Bruce Anderson

While National Newswatch does not keep an archive of external articles for longer than 6 months, we do keep all articles written by contributors who post directly to our site. Here you will find all of the contributed and linked external articles from Bruce Anderson.

Only half of BQ voters think now is the time for Quebec to separate. For separatists, could the timing of a referendum be any worse?

Only half of BQ voters think now is the time for Quebec to separate. For separatists, could the timing of a referendum be any worse?

But young people are more tempted by the idea, and federalists should concentrate on narrowing that generation gap. In 1980, 40% of Quebecers voted to separate. Fifteen years later, 49% took that position in a second referendum. Fast forward 30 years, and the Parti Quebecois is promising a third referendum if they win the next election, a promise that is...

Only half of BQ voters think now is the time for Quebec to separate. For separatists, could the timing of a referendum be any worse?

Only half of BQ voters think now is the time for Quebec to separate. For separatists, could the timing of a referendum be any worse?

But young people are more tempted by the idea, and federalists should concentrate on narrowing that generation gap. In 1980, 40% of Quebecers voted to separate. Fifteen years later, 49% took that position in a second referendum. Fast forward 30 years, and the Parti Quebecois is promising a third referendum if they win the next election, a promise that is...

Good Talk -- He's Back: The New Old Pierre Poilievre

Good Talk -- He's Back: The New Old Pierre Poilievre

Almost two months ago, Pierre Poilievre seemed to have rounded a corner. The "attack dog" politician became, or so it seemed, the friendly one, talking about respect and a time for unity. Well those days are gone, long gone, after a week where the old Poilievre seemed back in full force. Bruce and Chantal are back with their assessments of...

Liberals lead by 14, as a majority in every region approves of Carney government performance.

Liberals lead by 14, as a majority in every region approves of Carney government performance.

Our latest Spark Insights polling (Sample 4026, nationwide, online, April 4-8) finds the Liberals (46%) well ahead of the Conservatives (32%) buttressed by a 19 point lead in BC, a 17 point lead in Ontario, and 20 points ahead of the BQ in Quebec. Underpinning this support is wide approval (65%) of the government’s performance. Liberal governments have historically faced...

Liberals lead by 14, as a majority in every region approves of Carney government performance.

Liberals lead by 14, as a majority in every region approves of Carney government performance.

Our latest Spark Insights polling (Sample 4026, nationwide, online, April 4-8) finds the Liberals (46%) well ahead of the Conservatives (32%) buttressed by a 19 point lead in BC, a 17 point lead in Ontario, and 20 points ahead of the BQ in Quebec. Underpinning this support is wide approval (65%) of the government’s performance. Liberal governments have historically faced...

Good Talk -- Stick A Fork in Him, He's Done - Or Is He?

Good Talk -- Stick A Fork in Him, He's Done - Or Is He?

This has to be the worst of times for Donald Trump -- nothing is going right, and the US President looks increasingly unhinged on a daily basis. Even some of his base are abandoning him. With Chantal away, former Washington correspondent Keith Boag joins Bruce for some serious Trump talk. Plus, another Conservative crosses the floor, making a Liberal majority...

Most Canadians prefer a NATO without the US, to a NATO that bows to Trump's demands.

Most Canadians prefer a NATO without the US, to a NATO that bows to Trump's demands.

Formed in 1949, in the wake of a world war which cost tens of millions of lives, 12 countries signed the NATO charter in Washington, D.C. The aims were to deter Soviet expansionism, to prevent the rise of nationalistic militarism in Europe, and to promote European integration. A lot has changed, in Trump’s America.

Most Canadians prefer a NATO without the US, to a NATO that bows to Trump's demands.

Most Canadians prefer a NATO without the US, to a NATO that bows to Trump's demands.

Formed in 1949, in the wake of a world war which cost tens of millions of lives, 12 countries signed the NATO charter in Washington, D.C. The aims were to deter Soviet expansionism, to prevent the rise of nationalistic militarism in Europe, and to promote European integration. A lot has changed, in Trump’s America.

