Top News
Pierre Poilievre’s Biggest Selling Point Is Now a Huge Liability

Pierre Poilievre’s Biggest Selling Point Is Now a Huge Liability

The Canadian Conservative leader soared because of a media strategy that sounded a lot like Donald Trump. That’s no longer helping him.Pierre Poilievre was asking Elon Musk for help. In April 2023, the Canadian Conservative Leader sent a letter to Twitter’s headquarters requesting that the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation be labeled as “government-funded media.”

Lighthizer gives private trade-war advice to Canada’s conservatives

Lighthizer gives private trade-war advice to Canada’s conservatives

An architect of President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade policy told a closed-door Canadian audience Friday that the two neighbors can recover from this period of unprecedented tensions. Robert Lighthizer, the pro-tariff former U.S. trade representative during Trump’s first term, told a conference of Canadian conservatives in Ottawa that their country can help mend the tattered relationship by spending more on...

Carney attacked for wanting 'free ride,' 'hiding' from public amid latest campaign break

Carney attacked for wanting 'free ride,' 'hiding' from public amid latest campaign break

Liberal leader says he was speaking with NATO secretary general Saturday morning. Two federal party leaders took aim Saturday at Mark Carney, whom polls suggest is the front-runner in the April 28 election, for once again skipping the campaign trail. Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet accused the Liberal leader of trying to capitalize on his early momentum by coasting through...

Poilievre accuses Liberals of mixed messaging as candidate calls Gaza war 'genocide'

    Poilievre accuses Liberals of mixed messaging as candidate calls Gaza war 'genocide'

    Adam van Koeverden made the remarks in a video posted by another user on X. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre is accusing the Liberals of mixed messaging over the war in Gaza as video emerged of one candidate calling the crisis a "genocide" just days after leader Mark Carney clarified his own remarks. Poilievre's comments were in response to a reporter's...

    Liberals’ lead could change if domestic concerns surpass U.S. tensions, says pundits, pollster

    Liberals’ lead could change if domestic concerns surpass U.S. tensions, says pundits, pollster

    The Liberals have been boosted in the polls because of public concern about how Canada should deal with the United States, but a shift in focus to more domestic policy issues could make the outcome of the election much harder to predict, say lobbyists and pundits. “The way I see it is, these last two weeks have been marred and...



    ElectionWatch 2025

    Polling Trendlines

    NNW EW2025 Dataviz 2025 EN1 POLLS

    Latest Results

    National Tracker: Liberals 46%, Conservatives 39%

    National Tracker: Liberals 46%, Conservatives 39%

    A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 46% (+2) to the Conservatives 39% (no change). The rolling survey, conducted from April 9 to April 11, 2025, used interactive voice response technology...

    LPC 43.3, CPC 37.1, NDP 9.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1

    LPC 43.3, CPC 37.1, NDP 9.5, BQ 5.8, GP 2.8, PPC 1.1

    The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same...

    Canadian Federal Election Daily Tracker Poll, Day 20

      Canadian Federal Election Daily Tracker Poll, Day 20

      The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted from Wednesday, April 9th to Friday, April 11th, 2025, among a sample of 1445 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was conducted using text message invite to complete an online survey. The survey is intended to represent the voting population in...

      Seat Projections

      NNW EW2025 Dataviz 2025 EN1 SEATS

      Canada's Campaign Watchers

      Second Wave Analysis (Update):

      Dealing with Trump/Tariffs: Two out of three feel Mark Carney (64%) has the best approach for dealing with Donald Trump, while 19% believe Pierre Poilievre does. Most felt that Pierre Poilievre has done well enough (56%) in his response to the US tariff. Read More

      Previous Analysis:

      Wave 1, Wave 2

      Who Our Watchers Are:
      Adam Taylor Adrian Jean Alex Maheu Ali Salam Aliya Mohammed Andrew Casey Andrew MacDougall Andy Gibbons Axel Rioux Ben Parsons Brad Lavigne Brendan McGuinty Brian Clow Brianna Ames Bruce Winchester Bruce Anderson Cameron MacKeen Cara Salci Carlene Variyan Caroline Séguin Chad Bowie Chad Walsh Chisholm Pothier Chris Day Chris McCluskey Christine Burke Dan Mader Dave Forestell Dave Prisco David McArthur Dennis Matthews Dennis Prouse Derek Nighbor Dil Puar Dimitri Soudas Don Stickney Elder Marques Elly Alboim Eric Johnson Fraser Macdonald Fred DeLorey Gabe Garfinkel Gabrielle Berard Greg MacNeil Greg MacEachern Hardave Birk Jaime Watt Jamie Kippen Janet Fryday Dorey Jason Kenney Jeremy Broadhurst Jim Anderson Joanne Macrae Jordan Deagle Kate Harrison Kathleen Monk Katie Telford Ken Boessenkool Kevin Bosch Lanny Cardow Laryssa Waler Laura Kurkimaki Laura Pennell Lawrence Cannon Lisa MacLeod Lisa Raitt Marc-Olivier Fortin Marcia Smith Max Dea Megan Leslie Melanie Richer Melissa Cotton Mike Solberg Mollie Anderson Monte Solberg Morgan Swan Nancy Jamieson Patrick Rogers Perry Tsergas Phil Cartwright Rebecca Rogers Richard Mahoney Rick Anderson Rob Silver Roxanna Benoit Ryan Dunn Sabrina Grover Scott Feschuk Scott Reid Sean Speer Sheamus Murphy Stephen Carter Tasha Kheiriddin Tausha Michaud Tim Powers Tyler Banham Vandana Fatima Kattar Will Stewart Yaroslav Baran Zain Velji Zita Astravas

