Jenni Byrne’s Big Gamble
The ruthless tactician behind Pierre Poilievre’s campaign has spent decades shaping Canadian conservatism from behind the scenes. This year’s election...
Pierre Poilievre dismisses calls for 'pivot' as Liberals increase lead in polls
Conservative leader says he won't stop criticizing the incumbent government for its 'lost Liberal decade.' Pierre Poilievre says he disagrees...
‘I was totally shocked’: shut-out Tory nomination hopefuls blast backroom players for denying them contests in GTA, Calgary, and B.C.
Some shutout Conservative nomination candidates in the Greater Toronto Area, Calgary, and some British Columbia ridings say they have been...
Carney says Paul Chiang has his 'confidence,' despite 'terrible lapse of judgment'
Liberal Leader Mark Carney said he will not be dropping Paul Chiang from the race in Markham–Unionville, despite the candidate’s...
At Florida gala, Danielle Smith tried to laugh off 51st state rhetoric. Here's what she said
CBC News has obtained video of Alberta premier's onstage discussion with podcaster Ben Shapiro. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith's response to...
ElectionWatch 2025
Polling Trendlines
Latest Results
Incumbent lead holds as CPC edge among men dwarfed by Liberal advantage among women
In a campaign that has been remarkable for its volatility and dynamism, a new element enters the race: relative stability...
Over three in five Canadians support or somewhat support Mark Carney disclosing financial assets in blind trust and Pierre Poilievre obtaining security clearance
The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over...
National Tracker: Liberals 43%, Conservatives 38%
A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association...
Seat Projections
Canada's Campaign Watchers
This week's analysis
To add to our interesting content about the federal election campaign, Spark and Northstar Public Affairs recruited a unique panel of people who have worked in political campaigns in Canada. Each week, we’ll survey them online to see what they think is happening. This is our first synopsis, based on a survey completed March 26-27. Read More
Who Our Watchers Are:
Adam Taylor
Adrian Jean
Alex Maheu
Ali Salam
Aliya Mohammed
Andrew Casey
Andrew MacDougall
Andy Gibbons
Axel Rioux
Ben Parsons
Brad Lavigne
Brendan McGuinty
Brian Clow
Brianna Ames
Bruce Winchester
Bruce Anderson
Cameron MacKeen
Cara Salci
Carlene Variyan
Caroline Séguin
Chad Bowie
Chad Walsh
Chisholm Pothier
Chris Day
Chris McCluskey
Christine Burke
Dan Mader
Dave Forestell
Dave Prisco
David McArthur
Dennis Matthews
Dennis Prouse
Derek Nighbor
Dil Puar
Dimitri Soudas
Elder Marques
Elly Alboim
Eric Johnson
Fraser Macdonald
Fred DeLorey
Gabe Garfinkel
Gabrielle Berard
Greg MacNeil
Greg McEachern
Hardave Birk
Jaime Watt
Jamie Kippen
Janet Fryday Dorey
Jason Kenney
Jeremy Broadhurst
Jim Anderson
Joanne Macrae
Jordan Deagle
Kate Harrison
Kathleen Monk
Katie Telford
Ken Boessenkool
Kevin Bosch
Lanny Cardow
Laryssa Waler
Laura Kurkimaki
Laura Pennell
Lawrence Cannon
Lisa MacLeod
Lisa Raitt
Marc-Olivier Fortin
Marcia Smith
Max Dea
Megan Leslie
Melanie Richer
Melissa Cotton
Mike Solberg
Mollie Anderson
Monte Solberg
Morgan Swan
Nancy Jamieson
Patrick Rogers
Perry Tsergas
Phil Cartwright
Rebecca Rogers
Richard Mahoney
Rick Anderson
Rob Silver
Roxanna Benoit
Ryan Dunn
Sabrina Grover
Scott Feschuk
Scott Reid
Sean Speer
Sheamus Murphy
Stephen Carter
Tasha Kheiriddin
Tausha Michaud
Tim Powers
Tyler Banham
Vandana Fatima Kattar
Will Stewart
Yaroslav Baran
Zain Velji
Zita Astravas
Election News
‘I was totally shocked’: shut-out Tory nomination hopefuls blast backroom players for denying them contests in GTA, Calgary, and B.C.
