Nik Nanos

While National Newswatch does not keep an archive of external articles for longer than 6 months, we do keep all articles written by contributors who post directly to our site. Here you will find all of the contributed and linked external articles from Nik Nanos.

Stuck in neutral: Canadian opinion on immigration steady since March, with a majority still wanting fewer arrivals

Stuck in neutral: Canadian opinion on immigration steady since March, with a majority still wanting fewer arrivals

The research gauged the opinions among Canada aiming to accept 380,000 new immigrants as permanent residents, and an additional 385,000 workers and students as temporary residents. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (cell and landlines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,058 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, from October 31st to November 2nd, 2026, as part of...

Nanos federal poll: LPC 45.4%, CPC 28.9%,  NDP 13.6%, BQ 7.4%, People’s Party 2.7% Greens 1.9%

Nanos federal poll: LPC 45.4%, CPC 28.9%, NDP 13.6%, BQ 7.4%, People’s Party 2.7% Greens 1.9%

The latest Nanos Weekly Tracking finds the Liberals at 45.4% in federal voting intentions, compared with 28.9% for the Conservatives. The NDP stands at 13.6%, followed by the Bloc Québécois at 7.4%, the People’s Party at 2.7% and the Greens at 1.9%.

Confidence in the slow lane: Canadian consumer sentiment is holding near neutral as economic expectations trail household confidence.

Confidence in the slow lane: Canadian consumer sentiment is holding near neutral as economic expectations trail household confidence.

The Bloomberg-Nanos Canadian Confidence Index stands at 50.98, little changed from 50.45 four weeks earlier and below its long-term average of 54.65. Household sentiment is firmer, with the Pocketbook Index at 54.19, while expectations for the economy and property prices remain weaker at 47.77. Confidence has eased from its February peak of 54.19, leaving Canadians broadly divided over their economic...

Politics steady, priorities shift: Liberals remains ahead as concern over healthcare and national unity rises while Canada-U.S. relations and the economy recede.

Politics steady, priorities shift: Liberals remains ahead as concern over healthcare and national unity rises while Canada-U.S. relations and the economy recede.

Federal politics continues to favour the Liberals, who stand at 47.3%, followed by the Conservatives at 27.8% and NDP at 12.9%. Mark Carney leads as preferred prime minister at 57.7%. On issues, Canada-U.S. relations remain the leading concern at 19.9%, down from 25.2% four weeks earlier. Jobs and the economy also declined, from 19.4% to 15.0%, with national unity rising...

Optimism on hold: Economic confidence is steady, but expectations have yet to cross into positive territory.

Optimism on hold: Economic confidence is steady, but expectations have yet to cross into positive territory.

Canada’s economic mood remains finely balanced. The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index stands at 51.22, little changed from 50.88 four weeks ago. Household sentiment remains the stronger component, with the Pocketbook Index at 54.34. Expectations are more subdued at 48.09, suggesting Canadians remain cautious about the economic and housing outlook. Confidence has improved from spring lows, but a decisive turn...

Toronto Decides: Mayoral debate set to be a pressure cooker in the mad dash to the finish. Cost of living and traffic top preferred debate issues. Thirteen percent open to changing vote depending on debate performance.

Toronto Decides: Mayoral debate set to be a pressure cooker in the mad dash to the finish. Cost of living and traffic top preferred debate issues. Thirteen percent open to changing vote depending on debate performance.

“The Toronto mayoral contest may very well be decided in the Chow-Bradford debate showdown. Asked what leadership qualities residents are on the look out for from the contenders, honesty and problem solving top list. Chow voters focused on honesty, Bradford supporters on managing finances. Cost of living, traffic, housing and homelessness top list of issues people want to hear about...

Liberals lead, worries shift - Liberal ballot support stands at 50.6%, as concern about Trump-US relations eases and inflation inches up.

Liberals lead, worries shift - Liberal ballot support stands at 50.6%, as concern about Trump-US relations eases and inflation inches up.

The latest Nanos federal tracking has the Liberals at 50.6%, followed by the Conservatives at 28.3% and the NDP at 11.5%. The Bloc Québécois stands at 6.2%, the Green Party at 2.2% and the People’s Party at 1.2%.

Toronto Decides: Chow 49.8, Bradford 46.6. Turnout could decide race.

Toronto Decides: Chow 49.8, Bradford 46.6. Turnout could decide race.