      Election News

      Pierre Poilievre’s Biggest Selling Point Is Now a Huge Liability

      Pierre Poilievre’s Biggest Selling Point Is Now a Huge Liability

      The Canadian Conservative leader soared because of a media strategy that sounded a lot like Donald Trump. That’s no longer helping him.Pierre Poilievre was asking Elon Musk for help. In April 2023, the Canadian Conservative Leader sent a letter to Twitter’s headquarters requesting that the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation be labeled as “government-funded media.”

      Carney attacked for wanting 'free ride,' 'hiding' from public amid latest campaign break

      Carney attacked for wanting 'free ride,' 'hiding' from public amid latest campaign break

      Liberal leader says he was speaking with NATO secretary general Saturday morning. Two federal party leaders took aim Saturday at Mark Carney, whom polls suggest is the front-runner in the April 28 election, for once again skipping the campaign trail. Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet accused the Liberal leader of trying to capitalize on his early momentum by coasting through...

      Poilievre accuses Liberals of mixed messaging as candidate calls Gaza war 'genocide'

        Poilievre accuses Liberals of mixed messaging as candidate calls Gaza war 'genocide'

        Adam van Koeverden made the remarks in a video posted by another user on X. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre is accusing the Liberals of mixed messaging over the war in Gaza as video emerged of one candidate calling the crisis a "genocide" just days after leader Mark Carney clarified his own remarks. Poilievre's comments were in response to a reporter's...

        Carney unveils new ‘Canada Strong Pass.’ What free perks are available?

        Carney unveils new ‘Canada Strong Pass.’ What free perks are available?

        With more Canadians opting for local vacations amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States, Liberal Leader Mark Carney has introduced a “Canada Strong Pass,” calling it a way to make it easier for families and young people to explore the country this summer.

        Liberals’ lead could change if domestic concerns surpass U.S. tensions, says pundits, pollster

        Liberals’ lead could change if domestic concerns surpass U.S. tensions, says pundits, pollster

        The Liberals have been boosted in the polls because of public concern about how Canada should deal with the United States, but a shift in focus to more domestic policy issues could make the outcome of the election much harder to predict, say lobbyists and pundits. “The way I see it is, these last two weeks have been marred and...

        Former Trump trade rep says Canada will have ‘happy’ outcome from U.S. tariff policy

        Former Trump trade rep says Canada will have ‘happy’ outcome from U.S. tariff policy

        U.S. President Donald Trump’s former trade representative Bob Lighthizer says Canada will “benefit” from the United States’ current attempt to overhaul trade around the world – while also claiming the relationship between the two countries “is not fraught,” despite trade tensions. “If the president is right, and if it works out the way it should work out, we will find...

        Campaign Analysis

        Good Talk - "Do You Believe The Polls?"

        Good Talk - "Do You Believe The Polls?"

        We've passed the halfway point of the campaign with the television debates just around the corner. And you have to wonder when the Conservatives, or at least some of them, start to question the validity of the polls, that there's trouble in the Tory ranks. Both Rob Russo and Chantal Hebert have been travelling this week, one on the west...

        Pierre Poilievre has dropped multiple candidates. Here are two others who should go

        Pierre Poilievre has dropped multiple candidates. Here are two others who should go

        As Donald Trump continues waging his dizzying trade war against Canada and sends global markets spiraling, ordinary Canadians could be forgiven if they missed an extraordinary milestone in our ongoing federal election.Just recently, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre set what is perhaps a new Canadian election record by dropping not one, not two, but three candidates all on one day.

        While everyone focuses on Carney and Poilievre, some of the election’s most interesting ideas are coming from an unlikely place

        While everyone focuses on Carney and Poilievre, some of the election’s most interesting ideas are coming from an unlikely place

        “In many ways,” Jonathan Pedneault says, “the Greens have been at the forefront of identifying threats.” Risk-detection may not be the first attribute that comes to mind when thinking about the Green Party. But Pedneault, the party’s co-leader along with stalwart Elizabeth May, is hoping to convince Canadians that, in dark, weird, and uncertain times, the Greens are up to...

        Pierre Poilievre is sticking to his greatest hits. That’s the problem
        Betting on Pierre Poilievre? This weekend's Canada Strong and Free Conference is another risky distraction for the Conservative campaign

        Betting on Pierre Poilievre? This weekend's Canada Strong and Free Conference is another risky distraction for the Conservative campaign

        Betting markets for political outcomes are relatively new - and fair to say - not really proven. Polymarket, the highest profile of these, found fame because bettors on the platform favoured Donald Trump, who obviously went on to win the 2024 election. But there is some controversy around the fact that such platforms are vulnerable to manipulation.

        Why are so many troublesome candidates being dropped? How political parties protect themselves from these ‘million-dollar mistakes’

        Why are so many troublesome candidates being dropped? How political parties protect themselves from these ‘million-dollar mistakes’

        There’s no such thing as a perfect candidate. Anyone who’s worked a federal campaign knows that. But there are candidates who work hard, who organize, who understand that this is a team sport—and who don’t get in the way of the campaign’s core message. In fact, the best ones help amplify it. That’s who you’re looking for when you build...

