As the federal Conservatives assess a campaign that saw leader Pierre Poilievre lose his Ottawa-area seat of Carleton, they are pointing fingers at the most powerful Tory in Ontario. Let the blame begin. As the federal Conservatives assess a campaign that saw leader Pierre Poilievre lose his Ottawa-area seat of Carleton, they are pointing fingers at the most powerful Tory...
Conservative leader projected to lose his longtime Ottawa riding. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre is projected to lose his longtime rural Ottawa seat to Liberal Bruce Fanjoy.Poilievre had won the area seven times in a row going back to his first win in 2004.Fanjoy lives in the village of Manotick, where he built a carbon-neutral house.
Bruce Fanjoy’s election party ended at 2 a.m. when supporters were kicked out of the Manotick Legion. The real party presumably started sometime after 4 a.m. local time, location unknown, when his victory over Pierre Poilievre was declared. Article content It’s a stunning upset for the first-time Liberal candidate who won the Carleton riding over current Conservative Party leader and...
The U.S. president has remarked on the staggering turnaround he provoked. Donald Trump is fully aware he provoked a political earthquake in Canada — just ask him. On the day of Canada's election, the U.S. president was quoted in an interview voicing detailed knowledge of the historic plot-twist he triggered. "You know, until I came along, remember that the Conservative...
After coming out victorious in a tight election campaign, Prime Minister Mark Carney is vowing to unite a divided country in the face of ongoing tensions with the United States.In a speech delivered to supporters early Tuesday morning, Carney promised to lead a government that represents all Canadians and said the country works when Canadians work together.
Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,290 respondents in Canada. This report is based on the four waves of tracking ending April 25th, 2025. The margin of error for a random survey of 1,290 Canadians is ±2.7 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. The research was commissioned by the Bloomberg and was conducted by Nanos Research.
The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same...
For the first time in nearly a century, two parties won more than 40 per cent of the vote. Shortly after 1 a.m. on Tuesday, Mark Carney walked onto a stage at the old Ottawa civic centre — the same hockey arena where John Turner was elected Liberal leader in 1984, the last time the Liberals tried to replace a...
Ontario Premier Doug Ford says he wants to focus on unity the day after the federal election, refusing to shoot back at comments from a Conservative MP calling the premier a "problem" and an opportunist. Jamil Jivani, who won Bowmanville-Oshawa North, said in an interview with CBC on election night that Ford inserted himself in the federal campaign and Conservatives...
Prime Minister Mark Carney promised to unite the country and govern for all after Canadians handed the Liberals a fourth consecutive mandate in Monday's federal election. "Who is ready," he shouted to cheers and applause and people chanting his name in a crowded hockey arena in Ottawa in the wee hours of the morning. "Who is ready? Who is ready...
The dust has settled on a unique federal election, and Canada will have a new government led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, backed by a fresh mandate from the voters. And while the election was rightly dominated by how to deal with threats of U.S. economic aggression, climate and energy issues played an important supporting role in the campaign.
The air was sucked out of the bizarrely freezing-cold Canada Room at the Rogers Convention Centre in downtown Ottawa at 10:07 p.m. local time, when CTV News made its call for a Liberal government. A relatively rowdy crowd near the stage, surrounded by photographers and cameras, had been leading chants of “bring it home!” as positive Conservative results trickled in...
Donald Trump went on social media on Canada’s election day to endorse himself as the best leader for this country.Canadians politely disagreed, handing victory to Mark Carney and the Liberals — a vote for stability amid the chaos Trump keeps wanting to wreak on Canada.
The Conservatives have every right to be angry, and every reason to demand that something substantive finally be done to prevent foreign election interference. In the early hours of yesterday morning, U.S. President Donald Trump decided to blow off some steam via his Truth Social account, with Canada’s election as the target. He wrote: “Good luck to the Great people...
The Liberals will be disappointed that they fell short of a majority. But everything is relative. Three months ago, they were nearly dead.
Only a party that's the default choice of the electorate could trail by 26 points in January and go on to win an election in April. Like it or not, by winning a fourth-straight election following a disastrous and scandal-plagued 10 years in office, the Liberal party has proven, once again, that it is indeed Canada’s “natural governing party.”