Canada in the EU? Most Canadians think it's an idea worth exploring.

Canada in the EU? Most Canadians think it's an idea worth exploring.

Two thirds think the UK made a mistake getting out of the EU. The disruption that President Trump has caused in international relationships and markets has prompted a lot of people to open their minds to new possibilities, and new directions. Prime Minister Carney’s speech in Davos gave flight to the idea that middle powers should look for ways to...

Canada in the EU? Most Canadians think it's an idea worth exploring.

Canada in the EU? Most Canadians think it's an idea worth exploring.

Two thirds think the UK made a mistake getting out of the EU. The disruption that President Trump has caused in international relationships and markets has prompted a lot of people to open their minds to new possibilities, and new directions. Prime Minister Carney’s speech in Davos gave flight to the idea that middle powers should look for ways to...

Politics in the dark: why watching together still matters

Politics in the dark: why watching together still matters

There’s a scene in Prime Minister, the acclaimed documentary about Jacinda Ardern, where the former New Zealand prime minister is captured in a private moment: raw, unguarded, visibly carrying the weight of leading a country through catastrophe.

Canadians grow more skeptical of US and Israeli action against Iran

Canadians grow more skeptical of US and Israeli action against Iran

The American and Israeli war against Iran is 29 days old, and is costing America somewhere between a billion and 2 billion dollars a day. Far from getting a “rally around the flag” public opinion boost, Americans were skeptical from the start, and opinion has been hardening, especially against the idea of putting American troops on the ground. Even most...

Canadians grow more skeptical of US and Israeli action against Iran

Canadians grow more skeptical of US and Israeli action against Iran

The American and Israeli war against Iran is 29 days old, and is costing America somewhere between a billion and 2 billion dollars a day. Far from getting a “rally around the flag” public opinion boost, Americans were skeptical from the start, and opinion has been hardening, especially against the idea of putting American troops on the ground. Even most...

Liberals ahead by 16; Approval of Carney government hits 68%

Liberals ahead by 16; Approval of Carney government hits 68%

Liberals lead everywhere except Saskatchewan and Alberta and the gap has closed there. A few weeks shy of the first anniversary of the election of a Mark Carney led government finds the country broadly endorsing his leadership. Our latest Spark Insights national survey (4000, online, field work between March 22-26, 2025) finds Liberal support at 46% compared to 30% for the Conservatives.

Good Talk -- What Did Air Canada's CEO Moment Tell Us?

Good Talk -- What Did Air Canada's CEO Moment Tell Us?

A terrible crash of an Air Canada jet in New York becomes a language crisis at the top of the country's national airline. The airline employs more than 35 thousand people, about a third of them in Montreal. But their Montreal based CEO speaks only English and this week that became painfully clear. Bruce and Chantal have their thoughts on...

Liberals ahead by 16; Approval of Carney government hits 68%

Liberals ahead by 16; Approval of Carney government hits 68%

Liberals lead everywhere except Saskatchewan and Alberta and the gap has closed there. A few weeks shy of the first anniversary of the election of a Mark Carney led government finds the country broadly endorsing his leadership. Our latest Spark Insights national survey (4000, online, field work between March 22-26, 2025) finds Liberal support at 46% compared to 30% for the Conservatives.

What's in a "Net Favourability" Score?

What's in a "Net Favourability" Score?

Marjorie Harris and Michael Hughes are deadlocked, with net favourability scores of +1. The thing is, they are made up names for an experiment. Ever since I started working in public opinion research (back in the early 1980’s) I was keen to know about the sources of bias that can creep into research unless care is taken in survey design.

What's in a "Net Favourability" Score?

What's in a "Net Favourability" Score?

One of those was the “acquiescence bias”, sometimes referred to in shorthand terms as yea-saying. It reflects that fact that some people - especially if they don’t have a strong opinion themselves are more likely to agree with a statement or idea than disagree with it. It’s something one always has to take into account when doing polling, especially on...

