Jorge Barrera

Rebel News owner Ezra Levant was 'mentor' to Poilievre, says author

Pierre Poilievre campaigned for Ezra Levant in Calgary riding nomination. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has documented historic ties to Rebel News owner Ezra Levant, the media personality at the epicentre of a controversy that has engulfed Canada's Leaders' Debates Commission. After facing criticism for allowing right-wing media activists to dominate the post-French debate press conference, the commission cancelled Thursday's post-debate...

Mark Gollom

Trump is demanding universities change policies or face defunding. Would Poilievre do the same? Conservative leader has called for an end to 'woke ideology' in schools

Conservative leader has called for an end to 'woke ideology' in schools. U.S. President Donald Trump has been threatening to cancel funding for some universities unless they accede to his demands to change ideological policy, similar to a pledge Pierre Poilievre has made for Canadian post-secondary schools. But so far, the Conservative leader has been sparse on details of exactly...

Mike Le Couteur

Carney to present platform with 4 planks

Hours before Mark Carney is expected to release the Liberals’ fully costed platform, CTV News has learned it will be broken down into four themes. “Unite, secure, protect and build,” are the planks around which Carney is expected to present his vision for Canada. A source on the Liberal campaign who is not authorized to speak publicly told CTV News...

James Bradshaw, Mark Rendell

Mark Carney’s business experience cemented his reputation for pragmatism

In the thick of the COVID-19 pandemic, Mark Carney was the chief capital wrangler for a novel product marketed by Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. BAM-T +0.95%increase In theory, his job was simple: persuade top financial executives to pour billions of dollars into a promised boom in renewable-energy and green-technology investments. In practice, it involved cajoling, hand-holding and decoding climate finance...

Philip Authier

Conservatives dig in to hold on to Quebec City fortress as Montreal resists

The way Claude Messier sees things, the fight is really with U.S. President Donald Trump and the ballot box question is who is best equipped to take him on. “We are in danger in Canada,” Messier says, pausing during his daily walk near the historic Saint-Ignace-de-Loyola church in the Quebec City riding of Beauport—Limoilou. “In this election I think we’re...

ElectionWatch 2025

Polling Trendlines

Latest Results

Canadian Federal Election Daily Tracker Poll, Day 27

The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted from Wednesday, April 16th to Friday, April 18th, 2025, among a sample of 1124 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was conducted using IVR. The survey is intended to represent the voting population in Canada. The margin of error for the...

David Valentin

National Tracker: Liberals 44%, Conservatives 39%

A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 44% (no change) to the Conservatives 39% (-2). The rolling survey, conducted from April 15 to April 17, 2025, used interactive voice response technology...

David Coletto

Abacus Data Snap Poll: Reaction to the English Leaders’ Debate

At 8:30 p.m. Eastern, as the English‑language leaders’ debate was close to wrapping up in Montréal, our team at Abacus Data pushed a national, English‑only survey into field. Within roughly ninety minutes we captured responses from a representative sample of 1,200 Canadian adults. We asked every participant whether they had watched “all or most,” “some,” or “a little” of the...

Seat Projections

Canada's Campaign Watchers

Third Wave Analysis:

Our watchers continue to see Liberals having the most momentum (89%), best candidates (82%) most effective leader (77%) and most impactful message (70%). Responses are a bit tighter on best ads, and Conservatives continue to be seen as having the best events. Read more.

Previous Analysis:

Wave 1, Wave 2, Wave 2 Update

Who Our Watchers Are:

Adam Taylor Adrian Jean Alex Maheu Ali Salam Aliya Mohammed Andrew Casey Andrew MacDougall Andy Gibbons Axel Rioux Ben Parsons Brad Lavigne Brendan McGuinty Brian Clow Brianna Ames Bruce Winchester Bruce Anderson Cameron MacKeen Cara Salci Carlene Variyan Caroline Séguin Chad Bowie Chad Walsh Chisholm Pothier Chris Day Chris McCluskey Christine Burke Dan Mader Dave Forestell Dave Prisco David McArthur Dennis Matthews Dennis Prouse Derek Nighbor Dil Puar Dimitri Soudas Don Stickney Elder Marques Elly Alboim Eric Johnson Fraser Macdonald Fred DeLorey Gabe Garfinkel Gabrielle Berard Greg MacNeil Greg MacEachern Hardave Birk Jaime Watt Jamie Kippen Janet Fryday Dorey Jason Kenney Jeremy Broadhurst Jim Anderson Joanne Macrae Jordan Deagle Kate Harrison Kathleen Monk Katie Telford Ken Boessenkool Kevin Bosch Lanny Cardow Laryssa Waler Laura Kurkimaki Laura Pennell Lawrence Cannon Lisa MacLeod Lisa Raitt Marc-Olivier Fortin Marcia Smith Max Dea Megan Leslie Melanie Richer Melissa Cotton Mike Solberg Mollie Anderson Monte Solberg Morgan Swan Nancy Jamieson Patrick Rogers Perry Tsergas Phil Cartwright Rebecca Rogers Richard Mahoney Rick Anderson Rob Silver Roxanna Benoit Ryan Dunn Sabrina Grover Scott Feschuk Scott Reid Sean Speer Sheamus Murphy Stephen Carter Tasha Kheiriddin Tausha Michaud Tim Powers Tyler Banham Vandana Fatima Kattar Will Stewart Yaroslav Baran Zain Velji Zita Astravas