I was in Montreal the night Quebec voted “No” in the 1995 referendum. For many who voted “Yes,” it was heartbreak soaked in tears — but ultimately, it was resignation with echoes of René Lévesque’s words in 1980: “until the next time.” The images and the words spoken that night were displays of sadness, not rage. Except for then-Premier Jacques...
Without pretending any of us can predict the exact outcome of elections before they actually occur, if the polls and pundits prove right, the most likely scenario we will wake up to on Tuesday is a Liberal majority government. Larger trends from nation-wide and regional polling indicate this will occur due to the collapse of NDP and Bloc Quebecois support...
With a brand new leader at the Liberal Party helm and with the distinct chance of new leadership in all the main federal parties, the old order of national politics could change faster than Newfoundland and Labrador weather.
All in all, both Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre promise fiscal restraint, but they have very expensive priorities and are planning to run deficits. Time will tell whether how much of a 'change' the next prime minister is from the last one.
Whoever wins the federal election on Monday, their task — beyond resetting the relationship with U.S. President Donald Trump, navigating Canada out of an impending economic crisis, addressing affordability and safety concerns — must be to reach out to those Canadians who did not vote for them. Although the main party leaders portray themselves as figures who can heal a...
'It would be an extremely rash politician who links events in Vancouver to federal government policy'
Pierre Poilievre goes out of his way to be seen as a firebrand. It’s a look he’s been working on for years. He loved ginning up partisan supporters by saying he would fire the Governor of the Bank of Canada and replace him with someone “who would reinstate our low inflation mandate”. That was in May of 2022. Inflation peaked...
When President John F. Kennedy asked Congress to fund the establishment of a dedicated foreign development agency in 1961, he did so by letting them know that the world was watching. “The eyes of other industrialized nations, awaiting our leadership for a stronger united effort,” Kennedy said. “The eyes of our adversaries, awaiting the weakening of our resolve in this...
This is the election campaign that wasn’t. Everyone knew what this thing was going to be; it had been building forever. It was going to be a reckoning on 10 years of Liberal government, a volcanic vent for the public’s exhausted fury with the party and Justin Trudeau, who, to some, had become a walking expletive. We were going to...
Every successful campaign starts with a clear sense of purpose. Too often, when people hear “message,” they think it means a slogan or a handful of talking points. But a campaign message is far more than a tagline—it’s the central argument, the foundational story a party is telling voters about why it deserves their trust and their vote. It’s the...
Jagmeet Singh, in a tough election fight, is opening up about another tense period in his life as New Democratic Party leader — the winter of 2023-24, when real and credible death threats put him and his family under heavy RCMP protection for weeks on end.
A number of political pundits across the nation claim that the decisive issue in the 2025 federal election — the “ballot-box question” upon which the outcome of the election will be decided — is which party and leader will most effectively stand up to U.S. President Donald Trump and his administration on matters of trade and security. Other pundits suggest...
With two days to go until polling day, Mark Carney was careful not to break into a victory lap.At a campaign event at Seneca College in this commuter community 40 km north of Toronto, Carney was asked to grade his own campaign performance.
Conservatives go door-knocking in Winnipeg South to win over voters in a riding that, in most elections of the past century, has supported whichever party forms government in Ottawa. Liberal Terry Duguid has been the MP here since 2015.
The room at the Oak Ridges Community Centre is full for a weeknight local candidates forum. Staff from the Richmond Hill Board of Trade bring in extra chairs, but some residents remaining standing at the back of the room. At the front are three tables for the participants. Two placards are notably absent, for Costas Menegakis, the Conservative candidate for...
John Duffy, the late political strategist and author, began Fights of Our Lives, his lively and encyclopedic account of the federal campaigns that shaped this country, with a simple premise — one always worth returning to at moments like this. "Elections matter," he wrote. Writing in 2002, Duffy was pushing back against what he saw as the lazy cynicism of...
