• Sandro Ayrle, David Coletto

Public perceptions about Canada’s global alignment continues to shift. A new Abacus Data survey finds more Canadians still see the United States as Canada’s most important partner today, but confidence in U.S. reliability has eroded, and impressions have softened. At the same time, support for deeper strategic cooperation with the European Union is strong, and nearly half now support the...

• 2026-03-04
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Between February 18 and 23, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 1,500 Canadian adults as part of our ongoing federal political tracking. This wave was conducted during a distinct political moment. It follows last week’s high-profile floor crossing in Ottawa, which briefly reshaped parliamentary optics and dominated political coverage. At the same time, it was fielded prior to President Donald Trump’s State...

• 2026-03-01
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

For the past two years, much of his rhetoric has revolved around the idea that Canada is broken. That elites have failed. That gatekeepers have blocked growth and made life unaffordable. It has been sharp and oppositional, sometimes deliberately so. This speech was different. It felt calmer and more reflective. He reached back to Marcus Aurelius and the founding of...

• 2026-02-26
• — Substack

• Kelly Bennett, David Coletto

From January 21 to 28, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 601 adults living in Nova Scotia. Our latest Nova Scotia release provides a detailed snapshot of the province’s political landscape as Premier Tim Houston and his Progressive Conservative government returns to the legislature and prepares to table their 2026-27 budget, which is widely expected to emphasize spending restraint.

• 2026-02-18
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Between February 5 and 10, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 1,915 Canadian adults as part of our ongoing federal political tracking. This wave comes at a consequential moment in federal politics. It follows the Conservative Party convention in Calgary and Pierre Poilievre’s leadership review, but more importantly, it represents the first clear read on the political environment after several weeks of...

• 2026-02-15
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

It has been more than a year since Abacus Data last measured American attitudes toward Canada, trade, and tariffs. To revisit these issues, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 4,000 American adults from February 2 to 4, 2026, including an oversample in several northern and border states. The survey explored how Americans feel about the direction of their country...

• 2026-02-11
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

This week in Ottawa, Conservatives will gather to mark a milestone that still shapes Canadian politics: Stephen Harper’s election victory twenty years ago in 2006, ending more than a decade of Liberal rule. The unveiling of Mr. Harper’s official portrait is a reminder that his legacy will sit, quite literally, in the halls of Parliament. Our latest Abacus Data survey...

• 2026-02-03
• — Substack

• David Coletto

Between January 12 and 16, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 2,008 Canadian adults as part of a special polling series examining public opinion about the Conservative Party of Canada and its leader, Pierre Poilievre.

• 2026-01-27
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Between January 12 and 16, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 2,008 Canadian adults as part of a special polling series examining public opinion about the Conservative Party of Canada and its leader, Pierre Poilievre.

• 2026-01-26
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Between January 12 and 16, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 2,008 Canadian adults as part of a polling series with the Toronto Star examining public opinion about the Conservative Party of Canada and its leader, Pierre Poilievre. This second installment explores the composition and values of the Conservative coalition, with particular focus on the party’s base: the 23 percent of Canadians...

• 2026-01-23
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Between January 9 and 14, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed 1,850 Canadian adults, offering our first snapshot of the federal political landscape in the new year.

• 2026-01-18
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Between January 9 and 14, 2026, Abacus Data surveyed Canadian adults as part of its national omnibus survey to understand how Canadians are processing the dramatic events in Venezuela following President Donald Trump’s U.S. military operation to remove Nicolás Maduro from power and take Maduro into U.S. custody. The intervention, announced on January 3, has triggered a fast moving and...

• 2026-01-16
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

François Legault’s resignation does not just change the leadership of the Coalition Avenir Québec. It changes the election. That might sound like spin, but it reflects a basic truth about how voters actually make choices. Most people do not carry around detailed policy scorecards. They carry impressions. They rely on shortcuts. And the most powerful shortcut in politics is the...

• 2026-01-14
• — Substack

• David Coletto

I was 13 years old when Quebec voted on independence in 1995. I vaguely remember coming home the night the votes were being counted and seeing my parents glued to the television. I did not fully understand the stakes, but I could feel them. The tension in the room was unmistakable. Adults spoke in lowered voices. The country felt like...

• 2025-12-31
• — Substack

• David Coletto

If you want to know why Canadians judge a leader as an effective prime minister, you can ask them directly. Or you can look at what sits behind those judgments. That is what I set out to do. I ran the same statistical test for Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre and asked a straightforward question:

• 2025-12-26
• — Substack

• David Coletto

Any time you hear someone say “Canadians want this” or “Canadians think that,” you should be skeptical. There is no single Canadian consumer of politics. There is no unified national preference waiting to be discovered and satisfied. What we call public opinion is not one market but many, layered on top of each other, shaped by different pressures, levels of...