Pierre Poilievre offers voters change — with a big side order of righteous grievance

The Conservative leader’s plain sense of righteous grievance will help determine whether his lifelong project as a career politician leads to the Prime Minister’s Office, or to the ignominy of an electoral defeat.

Tonda MacCharles

Mark Carney says he’s built to meet this moment of crisis. Is he ready for everything else?

The stakes for Carney, for the Liberals fighting for a fourth term, and for the country with Donald Trump’s eyes on Canada’s resources and sovereignty, couldn’t be higher.

Janyce McGregor

As foreign actors work to influence Canada's election, how safe is your vote?

When Hong Kong democracy activist Henry Chan decided to run for a Saskatchewan Party nomination in his hometown of Saskatoon, he didn't expect to come out of the experience wondering if he'd been a target of foreign meddling. Chan says he was approached at his meet-and-greet event by someone he later discovered on social media may have ties to the...

Campaign Analysis

Peter Mansbridge, Chantal Hébert, Rob Russo

Good Talk -- Did The Debates Change The Needle?

Four leaders, one moderator, two hours of debate. In a five week campaign did those two hours change the shape of Canada's election race? That's the question for Chantal Hebert and Rob Russo on this week's Good Talk. Plus, how did the debate organizers allow a fringe advocacy group disguised as reporters to take over the post-debate platform?

Mark Bourrie

Pierre Poilievre, the politician, is a man of many promises. I wrote the book on him, and these are the ones I think he’s most likely to keep

The first thing people ask me when I give a talk or an interview about my book “Ripper: The Making of Pierre Poilievre” is what the title means. The answer is easy: at the beginning of the COVID pandemic, New York Times columnist David Brooks wrote a piece saying there are two kinds of politicians, “rippers” and “weavers.” Rippers are...

Andrew MacDougall

Is Mark Carney ready for the world of irrational Trump-style politics?

Mark Carney the Rookie Politician would like you to know that Mark Carney the Experienced Central Banker is a serious person. The kind of man forged in the crucible of molten global crises, whether of the global financial or post-Brexit variety. In short, Carney wants Canadians to agree that he alone is able to take on the volatility that is...

David Coletto

“It’s About the Future—and the Past”: Why Canadians Are Voting the Way They Are, One Generation at a Time

As we enter the final stretch of the 2025 federal election campaign, a generational divide has opened up in Canadian politics—one that’s not just visible in the polling numbers, but audible in the voices of voters themselves. In a recent Abacus Data survey, we asked Canadians to explain—in their own words—why they’re voting the way they are. No prompts. No...

Susan Delacourt, Matt Gurney

Did the leaders’ debates change the course of this election?

Susan Delacourt: Well, the debates are now behind us, advance voting is under way, and I am thinking a lot this weekend about the whole idea of change. I wonder whether the debates changed anything. I’m curious to see if poll trends change in the last week of this election. And I’m also reflecting on Pierre Poilievre and whether we’ve...

Shannon Proudfoot

In Niagara Falls, Mark Carney stares down Hurricane Trump

Policy Announcements

Axe the Food Packaging Tax

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre promised today that a new Conservative government will stop Mark Carney’s proposed Liberal food tax and scrap the existing Liberal plastic ban. Poilievre will:

Conservatives Will Provide Seized Russian Assets To Ukraine

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre pledged that his new Conservative Government will provide $22 billion worth of frozen Russian assets to Ukraine for their heroic defence of their country against Putin’s vicious and illegal invasion. The Conservative Party of Canada has always stood with our Ukrainian allies. Moscow’s war against Ukraine did not start in 2022, but nearly eight years prior...

Conservatives Launch Part II of the Canada First Arctic Defence Plan

Chris Warkentin, Conservative candidate for Grande Prairie, announced the second phase of the Canada First Arctic Defence Plan today in Yellowknife. In the face of rising global threats and growing foreign interest in the North, Conservatives are taking bold action to secure Canadian sovereignty and defend our Arctic. For years, Canada believed our geography would protect us. But the three...