        Policy Announcements

        Mark Carney’s Liberals announce new Canada Strong Pass

          Mark Carney’s Liberals announce new Canada Strong Pass

          With President Trump threatening our economy and sovereignty, Canadians are uniting to find new ways to discover and celebrate our beautiful country. So many Canadians are cutting back vacations to the United States, and instead making memories here at home and showing our Canadian pride. Today, Mark Carney’s Liberals announced a new Canada Strong Pass so kids and young families...

          Conservatives Announce Plan to Put Canada’s Veterans First

            Conservatives Announce Plan to Put Canada’s Veterans First

            Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced his plan to give Veterans the support they have earned.The plan begins with ensuring Veterans’ benefits are in place before they leave the military and will:

            Poilievre Announces New Canada First Economic Action Plan

              Poilievre Announces New Canada First Economic Action Plan

              Today, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre unveiled his new ‘Canada First Economic Action Plan’ to make life affordable again, unleash our economy and rebuild a Canadian economic powerhouse, with a realistic goal of boosting Canada’s economic activity by a total of a half-trillion dollars over the next five years. After the Global Financial Crisis, the Conservative government’s Economic Action Plan helped...

              Conservatives Will Build Homes For Canadians

                Conservatives Will Build Homes For Canadians

                During the Lost Liberal Decade, housing costs have doubled, rising faster in Canada than in any other G7 country. When Pierre Poilievre was housing minister, 39 percent of median household income went towards housing costs. Now, it consumes 60 percent. Conservatives will restore the promise of homeownership by building more, taxing less and getting government out of the way. We’ll...

                Mark Carney’s Liberals release plan to fight crime, protect Canadians, and build safer communities

                  Mark Carney’s Liberals release plan to fight crime, protect Canadians, and build safer communities

                  Today, Mark Carney announced his action plan to bring criminal gangs to justice, stop illegal guns and drugs from flowing over the U.S. border, and build safer communities here at home. “Canadians deserve to feel safe where they live, play, work, and worship. My government will hire thousands of new RCMP and CBSA officers to crack down on illegal drugs...

                  Green Party Launches Foreign Policy Plan to Strengthen Canada’s Sovereignty and Global Role

                    Green Party Launches Foreign Policy Plan to Strengthen Canada’s Sovereignty and Global Role

                    The Green Party of Canada is calling for a new era of strategic autonomy, continued commitment to multilateralism, diplomacy, and democratic alliances to protect Canada’s sovereignty in a world increasingly shaped by instability, aggression, and economic coercion. “As global tensions rise and revisionist powers—including Russia, China, and the United States—threaten democratic norms and international stability, Canada must no longer remain...



                    Pierre Poilievre has dropped multiple candidates. Here are two others who should go

                    Pierre Poilievre has dropped multiple candidates. Here are two others who should go

                    As Donald Trump continues waging his dizzying trade war against Canada and sends global markets spiraling, ordinary Canadians could be forgiven if they missed an extraordinary milestone in our ongoing federal election.Just recently, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre set what is perhaps a new Canadian election record by dropping not one, not two, but three candidates all on one day.

                    While everyone focuses on Carney and Poilievre, some of the election’s most interesting ideas are coming from an unlikely place

                    While everyone focuses on Carney and Poilievre, some of the election’s most interesting ideas are coming from an unlikely place

                    “In many ways,” Jonathan Pedneault says, “the Greens have been at the forefront of identifying threats.” Risk-detection may not be the first attribute that comes to mind when thinking about the Green Party. But Pedneault, the party’s co-leader along with stalwart Elizabeth May, is hoping to convince Canadians that, in dark, weird, and uncertain times, the Greens are up to...

                    Reckless Liberal spending compromised our ability to fight tariff war

                    Reckless Liberal spending compromised our ability to fight tariff war

                    Liberal government misspending has left us ill-equipped to fight a tariff war with the U.S. – and one of the only alternatives the government has will be to increase taxes to do so.

                    Pierre Poilievre is sticking to his greatest hits. That’s the problem
                    Betting on Pierre Poilievre? This weekend's Canada Strong and Free Conference is another risky distraction for the Conservative campaign

                    Betting on Pierre Poilievre? This weekend's Canada Strong and Free Conference is another risky distraction for the Conservative campaign

                    Betting markets for political outcomes are relatively new - and fair to say - not really proven. Polymarket, the highest profile of these, found fame because bettors on the platform favoured Donald Trump, who obviously went on to win the 2024 election. But there is some controversy around the fact that such platforms are vulnerable to manipulation.

                    Why are so many troublesome candidates being dropped? How political parties protect themselves from these ‘million-dollar mistakes’

                    Why are so many troublesome candidates being dropped? How political parties protect themselves from these ‘million-dollar mistakes’

                    There’s no such thing as a perfect candidate. Anyone who’s worked a federal campaign knows that. But there are candidates who work hard, who organize, who understand that this is a team sport—and who don’t get in the way of the campaign’s core message. In fact, the best ones help amplify it. That’s who you’re looking for when you build...

