Polls
Premiers’ Performance: Eby, Ford and Legault face post-tariff tension tumble, while Smith and Kinew rise

Premiers’ Performance: Eby, Ford and Legault face post-tariff tension tumble, while Smith and Kinew rise

The dust that is settling from the late-winter tariff blowup between Canada and the United States threatens to rise again with the slightest stir from President Donald Trump, but for now, Canadians have set the tariff threat aside in their top priorities. What this means for many of Canada’s premiers is a tumble back down the public opinion mountain as...

Trade Standoff: Canadians Back Tariffs on U.S. Imports Despite Cost Concerns

Trade Standoff: Canadians Back Tariffs on U.S. Imports Despite Cost Concerns

Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,120 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between June 1st and 3rd, 2025 as part of an omnibus survey. The margin of error for this survey is ±2.9 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Canadians Embrace ReArm Europe, Eyeing Strategic Alignment

Canadians Embrace ReArm Europe, Eyeing Strategic Alignment

Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,120 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between June 1st and June 3rd, 2025 as part of an omnibus survey. The margin of error for this survey is ±2.9 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The statistical tabulations including the unweighted and...

As Canada-US relationship frays, the Canada-UK flame rekindles

As Canada-US relationship frays, the Canada-UK flame rekindles

With Canada set to host the G7, Pollara finds Canadians’ net sentiment towards the United States has plummeted from +13 (positive minus negative) a year ago to -47 today. However, Canadians are still feeling positive towards all other G7 countries.

Some Canadians Wary of Trump’s Role in Alberta Separation

Some Canadians Wary of Trump’s Role in Alberta Separation

More than two-in-five Canadians are concerned about possible meddling from the United States if Alberta ultimately holds a referendum on sovereignty, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of a representative national sample, 45% of Canadians say it is “very likely” or “moderately likely” that the United States will take steps to annex Alberta as an...

A Faint Glimmer of Optimism? Canadians’ Economic Pessimism Wanes Slightly.

A Faint Glimmer of Optimism? Canadians’ Economic Pessimism Wanes Slightly.

Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame land- and cell-lines hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,120 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between June 1st and 3rd, 2025 as part of an omnibus survey. The margin of error for this survey is ±2.9 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Conservatives plummet in support: LPC 43, CPC 33, NDP 12

Conservatives plummet in support: LPC 43, CPC 33, NDP 12

The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...



Hitting the Mark? Two-thirds support 2% defence spending pledge; almost as many say 5% ‘too much’

Hitting the Mark? Two-thirds support 2% defence spending pledge; almost as many say 5% ‘too much’

It’ll cost approximately $20 billion more dollars, but Prime Minister Mark Carney announced Monday that Canada will reach the NATO defence spending target of two per cent of GDP for this fiscal year. That mark has not been hit since 1990. New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds Canadians largely supportive, two per cent of GDP or more...

Consumer confidence marginally positive on real estate and future strength of the economy positivity

Consumer confidence marginally positive on real estate and future strength of the economy positivity

Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,079 respondents in Canada. This report is based on the four waves of tracking ending June 6th, 2025. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,079 Canadians is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The research was commissioned by the Bloomberg and was conducted by Nanos Research.

Canadians expect swift action from Carney government, majority expect result in 2025

Canadians expect swift action from Carney government, majority expect result in 2025

Asked when they expect to see concrete results on major initiatives from the new federal government, just under two in five Canadians (38%) report that they expect to see results before the end of the year. Seventeen percent each expect to see results this summer or do not expect to see concrete results at all. Another 12 percent expect to...

Canada Rejects U.S. Missile Shield, Backs Domestic Defense Investments

Canada Rejects U.S. Missile Shield, Backs Domestic Defense Investments

Nearly 2 in 3 Canadians report believing that Canada should not be part of the American Golden Dome missile shield and instead spend on the capability of Canadian Armed Forces. Under one in five (17%) report believing that Canada should pay the price to be part of the American Golden Dome and one in five (20%) are unsure. Respondents aged...