The Green Party of Canada launches its election platform

We are living in a moment of profound disruption. From climate disasters to rising authoritarianism, from hospitals stretched past capacity to housing costs that defy logic — people feel the ground shifting beneath their feet. And they’re being told to put their faith in “stability,” to trust that the same institutions that created this crisis will somehow get us out...

Conservatives Announce Plan to Protect Canada’s Fisheries

Today, Rick Perkins, Conservative Candidate for South Shore—St. Margarets, and Chris D’Entremont, Conservative Candidate for Acadie-Annapolis, announced the Conservative plan to protect Canadian fisheries. A new Conservative government will put science first, restore law and order and protect harvester rights. Conservatives will restore sustainablefisheries and ensure fairness in Canada’s coastal communities.

Mark Carney’s Liberals announce plan to train skilled workers for strong careers

In the face of President Trump’s tariffs, we need to build Canada strong. That starts by supporting our workers and helping them prepare for the careers of the future. Today, Mark Carney highlighted his plan to build Canada strong through this crisis, and announced a significant new benefit to help workers access and afford new skills training in the middle...

Opinion More

Michael Sangster

Foreign interference illustrates the need for a more capable workforce

Mark Bourrie

Pierre Poilievre, the politician, is a man of many promises. I wrote the book on him, and these are the ones I think he’s most likely to keep

Andrew MacDougall

Is Mark Carney ready for the world of irrational Trump-style politics?

David Coletto

“It’s About the Future—and the Past”: Why Canadians Are Voting the Way They Are, One Generation at a Time

Shannon Proudfoot

In Niagara Falls, Mark Carney stares down Hurricane Trump

Susan Delacourt, Matt Gurney

Did the leaders’ debates change the course of this election?

Tom Mulcair

Some hard lessons learned by Carney and Poilievre from the English debate

Mark Carney largely resisted the predictable onslaught from his opponents during the English leaders’ debate on Thursday night. He was helped by a boneheaded move by the hopeless Leaders’ Debates Commission that allowed fake news outlets into the room. Any difficult patches Carney may have experienced were pushed to the bottom of the page in post-debate analysis, owing to the...

Aaron Wherry

Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre see very different threats to Canada

Thirty-seven years ago, inside a television studio in Ottawa, John Turner thrust an index finger at Brian Mulroney and warned that with one stroke of a pen Mulroney had reversed 120 years of national development and thrown Canada into the "north-south influence of the United States.""When the economic levers go, the political independence is sure to follow," Turner said.

John Ivison

Liberal bus stops near the border and finds reason to be confident

There are probably few areas of Canada where Liberal fortunes have turned as dramatically as they have in Niagara Falls

Don Newman

The Homestretch: Debate-Week Takeaways

As we enter the 10-day homestretch of Canada’s most important election campaign in generations, many voters will be spending this long Easter weekend either casting their ballots in advance polls across the country or taking a last look at the very different candidates. This week provided a crucial window on those candidates, especially the two top rivals, Prime Minister Mark...

Susan Delacourt

Mark Carney made his case to be prime minister, despite Pierre Poilievre’s strong showing at final leaders’ debate

Three leaders walked on to a stage in Montreal on Thursday night with one mission — to take the front-runner shine off Liberal Leader Mark Carney.If there was any doubt about Carney’s lead in this election, it was dispelled within minutes after the opening of the English-language leaders’ debate.

David Coletto

Did the English-language election debate help Carney or Poilievre? A flash poll suggests the former seems increasingly poised to win

With the English-language leaders’ debate now in the rear-view mirror, the 2025 federal election campaign moves into its most important phase: the closing week.

John Ivison

A debate Liberals can call a success, but not much else

The impact on the broader election race was a nothingburger: there simply were no flashpoints that would justify anyone shifting their vote

Allan Gregg

The NDP is not going to win the election. But no one is forcing it to lose so badly

The dynamics of this election campaign have been nothing if not unusual. Consider, for example, that the Liberals’ remarkable ascent has had very little to do with the flagging fortunes of their Conservative rivals — and plenty to do with the near-collapse of the NDP and Bloc Québécois. Support for the independantistes has declined almost exclusively due to threats from...

Campbell Clark

The debate was a leader-versus-party contest between Poilievre and Carney – with no clear winner

Don Braid

Plenty of action and even some laughs in four hours of federal leaders' TV debates

Surprisingly absent from the debate was major focus on U.S. President Donald Trump. His offences were just one of many themes

Andrew Phillips

Canada needs one thing out of this election — a majority government

Before the current campaign, Canada held eight federal elections in this century. Five — including the last two — resulted in a minority government. Minorities have become the norm in our multi-party system. But now is not the time for another minority. It’s not the time for another government that has to cut deals to stay in office, that’s always...