Some shutout Conservative nomination candidates in the Greater Toronto Area, Calgary, and some British Columbia ridings say they have been...
Pierre Poilievre dismisses calls for 'pivot' as Liberals increase lead in polls
Conservative leader says he won't stop criticizing the incumbent government for its 'lost Liberal decade.' Pierre Poilievre says he disagrees...
Jenni Byrne’s Big Gamble
The ruthless tactician behind Pierre Poilievre’s campaign has spent decades shaping Canadian conservatism from behind the scenes. This year’s election...
Carney promises home building program, Poilievre pitches national energy corridor
Liberal Leader Mark Carney promised Monday to get the federal government back into the business of home building, while Pierre...
Carney says Paul Chiang has his 'confidence,' despite 'terrible lapse of judgment'
Liberal Leader Mark Carney said he will not be dropping Paul Chiang from the race in Markham–Unionville, despite the candidate’s...
Carney standing by candidate Paul Chiang, who suggested Conservative be turned over to China for bounty
Liberal Leader Mark Carney says Paul Chiang will remain a candidate under his banner, despite calls to ouster the Markham-Unionville...
Campaign Analysis
Carney faces ‘the ultimate test,’ which could well decide Canada’s very existence
Speaking to reporters after a recent cabinet meeting, Prime Minister Mark Carney told the assembled media that Canada’s old relationship...
Carney reminds voters why they wanted the Liberals out in the first place
Paul Chiang's comments, and Carney's defence of the candidate, are a sign that the Liberal party’s inexplicable attachment to Beijing...
Extremist Candidates Welcomed on Poilievre’s Team
After 91-year-old former prime minister Jean Chrétien’s rousing speech to Liberals earlier this month, it can be easy to forget...
Moe, Smith prove valuable assets ... for Carney and Liberals
The premiers of Saskatchewan and Alberta support Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, but they're helping the campaign of Mark Carney's Liberals.
How Poilievre and Singh can carve out political space during tariff war with Trump
The astonishing news Friday of a polite and insult-free phone call between Trump and Mark Carney — one surprisingly, the...
Policy Announcements
Singh: Climate Action That Protects You from Trump’s Trade War and Rising Costs
With Trump’s trade threats fuelling fear and economic uncertainty, Canadians are already bracing against a rising cost of living and...
Green Party will create a National Civil Defence Corps to Strengthen Canada’s Resilience
From climate disasters to cyber threats and geopolitical instability, Canada must ensure its citizens have the tools and support needed...
Mark Carney’s Liberals unveil Canada’s most ambitious housing plan since the Second World War
Today, Mark Carney announced that a new Liberal government would build more homes that Canadians can afford, with Canada’s most...
Poilievre To Create ‘Canada First’ National Energy Corridor
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced today he will create a ‘Canada First’ National Energy Corridor to fast-track approvals for transmission...
Singh to First-Time Buyers: We’ll Help you Buy a Home—Not Investors and Speculators
Today, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh announced a bold plan to help families afford their first home by unlocking the financial...
Poilievre Announces Canada First Reinvestment Tax Cut
Today, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced the Canada First Reinvestment Tax Cut. Any person or business selling an asset will...
Opinion More View More
Carney faces ‘the ultimate test,’ which could well decide Canada’s very existence
Speaking to reporters after a recent cabinet meeting, Prime Minister Mark Carney told the assembled media that Canada’s old relationship...
Carney reminds voters why they wanted the Liberals out in the first place
Paul Chiang's comments, and Carney's defence of the candidate, are a sign that the Liberal party’s inexplicable attachment to Beijing...