Optimism about the Direction of the Country Reaches Three Year High

Optimism about the Direction of the Country Reaches Three Year High

Our latest poll tracking opinions about Canadian politics was conducted from June 2 to 5, 2025 and interviewed 2,585 Canadian adults. The survey finds that optimism in the direction of the country has reached a three-year high while positive impressions of Prime Minister Carney and his government continue to rise.

Rethinking Housing in Canada: Awareness, Trust, and the Push for Change

Rethinking Housing in Canada: Awareness, Trust, and the Push for Change

Between May 15 and 21, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,273 Canadian adults (18+) to assess awareness, trust, and priorities related to the federal government’s Build Canada plan and the broader state of housing. The results reveal strong demand for more affordable options, flexible financing solutions, and meaningful progress across both market and non-market housing. As affordability pressures...

Can voters actually like a politician?

Can voters actually like a politician?

How many times have you heard, “a plague on all their houses.” a Shakespeare line from Romeo and Juliet, used to describe how voters feel towards politicians? Media coverage of politics tends to exaggerate how disliked politicians actually are, and I’d make a case that the cynicism and click baiting that pervade a lot of media coverage today actually creates...

US style polarization in Canada? Maybe not.

US style polarization in Canada? Maybe not.

There were lots of reasons to imagine that Canada was heading for a period of more and more intense political polarization. We might yet. But that’s not what’s happening right now. On the surface, with the two largest parties deadlocked at about 40% support each, we might wonder if US style partisanship is in the cards - where every Liberal...

Carney’s Early Returns: Canadians expect progress on domestic trade barriers, less hopeful about housing costs

Carney’s Early Returns: Canadians expect progress on domestic trade barriers, less hopeful about housing costs

The optimism coming out of meetings between Prime Minister Mark Carney and Canada’s provincial premiers was quickly dampened by United States President Donald Trump, who later in the week announced a doubling of tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum. This, as the nation’s leaders continue with efforts to “Trump-proof” Canada’s economy. In some of the first data assessing the just-over-a-month-old...



Is Alberta Really Leaving Canada? What Canadians and Albertans Think About the Prospect of Alberta Sovereignty

Is Alberta Really Leaving Canada? What Canadians and Albertans Think About the Prospect of Alberta Sovereignty

Over the past few months, a growing conversation has emerged in Alberta around the possibility of holding a referendum on whether the province should separate from Canada and become an independent country. The idea of Alberta sovereignty is not new—but recent political rhetoric and policy disputes have brought it back to the surface. To better understand where things stand, Abacus...

Liberals open up advantage over Conservatives: LPC 41.7, CPC 36.4, NDP 10.5 (Nanos)

Liberals open up advantage over Conservatives: LPC 41.7, CPC 36.4, NDP 10.5 (Nanos)

After being gripped in a statistical tie in the close of the campaign and the immediate post election period, the Liberals are starting to open up an advantage over the Conservatives as the Mark Carney governs as Prime Minister. The Liberals advantage is outside of the margin of error and is currently about five percentage points.

Consumer confidence in marginally positive territory largely on improved sentiment on value of real estate

Consumer confidence in marginally positive territory largely on improved sentiment on value of real estate

Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,079 respondents in Canada. This report is based on the four waves of tracking ending May 30th, 2025. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,079 Canadians is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The research was commissioned by the Bloomberg and was conducted by Nanos Research.

Doug Ford is best known Premier across Canada

Doug Ford is best known Premier across Canada

In advance of the upcoming First Minister Meeting, fresh polling by Pollara shows Ontario Premier Doug Ford stands out as the most recognized Premier in Canada, with 79% of Canadians familiar with him. Alberta’s Danielle Smith (50%) and Quebec’s François Legault (44%), the only other premiers with significant national profiles, trail far behind. Ford’s name recognition nears that of many...

Measles Outbreak: Support for mandatory childhood vaccination rebounds, but one-in-five parents hesitant to vax

Measles Outbreak: Support for mandatory childhood vaccination rebounds, but one-in-five parents hesitant to vax

Alberta Health Minister Adriana LaGrange had a message for her province earlier this month, “don’t get measles; get immunized”. This, as outbreaks of the highly contagious disease continue, appearing in nine provinces so far, with the vast majority occurring in that province and in Ontario. The good news for health officials is that the outbreak appears to have increased support...