Jamie Carroll, Philippe Lagassé, Tim Page

The future of Canadian defence will not look like the past

There should be no denying that, for Canada and for our allies, we have a unique chance to diversify and expand our economic and security relationships that will be of mutual benefit.

Justin Ling

Election debates are core to our democracy. But this change made a mockery of them

In an election campaign that has been obnoxiously micromanaged, where the aspirants to lead our country have treated journalists — and, by extension, the public — with varying levels of disdain, last night’s debates should have been a breath of fresh air. Instead, the whole affair was hijacked by right wing conspiracy-minded outlet Rebel News and another right-wing network. We...

Benjamin Perrin

Poilievre wants to override fundamental rights in service of ‘tough on crime’ policies that won’t even work

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has said that, if elected, he would override constitutionally protected rights and freedoms to implement his controversial “tough on crime” agenda. He would be the first-ever prime minister to take that extreme step — and his cavalier attitude toward civil liberties should alarm all Canadians.

Althia Raj

Mark Carney needed to escape this debate unbloodied — and even with a smile, Pierre Poilievre couldn’t land a knockout blow

Liberal Leader Mark Carney walked away unscathed from his first faceoff with his opponents during the French-language leaders’ debate in Montreal. Carney, who has a huge lead in public opinion polls in Quebec, had the most to lose. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh and Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet are all nipping at his support, notably in...

Chris Selley

The spectre of Trudeau overshadows Carney's French debate

Carney, like Michael Ignatieff before him, doesn't even seem to be in charge of his own campaign. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre landed a few pretty solid blows against Liberal leader Mark Carney during the French-language debate in Montreal on Wednesday night. Whether those blows will matter to Quebecers, who will have comprised the vast majority of the audience for the...

Daniel Béland

The French Debate: Nobody ‘Won’, but Everyone Walked Away Happy

There was no clear “winner” of the French-language leaders’ debate on Wednesday night in Montreal, but the lack of a clear loser, and the takeaways based on expectations, produced a number of results. First, it is quite clear that this debate is unlikely to be particularly consequential in terms of shifting party standings in this campaign, partly because no party...

Tasha Kheiriddin

Mark Carney gets a free ride as Poilievre dukes it out with Singh

Wednesday night’s French-language leaders’ debate in Montreal didn’t produce any knockout punches — but if you were scoring on points, Liberal Leader Mark Carney came out on top. And he did it the old-fashioned way: by letting his opponents beat each other up. Carney’s performance was far from riveting, and he frequently fell into economist-speak, such as when he talked...

David Coletto

Disadvantage Conservative: What advanced modelling tells us about why the Conservatives are trailing the Liberals.

Two weeks out from election day, the story many expected to be writing by now—about Pierre Poilievre’s march to victory—hasn’t materialized. Despite years of strong polling, a Prime Minister with record-low approval, and a party machine firing on all cylinders, the Conservative Party now finds itself trailing the Liberals in every major publicly released poll, including ours, where the gap...

Graham Thomson

First cracks are appearing in Premier Smith’s support among her party

Try as she might, Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has discovered she can’t keep a lid on a brewing scandal threatening her government.It is boiling over into something of a political mutiny. Not enough of a mutiny at this point to capsize Smith’s leadership, but an insurrection nonetheless.

Howard Law

The high stakes of defunding the CBC

The gladiator stands staggered on the sandy floor of the colosseum, waiting for the thumbs up or down. On federal election day, April 28, the CBC will discover its fate: live or die.The Mark Carney Liberals have promised to defend the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation and even increase its funding.

News More

Sharif Hassan, Sharif Hassan

Canada has the critical minerals Donald Trump wants. So what should we do with them?

An ongoing trade war and U.S. President Donald Trump's hunger for critical minerals have brought Canada's rich mineral deposits into the spotlight, with federal and provincial politicians promising to accelerate natural resource projects.

Peter Mansbridge, Chantal Hébert, Rob Russo

Good Talk -- Did The Debates Change The Needle?

Alex Ballingall

Pierre Poilievre offers voters change — with a big side order of righteous grievance

Tonda MacCharles

Mark Carney says he’s built to meet this moment of crisis. Is he ready for everything else?

The stakes for Carney, for the Liberals fighting for a fourth term, and for the country with Donald Trump’s eyes on Canada’s resources and sovereignty, couldn’t be higher.

Janyce McGregor

As foreign actors work to influence Canada's election, how safe is your vote?