Extremist Candidates Welcomed on Poilievre’s Team
After 91-year-old former prime minister Jean Chrétien’s rousing speech to Liberals earlier this month, it can be easy to forget...
Moe, Smith prove valuable assets ... for Carney and Liberals
The premiers of Saskatchewan and Alberta support Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, but they're helping the campaign of Mark Carney's Liberals.
How Poilievre and Singh can carve out political space during tariff war with Trump
The astonishing news Friday of a polite and insult-free phone call between Trump and Mark Carney — one surprisingly, the...
Pierre Poilievre’s big problem as Conservatives slide in the polls? He can’t turn his enemies into friends
Pierre Poilievre went into this election campaign with plenty of political skills, but lacking one he needs right now —...
Carney is asking Canadians to give him a majority to deal with Trump
A few months ago, only people who were smoking the drapes would have thought a Liberal majority possible. Now, who...
Bread, not circuses: dwindling appetite for politics as usual is helping Carney
Prime Minister Mark Carney will probably never be a spellbinding public speaker, at least judging by his first tentative forays...
"Is Canada The Greatest Country on Earth?" Depends Who You Ask (And How Old They Are)
In the heat of a federal election campaign, with Donald Trump once again occupying the White House and making noise...
Is Pierre Poilievre ‘too Trumpy?’ Does Mark Carney know his candidates’ names? 5 moments that shook up the election campaign this week
Welcome to Election 2025 and the weekly campaign edition of On The Contrary, in which Susan Delacourt and Matt Gurney...
This election campaign isn’t about the United States. It’s about Canada, and why we matter in the world
This is a hard time for the country. It is also a good time. Hard because of tariffs, talk of...
Two veteran political journalists on the making of Pierre Poilievre — and what could unmake him
The following is a conversation between two journalists who have been covering Canadian federal politics up close for decades. Stephen...
Clarifying ‘Caretaker’: The Prime Minister is the Prime Minister
Mark Carney is the Prime Minister of Canada. He held this office despite not having had a seat in Parliament...
Is Pierre Poilievre too 'in sync' with Donald Trump?
The Alberta premier thought it was a good thing — a top Conservative strategist begged to differ. The most controversial...
Liberals screwing the West for political gain – again
Another federal election and the Mark Carney-Justin Trudeau Liberals are employing their tried-and-true tactic, made famous by the legendary Liberal...
Jagmeet Singh needs to stop pretending he’s going to win the election
Faced with President Donald Trump’s renewed tariff threats against Canada this week, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh shifted his campaign plans...
Avoiding the Trump trap—Why the Conservatives might want to keep ‘change’ as the election focus
As we come to the end of the first week of this high‐stakes, highly consequential Canadian general election campaign, many...
"I'm voting X because..." A deep dive on why voters say they are supporting the Liberals or Conservatives
In political campaigns, voters’ choices often hinge on how well they feel a party understands their needs, addresses their most...
How is Poilievre responding to Trump's shift in tone?
The CBC's Kate McKenna updates Power & Politics on Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre's response to U.S. President Donald Trump saying...
Why is the NDP doing so badly, even with progressives? Just take a look at their awful housing plan
“Massive challenges.” That is how federal NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh recently described his what his party is facing in this...
Let’s not sleep on Justin Trudeau’s last good idea
In one of his last acts as prime minister, Justin Trudeau put forward a genuinely great idea: Get the RCMP...
The last prime ministerial trip that Justin Trudeau never took
It’s the last trip that Justin Trudeau never took. In his last weeks in power, amid the turmoil of Donald...
Mark Carney stands to lose a lot of goodwill in Quebec by avoiding TVA jousting debate
While the country was in lockdown during the COVID-19 pandemic, Quebecers enthusiastically adopted the French version of the Italian slogan...
News More View More
Canadian, American unions urging U.S. senators to vote to overturn Trump's tariffs
Unions on both sides of the border are calling on American senators to vote in favour of legislation to overturn...