                    Carney’s Checkmate: How Canada's Quiet Bond Play Forced Trump to Drop Tariffs

                    Carney’s Checkmate: How Canada's Quiet Bond Play Forced Trump to Drop Tariffs

                    Carney, Japan And The EU proved America's Idiot Emperor Has No Clothes. Let’s talk about the moment Donald Trump blinked. It wasn’t loud. It wasn’t a tweetstorm or a rally rant. When the tariff threats that had the world on edge—125% on China, 25% on Canada’s autos, a global trade war in the making—suddenly softened. A “pause,” he called it...

                    How Alberta keeps wrecking Pierre Poilievre's campaign

                    How Alberta keeps wrecking Pierre Poilievre's campaign

                    At least he still has his rallies. While public polling shows a large and durable Liberal lead, and global betting markets putting overwhelming odds on a Mark Carney victory on April 28, Pierre Poilievre can still comfort himself with the fact that thousands of people are willing to line up to hear him talk. In Edmonton, somewhere between 9,000 and...

                    I attended a Pierre Poilievre rally to figure out the disconnect between his large crowds but shrinking support in the polls

                    I attended a Pierre Poilievre rally to figure out the disconnect between his large crowds but shrinking support in the polls

                    I went to Pierre Poilievre’s “Stop the Crime” night in Brampton on Wednesday. I wanted to figure out how the Conservative leader could be taking luxuriant crowd baths across the country while languishing in the polls. More to the point, I wanted to find out how the people who turn out for him are dealing with that. I learned, no...

                    Leaders’ debates have come to mean less and less

                    Leaders’ debates have come to mean less and less

                    Do leaders’ debates matter? Will these coming debates matter? Yes, but no. First, Canadians should watch the debates with an open mind and keen eye for sincerity of presentation, signs of depth and credibility, and try to decide which of these candidates has the strength and substance to sit across from Donald Trump in the chair occupied not long ago...



                    Exactly where do the Conservatives stand on abortion?

                    Exactly where do the Conservatives stand on abortion?

                    Half way through this federal election campaign and one word has yet to be uttered: abortion. Maybe it’s because U.S. President Donald Trump continues to threaten our economy. Maybe it’s because Liberal Leader Mark Carney appears to be heading toward a win. Maybe it’s because Pierre Poilievre declared himself to be pro-choice. But so far the Conservative leader has escaped...

                    The Kids Are Leaning Right: How the Manosphere Is Shaping Voters

                    The Kids Are Leaning Right: How the Manosphere Is Shaping Voters

                    The polls look good for the Liberals now, but the Conservatives have been winning over young men. OVER THE COURSE of a 101-minute-long podcast interview released in January, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre and his host, Jordan Peterson, lamented the erosion of “traditional values” and the loss of “masculinity” in Canada.

                    Three numbers tell the story of the election this week, and none of them looks good for Poilievre

                    Three numbers tell the story of the election this week, and none of them looks good for Poilievre

                    Halfway through the federal election campaign, it’s safe to say that things have not unfolded as many predicted they would back in January, when then-prime minister Justin Trudeau announced his resignation. At the time, there was widespread talk that the Liberals were bound to falter and that the Conservatives, led by Pierre Poilievre, were well-positioned to make significant gains. Yet...

                    It’s an East versus West showdown – Issue spotlight on auto tariffs

                    It’s an East versus West showdown – Issue spotlight on auto tariffs

                    It is an East versus West show down in popular support with the Liberals leading in Eastern Canada, the Conservatives leading in the Prairies and British Columbia being a toss-up. The Liberal advantage in national ballot support continues with the party six points ahead of their Conservative competitors (LPC 44, CPC 38, NDP 9).

                    Trump’s chaotic rule means we need a growth strategy more than ever. Somebody tell our political leaders
                    Mark Carney is now on a collision course with Danielle Smith

                    Mark Carney is now on a collision course with Danielle Smith

                    'It's like saying you'll win an Olympic swimming medal with an anvil tied around your foot,' says Alberta Premier Smith, on how Canada will never be an energy superpower with anti-oilpatch laws

                    Meet Danielle Smith, patriot

                    Meet Danielle Smith, patriot

                    'We need to get serious about the hard work of nation-building if we want to compete and win in the next generation'

                    Saboteur inside Conservative campaign identified as Pierre Poilievre, 45…

                    Saboteur inside Conservative campaign identified as Pierre Poilievre, 45…

                    It should come as no surprise that the Conservative Party of Canada is struggling to overcome the sizeable lead the Liberals have held in public opinion polls over the past two weeks. Pierre Poilievre, the Conservatives’ sharp-tongued leader, seems incapable of pivoting away from the Trump-like tactics he’s been using for the past few years. That messaging worked well for...

                    Pierre Poilievre and the Other Leadership Question

                    Pierre Poilievre and the Other Leadership Question

                    As the campaign for the April 28th federal election passes the halfway mark, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre is surely getting frustrated, and worried. The evidence of that concern came this week when he brought former Prime Minister Stephen Harper to his mammoth Edmonton rally. Usually, big-name party patriarchs are brought out near the end of a campaign to either give...

                    Carney’s rosy energy promises meet the Liberals’ dismal record

                    Carney’s rosy energy promises meet the Liberals’ dismal record

                    I’m reading my six-year-old son Lewis Carroll’s classic Through the Looking-Glass and What Alice Found There, with all its delightful nonsense talk about shoes and ships and sealing wax, of cabbages and kings.