“Ballot support for the two front runners among all residents is within the margin of error for the CP24/Nanos survey. Chow ahead in Toronto/East York, Bradford leads in North York. The deciding factors in the race will be debate performance and organizational muscle to deliver supporters. The Nanos data reflects public opinion at the time of the survey which ended...

Confidence creeps, caution remains – Canada’s economic mood marginally up, but expectations have yet to turn decisively positive.

Confidence creeps, caution remains – Canada’s economic mood marginally up, but expectations have yet to turn decisively positive.

Canadian consumer confidence strengthened in mid-October, with the Bloomberg-Nanos index rising to 51.68 from 49.86 four weeks earlier. The improvement was driven largely by brighter expectations: that sub-index climbed to 48.41 from 44.82. Pocketbook confidence, covering personal finances and job security, was broadly unchanged at 54.94. Even so, overall confidence remains below its long-run average of 54.66, suggesting Canadians are...

Toronto Decides: A city divided by a bike lane: Chow and Bradford voters part ways

Toronto Decides: A city divided by a bike lane: Chow and Bradford voters part ways

“Chow voters prioritise TTC investment (32%), while Bradford voters favour congestion relief (37%). Bike-lane expansion divides them: 74% of Chow voters support or somewhat support it, while 74% of Bradford voters oppose or somewhat oppose it.”

LPC 48.8, CPC 29.5, NDP 11.1

LPC 48.8, CPC 29.5, NDP 11.1

The Liberals remain ahead in federal voting intentions, with 48.8% support among decided voters compared with 29.5% for the Conservatives and 11.1% for the NDP. Mark Carney is the first choice for prime minister among 60.7% of Canadians, followed by Pierre Poilievre at 20.9%. Concern about Donald Trump and Canada-U.S. relations ranks as the country’s leading national issue. Jobs and...

Toronto Decides: Chow’s cushion shrinks as Bradford closes in.

Toronto Decides: Chow’s cushion shrinks as Bradford closes in.

“Chow still leads, but Bradford has cut her cushion to 3.5 points among decided voters. Chow draws strength from Toronto and East York, women and voters under 55. Bradford fares better in North York, among men and voters aged 55 and older. Etobicoke/York is close, and Scarborough closer still. With 17 per cent undecided, Toronto’s race remains an open contest.”

Holding above water – economic sentiment remains hovering at neutral as Canadians balance financial resilience with a measured outlook.

Holding above water – economic sentiment remains hovering at neutral as Canadians balance financial resilience with a measured outlook.

Canada’s economic mood remained broadly stable in early October. The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index changed to 51.34 from 50.38 four weeks earlier, remaining at the neutral threshold. Views on personal finances and job security were comparatively stronger, while expectations relating to the economy and real estate were more mixed. Overall, the results point to modestly positive consumer sentiment, with...

Toronto Decides: Stuck in traffic and squeezed by costs, Toronto voters say congestion, transit and affordability are top concerns

Toronto Decides: Stuck in traffic and squeezed by costs, Toronto voters say congestion, transit and affordability are top concerns

“Toronto’s mayoral race is unfolding against a backdrop of mounting affordability pressures. Traffic tops residents’ quality-of-life concerns, while housing costs and property taxes are leading affordability priorities. Nearly three-quarters say Toronto has become less affordable over the last four years. Many residents report cutting discretionary spending and delaying major purchases, and nearly one in four are considering leaving the city.”...

Toronto Decides: Toronto-East York boosts Chow advantage – Chow 52.4%, Bradford 42.6%, Alexander 4.0%

Toronto Decides: Toronto-East York boosts Chow advantage – Chow 52.4%, Bradford 42.6%, Alexander 4.0%

“Toronto’s mayoral election is shaping up as a two-candidate race. Olivia Chow holds a citywide lead over Brad Bradford and draws her strongest support from Toronto-East York, where she exceeds 60%, while also leading in Scarborough. One in five report still being up for grabs. Beyond the ballot, nearly eight in ten residents say Toronto is their preferred place to...

LPC 49.1, CPC 28.2, NDP 10.9

LPC 49.1, CPC 28.2, NDP 10.9

Canada’s federal political landscape remains relatively stable, with the Liberals maintaining a lead in national ballot support and a stronger overall party index than their competitors. Mark Carney continues to be the most widely preferred choice for prime minister. Economic issues remain Canadians’ foremost concern, while concern about cost-of-living pressures is on the rise.

