

Welcome to the weekend and welcome to The Buzz.
Tomorrow is Justin Trudeau’s last day as Liberal leader. It’s great to go out with a win and thanks to that guy in the White House, that’s exactly what Trudeau seems to be getting. A win. It may only be short-term, but it’s a win nevertheless.
If it was a win for Trudeau, it was a loss for Donald Trump. This was not a good week for Le Grand Orange. Not by a long shot. Not even as he meandered through his lie-filled 100-minute soliloquy on Tuesday night. Even with his trained seals cheering him on from their Republican seats. Even with the Democrats looking disorganized and rudderless. As bad as all that was, it may have been the week’s high point for the Trumpies and the reality TV star who leads them.
He had started the week getting most of the world dumping on his bullying of a true hero – Volodymyr Zelenskyy last Friday.
Then he dropped his much delayed and, at times, incoherent tariff policy on Canada, Mexico and China. He announced it and then dropped some parts and delayed others. He looked like he didn’t know which way was up. He looked stunned when Canada responded with tough measures of its own. Then he showed his ignorance of how the electoral system in a parliamentary democracy works by accusing Trudeau of not knowing when he would call the next Canadian election, when Trudeau has, of course, no part of that decision since he resigned weeks ago… something Trump claims, of course, that he forced Trudeau to do.
Then Trump had to tell his sidekick Elon Musk, in a move described as a “slap down,” that Musk had no authority to fire anyone even though that’s exactly what he’s been doing.
But forget all that …all Trump really cares about is that he looks good with a booming market. So far, it’s not a boom, it’s a bust - down, and not just a little since Trump assumed power.
So bad week. Absolutely. And chaos everywhere except the ballroom at Mar a Lago, where you can be sure he’s spending the weekend glad-handing his way through some wedding reception where the parents probably paid extra for him to appear, just by chance of course. Okay, sorry, I don’t know that for a fact … but be honest, would it surprise you?
So, where does all this leave us?
The world on the edge of a full-scale realignment with the US and Russia holding hands at the top and everyone else trying to figure out what to do next. You expect Peter Sellers to walk out of the black and white shadows of an old movie at any moment and tell us all this was just a joke. It is a joke, but right now, we aren’t laughing.
Okay, let’s get someone serious to put this into the proper context for us.
Andrew Coyne at the Globe wrote this before Trump’s latest flip-flop on tariffs but even that doesn’t take away the thread here. Andrew doesn’t mince words:

🔒 Donald Trump is trying to destroy Canada Read >
Meanwhile, here’s a take on Trump’s opening weeks in office --- have they been good or bad?
It’s from our old colleague Evan Solomon, the New York-based publisher of Eurasia’s newsletter Gzero:

Is the Trump revolution off to a good or bad start? Read >
Even Doug Ford opponents had to admit the other day that the Ontario premier was pretty good in reacting to Trump’s tariffs.
He was angry, he was to the point, and he didn’t hide it. He went right after Trump, hitting on all the marks.
He also said something that surprised me. He said no one buys as much American liquor as the LCBO, the Liquor Control Board of Ontario. No one. Anywhere in the world. Now I don’t know what that says about American liquor, or about Ontarians’ drinking habits, but I do know that’s a lot of booze.
And it makes you wonder why liquor is such a target in a trade war. Well, trust The Buzz to find the answer for you:

Shots over the bow: Why provinces are using liquor leverage in trade war with U.S. Read >
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After an election result is clear, how much time do you spend going over the stats?
Turnout, percentage of vote, individual ridings? Probably not a whole lot. You want the top-line result and then it’s time to move on. Well pollsters, not surprisingly, spend a lot of time studying the numbers, trying to determine what really happened beyond the headlines.
Perhaps no one more so than my old friend Allan Gregg. I first met Allan in the mid-seventies when he was the new, young pollster of the future. He was different than the old guard of pollsters – he talked different, dressed different, even wore an earring before any guy you knew wore an earring.
Well, Allan is still top of his game and had an interesting piece in the Toronto Star this week going behind the numbers of the Ontario election. And he found some gems. Check it out:

🔒 We Pollsters Missed Something Big in the Ontario Election—The Federal Liberals Should Pay Attention Read >
Lots more on all this in our YouTube broadcasts this week. If you haven’t seen them, they’re worth it! Good Talk with Chantal Hebert and Rob Russo, including some thoughts on the outgoing Justin Trudeau, can be found here. Smoke, Mirrors and The Truth with Bruce Anderson and Fred DeLorey can be found here.
What now in the trade war?
Well, after all the bluster from the south, one thing is clear. It’s not a phoney war anymore. So, what to do? John M. Weekes has the cred to talk about this – he was Canada’s chief negotiator for the original NAFTA deal, and he penned this for Policy this week:

From Phoney War to Trade War: Canada’s Next Steps Read >
You’ve heard a lot about the Arctic lately.
A lot of the world’s most important leaders have been talking about it. It’s important to Canada and it’s important to the big picture. Have you been paying attention? If not perhaps it’s time you did, especially if you’ve heard about “critical minerals” and the role they are going to play in the world of tomorrow.
You can start with this piece from R.J. Simpson. Who, you say? Well, he’s the premier of the Northwest Territories, and he knows what he’s talking about:

R.J. Simpson: The Northwest Territories is key to securing Canada’s critical minerals future Read >
Okay, I really don’t like this next story at all.
There’s lots to be upset about in some of the other stories I’ve already mentioned above but this one strikes at the heart of what in life are moments we cherish. The Washington Post makes us ponder what kind of world we would be living in if we didn’t have the beauty, the symmetry, the wonder of ….. butterflies:

Butterflies in the U.S. are disappearing at a ‘catastrophic’ rate Read >
And on that note, we flutter away for another week. The Buzz will be back in seven days. Stay safe.
The Buzz is a weekly publication from National Newswatch that shares insights and commentary on the week’s developments in politics, news and current affairs.