David Coletto

While National Newswatch does not keep an archive of external articles for longer than 6 months, we do keep all articles written by contributors who post directly to our site. Here you will find all of the contributed and linked external articles from David Coletto.

Are Poilievre and the Conservatives headed towards a "loveless landslide"?

Are Poilievre and the Conservatives headed towards a "loveless landslide"?

There’s always value in watching what’s going on in other countries to learn something about what is happening in your...

Nova Scotia PCs extend lead as campaign hits halfway mark

Nova Scotia PCs extend lead as campaign hits halfway mark

The results indicate that the Nova Scotia PC Party and Premier Tim Houston have increased their lead over the opposition...

Conservatives lead by 19 as other metrics hold steady

Conservatives lead by 19 as other metrics hold steady

From October 31 to November 5, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,915 Canadian adults exploring several topics...

Conservatives lead by 19 as other metrics hold steady.

Conservatives lead by 19 as other metrics hold steady.

From October 31 to November 5, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,915 Canadian adults exploring several topics...

Ontario PC lead down to 16 as Ford Government approval drops

Ontario PC lead down to 16 as Ford Government approval drops

From October 31 to November 5, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a survey of 998 eligible voters in Ontario exploring several...

Inflationitis Strikes Again - A scarcity mindset is killing incumbent governments everywhere.

Inflationitis Strikes Again - A scarcity mindset is killing incumbent governments everywhere.

Two years of market research and polling have helped me identify a condition that, if left unchecked, has the power...

Are perceptions about population growth impacting political opinions? Polling from Nova Scotia.

Are perceptions about population growth impacting political opinions? Polling from Nova Scotia.

Last week, we released the initial results from our first poll in Nova Scotia as voters weigh their choices during...

Nova Scotia PCs lead by 19: Why Tim Houston is well positioned to be re-elected.

Nova Scotia PCs lead by 19: Why Tim Houston is well positioned to be re-elected.

The results indicate that the Nova Scotia PC Party and Premier Tim Houston are in a strong position as the...

Nova Scotia PCs lead by 19: Why Tim Houston is well positioned to be re-elected.

Nova Scotia PCs lead by 19: Why Tim Houston is well positioned to be re-elected.

The results indicate that the Nova Scotia PC Party and Premier Tim Houston are in a strong position as the...

Conservatives lead by 22 as surrounding impressions hold steady.

Conservatives lead by 22 as surrounding impressions hold steady.

From October 17 to 22, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,500 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...

Conservatives lead by 22 as surrounding impressions hold steady.

Conservatives lead by 22 as surrounding impressions hold steady.

From October 17 to 22, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,500 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...

57% of Canadians living in a Liberal held riding want their MP to call on Justin Trudeau to resign and not run again.

57% of Canadians living in a Liberal held riding want their MP to call on Justin Trudeau to resign and not run again.

From October 17 to 22, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,500 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...

57% of Canadians living in a Liberal held riding want their MP to call on Justin Trudeau to resign and not run again.

57% of Canadians living in a Liberal held riding want their MP to call on Justin Trudeau to resign and not run again.

From October 17 to 22, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,500 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...

1 in 2 Canadians Say Immigration Is Harming the Nation, Up 10 Points Since Last Year. What’s Changed?

1 in 2 Canadians Say Immigration Is Harming the Nation, Up 10 Points Since Last Year. What’s Changed?

From October 3 to 9, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,915 Canadian adults (18+) to gauge their...

1 in 2 Canadians Say Immigration Is Harming the Nation, Up 10 Points Since Last Year. What’s Changed?

1 in 2 Canadians Say Immigration Is Harming the Nation, Up 10 Points Since Last Year. What’s Changed?

From October 3 to 9, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,915 Canadian adults (18+) to gauge their...

How Much Does Likeability Matter? Can a Politician Win an Election Without Being Seen as 'Nice'?

How Much Does Likeability Matter? Can a Politician Win an Election Without Being Seen as 'Nice'?

As the talk of an early federal election continues (I still highly doubt we will have one this year), one...

Conservatives lead by 21 despite negative impressions of Pierre Poilievre rising

Conservatives lead by 21 despite negative impressions of Pierre Poilievre rising

From October 3 to 10, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,900 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...

Conservatives lead by 21 despite negative impressions of Pierre Poilievre rising

Conservatives lead by 21 despite negative impressions of Pierre Poilievre rising

From October 3 to 10, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,900 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...

Public concern about Climate Change drops 14-points since last year. Why?

Public concern about Climate Change drops 14-points since last year. Why?

From September 19 to 25, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,701 Canadian adults (18+) to examine their...

Which Trust Attributes Most Drive the Reputations of Justin Trudeau and Pierre Poilievre?

Which Trust Attributes Most Drive the Reputations of Justin Trudeau and Pierre Poilievre?

In politics, trust is a currency that every leader needs, but few can consistently maintain. It shapes the way voters...