Last week, in a small church in Musquodoboit Harbour, Nova Scotia, six people with wildly different views — left, right, somewhere in between — shared a stage and debated the future of our country. And no one interrupted. No one heckled. No one shouted anyone down. In a world that feels increasingly divided, it was a quiet reminder of the...
Matt Gurney: A few weeks ago, I expressed some irritation with the candidates. I still feel that way. This has been an uninspiring campaign. We are, we’re told, facing major, existential threats to our way of life and maybe even our national survival. And I honestly can’t recall a single policy proposal from any of the parties off the top...
Years ago, someone put a Canadian spin on the old joke about the chicken crossing the road. Question: Why does a chicken cross the street in Canada? Answer: To get to the middle of the road. As the 2025 election winds down to its last hours, let it be noted that this was a campaign about forcing all the political...
OTTAWA -- The shape of the next Liberal government is becoming clearer as ballot counting continues after a historic election day in Canada.
As the Liberal Party appears poised to form a minority government following Monday's election, economists say the focus now shifts toward Prime Minister Mark Carney's spending promises amid the trade war with the United States. The Liberals were leading or elected in 168 seats when the counting was paused early Tuesday morning, four short of a majority. U.S. President Donald...
Ontario Premier Doug Ford has congratulated Prime Minister Mark Carney after the Liberal Party's federal election win and said he looked forward to working with him in a statement on Tuesday. "Ontario stands ready to work with the federal government to unleash our economy by cutting red tape so we can make Canada's economy more competitive, resilient and self-reliant, capable...
Elections Canada says it has decided to pause counting of special ballots until later Tuesday morning.A handful of ridings remain too close to call and the move means Canadians won't know until later in the day whether Mark Carney's Liberals have won a minority or majority mandate.
After a challenging election campaign that saw New Democrats sidelined, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh has failed to secure his re-election, and announced he will step down once an interim leader is appointed. “Choosing to commit your life to politics obviously comes with some sacrifice, but we choose this life because of the chance to change the country you love for...
Elections Canada confirmed that voters trying to access its website might face technical difficulties.“As a result, some of our online services and tools are currently unavailable. We are aware of the issue and are working hard to fix it,” the organization wrote on its website following hours of disruption.
President Trump is expected to soften the impact of his automotive tariffs, preventing duties on foreign-made cars from stacking on top of other tariffs he has imposed and easing some levies on foreign parts used to manufacture cars in the U.S., according to people familiar with the matter.
Canada is holding its most consequential election Monday. Here’s how the country’s most successful Conservative right now thinks it will go. Ontario Premier Doug Ford is a canny politician, a throwback to a more ideologically flexible but no-bullshit archetype common in 20th-century, big-city American politics. Ford’s shrewdest play may have been his most recent, when he called for a snap...
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre told the U.S. president to butt out of the federal election after Donald Trump appeared to suggest Canadians vote for him when they go to the polls on Monday. "President Trump, stay out of our election. The only people who will decide the future of Canada are Canadians at the ballot box," Poilievre posted on social...
In August 2019, a prominent official delivered an unusual argument to a room of global central bankers gathered in Wyoming: the U.S. dollar should be knocked off its perch atop the global financial system. “In the longer term, we need to change the game,” this man said at the Federal Reserve’s annual conference in Jackson Hole, in a lodge overlooking...
Nobody even thinks about booing when Miss Rodeo Taber, Shaylynn Amen, rides out on horseback, holding the Stars and Stripes aloft as she gallops around the arena while Bill Lawson sings the American anthem, a capella, in a gravelly but tuneful cowboy baritone. This is not a hockey game in eastern Canada, where the Star-Spangled Banner has regularly been booed...
As Monday’s federal election approaches, Conservative candidate Aaron Gunn’s campaign is bringing long-simmering tensions to the surface in the North Island-Powell River riding. A little more than one voter in 10 is Indigenous on the sparsely populated northern tip of Vancouver Island, and recent weeks have brought a sense of unease as Gunn’s past comments have come under intense scrutiny...
President Donald Trump weighed in on Canada's election today, repeating his claim that Canada should become a U.S. state.Trump's tariffs and repeated threats of annexation have become a central issue ahead of today's vote.The president posted on social media that Canada could become a 51st state without "an artificially drawn line from many years ago."