Trump concern fading as worry about healthcare and housing on the rise – Liberals and Conservatives tied in ballot support

Trump concern fading as worry about healthcare and housing on the rise – Liberals and Conservatives tied in ballot support

The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...

Consumer confidence continues to improve in wake of Canadian election

Consumer confidence continues to improve in wake of Canadian election

Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,081 respondents in Canada. This report is based on the four waves of tracking ending May 23rd, 2025. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,081 Canadians is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The research was commissioned by the Bloomberg and was conducted by Nanos Research.

Liberals and Conservatives statistically tied as Carney government approval reaches multi-year high

Liberals and Conservatives statistically tied as Carney government approval reaches multi-year high

Our latest poll tracking opinions about Canadian politics was conducted from May 15 to 21, 2025 and interviewed 2,273 Canadian adults. The survey was conducted entirely after the swearing in of the Liberal government led by Prime Minister Mark Carney. Just before King Charles is set to deliver the new government’s Speech from the Throne, a new Abacus Data poll...

Historic Election Concludes amid Deepened Polarization

Historic Election Concludes amid Deepened Polarization

Below is a retrospective of the 45th Canadian federal election, the forces that shaped it, and the challenges Canada faces. Please click here for a PDF version of this report.

When travelling out of town for arts and culture experiences, culture-goers prefer new and unique experiences over traditional and known ones

When travelling out of town for arts and culture experiences, culture-goers prefer new and unique experiences over traditional and known ones

Close to a quarter of culture-goers (22%) say it is now much more or somewhat more important for them to attend art and cultural events and performances or visit museums and galleries that include or promote Canadian artists or content, compared to just over one in ten who say it is much less or somewhat less important (11%). Over fifty...

Canadian consumer confidence rebounds in wake of Carney victory

Canadian consumer confidence rebounds in wake of Carney victory

The BNCCI is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of 1,000 respondents...

Liberals and Conservatives tied in popular support. Concern about jobs/the economy numerically surpasses concern about Trump/US for first time since February.

Liberals and Conservatives tied in popular support. Concern about jobs/the economy numerically surpasses concern about Trump/US for first time since February.

The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...

From Precarity to a Prepared and Competitive Canada

From Precarity to a Prepared and Competitive Canada

Between April 16 and 21, 2025, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,920 Canadian adults (18+), on behalf of the University of Toronto, to understand what Canadians believe is needed to succeed in a rapidly changing world. The findings reveal a country at a turning point: confidence in long-term stability is wavering, yet support for bold, forward-looking action is...

Appetite to purchase US-made goods continues to drop – Four in five Canadians agree to some extent that Canada’s old relationship with the United States is over

Appetite to purchase US-made goods continues to drop – Four in five Canadians agree to some extent that Canada’s old relationship with the United States is over

The research gauged the opinions among Canadians on the impact of tariffs on purchase of US-made goods and the US-Canada relationship. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,055 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between May 5th and 8th, 2025 as part of an omnibus survey. The margin of...

Alberta Politics and Separatism Sentiments

Alberta Politics and Separatism Sentiments

44% of Albertans identify as primarily Canadian, while 21% identify as primarily Albertan, and 32% identify as both equally 29% of Albertans support the idea of Alberta becoming a country independant of Canada, while 67% are opposed to that idea.

New cabinet, meet familiar challenges in Alberta, Sask. Canadians divided on response to Smith’s demands

New cabinet, meet familiar challenges in Alberta, Sask. Canadians divided on response to Smith’s demands

Prime Minister Mark Carney unveiled a new cabinet this week, but some of the key challenges for he and his ministers (and secretaries) are hardly unfamiliar. Central among these will be assuaging separation movements in the Prairies by setting the agenda for resource development and environmental management. These priorities come to a head in perhaps no more obvious way than...

Ontario PCs Lead by 10 as Ontario NDP Squeezed Out

Ontario PCs Lead by 10 as Ontario NDP Squeezed Out

– A new Liaison Strategies poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) finds the Ontario PCs leading the Ontario Liberals, 46% to 36%, while the Ontario NDP find themselves squeezed out at 13% Conducted from May 5-9, 2025, using interactive voice response technology, the Liaison poll surveyed 1,000 Ontario voters. The margin of error for...