• 2025-12-17
• — Substack

• David Coletto

Between December 5 and 9, 2025, Abacus Data surveyed 1,500 Canadian adults, offering a final snapshot of the federal political landscape as Parliament wrapped up for the year and the country entered the holiday season. This is our last federal political tracker of 2025. This wave captures public response to several key developments: the Carney government’s early November budget, the...

• 2025-12-14
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto, Oksana Kishchuk

When Mark Carney became Prime Minister earlier this year, he promised a new way of governing. A leadership built on strategic discipline, clearer expectations, and a tighter focus across a sprawling federal system. Rather than issuing dozens of mandate letters, Carney set out a unified set of seven national priorities meant to guide every minister and every department. The message...

• 2025-12-02
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Between November 20 and 27, 2025, Abacus Data surveyed 2,421 Canadian adults to assess the post-budget political landscape. The survey was conducted just days after the Carney government passed its budget and survived a confidence vote. The results suggest that while the budget slightly lifted Liberal support and improved impressions of Prime Minister Mark Carney, it has not fundamentally altered...

• 2025-11-30
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Over the past decade, I have watched the public mood shift in ways I have not seen in twenty years of tracking opinion. Canadians are not just frustrated. They are unsettled. They are anxious about money, identity, stability, and the future. And they are looking at the people in charge of teams, companies, institutions, and governments to make sense of...

• 2025-11-14
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

What happens when a political leader is both deeply admired and deeply disliked? As Parliament breaks for the week, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre and his team may get a brief pause from the daily political grind, but the core of his public image is already well defined. He inspires intense loyalty among his supporters and equally intense opposition from his...

• 2025-11-12
• — Toronto Star

• David Coletto

Between November 5 and 6, 2025, Abacus Data surveyed 1,916 Canadian adults about the federal political landscape. The poll was conducted in the days following two major political developments: the release of the federal budget on November 4 and the defection of a Conservative MP to the Liberal caucus. These events had the potential to reshape the political narrative. Instead...

• 2025-11-10
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Leadership hypotheticals are always speculative, but they’re not pointless. Political leadership is about more than brand management or media presence, it’s the centre of the coalition, the public face of a movement, and often the determining factor in voting behaviour. That’s why we conducted a survey of 2,922 Canadian adults between October 24 and 29, 2025, for the Toronto Star...

• 2025-11-08
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

From October 24 to 29, 2025, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 2,922 Canadian adults to explore public attitudes toward immigration and its perceived impacts. The results show that opinions on immigration have stabilized after last year’s sharp rise in skepticism. While most Canadians continue to believe current immigration levels are too high and are contributing to pressure on...

• 2025-11-03
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Between October 24 and 29, 2025, Abacus Data surveyed 2,922 Canadian adults about the current political climate. The findings suggest a political environment that remains remarkably stable despite several flashpoints, including Donald Trump’s abrupt withdrawal from trade talks with Canada and Pierre Poilievre’s controversial remarks about the RCMP’s handling of Liberal-linked investigations. With the federal budget set to be tabled...

• 2025-11-02
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto, Kelly Bennett

Seven years after cannabis was legalized in Canada, a new survey from Abacus Data conducted for Organigram Global reveals that cannabis has firmly taken root in Canadian society. Cannabis use is widespread across age groups, and the sector is broadly seen as a valuable contributor to the national economy. Most Canadians support the idea of modernizing regulations to help the...

• 2025-10-29
• — Abacus Data

• Eddie Sheppard, David Coletto

Abacus Data, in partnership with the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), conducted a national survey examining how Canadians are navigating today’s housing crisis. This second release in the series explores the state of homeownership as both a personal goal and a social marker, the growing sense of compromise Canadians feel in pursuit of it, and the kinds of housing solutions...

• 2025-10-24
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives remain the dominant political force in Ontario, commanding a solid lead over their rivals despite signs that a meaningful segment of their support is more circumstantial than enthusiastic. Our latest survey of 1,000 eligible voters, conducted during a relatively quiet week in Ontario politics, finds the PCs holding at 51%, the Liberals ticking up...

• 2025-10-22
• — Abacus Data

• David Coletto

Between October 9 and 15, 2025, Abacus Data surveyed 4,501 Canadian adults on the current state of federal politics. The findings show a landscape largely unchanged at the topline — a deadlocked race between the Liberals and Conservatives, steady impressions of Prime Minister Mark Carney, and consistent anxieties about cost of living and economic stability. But this wave also captured...

• 2025-10-19
• — Abacus Data

• Alison Evans, David Coletto

If you ask Canadians what keeps them up at night, the answer is no mystery. The cost of living, housing and access to health care dominate our surveys. In recent Abacus Data polling, 68 per cent say they’re worried about affording basic needs in the next six months, and seven in ten are delaying major life decisions because of financial...

• 2025-10-14
• — Toronto Star