Poilievre promises to end ban on single-use plastic straws, other items

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre is promising to end the federal single-use plastic ban on items like straws and grocery bags if his party is elected. Poilievre campaigned in Montreal this morning, as he and other federal leaders returned to the campaign trail following the two national leaders' debates Wednesday and Thursday. Liberal Leader Mark Carney is campaigning in Hamilton later...

Raisa Patel

Welcome to the ‘torture chamber’: Internal document offers window into Conservatives’ strategy for parliamentary committees

An internal Conservative party strategy document viewed by the Star shows how the party uses parliamentary committee meetings to maximize social media exposure and advance its political narratives. A “torture chamber” for the government. “Social media content generators.”

Joanna Smith

Carney opens significant lead over Poilievre on economic trust, says new poll

The Liberals widened their lead over the Conservatives when it comes to which party Canadians most trust to steer the economy, according to a new The Logic poll by Abacus Data, although there was also a small drop in the share of people who plan to vote for them.

Elizabeth Thompson

5 things federal party leaders keep getting wrong

In the cut and thrust of an election debate, it's not uncommon for a political party leader to get a number or a fact wrong. But sometimes they repeat those erroneous statements — both on the campaign trail and the debate stage. The CBC News fact-checking team looked into some of the inaccurate claims that leaders have made more than...

'You, sir, are not a change': Party leaders target Carney in final election debate

Liberal Leader Mark Carney spent his first English election debate presenting himself as a safe pair of hands for a Canada in crisis -- while Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre sought to frame him as more of the same after a decade of Liberal government. Carney, who is leading in the polls, became the main target of all his rivals' attacks...

Darren Major

Election campaign, debates will give voters something to chew on this long weekend

As voters enjoy a holiday meal with family and friends this long weekend, they might also be digesting the leadership debates — and the election campaign writ large. Holidays in the middle of a campaign aren't new. Canada's fixed date election rules means the vote usually takes place in October after the Thanksgiving weekend. But the spring snap election call...

Spencer Van Dyk

Post-leaders’ debate scrums cancelled due to security concerns

The leader scrums that had been scheduled for after Thursday’s English-language debate have been cancelled due to security concerns. CTV News first reported the development while the debate was underway. Leaders’ Debates Commission executive director Michel Cormier later confirmed it, telling reporters the organizers don’t feel they “can actually guarantee a proper environment for this activity.” Cormier did not elaborate...

Federal debates chief says he was unaware Rebel News had registered as advocacy group

The head of the Leaders’ Debates Commission said Thursday he wasn’t aware that right-wing media group Rebel News — which was permitted more opportunities to question leaders after Wednesday’s debate than most mainstream outlets — had registered as an official third party in the federal election. Third parties are groups that seek to influence elections but aren’t parties or candidates...

John Paul Tasker

Fractious debate sees federal leaders trade blows over Trump, Trudeau and the cost of living

'I'm a very different person from Justin Trudeau,' Liberal Leader Mark Carney says. With polls showing Liberal Leader Mark Carney is the front-runner in this federal election, the other three main party leaders on stage for Thursday's English-language debate spent much of the contest trying to tear him down. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre took aim at Carney early on in...

Andrew McIntosh

GTA Liberal candidate’s relations with China consulate trigger fresh concerns

New questions have surfaced about relations between a federal Liberal candidate running in Markham-Unionville and China’s consulate in Toronto, including his presentation of an award of appreciation to a consul-general and appearing to salute the Communist flag at an event celebrating the establishment of the People’s Republic of China.

Daniel Leblanc

During leaders' debate, Carney praised a nuclear firm he bought while at Brookfield

Investment fund co-headed by Liberal leader acquired 51% of Westinghouse in 2023. During the first leaders' debate on Wednesday, Liberal Leader Mark Carney praised nuclear energy and named two companies in the sector with which he did business during his tenure at Brookfield Asset Management. In 2023, Brookfield formed a partnership with uranium mining firm Cameco to purchase the Westinghouse...

Alberta pauses some of its fight-back plan against the U.S. amid tariff dispute

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith's government is pausing the procurement policy it announced more than a month ago to fight U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs. Service Alberta Minister Dale Nally says since the province's retaliatory measures were first announced in early March, Trump's administration has put a hold on further tariffs. Nally says, "in the spirit of diplomacy," Alberta has decided...

Irem Koca

Liberals’ recycled plan to fix ‘badly busted’ defence procurement can take root in Trump era, say experts

Amid mounting American trade threats and global instability, Prime Minister Mark Carney recycled the Liberal promise of overhauling Canada’s problem-plagued military procurement system through a new centralized agency. That pledge, floated repeatedly over the past two decades, could take root if the next government has “the political imperative” to follow through, but it won’t solve everything, say defence experts...