                    Jagmeet Singh is running out the clock on his own political career

                    Jagmeet Singh is running out the clock on his own political career

                    It was Monday morning and Jagmeet Singh, once the most electric prospect in Canadian politics, was standing on a balcony in downtown Toronto trying to be heard over the roaring whoosh of a gardener’s leaf blower across the road. “You’re trailing far behind the Liberals and the Conservatives in the polls,” a reporter asked the NDP leader. WAAAHHH, went the...

                    The nickname ‘Carbon Tax Carney’ appears to be sticking with voters — but not the way Pierre Poilievre hoped

                    The nickname ‘Carbon Tax Carney’ appears to be sticking with voters — but not the way Pierre Poilievre hoped

                    Canadians didn’t get an “axe the tax” election in 2025, as Pierre Poilievre hoped, but that may be just as well for the Conservatives.New polling from Abacus Data shows that Liberal Leader Mark Carney, not Poilievre, is getting credit for axing the carbon levy — by a margin of nearly two to one.

                    The Macdonald Commission at 40: Lessons for today’s Trump tumult

                    The Macdonald Commission at 40: Lessons for today’s Trump tumult

                    There is an incredible outpouring of nationalist sentiment in Canada resulting from the phenomenon of a capricious American president running roughshod over the traditional Canadian-American relationship. As Canadians puzzle over the astonishing turn, they might well reflect back on the key developments that launched us deeply into the embrace of the hegemonic power with which we share a border and...

                    Pierre Poilievre is running a good but very frustrating campaign
                    The West wants out? That’s not how this works

                    The West wants out? That’s not how this works

                    On a personal level, Preston Manning is a good and decent person. He is friendly, insightful, and kind. While I came from the Progressive Conservative wing of the conservative movement, I did not view him as the great destroyer of that once-great party. If anything, I saw him as provocative and an idea disruptor. All the ideas weren’t my cup...

                    If you’re going to threaten to secede, you might at least have the numbers to back it up
                    Carney’s Surge in Quebec Could Wipe the Sovereigntist Party Off the Map

                    Carney’s Surge in Quebec Could Wipe the Sovereigntist Party Off the Map

                    SEASONED POLITICAL OBSERVERS will tell you that their circles—relatives, friends, colleagues—can often double as informal focus groups. By talking politics with real people, and not just those with their noses pressed against the glass, you can sometimes detect early signs of trends, however noisy they may be in a world where media cycles constantly overlap.

                    Carney unveils new ‘Canada Strong Pass.’ What free perks are available?

                    Carney unveils new ‘Canada Strong Pass.’ What free perks are available?

                    With more Canadians opting for local vacations amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States, Liberal Leader Mark Carney has introduced a “Canada Strong Pass,” calling it a way to make it easier for families and young people to explore the country this summer.

                    Trump administration says it will exclude some electronics from reciprocal tariffs

                      Trump administration says it will exclude some electronics from reciprocal tariffs

                      The Trump administration late Friday said they would exclude electronics like smartphones and laptops from reciprocal tariffs, a move that could help keep the prices down for popular consumer electronics that aren't usually made in the U.S. It would also benefit big tech companies like Apple and Samsung and chip makers like Nvidia and sets the stage for a likely...

                      Good Talk - "Do You Believe The Polls?"

                      Good Talk - "Do You Believe The Polls?"

                      We've passed the halfway point of the campaign with the television debates just around the corner. And you have to wonder when the Conservatives, or at least some of them, start to question the validity of the polls, that there's trouble in the Tory ranks. Both Rob Russo and Chantal Hebert have been travelling this week, one on the west...

                      Former Trump trade rep says Canada will have ‘happy’ outcome from U.S. tariff policy

                      Former Trump trade rep says Canada will have ‘happy’ outcome from U.S. tariff policy

                      U.S. President Donald Trump’s former trade representative Bob Lighthizer says Canada will “benefit” from the United States’ current attempt to overhaul trade around the world – while also claiming the relationship between the two countries “is not fraught,” despite trade tensions. “If the president is right, and if it works out the way it should work out, we will find...



                      Liberal candidate accepted invitation from China to celebrate People’s Liberation Army event

                      Liberal candidate accepted invitation from China to celebrate People’s Liberation Army event

                      A Liberal candidate running in a Greater Toronto Area riding, whose candidacy has come under scrutiny for ties to pro-Beijing groups, accepted an invitation from China to celebrate the 70th anniversary of the People’s Liberation Army victory over Japan in the Second World War. Peter Yuen, who has also been linked to Toronto’s Chinese consulate, joined a group of about...

                      Carney and Poilievre have both pledged 'energy corridors.' That could be complicated

                      Carney and Poilievre have both pledged 'energy corridors.' That could be complicated

                      Liberal Leader Mark Carney and Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre are offering similar sounding energy development plans that would fast-track regulatory processes and create energy corridors to develop natural resource projects.But some industry analysts and observers, while applauding the directions that both leaders are taking, are cautioning that their proposals may face significant challenges.

                      Petition to remove controversial Conservative candidate reaches 15K signatures

                      Petition to remove controversial Conservative candidate reaches 15K signatures

                      A petition for the Conservative Party to remove a controversial candidate from Vancouver Island has reached 15,000 signatures. Aaron Gunn, who is running in the North Island-Powell River riding, has come under fire over social media posts he’s made about residential schools and Canada’s treatment of Indigenous people. That includes a 2020 post in which Gunn wrote, “There was no...