Good Talk - Pierre Poilievre's Joe Rogan Experience

Good Talk - Pierre Poilievre's Joe Rogan Experience

The Conservative leader went on the most popular podcast in the United States yesterday and kept the conversation going for more than two hours and twenty minutes. And if you believe Bruce and Chantal he did very well. Will it make a difference? Also on Good Talk, the Iran war and America's allies, just where do they, including Canada, stand...

Will Iran be Trump's Waterloo?

Will Iran be Trump's Waterloo?

Donald Trump famously said “I could stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody, and I wouldn’t lose any voters, OK? It’s like incredible.” All the evidence so far has suggested that he was right. But few things shift the winds of US politics like wars.

Yes, it's the economy. But it's also the attitude.

Yes, it's the economy. But it's also the attitude.

It rarely rates a mention when polling asks “what’s the most important issue”, but only because people thought nothing could be done about it. I’m talking about polarization in politics and by extension, in society more broadly. Have a conversation with friends and acquaintances about the state of the world, and it often doesn’t take long before someone will mention...

Are by-elections the protest moments they are often considered to be? Out of 49 by-elections in the last 25 years, seat flips happened just 16% of the time.

Are by-elections the protest moments they are often considered to be? Out of 49 by-elections in the last 25 years, seat flips happened just 16% of the time.

The three federal by-elections that will happen in April are going to be consequential. They’ll determine whether the federal Liberal caucus will have enough members to carry votes in the House of Commons without relying on support from other parties.

Are by-elections the protest moments they are often considered to be?

Are by-elections the protest moments they are often considered to be?

The three federal by-elections that will happen in April are going to be consequential. They’ll determine whether the federal Liberal caucus will have enough members to carry votes in the House of Commons without relying on support from other parties.

Poilievre can't quit his climate denying bots.

Poilievre can't quit his climate denying bots.

After a few days of plaudits for sounding more mainstream, Poilievre reminds everyone he is a climate denier, and lacks an understanding of the global marketplace. The Trump administration has dented, but not ended, the drive towards emissions reduction. Capital investments in energy were expected to hit $3.3 trillion in 2025. Of every 3 dollars invested, 2 were going to...

Liberals by 15 and the Prairies are in play.

Liberals by 15 and the Prairies are in play.

Wide leads in Quebec, Ontario, Atlantic and BC. But the numbers have tightened, a lot, in Alberta and Saskatchewan. PM Carney's travels to market Canada is one reason why. In an election held now, 46% would cast a ballot for the Carney Liberals, and 31% say they would vote for Poilievre’s Conservatives. The Liberals have opened up a large lead...

Liberals by 15 and the Prairies are in play.

Liberals by 15 and the Prairies are in play.

Wide leads in Quebec, Ontario, Atlantic and BC. But the numbers have tightened, a lot, in Alberta and Saskatchewan. PM Carney's travels to market Canada is one reason why. In an election held now, 46% would cast a ballot for the Carney Liberals, and 31% say they would vote for Poilievre’s Conservatives. The Liberals have opened up a large lead...

Good Talk -- Canada, Carney and The Iran War

Good Talk -- Canada, Carney and The Iran War

Within hours of the US and Israeli attack on Iran and the assassination of that country's leader, Mark Carney was out with his initial thoughts on the conflict. Since then there's been some clarification on what he meant but there's also been some concern in Liberal circles. Chantal and Bruce have their thoughts on this and a lot more on...

Good Talk -- Is It Really A New Pierre Poilievre?

Good Talk -- Is It Really A New Pierre Poilievre?

Pierre Poilievre is getting generally pretty good reviews for his major speech yesterday outlining his vision for Canada-U.S. relations. Before a pretty Conservative business audience in Toronto, he also went after Donald Trump -- something he hasn't done in the past with so much vigour. It wasn't just what he said but the way he said it. Chantal Hebert and...

Good Talk -- Do Canadians Really "Hate" Americans?

Good Talk -- Do Canadians Really "Hate" Americans?

A new poll in the United States has Americans being told that there's a real chill from Canadians about their southern neighbours, and the word "hate" is used. Feelings are strong, but that strong? Bruce and Chantal on that, plus Alberta calls for a referendum on October 19th, but no question yet on separation. Plus more on leadership challenges for...