The Liberal Party’s base may now be just 7 percent of Canadians. A hard look at the numbers

The Liberal Party’s base may now be just 7 percent of Canadians. A hard look at the numbers

For decades, the Liberal Party of Canada has been described as Canada’s “natural governing party.” It’s a centrist party in...

NDP passes Liberals outside of Quebec; Conservatives lead by 22

NDP passes Liberals outside of Quebec; Conservatives lead by 22

From September 19 to 25, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,700 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...

The Political Dynamics of Happiness and Joy. On this, we aren’t as divided as you might think.

The Political Dynamics of Happiness and Joy. On this, we aren’t as divided as you might think.

In challenging times, it’s easy to focus on the things that divide us—our political leanings, our views on the future...

As Parliament Resumes and on the Eve of Two Crucial Byelections, the Conservatives lead by 21

As Parliament Resumes and on the Eve of Two Crucial Byelections, the Conservatives lead by 21

From September 5 to 12, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,964 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...

Abacus Data Poll: As Parliament Resumes and on the Eve of Two Crucial Byelections, the Conservatives lead by 21

Abacus Data Poll: As Parliament Resumes and on the Eve of Two Crucial Byelections, the Conservatives lead by 21

From September 5 to 12, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,964 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...

Conservatives lead by 17 as 4 in 10 federal Conservative supporters say their vote is more about disliking PM Trudeau and the Liberals than liking Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives.

Conservatives lead by 17 as 4 in 10 federal Conservative supporters say their vote is more about disliking PM Trudeau and the Liberals than liking Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives.

From August 14 to 18, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,300 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...

What Policy Ideas Attract and Repel Canadian Voters? A look at the “Third Rails” of Canadian Politics

What Policy Ideas Attract and Repel Canadian Voters? A look at the “Third Rails” of Canadian Politics

What are the “third rail” policy issues of Canadian politics? The “third rail” of politics refers to a controversial issue...

BC NDP leads by 5 over BC Conservatives as Falcon’s tax cut pledge fails to deliver bounce so far.

BC NDP leads by 5 over BC Conservatives as Falcon’s tax cut pledge fails to deliver bounce so far.

From August 14 to 16, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a survey of 1,000 eligible voters in British Columbia exploring their...

Is Immigration pushing the Conservatives up in Quebec?

Is Immigration pushing the Conservatives up in Quebec?

On Sunday, I released new federal polling that showed the Conservatives tied with the BQ in Quebec. Now, this is...

Conservatives lead by 20 as positive impressions of Pierre Poilievre rise

Conservatives lead by 20 as positive impressions of Pierre Poilievre rise

From July 31 to August 7, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,550 Canadian adults exploring several topics...

Abacus Data Poll: Conservatives lead by 20 as positive impressions of Pierre Poilievre rise

Abacus Data Poll: Conservatives lead by 20 as positive impressions of Pierre Poilievre rise

From July 31 to August 7, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,550 Canadian adults exploring several topics...

Liberals can't reduce their polling deficit without changing how people feel about Trudeau

Liberals can't reduce their polling deficit without changing how people feel about Trudeau

Two weeks ago, Susan Delacourt at the Toronto Star (Abacus Data’s media partner), asked me to explore in more depth...

The Youth Shift: Understanding the Drift Away from the Liberals

The Youth Shift: Understanding the Drift Away from the Liberals

From June 20 to 25, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,926 Canadian adults (18+) to examine the...

Conservatives lead by 19 over the Liberals as party leader and government approval ratings hold steady.

Conservatives lead by 19 over the Liberals as party leader and government approval ratings hold steady.

From July 16 to 22, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,000 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...

Conservatives lead by 19 over the Liberals as party leader and government approval ratings hold steady.

Conservatives lead by 19 over the Liberals as party leader and government approval ratings hold steady.

From July 16 to 22, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,000 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...

Federal vs Provincial Governments: Which is doing a better job?

Federal vs Provincial Governments: Which is doing a better job?

Yesterday, Canada’s premiers gathered in Nova Scotia for Council of the Federation meeting. In anticipation of this event, we asked...

Abacus Data Poll: Liberals trail Conservatives by 20 as Public Mood Sours

Abacus Data Poll: Liberals trail Conservatives by 20 as Public Mood Sours

From July 4 to 9, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,989 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...

Do you know who this is? The Implications of Recognizability in Canadian Politics

Do you know who this is? The Implications of Recognizability in Canadian Politics

Yesterday, we released our latest tracking poll on Canadian politics that found the Conservatives ahead of the Liberals by 20-points...

Liberals trail Conservatives by 20 as Public Mood Sours

Liberals trail Conservatives by 20 as Public Mood Sours

From July 4 to 9, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,989 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...

What is Motivating Voting Preferences in Canada?

What is Motivating Voting Preferences in Canada?

From June 20 to 25, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,900 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...