Robert Benzie, Kristin Rushowy, Emma McIntosh

Ontario Greenbelt’s controversial ‘Mr. X’ is banned from lobbying for two years

John Mutton — the Greenbelt lobbyist known as “Mr. X” — has been banned from lobbying government for two years.Mutton, a former mayor of Clarington, gained notoriety when integrity commissioner J. David Wake dubbed him “Mr. X” in a 2023 report on the $8.28-billion Greenbelt land swap scandal.

Phil Hahn

Liberals ahead by 5 points with a ‘dead heat’ battle underway for key middle aged voters: Nanos

The Liberals have a marginal five-point advantage over the Conservatives on Day 26 of the 36-day federal election campaign, while a breakdown of voter intention by age shows an “absolute dead heat” when it comes to key middle aged voters. A three-day rolling sample by Nanos Research ending April 16 has the Liberals at 44 per cent over the Conservatives...

The Canadian Press

Right-wing media including Rebel News dominate post-debate news conferences

Some of the organizations have looked to courts to obtain accreditation. Rebel News and other right-wing media outlets dominated the question-and-answer sessions with federal party leaders after Wednesday's French-language leaders' debate — though not all of them got answers to their questions. Liberal Leader Mark Carney was the first leader to take 10 minutes of questions from the media after...

Joanna Smith

Canadians evenly split on whether retaliation is best way to fight Trump, says poll

Canadians are split right down the middle on whether retaliation—including with counter-tariffs—is the best way to handle U.S. President Donald Trump, according to a new The Logic poll by Abacus Data.

Carl Meyer

Poilievre says feds are holding up oil, gas and mining projects. Is he right, and could he change that?

A number of the Conservative leader’s priority projects are nearing or have final approvals, while others face concerns about environmental and First Nations impacts

John Paul Tasker

Front-runner Carney faces jabs from all sides at French-language debate

Liberal says he's 'not Justin Trudeau' and criticisms of past government aren't on him. Liberal Leader Mark Carney faced jabs from his opponents at Wednesday's French-language leaders' debate, with accusations he's out of touch with working people and won't offer enough change from his unpopular predecessor. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre said Carney was former prime minister Justin Trudeau's "economic adviser"...

Karen Bartko

Peter Guthrie booted from UCP after calling out government’s health probe process

After calling out his own party over how it was handing the investigation into allegations of corruption in multimillion-dollar health contracts, Alberta MLA Peter Guthrie has been kicked out of the United Conservative Party caucus.

Politician's Pen

Andrew Cardozo

The Secret agenda(s) of the Liberal Party.

Stéphanie Plante

Ovechkin’s NHL Legacy: A Hockey Milestone Overshadowed by Sportswashing and Ties to Putin

US Poli

The Associated Press

Trump turns a COVID information website into a promotion page for the lab leak theory

A federal website that used to feature information on vaccines, testing and treatment for COVID-19 has been transformed into a page supporting the theory that the pandemic originated with a lab leak.

Christopher Rugaber, The Associated Press

Trump's attacks on Powell threaten the Fed's independence. Here's why it matters

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Donald Trump has stepped up his attacks on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell at the same time that the Supreme Court is considering a case that could make it easier for the president to fire him.

Sara Cline And Kate Brumback, The Associated Press

Trump administration seeks explosive expansion of nation's immigration detention system

JENA, La. (AP) -- Amid rural Louisiana's crawfish farms, towering pine trees and cafes serving po'boys, nearly 7,000 people are waiting at immigration detention centers to learn whether they will be expelled from the United States.

Chris Megerian, The Associated Press

Nearly 90% of Consumer Financial Protection Bureau cut as as Trump's government downsizing continues

WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Donald Trump is drastically shrinking the size and the mission of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, the latest step in an extraordinary reshaping of the federal government.

International

Barbara Ortutay, The Associated Press

Meta faces historic antitrust trial that could force it to break off Instagram, WhatsApp

Meta Platforms Inc. faces a historic antitrust trial beginning Monday that could force the tech giant to break off Instagram and WhatsApp, startups it bought more than a decade ago that have since grown into social media powerhouses.

China hits back at U.S. and will raise tariffs on American goods from 84% to 125%

China announced Friday that it will raise tariffs on U.S. goods from 84 per cent to 125 per cent -- the latest salvo in an escalating trade war between the world’s two largest economies that has rattled markets and raised fears of a global slowdown. While U.S. President Donald Trump paused import taxes this week for other countries, he raised...