U.S. President Donald Trump will seek even more restrictions on Canada’s ability to sign trade agreements with China when Washington and Ottawa start renegotiations on the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, an international trade expert predicts. David Collins, who specializes in international trade and investment law at City St. George’s, University of London, says he expects the United States will seek to...
Justin Trudeau held the spotlight in Canada for almost a decade, then he pretty much just disappeared.That the former prime minister was nowhere to be found during the campaign leading to Election Day was a quiet relief to Liberal Party candidates on the trail.
At the outset of this campaign, I said the election was about a number of things: tariffs and trade and Trump and threats. But at its heart, it was about the economy. Whoever wins this thing will have an incredibly difficult task ahead. Whichever party forms government will have to take immediate steps to grow the economy. I wrote a...
If you want to have a sense of the federal parties' campaign strategies, it helps to follow the leader. An individual announcement in one riding might not indicate much, but taking a wider view reveals patterns in a party's plan of attack. CBC News analyzed the whereabouts of the main party leaders and every event they held over the course...
Voters are heading to the polls in Quebec, where the Liberals are trying to gain enough seats to clinch a majority government and the Bloc Québécois is hoping an eleventh-hour bump in support will be enough to claim the balance of power. The campaign in Quebec has been a tough slog for Bloc Leader Yves-François Blanchet, who has watched his...
Pollster Greg Lyle says this election will likely be remembered as the greatest turnaround in Canadian political history. The “historic” and “substantive” election on April 28 is shaping up to be one of the most consequential in Canadian history, serving as a referendum on which party leader is best suited to manage Canada–U.S. relations and tackle the pressing cost-of-living crisis...
1st results will trickle in from Newfoundland and Labrador just after 7 p.m. ET. Millions of Canadians are expected to cast their ballots today in a pivotal election that will decide who will lead the country through a trade battle with the United States. The 36-day campaign has been nothing short of remarkable for the leading contenders: Liberal Leader Mark...
— Murder charges have been laid against the man accused of driving an SUV into a crowd celebrating at a Filipino community street festival Saturday. The attack killed 11 people, the youngest of whom was only five years old. The suspect, 30-year-old Vancouver resident Kai-Ji Adam Lo, has been charged with eight counts of second-degree murder. Charge assessment is ongoing...
Prime Minister Mark Carney briefly paused his election campaign on Sunday to express condolences to victims and their families hours after a vehicle attack in Vancouver killed nine people and injured many more. "Last night, families lost a sister, a brother, a mother, a father, a son or a daughter. Those families are living every family's worst nightmare," Carney said...
Mark Carney’s Liberal Party is holding a four-percentage point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives on the eve of Monday’s general election, new data from Ipsos suggests. But the tight national race obscures the Liberals’ advantage in the key provinces of Ontario and Québec that will likely determine if the party receives a fourth consecutive mandate from Canadian voters...
Singh was at Lapu Lapu Day festival and left moments before driver rammed into crowd. The final day of the federal election campaign took on a sombre tone as the leaders reacted to the deaths of nine people at a Filipino street festival in Vancouver Saturday night. Vancouver police said a driver of a black SUV slammed into a crowd...
Eleven people have been killed and multiple others injured after the driver of a black SUV slammed into a crowd Saturday evening at a street festival in Vancouver celebrating the contributions of the Filipino Canadian community, police say. It happened shortly after 8 p.m. PT, a few blocks from East 41st Avenue and Fraser Street, where the Lapu Lapu Day...
MANCHESTER, N.H. (AP) -- Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker sharply criticized fellow Democrats on Sunday for not doing enough to oppose President Donald Trump, drawing a clear divide between himself and other high-profile Democrats seen as future presidential contenders.
"60 Minutes" correspondent Scott Pelley paid tribute Sunday to Bill Owens, the show's executive producer who resigned last week, saying on the air that "none of us is happy" about the extra supervision that corporate leaders are imposing.