Carney promises home building program, Poilievre pitches national energy corridor
Liberal Leader Mark Carney promised Monday to get the federal government back into the business of home building, while Pierre...
Carney standing by candidate Paul Chiang, who suggested Conservative be turned over to China for bounty
Liberal Leader Mark Carney says Paul Chiang will remain a candidate under his banner, despite calls to ouster the Markham-Unionville...
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre pledges ‘national energy corridor’ to expedite approvals for pipelines, infrastructure
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre pledged to create a “national energy corridor” across Canada, within which approvals for pipelines and other...
This Quebec battleground has an incumbent fighting for his life
In the three-party battle for Trois-Rivières, the Bloc Québécois MP will be on the ballot, but not the campaign trail...
Former Liberal minister worked government contacts to ply COVID contracts without registering as lobbyist
Former deputy PM Sheila Copps said she had permission not to register in contacting Anand's office. One offer was flagged...
Mark Carney’s Liberals open up 8-point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives in latest Nanos tracking
The federal Liberals have opened up an eight-point advantage over the Conservatives in the latest Nanos Research tracking on Day...
More tariff turmoil
It feels like we've been building to this week. Ever since U.S. President Donald Trump was elected, we've been waiting...
Election to likely hinge on 50 most competitive ridings, but things could shift greatly by polling day, say politicos
This election's ballot question is twofold: is it time for change, and who is best suited to stand up to...
Eyes warily turn to next round of U.S. tariffs during second week of federal election
The second week of the federal election campaign is underway, with a fresh round of U.S. tariffs expected to soon...
Liberals continue lead over Tories after 1st week of Canada election: poll
The Liberals continue to lead the Conservatives among voters after the first week of the federal election campaign, a new...
Poilievre shrugs off reports of campaign turmoil as he pitches tax relief
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre brushed off reports of campaign turmoil Sunday as he pitched his party as the best choice...
Calls mount for Carney to fire Liberal candidate who said Conservative should be turned in to earn Chinese bounty
Calls are mounting for Liberal Leader Mark Carney to fire Toronto-area candidate Paul Chiang, who said people should bring a...
Independent MP Han Dong won't seek re-election in suburban Toronto riding
Former Liberal says he doesn't want to split the vote to Conservatives' benefit. Independent MP Han Dong said Sunday morning...
Poilievre announces capital gains tax cut for investors putting money in Canada
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced his second tax cut of the campaign targeted at investors Sunday, promising to exempt capital...
Mark Carney’s Liberals leading Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives by 5 points in latest Nanos tracking
The federal Liberals are emerging as frontrunners in a tightly-contested election with a five-point lead over the Conservatives, who have...
Liberals felt besieged in ‘Fortress Toronto’ under Justin Trudeau. They say Mark Carney has come to their rescue
Less than a year after her shocking byelection loss blew a Conservative hole through the federal Liberals’ fortress Toronto, Liberal...
Former U.S. ambassador to the UN says tariff impact will be 'enormous,' slams 'reckless' Signal group chat
Former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations Susan Rice says President Donald Trump's tariffs will lead to major economic consequences...
Poilievre tries to capitalize on NDP weakness but Liberal surge could complicate things
Conservatives eye NDP seats, but Trump threatens to upend everything. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre spent much of the first week...
Why Doug Ford may find there's little to be gained by campaigning for Poilievre
Both camps deny the Conservative leader reached out for campaign help. After Doug Ford's significant majority victory in Ontario, one...
Conservatives demand Carney fire candidate who said Tory should be turned in for Chinese bounty
Liberal Leader Mark Carney is being urged by the Conservatives to fire a Toronto-area candidate who said people should bring...
Ministers, ex-cabinet members and leadership aspirants seek to hold bellwethers for Liberals
Six cabinet members and a former Liberal leadership candidate will contest bellwether ridings in the 2025 federal election, with more...
