While National Newswatch does not keep an archive of external articles for longer than 6 months, we do keep all articles written by contributors who post directly to our site. Here you will find all of the contributed and linked external articles from David Valentin.
The Liberals lead the Conservatives 40% to 32%, while Mark Carney’s approval falls to 55%, its lowest point in Liaison’s federal tracking. The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding an 8-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives. The Liberals stand at 40% among decided and leaning voters, followed by...
The Liberals still lead nationally, but the NDP has jumped to 16% while Mark Carney’s approval slips to 57%.
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding a 12-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives. Meanwhile, the Prime Minister's approval has rebounded to 59%. If a federal election were held today among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals would receive 43% of the vote, followed by the Conservatives at...
The latest Ontario Political Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Progressive Conservatives and Ontario Liberals tied among decided and leaning voters. If a provincial election were held today, the PCs led by Doug Ford and the Ontario Liberal Party led by John Fraser would each receive 37% of the vote. The Ontario NDP led by Marit Stiles sits at 20%...
The latest Capital Tracker from the Ottawa Compass and Liaison Strategies shows Mayor Mark Sutcliffe leading among decided and leaning voters in an early Ottawa mayoral ballot, while Tim Tierney would enter the race in double digits. Among decided and leaning voters, with Tierney included on the ballot, Sutcliffe leads with 37%, followed by Jeff Leiper at 32%, Alex Lawson...
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding a 9-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives. Meanwhile, the Prime Minister's approval continues to fall and is now at 56%. If a federal election were held today among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals would receive 43% of the vote, followed...
A new Liaison Strategies survey shows Mayor Olivia Chow holding a 13-point lead over Councillor Brad Bradford among decided voters, while Torontonians express overwhelming frustration with traffic congestion and road construction coordination. If a mayoral election were held today among decided voters, Olivia Chow would receive 50% support, followed by Brad Bradford at 37% and another candidate at 13%. Among...
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding an 11-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives but the Prime Minister's approval rating has fallen to 58%. If a federal election were held today among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals would receive 44% of the vote, followed by the Conservatives...
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding an 11-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives but the Prime Minister's approval rating has fallen to 58%. If a federal election were held today among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals would receive 44% of the vote, followed by the Conservatives...
A new Liaison Strategies survey of Quebec shows a close provincial race, with the Parti Québécois narrowly ahead of the Quebec Liberal Party among decided and leaning voters. If a provincial election were held today, the PQ would receive 32% of the decided and leaning vote, followed by the Liberals at 32%, the CAQ at 16%, the PCQ at 11%...
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, maintaining a double-digit lead over the Pierre Poilievre Conservatives. If a federal election were held today among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals would receive 45% of the vote, followed by the Conservatives at 33%, the NDP at 9%, and the Bloc...
The latest Liaison Strategies survey for Ontario shows the PCs trailing the Liberals by 2 points. It is the first time the PCs have trailed since Liaison began its monthly tracking series of Ontario. The PCs led by Doug Ford would garner 36% of the decided and leaning vote compared to the Ontario Liberals at 38%. The Ontario NDP sits...
The latest Liaison Strategies survey for Ontario shows the PCs trailing the Liberals by 2 points. It is the first time the PCs have trailed since Liaison began its monthly tracking series of Ontario. The PCs led by Doug Ford would garner 36% of the decided and leaning vote compared to the Ontario Liberals at 38%. The Ontario NDP sits...
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, leading by 11 points over the Pierre Poilievre Conservatives. If a federal election were held today among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals would receive 45% of the vote, followed by the Conservatives at 34%, the NDP at 9%, and the Bloc...
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, widening its lead to 12 percentage points over the Conservatives. If a federal election were held today among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals would receive 45% of the vote, followed by the Conservatives at 33%, the NDP at 10%, and the...
A new Liaison Strategies survey show Mayor Olivia Chow holding a 11-point lead among decided voters while Councillor Brad Bradford sees a significant surge in support, particularly among younger demographics. If a mayoral election were held today among decided and leaning voters, Olivia Chow would lead with 46% support, followed by Brad Bradford at 35% and Anthony Furey at 11%...
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker rom Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party maintaining a steady 10-percentage-point lead over the Conservatives, bolstered by high approval ratings for Prime Minister Mark Carney and significant leads in key regions like Ontario and the Prairies. If a federal election were held today the Liberals would receive 43% of the vote, followed by the Conservatives...
The latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Stratégies shows the Liberal Party, led by Mark Carney, maintaining a commanding 11-percentage-point lead over the Conservatives as the spring political season intensifies. The survey finds the Liberals with 44% (-1) support, followed by the Conservatives at 33% (no change) and the NDP at 9% (no change). Liaison surveyed a random sample of...
The latest Ontario survey from Liaison Strategies shows a tightening provincial race, with the Progressive Conservatives holding a narrow three-percentage-point lead over the Ontario Liberal Party. The survey finds the PCs at 39% support, followed by the Liberals at 36%, the NDP at 18%, and the Greens at 5%. The survey also reveals widespread public opposition to recent government moves...
The latest polling from Liaison Strategies shows Mark Carney’s Liberal Party posting a 12-percentage-point lead over the Conservatives among decided and leaning voters, down from a 14-percentage-point lead from last week. The survey finds the Liberals with 45% support, followed by the Conservatives at 33% and the NDP at 9%. Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,000 Canadians from March...
A new national survey from Liaison Strategies reveals a shifting landscape in the NDP leadership race, with Avi Lewis and Heather McPherson both making notable gains in favorability over the past year. The survey, which tracked the favorability of potential and declared candidates, highlights a significant increase in profile for Avi Lewis. Lewis has seen his favorability nearly double, rising...
A new national survey from Liaison Strategies shows Mark Carney’s Liberal Party continuing a 14 point lead over the Conservatives led by Pierre Poilievre. The Weekly Federal Tracker reveals that the Liberals now hold 46% of decided and leaning support, followed by the Conservatives at 32% and the NDP at 9%. Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,000 Canadians from...
A new national survey from Liaison Strategies shows Mark Carney’s Liberal Party maintaining a commanding double-digit lead over the Conservatives as political preferences stabilize across the country. The Weekly Federal Tracker reveals that among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals hold 45% support, followed by the Conservatives at 31% and the NDP at 8%. The Bloc Québécois stands at 6%...
A new Liaison Strategies survey reveals a major shift in the city’s political landscape following John Tory’s announcement that he will not seek a return to the mayoralty. In a field without the former mayor, incumbent Olivia Chow has established a commanding 18-point lead over her nearest rival, while Councillor Brad Bradford and potential candidate Michael Ford have emerged as...
A new national survey from Liaison Strategies shows the federal Liberals have established a significant 14-point lead over the Conservatives among decided and leaning voters with 44% support. The Weekly Federal Tracker shows the Conservatives in second place at 30%, followed by the NDP at 9%, the Bloc Québécois at 6%, and the People’s Party at 4%. Liaison surveyed a...
A new Liaison Strategies survey reveals that while the Progressive Conservatives maintain a narrow lead in voter intent, opposition leaders and potential Liberal leadership candidates are battling significant name-recognition challenges across the province. "The ballot remains competitive, but the favourability numbers suggest that many voters are still getting to know the alternatives to the current government," said David Valentin, principal...
A new national survey released today by Liaison Strategies shows the Liberal Party of Canada, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, holding a double-digit lead. If a federal election were held today, the Liberals would secure 43% (-2) of the decided and leaning vote, maintaining a significant 10-point advantage over the Conservative Party, which stands at 33% (no change). The...
A comprehensive new Liaison Strategies survey reveals that a majority of Ontarians are dissatisfied with the provincial government’s performance across seven major policy areas, ranging from affordability to ethics. The survey found that the Ford government faces its most significant challenges in the areas of housing and the cost of living. Both files currently see a total disapproval rating of...
A new Liaison Strategies of Ontario reveals a tightening provincial race, with the Progressive Conservatives (PCs) and the Ontario Liberal Party (OLP) nearly neck-and-neck among decided and leaning voters. The PCs led by Doug Ford would garner 40% of the decided and leaning vote, followed closely by the Ontario Liberals at 36%. The Ontario NDP sits at 17%, with the Green Party at 5%.
A new national survey released today by Liaison Strategies reveals that the Liberal Party of Canada, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, has extended its lead in the federal political landscape. If an election were held today, the Liberals would secure 45% of the decided and leaning vote, holding a commanding 12-point advantage over the Conservative Party, which stands at...
A new national survey released today by Liaison Strategies reveals that the Liberal Party of Canada, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, has extended its lead in the federal political landscape. If an election were held today, the Liberals would secure 45% of the decided and leaning vote, holding a commanding 12-point advantage over the Conservative Party, which stands at...