                      Sask. Party MLA who called Jagmeet Singh a 'terrorist' stripped of additional MLA duties

                      Sask. Party MLA who called Jagmeet Singh a 'terrorist' stripped of additional MLA duties

                      Racquel Hilbert, the Saskatchewan Party MLA who called federal NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh a terrorist in the provincial legislature last month, has been removed from additional MLA duties, the party says.Premier Scott Moe said in the legislature Thursday that comments made by the Humboldt-Watrous member were inaccurate and highly inappropriate.

                      Campaigns quick to cut ties with candidates, have ‘less tolerance’ for controversy, in the age of social media, say politicos

                      Campaigns quick to cut ties with candidates, have ‘less tolerance’ for controversy, in the age of social media, say politicos

                      With the election campaign in full swing, political parties are under pressure to avoid controversy at all costs. But in the digital era, where past posts, videos, or comments can quickly resurface and make headlines, candidates are one engagement away from being sent packing since parties are quick to shed candidates who risk tarnishing their chances of winning, say political...

                      Ingersoll GM plant shutdown: 500 layoffs imminent

                        Ingersoll GM plant shutdown: 500 layoffs imminent

                        There will be a shutdown of the GM CAMI Assembly plant in Ingersoll, Ont. with hundreds of layoffs to come. According to Unifor, GM has informed Local 88, which represents the workers, that it will will initiate temporary layoffs. The company said the decision to halt production is not related to U.S. tariffs but rather market demand and high inventory...

                        Carney warns of signs that global economies are slowing amid Trump's tariffs

                          Carney warns of signs that global economies are slowing amid Trump's tariffs

                          Prime Minister Mark Carney said there are signs the global and Canadian economies are slowing as U.S. President Donald Trump's trade war escalated again Friday, with China announcing it will push up retaliatory tariffs to 125 per cent. "In the last week there have been a lot of developments in terms of U.S. tariffs policy, reactions from others including China...

                          Brookfield registered entities to Grand Cayman address Obama called ‘largest tax scam in the world’

                          Brookfield registered entities to Grand Cayman address Obama called ‘largest tax scam in the world’

                          Liberal Leader Mark Carney’s former firm Brookfield has registered more than a dozen business entities to an infamous address in the Cayman Islands that former U.S. president Barack Obama once described as either “the largest building in the world or the largest tax scam in the world.” CTV News reviewed U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission filings between 2015 and 202...

                          U.K. agency keen to back investments in Canadian nuclear power

                          U.K. agency keen to back investments in Canadian nuclear power

                          The British government is looking to back investments in Canadian projects—including nuclear energy—through its export credit agency, which helps firms secure financing so long as 20 per cent of their procurement comes from the United Kingdom. U.K. Export Finance (UKEF) has been around for more than a century, but set up shop in Canada just last fall. Ozgur Kutay, a...

                          Economist, environmentalist, hockey player and wife of a Canadian prime minister: Meet Diana Fox Carney

                          Economist, environmentalist, hockey player and wife of a Canadian prime minister: Meet Diana Fox Carney

                          It was on the ice at the University of Oxford where Mark Carney first met his wife.She was new to skating, but that didn’t make any difference — she had quickly become the best player on the team. She could skate faster than anyone else, handle the puck well and had a good shot.

                          ‘If Poilievre can soften his edges, he could win’: Inside a Conservative rally in the Soo

                          ‘If Poilievre can soften his edges, he could win’: Inside a Conservative rally in the Soo

                          The two sisters, both silver haired and in their sixties, arrived at Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre’s rally in Sault Ste. Marie later than they wanted. The line had already snaked around the corner of The Machine Shop – an event venue housed in a historic paper mill. Among the crowd, parents with toddlers bundled in toques, and burly steelworkers dressed...

                          Latest Nanos projections put Liberals in minority territory, but many ridings too close to call

                          Latest Nanos projections put Liberals in minority territory, but many ridings too close to call

                          The latest seat projections from Nanos Research have put Mark Carney’s Liberals in minority government territory – down 17 ridings from the previous week. According to the organization, the Liberals would have taken at least 156 seats if the election were held April 6, when the projections were prepared. That’s down from 173 seats in the last projections from March...

                          Whether a Liberal win threatens national unity depends on Albertans, Smith tells conservatives

                          Whether a Liberal win threatens national unity depends on Albertans, Smith tells conservatives

                          Alberta Premier Danielle Smith says whether a re-elected Liberal government would pose a threat to national unity depends on how Albertans react, emphasizing that Liberal Leader Mark Carney has existing “damage” to repair.

                          Liberals and Conservatives said their rallies drew thousands. We decided to count

                          Liberals and Conservatives said their rallies drew thousands. We decided to count

                          Hand-counted images of rallies yield significantly smaller numbers. Political campaigns may be significantly off-base when it comes to the number of people they say are present at campaign rallies across the country, a CBC News investigation shows.

                          Carney in Ottawa today for cabinet committee meeting on U.S. relations

                            Carney in Ottawa today for cabinet committee meeting on U.S. relations

                            Prime Minister Mark Carney has suspended his election campaign yet again to deal with the fallout of U.S. tariffs. Carney is expected to chair a meeting this morning with his cabinet committee on Canada-U.S. relations and national security. U.S. President Donald Trump abruptly reversed course on his trade war Wednesday by pausing his so-called "reciprocal" tariffs for 90 days, keeping...