Concern about Trump declines as front running parties gripped in a tie – LPC 42, CPC 41, NDP 8

Concern about Trump declines as front running parties gripped in a tie – LPC 42, CPC 41, NDP 8

The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...

Consumer confidence rises with election of Carney government

Consumer confidence rises with election of Carney government

Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,259 respondents in Canada. This report is based on the four waves of tracking ending May 9th, 2025. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,259 Canadians is ±2.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The research was commissioned by the Bloomberg and was conducted by Nanos Research.

Most Canadians anticipate at least some positive impact from Mark Carney on Canadian Unity

Most Canadians anticipate at least some positive impact from Mark Carney on Canadian Unity

The objective of the research was to gauge views of Canadians on newly-elected Prime Minister Mark Carney’s impact on unity among Canadians. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,055 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, between May 5th and 8th, 2025 as part of an omnibus survey. The margin...

Referendum Reality? Half in Alberta & Saskatchewan call for vote on independence, but fewer would actually leave

Referendum Reality? Half in Alberta & Saskatchewan call for vote on independence, but fewer would actually leave

The path for a referendum on separation in Alberta was laid out this week by Premier Danielle Smith, even though she has been adamant that she does not support the movement. In Saskatchewan, Premier Scott Moe has said his government does not support separation, but he wouldn’t stand in the way of a vote. As these dual referendums loom, new...

Trump continues to dominate issue mindshare – LPC 42, CPC 39, NDP 8

Trump continues to dominate issue mindshare – LPC 42, CPC 39, NDP 8

The Weekly Nanos Tracking is produced by the Nanos Research Corporation, headquartered in Canada, which operates in Canada and the United States. The data is based on random interviews with 1,000 Canadian consumers (recruited by RDD land- and cell-line sample), using a four-week rolling average of 250 respondents each week, 18 years of age and over. The random sample of...

Canadian Voters Open to Changing the Electoral System

Canadian Voters Open to Changing the Electoral System

Two-in-five voters in this year’s federal election (40%) think the possibility of Alberta separation is real, while 46% disagree. Vancouver, BC [May 8, 2025] – Many voters across Canada are willing to explore modifications to the way the members of the House of Commons are chosen, a new Research Co. “Exit Poll” poll has found. In the online survey of...

What Happened? The 2025 Canadian Election Post-Mortem

What Happened? The 2025 Canadian Election Post-Mortem

For much of 2023 and 2024, Canadians were deeply entrenched in a scarcity mindset—a psychological state characterized by anxiety about the accessibility and affordability of basic necessities. This mindset had profound political implications, creating widespread discontent. Life felt perpetually uncertain, with essential items and services harder to obtain, increasingly expensive, and prone to sudden loss. Such sentiments inevitably translated into...

BC: Conservatives Lead NDP, 47% to 45%

BC: Conservatives Lead NDP, 47% to 45%

A new Liaison Strategies poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) finds the BC Conservatives leading the BC NDP by 2 points. Conducted from May 2-4, 2025, using interactive voice response technology, the Liaison poll surveyed 800 British Columbia voters. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 3.45%, 19 times out of 20.

Conservative Golf Ad Missed Mark with Most Canadian Voters

Conservative Golf Ad Missed Mark with Most Canadian Voters

A side-by-side test of two political advertisements from the main federal parties in Canada yields mixed results, a new Research Co. “Exit Poll” poll has found. The online survey of a representative national sample of English-speaking Canadians who voted in the 2025 federal election showed respondents two advertisements that were featured on broadcast television in the final days of the...

After steady decline in consumer confidence, last week showed an uptick (Bloomberg/Nanos)

After steady decline in consumer confidence, last week showed an uptick (Bloomberg/Nanos)

Overall consumer confidence remains in negative territory with a score below 50 on the 100 point diffusion scale in the Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index. Compared to four weeks ago three of the four indicators showed an improvement with the exception of positive perceptions of the future value of real estate which continued to register a decline. -Nik Nanos, Chief...