Weekly Writ 10/23: Turning points everywhere
Canadian politics might be hitting a turning point this week. Today is supposed to be the day when the big...
Éric Grenier
While National Newswatch does not keep an archive of external articles for longer than 6 months, we do keep all articles written by contributors who post directly to our site. Here you will find all of the contributed and linked external articles from Éric Grenier.
B.C. NDP favoured, but Conservatives could pull off upset
You’d think after over a decade the ghosts of the 2013 B.C. election campaign would be long put to rest...
Weekly Writ 10/16: Trudeau faces his biggest challenge
Over the weekend, multiple news outlets reported on an effort by some members of the Liberal caucus to oust Justin...
Election Writ 10/15: Are the B.C. Conservatives falling behind?
With days to go in British Columbia’s provincial election campaign, have the B.C. Conservatives lost their chance to win it...
Benchmarks for tonight's byelections
Parliament is returning and voters in two key byelections are going to the polls. The results of those contests in...
Weekly Writ 9/11: Monday's byelection scenarios
The outcomes of Monday’s two byelections in LaSalle–Émard–Verdun and Elmwood–Transcona could have important repercussions for how the rest of the...
Sask. Party still favourite to win in October
The next election in Saskatchewan is setting up to be the most competitive contest in more than 20 years. Does...
New Brunswick still a toss, but could be a Liberal-leaning one
New Brunswick’s scheduled election in October looks too close to call. But that view is a blurred, fuzzy one —...
B.C. NDP position worsening, but it's still the narrow favourite to win
It wasn’t too long ago that the B.C. New Democrats were poised to win the 2024 provincial election in a...
Weekly Writ 8/21: Box-checking vs. seat-flipping
Party leaders’ summer tours are like a Rorschach test. Look hard enough and you can see a cunning strategy behind...
Is Quebec about to flip?
There’s nothing like a surprising poll result to make politicos sit up. A survey published by Abacus Data this past...
Weekly Writ 8/7: Why Pierre Poilievre's fundraising edge is different
Like clockwork, the Conservative Party posted another record-breaking fundraising quarter, dwarfing the intake of all of its rivals – combined...
Weekly Writ 7/31: Last chance byelections?
Just a few days after naming their candidate for the riding of Elmwood–Transcona, on Sunday the Liberals went ahead and...
One year out (or sooner), Nova Scotia PCs heavily favoured to win
The next election in Nova Scotia is scheduled for July 15, 2025. The province was the last to not have...
LaSalle–Émard–Verdun: The Liberals' next test
The summer began with a high-stakes byelection that the Liberals lost, sending them into a vortex of self-reflection and internal...
Weekly Writ for July 3: Should Trudeau stay or should he go?
Justin Trudeau’s hold on the leadership of the Liberal Party, following the Conservative victory in the Toronto–St. Paul’s byelection, is...
Weekly Writ for June 26: Another canary in the Liberal coalmine
Well, that escalated slowly. Yes, it wasn’t until just before 4 AM early Tuesday morning that the Conservatives’ Don Stewart...
Toronto-St. Paul's Byelection: A Swing Big Enough to Wipe Out 55 Liberal Seats in Ontario
This was not any ordinary byelection. The stakes were high. I went to bed thinking the Liberals would hold on...
What to watch in Toronto–St. Paul's
Today’s byelection in Toronto–St. Paul’s is one that would be an easy win for the governing party in normal times...
Weekly Writ for June 19: Are Canadians not in 'decision mode' yet?
On Monday, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau appeared on CBC’s Power and Politics, where host David Cochrane asked Trudeau about his...
The State of the Writ, Year 3
Time flies when you’re having fun — and so it’s remarkable that it is already the moment to mark three...
Weekly Writ for June 12: Will climate change be a ballot box issue?
Climate change and the environment have been important issues for several federal election cycles now, but it hasn’t been a...