                            McKinney hits the mark with Carney impression on 'This Hour Has 22 Minutes'

                              McKinney hits the mark with Carney impression on 'This Hour Has 22 Minutes'

                              Mark McKinney's impression of Canada's new prime minister may be buttoned-up and intense, but he said the process of portraying Mark Carney on "This Hour Has 22 Minutes" is loose and playful. McKinney joined as a guest to take on Carney in this week's episode of the CBC TV sketch show, opposite a U.S. President Donald Trump portrayed by his...

                              Pierre Poilievre fans dismiss Mark Carney’s lead in the polls: ‘I believe the rallies’

                              Pierre Poilievre fans dismiss Mark Carney’s lead in the polls: ‘I believe the rallies’

                              Conservatives arriving at a Brampton event hall said they believe in party leader Pierre Poilievre’s big rallies more than in opinion polls that consistently show the Liberals with a lead in the federal election campaign.

                              Canadian mayors push federal leaders for action on climate, not pipelines

                              Canadian mayors push federal leaders for action on climate, not pipelines

                              Open letter proposes national grid, high-speed rail, disaster resilience strategy. Municipal politicians across Canada have written a letter to the five main federal party leaders calling for climate-related actions they say would improve the country's resilience to environmental calamities. The group includes Montreal Mayor Valérie Plante, Jasper, Alta., Mayor Richard Ireland, former Toronto mayor David Miller, Princeton, B.C., Mayor Spencer...

                              Feds proposing regular 'intelligence-informed briefings' for opposition leaders: memo

                              Feds proposing regular 'intelligence-informed briefings' for opposition leaders: memo

                              OTTAWA -- A newly released memo shows federal officials recommended almost a year ago that leaders of major opposition parties receive regular classified briefings -- not only on foreign interference but also violent extremism and overseas conflicts.

                              Most Canadians say they expect to feel U.S. tariffs, want Canada to fight back: poll

                              Most Canadians say they expect to feel U.S. tariffs, want Canada to fight back: poll

                              OTTAWA -- A new poll suggests 60 per cent of Canadians say they will personally feel the effects of U.S. tariffs -- and most believe Canada should fight back.

                              Trump threatens sanctions, tariffs on Mexico in water dispute

                                Trump threatens sanctions, tariffs on Mexico in water dispute

                                U.S. President Donald Trump on Thursday threatened Mexico with sanctions and tariffs in a dispute over water sharing between the two countries, accusing Mexico of breaking an 81-year-old treaty and "stealing the water from Texas Farmers."

                                Politician's Pen

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                                Ovechkin’s NHL Legacy: A Hockey Milestone Overshadowed by Sportswashing and Ties to Putin
                                The State of Service Report

                                The State of Service Report

                                Our government created the Citizens’ Services portfolio in 2023 to champion service delivery excellence and to improve government efficiency. This State of Service report was drafted to communicate how we are accomplishing this mandate and to update Canadians on some of our biggest programs, including the Passport Program, the Canadian Dental Care Plan, Employment Insurance, Benefits Delivery Modernization and the...


                                Trump administration says it will exclude some electronics from reciprocal tariffs

                                Trump administration says it will exclude some electronics from reciprocal tariffs

                                NASHVILLE, Tenn. (AP) -- The Trump administration late Friday said they would exclude electronics like smartphones and laptops from reciprocal tariffs, a move that could help keep the prices down for popular consumer electronics that aren't usually made in the U.S.

                                Trump proclaims himself 'in good shape,' but the results of his physical aren't immediately released

                                Trump proclaims himself 'in good shape,' but the results of his physical aren't immediately released

                                WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Donald Trump had an annual physical on Friday and concluded, "I did well," praising his own heart, soul and cognitive ability while noting medical reports from White House doctors may not be ready until the weekend.

                                Maine will not comply with Trump administration call to ban transgender athletes

                                Maine will not comply with Trump administration call to ban transgender athletes

                                PORTLAND, Maine (AP) -- Maine officials said Friday the state will not comply with a ban on transgender athletes in high school sports in the wake of a Trump administration finding that the state violated antidiscrimination laws by allowing the students to participate.

                                Trump will undergo his annual physical Friday after years of reluctance to share medical information

                                Trump will undergo his annual physical Friday after years of reluctance to share medical information

                                WASHINGTON (AP) -- Donald Trump is undergoing his annual physical on Friday, potentially giving the public its first details in years about the health of a man who in January became the oldest in U.S. history to be sworn in as president.

                                International

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                                China hits back at U.S. and will raise tariffs on American goods from 84% to 125%

                                  China hits back at U.S. and will raise tariffs on American goods from 84% to 125%

                                  China announced Friday that it will raise tariffs on U.S. goods from 84 per cent to 125 per cent -- the latest salvo in an escalating trade war between the world’s two largest economies that has rattled markets and raised fears of a global slowdown. While U.S. President Donald Trump paused import taxes this week for other countries, he raised...

                                  NYC mayor says family of Spanish tourists, including 3 children, died in helicopter crash

                                    NYC mayor says family of Spanish tourists, including 3 children, died in helicopter crash

                                    A helicopter broke apart in midair Thursday and crashed upside-down into the Hudson River between Manhattan and the New Jersey waterfront, killing a family of Spanish tourists, including three children in the latest high-profile aviation disaster in the U.S., officials said. Mayor Eric Adams said the flight began at a downtown heliport around 3 p.m. and that the dead had...