LPC 49.1, CPC 28.2, NDP 10.9 - Stability at the ballot, inflation worry on the rise

LPC 49.1, CPC 28.2, NDP 10.9 - Stability at the ballot, inflation worry on the rise

Canada’s federal political landscape remains relatively stable, with the Liberals maintaining a lead in national ballot support and a stronger overall party index than their competitors. Mark Carney continues to be the most widely preferred choice for prime minister. Economic issues remain Canadians’ foremost concern, while concern about cost-of-living pressures is on the rise.

Confidence lands on neutral as expectations weaken

Confidence lands on neutral as expectations weaken

Canadian confidence is treading water. The Bloomberg-Nanos Canadian Confidence Index slipped to 50.45 from 51.80 four weeks earlier. Confidence in personal finances and job security remains comparatively resilient, but expectations for the broader economy and housing market have softened. The result is a public mood marked less by alarm than by caution: households are holding steady, yet doubts about Canada’s...

Not ready for takeoff: Canadians remain skeptical of private control at major airports

Not ready for takeoff: Canadians remain skeptical of private control at major airports

The research focused on Canadians’ views of the federal government’s proposal to allow private investors to operate Canada’s four largest airports. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (cell and landlines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,057 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, from September 27th to 29th, 2026 as part of an omnibus survey. The sample included...

Carney and Liberals hit new long term high. Liberals at 50 percent support, Carney at 62 on preferred PM tracking.

Carney and Liberals hit new long term high. Liberals at 50 percent support, Carney at 62 on preferred PM tracking.

Canada’s federal political landscape remains defined by a significant gap between the Liberals and their rivals, according to the latest weekly tracking. Liberal support stands at just under 50 per cent nationally, while the Conservatives remain in second place and the NDP trailing. The findings suggest that voter preferences have remained relatively stable in recent weeks, with little evidence of...

Carney and Liberals hit new long term high. Liberals at 50 percent support, Carney at 62 on preferred PM tracking.

Carney and Liberals hit new long term high. Liberals at 50 percent support, Carney at 62 on preferred PM tracking.

Canada’s federal political landscape remains defined by a significant gap between the Liberals and their rivals, according to the latest weekly tracking. Liberal support stands at just under 50 per cent nationally, while the Conservatives remain in second place and the NDP trailing. The findings suggest that voter preferences have remained relatively stable in recent weeks, with little evidence of...

Pocketbook resilient as outlook drifting in neutral.

Pocketbook resilient as outlook drifting in neutral.

Canadian consumer confidence was little changed in late September. The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index stands at 50.88, compared with 51.72 four weeks earlier. Views of personal finances and job security improved modestly, with the Pocketbook Index rising to 54.67 from 53.75. At the same time, expectations for the economy and real estate market softened, with the Expectations Index remaining in neutral.

Liberals ahead by 17 points - Canadians turn their attention to the US while keeping an eye on the economy.

Liberals ahead by 17 points - Canadians turn their attention to the US while keeping an eye on the economy.

Canadian political preferences remain broadly stable, with the Liberals leading federal ballot support at 48.1 per cent, followed by the Conservatives at 31.0 per cent and the NDP at 11.2 per cent. Mark Carney is the most frequently selected choice for prime minister, ahead of Pierre Poilievre. Among national issues, relations with the United States and the economy rank as...

Canadian confidence slips below neutral for first time in about five months

Canadian confidence slips below neutral for first time in about five months

The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index moved below the neutral 50-point mark, declining from 52.81 four weeks ago to 49.86. The change reflected lower expectations for the economy and housing market, while assessments of personal finances and job security remained relatively stable. Overall confidence is below both its 2026 average and its long-term historical average, indicating a more subdued economic...

Québec Election Survey: PQ 27.9%, Liberals 23.7%, CAQ 21.6%, Conservatives 16.4% and Québec solidaire 8.7%

Québec Election Survey: PQ 27.9%, Liberals 23.7%, CAQ 21.6%, Conservatives 16.4% and Québec solidaire 8.7%

“As of September 14th, the PQ holds a marginal lead in the ballot race while the premier contest is still highly competitive. The CAQ led by Christine Fréchette retains an issue-management advantage on economic and trade matters. On improving the finances of Quebecers, it is a horse race.” Nik Nanos, Chief Data Scientist The Parti Québécois have a marginal lead...

The American shadow: Concern about Trump/US on upward trajectory – LPC (48.3), CPC (30.9), NDP (10.9)

The American shadow: Concern about Trump/US on upward trajectory – LPC (48.3), CPC (30.9), NDP (10.9)

Concern over the United States has surged to the top of Canadians’ list of national priorities, overtaking jobs and the economy and underscoring how cross-border uncertainty continues to shape the political landscape. Twenty-seven per cent of Canadians now cite relations with the United States as the country’s most important issue, up sharply from 11.4% four weeks earlier, while concern about...

