and October 30th, 2025 as part of an omnibus survey. The...
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,060 respondents in Canada. This report is based on the four waves of tracking ending November 14th, 2025. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,060 Canadians is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The research was commissioned by the Bloomberg and was conducted by Nanos Research.
69% think the opposition parties should let the budget pass, including 73% on the left and 51% on the right. Hardly fertile ground for the NDP and the CPC. As the House of Commons approaches confidence votes on Mark Carney’s first budget, they know that to force an election would be to court the ire of the public. It may...
In our first poll since the federal budget was tabled on November 4, the Liberal Party holds a clear 11-point lead over the Conservatives. However, the race is still relatively tight in seat-rich Ontario and the Liberals continue to fare comparatively poorly among Canadians under 35. Within this cohort, partisan preferences diverge sharply: under-35 men lean Conservative, while under-35 women...
6 in 10 Canadians think that the Canada-US-Mexico Agreement will be renewed with major changes (37%) or minor changes (23%). Meanwhile, three in ten (30%) Canadians think that it will not be renewed. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,045 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between October 27th...
A new province-wide survey conducted by Abacus Data reveals a clear preference among Ontarians for traffic calming infrastructure over the continued use of automated speed cameras. While the Ford government maintains a favourable standing with much of the electorate, the findings show that a pivot away from speed cameras and toward more visible, community-based safety interventions would be met with...
Betting on Poilievre is betting that someone who’s been in politics for 20 years will grow more popular, and the odds tell us that only rarely happens. The list of politicians who gain popularity after 20 years in public life is short. When it happens, it involves a major change in the politician, or a bigger change in the world...
The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...