                                    Trump's latest round of tariffs have taken effect  -  and China is retaliating. Here's what we know

                                    Trump's latest round of tariffs have taken effect - and China is retaliating. Here's what we know

                                    NEW YORK (AP) -- President Donald Trump has launched tariff wars with nearly all of America's trading partners. And there's no end in sight.

                                    The US must return a Maryland man mistakenly deported to an El Salvador prison, a judge says

                                    The US must return a Maryland man mistakenly deported to an El Salvador prison, a judge says

                                    GREENBELT, Md. (AP) -- A federal judge on Friday ordered the Trump administration to arrange for the return of a Maryland man to the United States after he was mistakenly deported to a notorious El Salvador prison, while a U.S. government attorney was at a loss to explain what happened.

                                    China retaliates as Trump's tariffs affect world markets

                                    China retaliates as Trump's tariffs affect world markets

                                    Shares slid further in Europe and Asia and U.S. futures also fell Friday as investors counted the potential costs of U.S. President Donald Trump's latest set of tariffs, even as China retaliated by announcing it will impose a 34% tariff on imports of all U.S. products beginning April 10.

                                    Think Tank

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                                    China, Russia Remain Close Despite Trump’s Efforts to Drive a Wedge

                                    China, Russia Remain Close Despite Trump’s Efforts to Drive a Wedge

                                    On April 2 — just before the U.S. announced sweeping new tariffs on much of the world — Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi concluded a three-day visit to Moscow, where he met with his counterpart, Sergey Lavrov, and Russian President Vladimir Putin. The two sides discussed the Russia-Ukraine war and other security flashpoints, including Iran’s nuclear program and the Korean...

                                    Unlocking Canada’s economy: Why mutual recognition is the key to supercharging internal trade

                                    Unlocking Canada’s economy: Why mutual recognition is the key to supercharging internal trade

                                    US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats seem to have reminded Canadians that we don’t even trade well with each other. We self-sabotage through domestic trade obstacles that hinder economic growth and security.

                                    Rushing to death in Canada’s MAiD regime: Ramona Coelho for Inside Policy

                                    Rushing to death in Canada’s MAiD regime: Ramona Coelho for Inside Policy

                                    Canada legalized Medical Assistance in Dying (MAiD) in 2016, encompassing both euthanasia and assisted suicide. Initially limited to those nearing their natural death, eligibility expanded in 2021 to individuals with physical disabilities, with eligibility for individuals with mental illness in 2027. Parliamentary recommendations include MAiD for children. A recent federal consultation explored extending MAiD to those who lack capacity via...


                                    Substacks

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                                    A collection of SubStack publishing within Canadian public affairs.

                                    The dossier Trudeau took to Mar-a-Lago

                                    The dossier Trudeau took to Mar-a-Lago

                                    Last fall, before the Trump shitstorm, advisers to the prime minister saw the black clouds gathering to the south. The new president had not yet been sworn into office, but it was clear Canada was in the crosshairs.

                                    Mark Carney's $100 apology

                                    Mark Carney's $100 apology

                                    The 10 men who have governed the Bank of Canada since its inception in 1934 have been taciturn types, studiously avoiding the mud-holes of public controversy. Central banks trade in trust, and must project immutability and stability.That’s why it was so unusual in 2012 to hear Mark Carney, then governor of the Bank, apologize to Canadians for screwing up.

                                    How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part II

                                    How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part II

                                    Peter Larkin launched King’s fund with $25,000 of his own cash, deposited Sept. 22, 1925 at the Old Colony Trust Co.’s main branch in Boston, the same firm used by Salada Tea for its U.S. operations. Likely he reasoned that a foreign account would reduce the risk of discovery.

                                    Podcasts

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                                      Election pipe dreams: Will parties’ pipeline pitches pan out?

                                      U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs are spurring renewed interest in Canada for oil and gas development and a possible national energy corridor — with the Liberals and Conservatives promising action. Are these pledges realistic? And what about climate change? Host Catherine Cullen talks to a pollster, a political scientist and an oil market researcher about pipeline politics. Then, Kitchener Centre...

                                      Why you should believe the polls, with Frank Graves

                                        Why you should believe the polls, with Frank Graves

                                        Ekos Research pollster Frank Graves joins The Hot Room to discuss the historic Liberal collapse and resurgence in opinion polls over the past year, why men and women are so far apart in their party preference, and the conservative activists rejecting opinion polls that show their party trailing.

                                        Trading Away Healthcare To Trump?

                                          Trading Away Healthcare To Trump?

                                          David Herle, Scott Reid, Jordan Leichnitz, and Kory Teneycke provide insights on the latest in Canadian politics.

                                          Poilievre pulls big crowds, but does it matter?

                                            Poilievre pulls big crowds, but does it matter?

                                            In this special Canada Votes edition live from Halifax, The National’s At Issue panel breaks down the latest from the federal election campaign trail, including rally stops in Alberta and an appearance by former Conservative prime minister Stephen Harper. Plus, how party leaders are dealing with the media. Rosemary Barton hosts Chantal Hébert, Andrew Coyne and Althia Raj.