A new national survey by Liaison Strategies reveals that if a federal election were held today, the Liberal Party, led by Mark Carney, would hold a substantial 9 point lead over the Conservative Party. The Weekly Federal Tracker shows high approval ratings for Prime Minister Mark Carney, while Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre continues to face high unfavourable numbers. Among decided...
A new national survey by Liaison Strategies reveals that if a federal election were held today, the Liberal Party, led by Mark Carney, would hold a substantial 9 point lead over the Conservative Party. The Weekly Federal Tracker shows high approval ratings for Prime Minister Mark Carney, while Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre continues to face high unfavourable numbers. Among decided...
A new Liaison Strategies survey finds Mayor Olivia Chow’s approval rating at 55% (up 1 point) as Toronto heads into a municipal election year and gears up for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. On the ballot test, Chow sits at 40% (up 1), leading former mayor John Tory at 33% (down 2) by seven points, with City Councillor Brad Bradford at 18%.
A new Liaison Strategies national survey finds the Liberal Party of Canada maintaining an eight-point advantage over the Conservative Party of Canada. Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals lead with 43% to the Conservatives’ 35%, with the New Democratic Party at 8%, and the Bloc Québécois at 7%. Simultaneously, Prime Minister Mark Carney's approval rating has reached an approval...
A new provincial survey conducted by Liaison Strategies reveals a complex balancing act in public opinion regarding Ontario Premier Doug Ford’s threat to remove Crown Royal from LCBO shelves. While a majority of Ontarians support using the LCBO's market power to defend local jobs, there is significant concern regarding the potential collateral damage to workers in Manitoba.
A new Liaison Strategies national survey finds the Liberals continuing to pull away from the Conservatives, widening their lead to eight points. Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals lead with 42% to the Conservatives' 34%, with the NDP at 10% and the Bloc Québécois at 8%. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Mark Carney's approval rating has climbed again, now reaching 62%...
New Liaison Strategies tracking data shows the Progressive Conservatives continue to lead province-wide, but the political environment is increasingly defined by broad dissatisfaction: nearly two-thirds of Ontarians say the province is headed in the wrong direction and Premier Doug Ford’s job approval remains sharply negative. The PCs have lost 5 points since a high of 47% in October.
A new Liaison Strategies survey finds Alberta’s two main parties in a competitive contest, with the United Conservative Party (UCP) holding a narrow edge over the Alberta NDP. If a provincial election were held today, 46% of voters would support the UCP Party, compared with 44% for the NDP.
On the one-year anniversary of the second inauguration of U.S. President Donald Trump, a new national survey from Liaison Strategies reveals that a significant majority of Canadians are opposed to U.S. military intervention in Venezuela. 64% of respondents oppose the United States using military force to remove Nicolás Maduro from power, while only 32% support such action. "As the world...
A new Liaison Strategies national survey finds the Liberals widening their lead over the Conservatives. Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals lead with 40% to the Conservatives 35%, with the NDP at 11% and the Bloc at 8%. Meanwhile, Mark Carney’s approval rating is up once again to 57%. Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,000 Canadians from January...
A new Liaison Strategies national survey finds the Liberals maintaining a modest advantage over the Conservatives. Among decided and leaning voters, the Liberals lead with 39% to the Conservatives 36%, with the NDP at 12%and the Bloc at 8%. Meanwhile, Mark Carney’s approval rating has inched upward after several weeks of steady decline. Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,00...
A new Liaison Strategies survey of Nova Scotia voters finds Premier Tim Houston’s Progressive Conservatives holding a 19-point lead on ballot support and strong numbers on approval, healthcare, and the province’s relationship with Ottawa but the province-wide numbers mask an NDP lead in Halifax where the opposition party leads 40% to 31%. If a provincial election were held today, 50%...
The federal political landscape has tightened into a dead heat to start the new year, according to the latest Weekly Federal Tracker from Liaison Strategies. The survey shows a significant narrowing of the gap between the two leading parties, the race is a literal tie among decided and leaning voters, with the Liberals at 38% and the Conservatives at 37%...
A new Liaison Strategies poll conducted for Focus Ontario shows the governing Progressive Conservatives maintaining a 9-point lead over the Ontario Liberals among decided voters. However, the survey also finds significant public opposition to the provincial government's proposal to build a tunnel under Highway 401, with a majority of Ontarians favoring other infrastructure and social priorities. Conducted from December 5-7...
A new national Liaison Strategies poll conducted over the weekend shows the Liberals up one point to 39%, while the Conservatives slip one to 37%. The federal NDP remains in double digits, but is down one point to 11%. Conducted from December 19-28, 2025, using Interactive Voice Response (IVR), the survey polled 1,000 Canadians, with the sample split evenly between...