A growing appetite for making streamers fund Canadian content.

A growing appetite for making streamers fund Canadian content.

This research gauged the opinion of Canadians on streaming services financially supporting the creation of Canadian content.

Confidence eases amid uncertainty over Canada-U.S. trade

Confidence eases amid uncertainty over Canada-U.S. trade

Canadian consumer confidence eased in early September, with the Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index lowering to 50.38 from 53.38 four weeks earlier. The decline was driven by softer expectations for the economy and real estate, while views on personal finances and job security remained comparatively stable.

Trump trumps the economy – Worries about Washington top the national agenda for the first time in a year, as the Liberals hold a 16-point lead.

Trump trumps the economy – Worries about Washington top the national agenda for the first time in a year, as the Liberals hold a 16-point lead.

Federal political preferences remain broadly unchanged in the latest Nanos tracking. The Liberals stand at 47.3% support, followed by the Conservatives at 31.3%, while the NDP records 10.8%. Mark Carney remains the preferred choice for prime minister at 55.2, compared with 21.3% for Pierre Poilievre. Meanwhile, Donald Trump and the Canada-US relationship ranks as the country’s leading national issue of...

Consumers confidence holds its ground as expectations ease

Consumers confidence holds its ground as expectations ease

Canadian confidence held its score since the last wave of tracking, with the Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index at 51.80. Views on personal finances and job security were stronger, reflected in a Pocketbook Index score of 54.83. Expectations for the economy and housing were weaker, leaving the Expectations Index at 48.76 and below the neutral 50-point mark.

Gap between Liberals and Conservatives narrows in wake of trade talk turbulence

Gap between Liberals and Conservatives narrows in wake of trade talk turbulence

Concern about Trump/US relations is now statistically tied with jobs/the economy. Of note, in the immediate wake of the Carney government breaking off talks with the Americans, the gap between the Liberals and the Conservative narrowed to 11 points in the Nanos weekly tracking.

Consumer confidence declines on trade uncertainty

Consumer confidence declines on trade uncertainty

Canadian consumer confidence showed negative pressure immediately on the escalation of trade tensions with the United States. The forward looking Expectations Sub-indice declined, in a seven day period, from 51.61 to 49.70 points on the 100 point diffusion index. Any score above 50 is positive while a score below 50 is negative. This should be monitored in terms of new trajectory for the trend line.

Liberals lead by 14 points - Worry about jobs/the economy continues. Concern about Trump/US relations up

Liberals lead by 14 points - Worry about jobs/the economy continues. Concern about Trump/US relations up

Canadians remain preoccupied with their pocketbooks, but a new worry is climbing fast. Jobs and the economy still tops the list of unprompted national concerns at 20.2%, little changed from 21.1% four weeks ago, while inflation edges up to 11.3%. The striking movement is Trump and relations with the United States, which has nearly doubled to 14.9% from 8.1% in...

Canadian confidence is climbing the wall of worry

Canadian confidence is climbing the wall of worry

Canadian confidence is climbing the wall of worry. The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index stands at 52.81, up from 52.55 four weeks ago and within sight of its twelve-month high of 54.19. The advance is one of expectation rather than experience. Only 13 per cent of Canadians say they are better off than a year ago, while 35 per cent say they are worse off.

Canadians’ anxieties remain stubbornly material but the neighbours are intruding: Jobs/the economy top concern followed by Trump/US.

Canadians’ anxieties remain stubbornly material but the neighbours are intruding: Jobs/the economy top concern followed by Trump/US.

Jobs and the economy still top the unprompted list of national concerns at 19.6 per cent, easing from 20.6 four weeks ago, while inflation has slipped to 10.1 from 11.6. The mover is Trump and relations with the United States, up to 11.4 per cent from 8.4, now second only to the economy; environment (7.6%), health care (7.5%) and housing...

More confidence, not quite conviction

More confidence, not quite conviction

Canadian economic sentiment has improved modestly, but confidence remains restrained. The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index moved to 53.38 changing from 51.43 four weeks earlier, driven by both household finances and expectations for the economy and housing market. Canadians remain cautious with more saying the economy is more likely to weaken rather than strengthen, and with Canadians more likely to...