Polls suggest Poilievre is losing edge on affordability
Liberal, Tory leaders equally likely to act on housing affordability, survey says. It wasn’t so long ago that Conservative Leader...
Pierre Poilievre aligns with Bloc Quebecois just as Jagmeet Singh says he ‘will never support’ Conservatives
Poilievre told reporters in Winnipeg he would not contest Quebec’s language law, Bill 96, should a challenge of it reach...
Pressure mounts on Poilievre to refocus Conservative campaign on Donald Trump
Pierre Poilievre is facing mounting discontent over campaign manager Jenni Byrne’s handling of strategy and operations, multiple sources say, citing...
Politician's Pen
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The State of Service Report
Our government created the Citizens’ Services portfolio in 2023 to champion service delivery excellence and to improve government efficiency. This...
US Poli
More View More
White House abruptly fires career Justice Department prosecutors in latest norm-shattering move
WASHINGTON (AP) -- The recent firings of career Justice Department lawyers by the White House is a sign of President...
Trump pardons Navy veteran convicted in Capitol riot
WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Donald Trump has pardoned a Virginia man whose sentence already was commuted for his convictions stemming...
Trump keeps talking about running for a third term. The US Constitution says that can't happen
President Donald Trump has just started his second term, his last one permitted under the U.S. Constitution. But he's already...
Trump says he's considering ways to serve a third term as president
President Donald Trump said "I'm not joking" about trying to serve a third term, the clearest indication he's considering ways...
French far-right leader Marine Le Pen is barred from seeking public office for embezzlement
French far-right leader Marine Le Pen strode out of a French court as the chief judge on Monday barred her...
Powerful earthquakes rock Thailand and Myanmar, triggering the collapse of a Bangkok high-rise
A state of emergency has been declared in six regions and states in Myanmar after a 7.7 magnitude earthquake whose...
Shares of GM and other automakers slump following Trump tariffs, with Tesla the exception
NEW YORK (AP) -- Shares of major automakers slumped following President Donald Trump's announcement that he will place 25% tariffs...
Tesla sales fall by 49% in Europe even as the electric vehicle market grows
FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) -- European sales of Tesla electric vehicles tumbled 49% in the first two months of the year...
Weekslong lockups of European tourists at US borders spark fears of traveling to America
SAN DIEGO (AP) -- Lennon Tyler and her German fiance often took road trips to Mexico when he vacationed in...
Think Tank
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Alberta Children’s Charter, a bold step in the right direction for youth transgender policy
Stéphane Sérafin and Geoffrey Sigalet explain why Alberta's laws on gender pronouns, early age transitioning, and access to girls' and...
Information and Communication Infrastructure Resiliency: Canada’s Invisible Security Risk
The onslaught of President Donald Trump’s tariffs has pushed economic security to the forefront of the upcoming federal election. The...
Substacks
More View MoreA collection of SubStack publishing within Canadian public affairs.
Mark Carney's $100 apology
The 10 men who have governed the Bank of Canada since its inception in 1934 have been taciturn types, studiously...
How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part II
Peter Larkin launched King’s fund with $25,000 of his own cash, deposited Sept. 22, 1925 at the Old Colony Trust...
Day 1 - They're off!
Now that the election is called, time to riff from that part of my bio that says “campaign manager” and...
Podcasts
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Liberals enter uncharted territory
It’s clear enough that Mark Carney’s Liberals would be the favourites to win this election if it were held today...
The Panel: Liberation Day pre-sale!
The election campaign heads into its second week, and everything feels brand new. The Liberal campaign plane finally has the...
Conservatives are caught in a perfect electoral storm, but aren’t blown away yet
In any other election the kind of poll numbers Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives are putting up would be cause for celebration...
When the Alt-Right “Infiltrated” a Small Town
“ …the City of Pickering has witnessed a growing infiltration of alt right individuals, ideologies, and influences that have created...