Alberta Politics: UCP ahead of NDP by 14-points post-Nenshi leadership victory.

Alberta Politics: UCP ahead of NDP by 14-points post-Nenshi leadership victory.

From June 25 and 28, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a survey of 1,000 Albertans aged 18 and over exploring public...

Ford PCs lead by 16 despite increase in disapproval of the provincial government’s performance

Ford PCs lead by 16 despite increase in disapproval of the provincial government’s performance

From June 20 to June 25, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a survey of 1,000 eligible voters in Ontario exploring several...

Abacus Data Poll: Pre-Toronto-St. Paul’s Byelection, Conservatives lead by 19

Abacus Data Poll: Pre-Toronto-St. Paul’s Byelection, Conservatives lead by 19

From June 20 to 25, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,900 Canadian adults exploring several topics related...

Oh Canada Day, eh? Embracing Generational Love for the Maple Leaf

Oh Canada Day, eh? Embracing Generational Love for the Maple Leaf

From June 20 and 25, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a nationwide survey of 1,926 Canadians aged 18 and over to...

Toronto-St. Paul's Byelection: A Swing Big Enough to Wipe Out 55 Liberal Seats in Ontario

Toronto-St. Paul's Byelection: A Swing Big Enough to Wipe Out 55 Liberal Seats in Ontario

This was not any ordinary byelection. The stakes were high. I went to bed thinking the Liberals would hold on...

Canadians React to the Bank of Canada Interest Rate Cut

Canadians React to the Bank of Canada Interest Rate Cut

Between June 6 and 13 2024, Abacus Data conducted a nationwide survey involving 1,550 Canadians (18+) to assess their perceptions...

Post-Interest Rate Cut, Conservatives lead by 20 and Liberal vote share drops to lowest level since 2015.

Post-Interest Rate Cut, Conservatives lead by 20 and Liberal vote share drops to lowest level since 2015.

From June 6 to 13, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,550 Canadian adults exploring several topics related to...

Post-Interest Rate Cut, Conservatives lead by 20 and Liberal vote share drops to lowest level since 2015.

Post-Interest Rate Cut, Conservatives lead by 20 and Liberal vote share drops to lowest level since 2015.

From June 6 to 13, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,550 Canadian adults exploring several topics related to...

Abacus Data Poll: Conservatives lead down to 16 as Liberals make gains among younger Canadians

Abacus Data Poll: Conservatives lead down to 16 as Liberals make gains among younger Canadians

From May 16 to 21, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,415 adults exploring several topics related to...

Conservatives lead down to 16 as Liberals make gains among younger Canadians

Conservatives lead down to 16 as Liberals make gains among younger Canadians

From May 16 to 21, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,415 adults exploring several topics related to...

Canadians are concerned proposed capital gains tax changes will impact access to physicians

Canadians are concerned proposed capital gains tax changes will impact access to physicians

From April 30 to May 1, Abacus Data conducted a public opinion survey with a nationally representative sample of 1,50...

BC NDP leads by 6 over the BC Conservatives as the gap closes from 18 to 6-points

BC NDP leads by 6 over the BC Conservatives as the gap closes from 18 to 6-points

From May 6 to 9, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a survey of 1,000 eligible voters in British Columbia exploring their...

Conservatives lead by 21 as the budget fails to change opinions

Conservatives lead by 21 as the budget fails to change opinions

From April 25 to 29, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,500 adults exploring several topics related to...

Abacus Data Poll: Conservatives lead by 21 as the budget fails to change opinions

Abacus Data Poll: Conservatives lead by 21 as the budget fails to change opinions

From April 25 to 29, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,500 adults exploring several topics related to...

Conservatives maintain 20-point lead

Conservatives maintain 20-point lead

From April 11 to 16, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,300 adults exploring several topics related to...

Abacus Data Poll: Conservatives open up their largest lead yet.

Abacus Data Poll: Conservatives open up their largest lead yet.

From April 3 to 9, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,000 adults exploring several topics related to...

Conservatives open up their largest lead yet.

Conservatives open up their largest lead yet.

From April 3 to 9, 2024 Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,000 adults exploring several topics related to...

Labour Politics: How does union membership impact political behaviour?

In my last post, I explored three key groups of voters I termed “the switchers”. This analysis used a huge...

Alberta Politics: UCP ahead of NDP by 15-points. Naheed Nenshi is the most well-known and well-liked NDP leadership candidate.

Alberta Politics: UCP ahead of NDP by 15-points. Naheed Nenshi is the most well-known and well-liked NDP leadership candidate.

From March 14 to 21, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a survey of 1,000 Alberta adults exploring several topics as part...

Ford vs. Poilievre: What Ontarians think plus the latest Ontario politics tracker

Ford vs. Poilievre: What Ontarians think plus the latest Ontario politics tracker

From March 14 to 21, 2024, Abacus Data conducted a survey of 1,500 Ontario adults exploring several topics as part...