New Brunswick election still a toss-up
New Brunswick’s election is little more than four months away, but the outcome is no easier to predict than it...
Weekly Writ for June 5: Battleground spotlight on Atlantic Canada
When the polls shifted last summer, nowhere was the movement as dramatic and consequential as in Atlantic Canada. The Liberals...
Is Trudeau a drag on Crombie? Maybe not
The Ontario Liberals had hopes they could win last week’s provincial byelection in Milton, a riding in the Greater Toronto...
Weekly Writ for Apr. 24: Battleground spotlight on The 905
With the new electoral map now in force and the numbers of months before the next election countable on our...
Weekly Writ for Mar. 27: Alberta NDP leadership race bombshell
Yesterday, the Alberta NDP leadership race was shaken up by the withdrawal of Rakhi Pancholi from the contest and her...
Anthony Housefather's dilemma in Mount Royal
Liberal MP Anthony Housefather says he is in “reflection” about his future with the Liberal Party, even contemplating crossing the...
Weekly Writ for Mar. 20: Eby's NDP still on track for big win
With only seven months to go before British Columbia’s election, David Eby’s New Democrats remain in a commanding position, with...
Weekly Writ for Mar. 13: Naheed Nenshi is in
So, Naheed Nenshi is making a return to active politics and vying to become the next leader of the Alberta...
Weekly Writ for Mar. 6: What Durham tells us
The importance of Monday’s federal byelection in Durham is not what the results revealed but rather what they confirmed —...
What to watch in the Durham byelection
There might not be a lot of suspense ahead of today’s Durham byelection. The Conservatives have the riding for 2...
Weekly Writ for Feb. 28: Pharma deal gives Liberals more of the only thing they have left — time
Looks like there won’t be a federal election in 2024 — if it was ever likely that there was going...
Weekly Writ for Feb. 21: The seats that would give Poilievre a majority government
With the kinds of polling numbers we’ve seen over the last few months, Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives are knocking on the...
Weekly Writ for Feb. 14: A new polling normal that's not normal at all
A few recent polls have the Conservatives at or above 40% support while the Liberals wallow at or below 25%...
Weekly Writ for Feb. 7: A deep-dive into Poilievre's fundraising machine
The Conservatives raised a lot of money last year — and especially a lot more than the Liberals. But with...
Conservatives come out ahead on new electoral map but don't need the help
Let’s be clear. The new electoral map is probably not going to decide the next election. The polls have shifted...
Weekly Writ for Jan. 24: Which cabinet ministers are in danger of defeat?
Plus the countdown for the next federal byelections is on; what the latest polls are showing; a trailblazer in PEI.
It'll be a closer election, but Sask Party remains heavy favourite in 2024
With a little less than 290 days to go before Saskatchewan’s election, the governing Saskatchewan Party looks well-positioned to extend...
Weekly Writ for Jan. 10: Crisis and opportunity when MPs retire
It’s normal when an election approaches for MPs to start eyeing the exits. Signing on to run for another term...
Weekly Writ for Dec. 20: Taking stock and looking forward
As we prepare to get nestled all snug in our beds for the holiday season, I wanted to take this...
Weekly Writ for Dec. 13: When it comes to Poilievre and Quebec, let's be realistic
There’s been a bit of chatter recently about the Conservatives’ polling gains in Quebec and the possibility that the province...
No clear front runner as New Brunswick nears election year
Next year’s election in New Brunswick is looking like a real nail-biter, with both the Progressive Conservatives under Blaine Higgs...
Weekly Writ for Dec. 6: When and where did the polls move?
Looking at how federal polls have shifted in 2023, plus what's changed in Ontario politics in this last week. With...
Weekly Writ for Nov. 29: What 1st ballot score secures a leadership win?
On Saturday, we’ll find out who will be the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party. The front runner seems...
New Golden Horseshoe map no solace for troubled Liberals
The new electoral map in the swathe of ridings running from Durham Region around the City of Toronto and out...