President Donald Trump made clear Sunday that he would not follow his predecessor's practice of recognizing Indigenous Peoples Day alongside Columbus Day in October, accusing Democrats of denigrating the explorer's legacy as he pressed his campaign to restore what he argues are traditional American icons.
MECHANICSBURG, Pa. (AP) -- Many days over the past two weeks, no one answered the phone at any of U.S. Rep. Scott Perry's four offices.
Royalty, presidents, prime ministers and a legion of faithful are paying their last respects to Pope Francis at a funeral mass in St. Peter's Square in Rome to honour his sometimes turbulent papacy. Applause rang out as the pontiff's simple wooden coffin, inlaid with a large cross, was brought out of St. Peter's Basilica and into the sun-filled square by...
NEW YORK (AP) -- Elon Musk has been called a Moonshot Master, the Edison of Our Age and the Architect of the Future, but he's got a big problem at his car company and it's not clear he can fix it: damage to its brand.
Pope Francis, whose nearly 12-year papacy ushered in a more open, welcoming Catholic Church that prioritized empathy for the poor and disenfranchised — including Indigenous victims of Canada's church-run residential schools — has died at 88, the Vatican said in a video statement Monday. "Dear brothers and sisters, it is with profound sadness I must announce the death of our...
Meta Platforms Inc. faces a historic antitrust trial beginning Monday that could force the tech giant to break off Instagram and WhatsApp, startups it bought more than a decade ago that have since grown into social media powerhouses.
China announced Friday that it will raise tariffs on U.S. goods from 84 per cent to 125 per cent -- the latest salvo in an escalating trade war between the world’s two largest economies that has rattled markets and raised fears of a global slowdown. While U.S. President Donald Trump paused import taxes this week for other countries, he raised...
Trump’s chaotic global tariff war, which has upended the international order, shows no sign of letting up. Presidents of the U.S. have long used trade as an instrument of power to assert economic and military dominance over the global economy. Trump however, does so against Canada and other allies—a vision driven by his pathological narcissistic view of the world, unrestrained...
Every assumption we’ve made about Canada’s place in the world over the past 80 years is open to question. We can no longer rely on others to safeguard our prosperity and security. It is up to us — guided by our interests, values, and a renewed sense of identity and common purpose.In this context, whoever forms the Cana
A collection of SubStack publishing within Canadian public affairs.
The world is chaotic. Sovereignty, diplomacy, trade, free speech, science are all under assault. Daily life seems suddenly dangerous. Even the weather report is scary. “Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,” as William Butler Yeats put it in The Second Coming (1919). We’ve entered an era of might makes right. Familiar rules are changing. Among the changes is the...
This will be a very short post on the access-to-information election promises of the five main political parties. That’s because there’s nothing to write about.With the release of the last platform today (Conservative), no party is committing to reforming the dysfunctional Access to Information Act, other than reciting cheap bromides. Some aren’t even offering bromides.
Is it time I admit defeat, pull up my tent and go home? For 30 years I have advocated for reductions to Canada’s military spending, and it keeps rising and rising. Now it’s reached the point where Canada is the 6th highest in actual dollars within NATO (after USA, Germany, UK, France, Poland). Responding to expensive plans to increase military...
On Monday April 28, Canadians voted in another Liberal government.They are heading to the House of Commons with what appeared to be a minority government.The Conservatives gained seats and will form the Official Opposition; however, leader Pierre Poilievre’s seat remained undecided early Tuesday morning.
A whirlwind election campaign has ended with Mark Carney leading the Liberal Party to victory, coming back from disastrous polling numbers just months ago. The NDP has been decimated, with leader Jagmeet Singh stepping down. Yet, despite losing, Pierre Poilievre's Conservative Party still earned the support of a large percentage of the population, leaving the Liberals with the prospect of...
David Herle, Scott Reid, Jordan Leichnitz, and Kory Teneycke provide insights on the latest in Canadian politics.
In what's been a very upside down election campaign - the results were just as wild. At time of writing at 2:30am, it's a Liberal minority government. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre is in danger of losing his seat and NDP leader Jagmeet Singh stepped down as leader after losing his seat of Burnaby Central. In this stripped down version of...