Good Talk -- Has Trump Lost It? Is It Advantage Canada?

Good Talk -- Has Trump Lost It? Is It Advantage Canada?

Remember that old saying "Stick a fork in him, he's done"? Some people are beginning to say that about Donald Trump, which may well work in Canada's favour. A little early or no? Chantal Hebert and Bruce Anderson on that, and also more on the possible Alberta referendum and Washington's supposed involvement.

Good Talk -- Running From Behind: Why Pierre Poilievre Should Listen To A Winner

Good Talk -- Running From Behind: Why Pierre Poilievre Should Listen To A Winner

Not even a week after Pierre Poilievre's resounding victory at the leadership review vote in Calgary, the Conservative leader found himself struggling. Why? Because he seemed offside on strategy with the often referred to "Godfather" of his party, Stephen Harper. It was a big week for Harper as he was in Ottawa to celebrate the 20th anniversary of his first...

Carney’s plan to double electricity supply would power a stronger, more resilient Canadian economy.

Carney’s plan to double electricity supply would power a stronger, more resilient Canadian economy.

What’s Canada’s secret weapon to supercharge our economy? Something most of us rarely think about until it’s missing: electricity. Affordable, reliable energy sits at the centre of how we live and work, and how our industries compete. That’s why it was encouraging to see the Prime Minister meeting with provincial and territorial premiers to talk about doubling the power grid...

Carney’s plan to double electricity supply would power a stronger, more resilient Canadian economy.
Poilievre's speech revealed how Mark Carney has repriced the political market.

Poilievre's speech revealed how Mark Carney has repriced the political market.

Red Tories and blue Liberals have found someone they like better, and trust more. Poilievre’s speech reflected a recognition that he had to change to be competitive. Whether you liked it or didn’t, the speech Pierre Poilievre gave at the Conservative convention was, in a way, the speech Mark Carney made him give. In Calgary, at the convention of Conservatives...

Poilievre's speech revealed how Mark Carney has repriced the political market.

Poilievre's speech revealed how Mark Carney has repriced the political market.

Red Tories and blue Liberals have found someone they like better, and trust more. Poilievre’s speech reflected a recognition that he had to change to be competitive. Whether you liked it or didn’t, the speech Pierre Poilievre gave at the Conservative convention was, in a way, the speech Mark Carney made him give. In Calgary, at the convention of Conservatives...

Good Talk - Is The White House Conducting Foreign Interference in Alberta?

Alberta is at the centre of two major stories as the week ends -- Pierre Poilievre is in Calgary tonight waiting for his party's verdict on his leadership. Meanwhile Albertans who want out of Canada say they have the White House on their side and some of the things being said by Trump officials would seem to agree. Bruce and...

Good Talk - Is The White House Conducting Foreign Interference in Alberta?

Good Talk - Is The White House Conducting Foreign Interference in Alberta?

Alberta is at the centre of two major stories as the week ends -- Pierre Poilievre is in Calgary tonight waiting for his party's verdict on his leadership. Meanwhile Albertans who want out of Canada say they have the White House on their side and some of the things being said by Trump officials would seem to agree. Bruce and...

Approval of Carney government rises to 64%; 78% believe arrangement with China on canola and cars was the right thing to do.

Approval of Carney government rises to 64%; 78% believe arrangement with China on canola and cars was the right thing to do.

Two thirds think the Conservatives should replace Poilievre, including 27% of Conservative voters. Since a noticeable dip in November, approval levels for the Carney government have reversed course and sit at 64% nationally. Approval is over 66% in every region but Alberta, where it stands at 57%. Approval is over 60% with every age group. These are results from the...

Approval of Carney government rises to 64%; 78% believe arrangement with China on canola and cars was the right thing to do.

Approval of Carney government rises to 64%; 78% believe arrangement with China on canola and cars was the right thing to do.