NYC mayor says family of Spanish tourists, including 3 children, died in helicopter crash

A helicopter broke apart in midair Thursday and crashed upside-down into the Hudson River between Manhattan and the New Jersey waterfront, killing a family of Spanish tourists, including three children in the latest high-profile aviation disaster in the U.S., officials said. Mayor Eric Adams said the flight began at a downtown heliport around 3 p.m. and that the dead had...

Wyatte Grantham-philips, The Associated Press

Trump's latest round of tariffs have taken effect - and China is retaliating. Here's what we know

NEW YORK (AP) -- President Donald Trump has launched tariff wars with nearly all of America's trading partners. And there's no end in sight.

Michael Kunzelman And Ben Finley, The Associated Press

The US must return a Maryland man mistakenly deported to an El Salvador prison, a judge says

GREENBELT, Md. (AP) -- A federal judge on Friday ordered the Trump administration to arrange for the return of a Maryland man to the United States after he was mistakenly deported to a notorious El Salvador prison, while a U.S. government attorney was at a loss to explain what happened.

Think Tank

Xiaoting (Maya) Liu, Vina Nadjibulla

Can China's New Economic Playbook Help it Weather U.S. Tariffs?

On March 11, China concluded its annual 'Two Sessions' — a pair of legislative and advisory meetings focused on Beijing's economic priorities for the year ahead. The slew of macroeconomic measures announced at those meetings are now taking on heightened significance amid the escalating U.S.–China trade war.

Tricia Yeoh

Trump’s On-off Tariffs Could Disengage Southeast Asia Further from the U.S.

The reciprocal tariffs announced by U.S. President Donald Trump on April 2 – what he referred to as “Liberation Day” – hit Southeast Asian economies particularly hard. While they and others received a brief respite in the form of a 90-day pause, with a universal lowered reciprocal tariff of 10 per cent, tariffs on goods from China spiked to 14...

Shawn Whatley

A winning prescription: It’s time to let innovators drive health care reform – Shawn Whatley

Canadian health care is ripe for major reform. In 1965–66, Canada experienced a paradigm shift – a “big bang” policy change. Since then, the core relationships between patient, state, medical profession, and labour remain the same. For 60 years, political actors have focused on policies that promise incremental change and avoid major reform. Medicare might be one of the most...

Substacks

A collection of SubStack publishing within Canadian public affairs.

Steven Staples

Is the peace movement wrong?

Is it time I admit defeat, pull up my tent and go home? For 30 years I have advocated for reductions to Canada’s military spending, and it keeps rising and rising. Now it’s reached the point where Canada is the 6th highest in actual dollars within NATO (after USA, Germany, UK, France, Poland). Responding to expensive plans to increase military...

Dean Beeby

The dossier Trudeau took to Mar-a-Lago

Last fall, before the Trump shitstorm, advisers to the prime minister saw the black clouds gathering to the south. The new president had not yet been sworn into office, but it was clear Canada was in the crosshairs.

Dean Beeby

Mark Carney's $100 apology

The 10 men who have governed the Bank of Canada since its inception in 1934 have been taciturn types, studiously avoiding the mud-holes of public controversy. Central banks trade in trust, and must project immutability and stability.That’s why it was so unusual in 2012 to hear Mark Carney, then governor of the Bank, apologize to Canadians for screwing up.

Podcasts

Clashes and controversy at the leaders’ debates

There was no shortage of clashes and controversy as major party leaders’ squared off against each other in Montreal in both French and English. There were battles over pipelines, crime, change and how to deal with Donald Trump. Behind the scenes — concerns over how the debates were managed by organizers. Who came out on top and what’s the future...

Canada’s Role in a Shifting Global Order — with Mark Carney

Mark Carney, Canada’s 24th Prime Minister and leader of the Liberal Party, joins Scott to discuss the country’s economic outlook, how Canada fits into a shifting global order, and whether the U.S.-Canada relationship can be repaired amid rising trade tensions.

The Scorpion and the Frog. Oh, and the Debate!

David Herle, Scott Reid, Jordan Leichnitz, and Kory Teneycke provide insights on the latest in Canadian politics.

Did the federal leaders’ debate change anything?

Major party leaders meet in Montreal for the English-language leaders' debate with less than two weeks until Canada votes. And event organizers are forced to cancel the post-debate news conferences over security concerns. Rosemary Barton hosts Chantal Hébert, Andrew Coyne and Althia Raj.