The economy tops minds, Liberals top polls: Liberals 45.6; Conservatives 29.1; NDP 12.9

The economy tops minds, Liberals top polls: Liberals 45.6; Conservatives 29.1; NDP 12.9

Economic issues continue to occupy a central place in Canadians’ concerns, with jobs and the economy remaining the most frequently cited national issue. Inflation also remains a notable concern, while attention to Canada-U.S. relations has increased in recent weeks. Other issues such as healthcare, housing affordability, the environment and national unity continue to register, although at lower levels.

The AI Balancing Act: Canadians divided on AI benefits, united against subsidies. (Globe and Mail/Nanos)

The AI Balancing Act: Canadians divided on AI benefits, united against subsidies. (Globe and Mail/Nanos)

Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,104 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, from July 28th to 30th, 2026 as part of an omnibus survey. The sample included both land- and celllines across Canada. The results were statistically checked and weighted by age and gender using the latest Census...

Economic sentiment edges to a four week high on stronger expectations.

Economic sentiment edges to a four week high on stronger expectations.

Canadian consumer confidence was largely unchanged in early August, according to the latest Bloomberg-Nanos Canadian Confidence Index. The index stood at 53.0, compared with 52.65 four weeks earlier and 52.81 the previous week. The reading remains above the neutral threshold of 50, indicating that positive assessments continue to slightly outweigh negative ones.

Political abstinence: Strong majority say they will boycott American alcohol if it returned to store shelves

Political abstinence: Strong majority say they will boycott American alcohol if it returned to store shelves

This research gauged views of Canadians on their likelihood to buy American alcohol if it were put back on the shelves of Canadian liquor stores. Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) hybrid telephone and online random survey of 1,104 Canadians, 18 years of age or older, from July 28th to 30th, 2026 as part of an omnibus...

Liberals lead as economic concerns and Trump dominate mindset - LPC 47.1%, CPC 27.9%, NDP 12.7%

Liberals lead as economic concerns and Trump dominate mindset - LPC 47.1%, CPC 27.9%, NDP 12.7%

The Liberals continue to occupy a dominant position in federal politics, widening the gap with their rivals and reinforcing a lead that extends across voter preferences and broader measures of political strength. The latest tracking places Liberal ballot support at 47.1%, compared with 27.9% for the Conservatives and 12.7% for the NDP. The party also holds a substantial advantage on...

No obvious challenger: Harper and Poilievre lead the Conservative field, but most often Canadians say none has a chance to defeat Carney.

No obvious challenger: Harper and Poilievre lead the Conservative field, but most often Canadians say none has a chance to defeat Carney.

This research gauged the opinion of Canadians on which notable Canadian Conservative would have the best chance of defeating Liberal leader Mark Carney.

Liberals maintain lead amid evolving concerns.

Liberals maintain lead amid evolving concerns.

Federal politics remains relatively stable heading into the latter part of July. National ballot tracking places the Liberals at 44.7%, the Conservatives at 29.5%, and the NDP at 12.7%, with smaller shares for the Bloc Québécois (7.3%), Green Party (4.5%), and People’s Party (1.1%).

Pocketbooks Strengthen; Expectations Stabilize

Pocketbooks Strengthen; Expectations Stabilize

Canadian consumer confidence remained modestly positive in late July. The Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index registered 52.55, slightly above its level four weeks earlier. Assessments of personal finances and job security were stronger, with the Pocketbook Index at 54.84, while views on the economy and housing market were more restrained, with the Expectations Index at 50.27. Overall sentiment remained above...

iberals 42.7, Conservatives 31.3, NDP 13.6

iberals 42.7, Conservatives 31.3, NDP 13.6

Political sentiment remains relatively steady as summer progresses. The Liberals continue to lead federal ballot tracking at 42.7%, ahead of the Conservatives at 31.3%, while Mark Carney remains the leading choice for prime minister. Economic concerns continue to dominate public priorities, with jobs and the economy cited most often (20.6%), followed by cost of living (11.6%). Concerns about the environment...

Consumer Sentiment Eases After Early-Summer Rise

Consumer Sentiment Eases After Early-Summer Rise

Canadian consumer confidence eased this week, with the Bloomberg Nanos Canadian Confidence Index declining to 51.43 from 52.65 the previous week. The index remains below its 2026 high of 54.19 and well below the peak recorded in 2021.