Two thirds think the Conservatives should replace Poilievre, including 27% of Conservative voters. Since a noticeable dip in November, approval levels for the Carney government have reversed course and sit at 64% nationally. Approval is over 66% in every region but Alberta, where it stands at 57%. Approval is over 60% with every age group. These are results from the...

Good Talk - The Week Everything Changed

Good Talk - The Week Everything Changed

First, Mark Carney said the rupture is real and our days tied to the US are over. Twenty four hours later, Donald Trump implies "You better be careful Mark". More Trumpian insults directed at Canada followed So now, its game on, the fight is real and who knows just where it will all end up. So while Carney and his...

Canadians want to accelerate our competitiveness – and our path to a cleaner economy. We can. Here ’ s how

Canadians want to accelerate our competitiveness – and our path to a cleaner economy. We can. Here ’ s how

The world heading into 2026 looks very different from a decade ago. New geopolitical tensions, trade disruptions, and surging energy demand — driven in part by AI and other energy-intensive industries — have countries scrambling to secure supply chains and shore up energy security. And while fossil fuels remain in that mix, the larger story is the rapid acceleration of...

Canadians want to accelerate our competitiveness – and our path to a cleaner economy. We can. Here ’ s how
Good Talk -- Made in China.

Good Talk -- Made in China.

Mark Carney was in China for the past few days and leaves with a pocketful of deals. Sounds good but how good is it? Chantal Hebert and Bruce Anderson are here with their assessment of risks and rewards. It's a busy Good Talk with more on the agenda, from the resignation of Quebec's premier to what exactly is Canada's position...

Good Talk -- "Despair versus Hope -- Despair is Winning"

The year is off to a fast start, and so is the Good Talk panel. How worried should Canada be after the US invasion of Venezuela and Donald Trump's constant threats towards some of his closest neighbours? Also, Chrystia Freeland pulls the plug on her Ottawa career and sets up shop in Ukraine. All that and more in our first...

Good Talk -- "Despair versus Hope -- Despair is Winning"

Good Talk -- "Despair versus Hope -- Despair is Winning"

The year is off to a fast start, and so is the Good Talk panel. How worried should Canada be after the US invasion of Venezuela and Donald Trump's constant threats towards some of his closest neighbours? Also, Chrystia Freeland pulls the plug on her Ottawa career and sets up shop in Ukraine. All that and more in our first...

Poilievre promised to "make Canada the freest country in the world". What does freedom mean to him?

Poilievre promised to "make Canada the freest country in the world". What does freedom mean to him?

If Putin or Xi removed Maduro and said they would be running Venezuela for a while and selling Venezuela’s oil to make profits from it, would you celebrate this as a great step for freedom? Of course not.

If Trump is the question, can Poilievre really be the best Conservative answer?

If Trump is the question, can Poilievre really be the best Conservative answer?

Canada's next election will turn on how much people want to escape the chaos and division Trump brings to their lives. Conservatives have a horse bred for a different race. Trump was sworn into office again a little more than 300 days ago. In 300 days, Americans can hit the reset button. Most Canadians are really hoping that they do...

Good Talk -- The Conservative Bleeding Continues As The Year Ends

Good Talk -- The Conservative Bleeding Continues As The Year Ends

For the third time in a month a Conservative jumps ship, with two of them joining the Liberals. Will there be more? The Liberals need at least one more to form a majority. All this is happening while the government struggles to pass new legislation. Ottawa starts to close down for the holidays and Good Talk assesses where things stand...

Satisfaction with Carney government up 3 points to 62% - as voters think differently about economic challenges.

Satisfaction with Carney government up 3 points to 62% - as voters think differently about economic challenges.

Normally if people are down about the economy they are angry at government. It’s more complicated right now, as people see economic pressures from outside our borders. Other than tagging every scandal something-gate, It’d be hard to find a more overused phrase in modern political analysis than “it’s the economy, stupid”. In 1992, James Carville wrote it on a sign...

Satisfaction with Carney government up 3 points to 62% - as voters think differently about economic challenges.

Satisfaction with Carney government up 3 points to 62% - as voters think differently about economic challenges.