December 23, 2025 (Toronto, ON) – A new Liaison Strategies poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) finds Toronto mayor Olivia Chow leading in a potential re-match with former Toronto mayor John Tory, 39% to 35%. Brad Bradford, the first candidate to declare their intention to run for mayor, follows in third with 16% (+4)...
A new national Liaison Strategies poll conducted over the weekend for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada shows the Carney Liberals continuing to slide and now tied with the Conservatives at 38%. The Federal NDP stays steady at 12% nationally, and maintains 19% in British Columbia. Conducted from December 19-21, 2025, using Interactive Voice Response (IVR), the...
A new Liaison Strategies riding poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada shows the Conservatives maintaining a narrow lead in Edmonton Riverbend - the riding where Conservative MP Matt Jeneroux has announced he will resign. Today’s release is the fourth in a series of daily riding polls Liaison published this week following polls of Acadie—Annapolis, Vancouver...
A new Liaison Strategies riding poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada shows new Liberal MP, Chris d'Entremont firmly in the lead in Acadie—Annapolis after crossing the floor. Today’s release is the third in a series of daily riding polls Liaison will publish this week following yesterday's poll of Vancouver Kingsway and an earlier poll of...
A new Liaison Strategies riding poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada shows the NDP firming up support in Vancouver Kingsway. Today’s release is the second in a series of daily riding polls Liaison will publish this week following yesterday's poll of Eglinton-Lawrence. Conducted from November 24 to 30, 2025, using Interactive Voice Response (IVR), the...
A new Liaison Strategies riding poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada shows the Liberals firming up their lead in Eglinton–Lawrence, the city’s closest race in the last federal election. Today’s release is the first in a series of daily riding polls Liaison will publish this week following new national numbers released yesterday. Conducted from November...
A new national Liaison Strategies poll conducted over the weekend shows the Carney Liberals down three points to 41%, while the Conservatives hold at 36%. Fielded after Carney announced a memorandum of understanding with Alberta on a pipeline, the survey also finds the NDP up two points to 12%, with some signs of life in British Columbia, where they now...
A new national Liaison Strategies poll taken immediately following the federal budget reveals a mixed public reaction: perceptions of the deficit’s severity have eased, more Canadians think the spending levels are appropriate, and the Liberals have widened their lead to 8 points over the Conservatives. That being said 58% of saying they are worried, pessimistic or frustrated about the Canadian...
A new national Liaison Strategies poll taken on the eve of the federal budget finds Canadians split on whether the deficit will personally affect them, with 48% saying it would and 44% saying it wouldn't. The poll, conducted for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) also finds the federal Liberals lead by 4 over the Conservatives, 42% to 38%.
A new Liaison Strategies poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) finds Toronto mayor Olivia Chow taking the lead in a potential re-match with former Toronto mayor John Tory. The survey is one of ten city polls released today - other cities include Hamilton, Ottawa, Windsor, Mississauga, Brampton, Vaughan, Kitchener, London and Markham. A full...
Ten new Liaison Strategies surveys of Ontario's largest cities finds the federal Liberals leading in Toronto, Ottawa and Mississauga; while the Conservatives lead in Brampton, Markham and Vaughan. Hamilton, London and Kitchener meanwhile are battlegrounds where parties are separated by just one or two percent. Conducted from October 22 to 23, 2025, using Interactive Voice Response (IVR), the survey polled...
October 20 (Toronto, ON) – As the Ontario Legislature returns a new Liaison Strategies survey of 800 Ontarians shows the PCs with a commanding lead if an election were held today. This poll first appeared in Focus Ontario. Meanwhile most Ontarians disapprove of Premier Doug Ford’s decision to ban municipal speed cameras and nearly two-thirds say they would support cameras...
A new national Liaison Strategies finds Canadians know the Trump administration better than they know their own Canadian Cabinet Ministers. The poll, conducted for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC) also finds the federal Liberals lead by 6 over the Conservatives, 43% to 37%. Conducted from September 19 to 21, 2025, using Interactive Voice Response (IVR)...
September 4, 2025 (Toronto, ON) – A new Liaison Strategies poll for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada finds Mark Carney's Liberals with a strong 9 point national lead over the Conservative Party - though Conservatives draw even among parents with a narrow one point lead. Conducted from August 25-27, 2025, using interactive voice response technology, the...