Rebel News owner Ezra Levant was 'mentor' to Poilievre, says author

Trump is demanding universities change policies or face defunding. Would Poilievre do the same? Conservative leader has called for an end to 'woke ideology' in schools

Carney to present platform with 4 planks

Mark Carney’s business experience cemented his reputation for pragmatism

Conservatives dig in to hold on to Quebec City fortress as Montreal resists

ElectionWatch 2025

Polling Trendlines

Latest Results

Canadian Federal Election Daily Tracker Poll, Day 27

National Tracker: Liberals 44%, Conservatives 39%

Abacus Data Snap Poll: Reaction to the English Leaders’ Debate

Seat Projections

Canada's Campaign Watchers

Third Wave Analysis:

Previous Analysis:

Who Our Watchers Are:

Election News

Carney to present platform with 4 planks

Conservatives dig in to hold on to Quebec City fortress as Montreal resists

Mark Carney’s business experience cemented his reputation for pragmatism

Pierre Poilievre offers voters change — with a big side order of righteous grievance

Mark Carney says he’s built to meet this moment of crisis. Is he ready for everything else?

As foreign actors work to influence Canada's election, how safe is your vote?

Campaign Analysis

Good Talk -- Did The Debates Change The Needle?

Pierre Poilievre, the politician, is a man of many promises. I wrote the book on him, and these are the ones I think he’s most likely to keep

Is Mark Carney ready for the world of irrational Trump-style politics?

“It’s About the Future—and the Past”: Why Canadians Are Voting the Way They Are, One Generation at a Time

Did the leaders’ debates change the course of this election?

In Niagara Falls, Mark Carney stares down Hurricane Trump

Policy Announcements

Axe the Food Packaging Tax

Conservatives Will Provide Seized Russian Assets To Ukraine

Conservatives Launch Part II of the Canada First Arctic Defence Plan

The Green Party of Canada launches its election platform

Conservatives Announce Plan to Protect Canada’s Fisheries

Mark Carney’s Liberals announce plan to train skilled workers for strong careers

Opinion More

Foreign interference illustrates the need for a more capable workforce

Pierre Poilievre, the politician, is a man of many promises. I wrote the book on him, and these are the ones I think he’s most likely to keep

Is Mark Carney ready for the world of irrational Trump-style politics?

“It’s About the Future—and the Past”: Why Canadians Are Voting the Way They Are, One Generation at a Time

In Niagara Falls, Mark Carney stares down Hurricane Trump

Did the leaders’ debates change the course of this election?

Some hard lessons learned by Carney and Poilievre from the English debate

Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre see very different threats to Canada

Liberal bus stops near the border and finds reason to be confident

The Homestretch: Debate-Week Takeaways

Mark Carney made his case to be prime minister, despite Pierre Poilievre’s strong showing at final leaders’ debate

Did the English-language election debate help Carney or Poilievre? A flash poll suggests the former seems increasingly poised to win

A debate Liberals can call a success, but not much else

The NDP is not going to win the election. But no one is forcing it to lose so badly

The debate was a leader-versus-party contest between Poilievre and Carney – with no clear winner

Plenty of action and even some laughs in four hours of federal leaders' TV debates

Canada needs one thing out of this election — a majority government

The future of Canadian defence will not look like the past

Election debates are core to our democracy. But this change made a mockery of them

Poilievre wants to override fundamental rights in service of ‘tough on crime’ policies that won’t even work

Mark Carney needed to escape this debate unbloodied — and even with a smile, Pierre Poilievre couldn’t land a knockout blow

The spectre of Trudeau overshadows Carney's French debate

The French Debate: Nobody ‘Won’, but Everyone Walked Away Happy

Mark Carney gets a free ride as Poilievre dukes it out with Singh

Disadvantage Conservative: What advanced modelling tells us about why the Conservatives are trailing the Liberals.

First cracks are appearing in Premier Smith’s support among her party

The high stakes of defunding the CBC

News More

Canada has the critical minerals Donald Trump wants. So what should we do with them?

Good Talk -- Did The Debates Change The Needle?

Pierre Poilievre offers voters change — with a big side order of righteous grievance

Mark Carney says he’s built to meet this moment of crisis. Is he ready for everything else?

As foreign actors work to influence Canada's election, how safe is your vote?

Poilievre promises to end ban on single-use plastic straws, other items

Welcome to the ‘torture chamber’: Internal document offers window into Conservatives’ strategy for parliamentary committees

Carney opens significant lead over Poilievre on economic trust, says new poll

5 things federal party leaders keep getting wrong

'You, sir, are not a change': Party leaders target Carney in final election debate

Election campaign, debates will give voters something to chew on this long weekend

Post-leaders’ debate scrums cancelled due to security concerns

Federal debates chief says he was unaware Rebel News had registered as advocacy group

Fractious debate sees federal leaders trade blows over Trump, Trudeau and the cost of living