Economic Pressures Endure, Political Rankings Hold - LPC 43%, CPC 31%

Economic Pressures Endure, Political Rankings Hold - LPC 43%, CPC 31%

The federal political landscape endures, with the Liberals at 43.0 per cent among committed voters compared with 31.0 per cent for the Conservatives. Mark Carney remains the preferred choice for prime minister at 51.5 per cent. Jobs and the economy continue to be Canadians’ top national concern at 21.5 per cent, followed by cost of living at 12.0 per cent.

Confidence hits a four-month high.

Confidence hits a four-month high.

Canadians are over three times more likely to rate Mark Carney’s handling of the economy as good rather than poor

Canadians are over three times more likely to rate Mark Carney’s handling of the economy as good rather than poor

The research gauged the views of Canadians on Prime Minister Mark Carney’s job of handling the economy.

Slim majority of Canadians against federal government’s proposal to privatize airports.
Liberal cushion shrinks with economic concerns front of mind.

Liberal cushion shrinks with economic concerns front of mind.

The Liberals continue to lead federal voting intentions, with their advantage over the Conservatives shrinking into the single digits. Mark Carney remains the preferred choice for prime minister, while jobs, the economy and cost-of-living pressures continue to rank among Canadians’ top concerns.

Economic mood stuck in neutral.

Economic mood stuck in neutral.

Canada’s economic confidence has remained broadly stable. The Bloomberg-Nanos Canadian Confidence Index stood at 51.24, slightly higher than four weeks earlier and just above the neutral benchmark. Views on personal finances and job security were largely unchanged, while expectations for the economy and housing have improved modestly.

Canadians split on Alto High-Speed Rail as a Government priority

Canadians split on Alto High-Speed Rail as a Government priority

Nanos was retained to conduct research to gauge the views of Canadians on the importance of the Alto High-Speed Rail Project as a government priority.

Canadians overwhelmingly want national unity, but many believe it is weakening

Canadians overwhelmingly want national unity, but many believe it is weakening

A vast majority of Canadians say it is important (77%) or somewhat important (11%) for Canada to remain a united country.

Liberals lead by 13 points - Carney ahead of Poilievre by 26 points on preferred PM.

Liberals lead by 13 points - Carney ahead of Poilievre by 26 points on preferred PM.

Canada’s federal political landscape remains steady, with little movement in party support. The Liberals continue to lead comfortably at 43.8%, ahead of the Conservatives at 30.4%. The NDP sits at 12.0%, while the Bloc (6.5%) and Greens (5.2%) remain smaller players.

Canadian economic sentiment sputtering in neutral

Canadian economic sentiment sputtering in neutral

Canadian economic sentiment remains stable. The Bloomberg‑Nanos index stood at 50.88, up from 50.70 four weeks earlier and close to neutral. Current conditions eased slightly, with the pocketbook measure at 51.82, while expectations rose to 49.93. Overall levels remain below the longer-term average of 54.73 and the recent peak of 54.19, suggesting a broadly balanced but somewhat cautious economic outlook.

Liberals 43.5, Conservatives 31.5, NDP 11.4

Liberals 43.5, Conservatives 31.5, NDP 11.4

The Liberals continue to lead the Nanos Ballot numbers at 43.5%, maintaining their lead over the Conservatives at 31.5%, with other parties trailing. Economic concerns, jobs, inflation and the cost of living remain the most prominent issues of national concern, alongside housing and Trump/US relations.

Canada’s economic mood: hovering at neutral

Canada’s economic mood: hovering at neutral

Canadian consumer confidence remains subdued, with the composite index edging down to 50.42 from 51.73 four weeks earlier, remaining close to neutral. Household sentiment has weakened, as the pocketbook measure declined to 51.48 from 55.01, reflecting softer views on personal finances and job security. Expectations improved modestly to 49.36 but remains below neutral.

Liberals hold lead as concern on national unity on radar

Liberals hold lead as concern on national unity on radar

Canada’s federal polling shows a stable Liberal lead, with support at 42.7% compared with 30.7% for the Conservatives. Other parties remain at lower levels of support. Preferences for prime minister follow a similar pattern. Mark Carney is the most selected first choice at 48.6%, while Pierre Poilievre stands at 24.1%, with others trailing.

Canadian economic mood stable, but lacking momentum (Bloomberg/Nanos Research)

Canadian economic mood stable, but lacking momentum (Bloomberg/Nanos Research)

Canada’s economic mood remains near neutral with a slight dip from recent weeks. Household sentiment has eased, while expectations remain broadly unchanged. Overall, views are balanced, with Canadian’s cautious sentiment prevailing.