Normally if people are down about the economy they are angry at government. It’s more complicated right now, as people see economic pressures from outside our borders. Other than tagging every scandal something-gate, It’d be hard to find a more overused phrase in modern political analysis than “it’s the economy, stupid”. In 1992, James Carville wrote it on a sign...

Good Talk -- "A Week in Politics Is A Long Time"

Good Talk -- "A Week in Politics Is A Long Time"

A week ago the talk was all about pipelines. Remember those days? Things have changed a lot in a mere seven days. It's been quite the week, especially in Quebec, where there are lessons for politicians across the country. Chantal Hebert and Bruce Anderson join the virtual discussion table again for some Good Talk.

Politics comes down to the swing voters. Who are they and what are they feeling?

Politics comes down to the swing voters. Who are they and what are they feeling?

When trying to image outcomes of US presidential elections, it’s normal to focus on a list of about 6-7swing states and more or less ignore the rest. What happens in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Michigan pretty much decide which candidate gets the required number of electoral college votes and moves into the White House. But a lot...

Politics comes down to the swing voters. Who are they and what are they feeling?

Politics comes down to the swing voters. Who are they and what are they feeling?

When trying to image outcomes of US presidential elections, it’s normal to focus on a list of about 6-7swing states and more or less ignore the rest. What happens in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Michigan pretty much decide which candidate gets the required number of electoral college votes and moves into the White House. But a lot...

Good Talk -- The Pipeline Deal That Could Make or Break The Liberals

Good Talk -- The Pipeline Deal That Could Make or Break The Liberals

Twelve hundred people were on their feet in Calgary yesterday applauding Mark Carney and Danielle Smith for the deal they signed that could lead to a new pipeline to move Alberta oil to markets. But there was a cost too ...Carney lost a minister, and the BC government and indigenous groups are more than a little bit upset. What happens...

Just Watch Me

Just Watch Me

On St. Jean Baptiste Day in 1970, my father took my brother Rick and me to Montreal from where we lived in Valleyfield, to watch the annual parade celebrating Quebec’s national pride.

Good Talk -- Kings, Queens, Ambassadors and Jet Fighters - Dealing for Dollars, Jobs and Security.

Good Talk -- Kings, Queens, Ambassadors and Jet Fighters - Dealing for Dollars, Jobs and Security.

Another week where there's lots to talk about with Chantal Hebert and Bruce Anderson. The US is playing hardball through its ambassador to Canada over which jet fighter we "must" buy, while Sweden sends its King and Queen to push its option. And then there's the pipeline story -- could a deal between Ottawa and Alberta be close on that...

Forcing an election against this budget would be a big risk for opposition parties

Forcing an election against this budget would be a big risk for opposition parties

69% think the opposition parties should let the budget pass, including 73% on the left and 51% on the right. Hardly fertile ground for the NDP and the CPC. As the House of Commons approaches confidence votes on Mark Carney’s first budget, they know that to force an election would be to court the ire of the public. It may...

Forcing an election against this budget would be a big risk for opposition parties

Forcing an election against this budget would be a big risk for opposition parties

69% think the opposition parties should let the budget pass, including 73% on the left and 51% on the right. Hardly fertile ground for the NDP and the CPC. As the House of Commons approaches confidence votes on Mark Carney’s first budget, they know that to force an election would be to court the ire of the public. It may...

Good Talk -- The Government Could Fall on Monday But Will It?

Good Talk -- The Government Could Fall on Monday But Will It?

The numbers certainly conclude that if all opposition MPs vote against the budget then the government will fall. But will that happen and will it happen next week? All that on the heels of the budget and the latest major projects list? That and this question -- Is Mark Carney still green? All this with Chantal Hebert and Bruce Anderson...

47% of those on the right believe it's best to choose a new leader for the Conservative Party

47% of those on the right believe it's best to choose a new leader for the Conservative Party

Betting on Poilievre is betting that someone who’s been in politics for 20 years will grow more popular, and the odds tell us that only rarely happens. The list of politicians who gain popularity after 20 years in public life is short. When it happens, it involves a major change in the politician, or a bigger change in the world...