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Liberal lead over CPC increases to eight points, but is Carney’s house of dreams built on concrete or sand?

    Liberal lead over CPC increases to eight points, but is Carney’s house of dreams built on concrete or sand?

    As party leaders travel across the country on the campaign hustings, the Liberal plane appears to have more lift than those of their political rivals.New data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute finds the Liberals’ turnaround continues to climb in elevation, boosting the party to an eight-point lead (46% to 38%) over the Conservatives.

    Danielle Smith's U.S. media remarks stoke reaction as party leaders hit campaign trail

    Danielle Smith's U.S. media remarks stoke reaction as party leaders hit campaign trail

    Smith mused about possibility of putting tariffs ‘on pause’ to benefit Conservatives. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith's recent comments to right-wing...

    Poilievre says Alberta premier ‘free’ to make interventions in Trump’s trade war

    Poilievre says Alberta premier ‘free’ to make interventions in Trump’s trade war

    Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre says Danielle Smith is “free” to express her opinions on the U.S.-Canada trade war after the...

    Danielle Smith’s MAGA charm offensive could haunt the Conservatives

    Danielle Smith’s MAGA charm offensive could haunt the Conservatives

    When Alberta Premier Danielle Smith demanded Carney call a federal election after he was sworn-in as Prime Minister ten days...

    Carney says he thinks Trump waiting until election outcome before engaging with PM

    Carney says he thinks Trump waiting until election outcome before engaging with PM

    Liberal Leader Mark Carney, who hasn’t talked to Donald Trump since taking office as Prime Minister, said he thinks the...

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    Consumer confidence continues to erode in wake of Canada-US tensions (Bloomberg/Nanos)

    Consumer confidence continues to erode in wake of Canada-US tensions (Bloomberg/Nanos)

    Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,100 respondents in Canada. This report is...

    As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

    As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

    Our latest survey, completed between March 17 and 20 among 1,500 eligible voters, offers a detailed picture of the political...



    ElectionWatch 2025

    Polling Trendlines

    NNW EW2025 Dataviz 2025 EN1 POLLS

    Latest Results

    CityNews-Leger poll shows strong support for Carney-led Liberal party among Torontonians

    CityNews-Leger poll shows strong support for Carney-led Liberal party among Torontonians

    Torontonians strongly favour a Liberal government under Mark Carney, according to a CityNews-Leger poll. That is likely not good news...

    And they're off! Where things stand as the race begins.

    And they're off! Where things stand as the race begins.

    Earlier today, Prime Minister Mark Carney met the governor general and dissolved the 44th Parliament, setting April 28 as the...

    As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

    As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

    Our latest survey, completed between March 17 and 20 among 1,500 eligible voters, offers a detailed picture of the political...

    Seat Projections

    NNW EW2025 Dataviz 2025 EN1 SEATS

    Election News

    Poilievre says Alberta premier ‘free’ to make interventions in Trump’s trade war

    Poilievre says Alberta premier ‘free’ to make interventions in Trump’s trade war

    Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre says Danielle Smith is “free” to express her opinions on the U.S.-Canada trade war after the...

    Danielle Smith's U.S. media remarks stoke reaction as party leaders hit campaign trail

    Danielle Smith's U.S. media remarks stoke reaction as party leaders hit campaign trail

    Smith mused about possibility of putting tariffs ‘on pause’ to benefit Conservatives. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith's recent comments to right-wing...

    Premier Smith's comments continue to draw ire of federal leaders on election campaign

      Premier Smith's comments continue to draw ire of federal leaders on election campaign

      Alberta Premier Danielle Smith’s comments to an American media outlet continue to be a political football among national political leaders...

      Carney releases another Mike Myers video, this time without a citizenship quiz

      Carney releases another Mike Myers video, this time without a citizenship quiz

      The Liberal campaign has returned to its Mike Myers strategy a second time, this time with an explicit endorsement from...

      Danielle Smith’s MAGA charm offensive could haunt the Conservatives

      Danielle Smith’s MAGA charm offensive could haunt the Conservatives

      When Alberta Premier Danielle Smith demanded Carney call a federal election after he was sworn-in as Prime Minister ten days...

      Elections Canada has been in touch with social media platforms about election misinformation

      Elections Canada has been in touch with social media platforms about election misinformation

      The head of Elections Canada says he has been in touch with social media platforms in an effort to address...

      Campaign Analysis

      Conservatives look like they're being outfoxed by Carney

      Conservatives look like they're being outfoxed by Carney

      Instead of a smooth launch to get the campaign rolling, Conservatives found themselves hurtling backwards at pace

      Did Danielle Smith lobby the U.S. to help Pierre Poilievre? Sure looks like it
      Mark Carney is offering voters the other guy’s ideas, without the other guy

      Mark Carney is offering voters the other guy’s ideas, without the other guy

      If the last near-decade has proven any adage true, it’s that the Liberals are terrible at governing, but exceptional at...

      Day 1 - They're off!

      Day 1 - They're off!

      Now that the election is called, time to riff from that part of my bio that says “campaign manager” and...

      Smith's cosy ties in U.S. wrecked Poilievre campaign opening

      Smith's cosy ties in U.S. wrecked Poilievre campaign opening

      If Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives have one goal today, it should be to get Danielle Smith to stay home and shut...

      Trump’s threat to Canada means this election must be a choice between the Liberals and Conservatives

      Trump’s threat to Canada means this election must be a choice between the Liberals and Conservatives

      With the campaign officially started, Canadians are about to experience something more akin to what we see south of the...

      Policy Announcements

      Poilievre Will Axe The Tolls For Islanders

        Poilievre Will Axe The Tolls For Islanders

        Conservative Deputy Leader Melissa Lantsman announced today that a Conservative government led by Pierre Poilievre will scrap the tolls on...

        The NDP will unlock public land to build more homes people can afford

          The NDP will unlock public land to build more homes people can afford

          Canada needs 6 million new homes. Today Jagmeet Singh unveiled the first step in the NDP plan to use every...

          Poillievre proposes tax cut to save 'modest income' families about $1,800 per year

          Poillievre proposes tax cut to save 'modest income' families about $1,800 per year

          Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced a proposal on Monday to cut the lowest income tax bracket, saving the average family...

          Conservatives Will Bring Back The Seal Harvest, Save Fishing Jobs

            Conservatives Will Bring Back The Seal Harvest, Save Fishing Jobs

            Today, Clifford Small, Conservative candidate for Central Newfoundland, announced that Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Government will restore the seal harvest to...

            Liberals launch 2025 campaign with middle-class tax cut

              Liberals launch 2025 campaign with middle-class tax cut

              Today, Mark Carney launched the 2025 Liberal campaign by announcing a middle-class tax cut that will help Canadians keep more...

              Carney keeping emissions cap on oil and gas, but focusing on investing in green tech

              Carney keeping emissions cap on oil and gas, but focusing on investing in green tech

              Prime Minister Mark Carney confirmed Friday that his government would keep the emissions cap on oil and gas production in...



              Conservatives look like they're being outfoxed by Carney

              Conservatives look like they're being outfoxed by Carney

              Instead of a smooth launch to get the campaign rolling, Conservatives found themselves hurtling backwards at pace

              Did Danielle Smith lobby the U.S. to help Pierre Poilievre? Sure looks like it
              Mark Carney is offering voters the other guy’s ideas, without the other guy

              Mark Carney is offering voters the other guy’s ideas, without the other guy

              If the last near-decade has proven any adage true, it’s that the Liberals are terrible at governing, but exceptional at...

              Smith's cosy ties in U.S. wrecked Poilievre campaign opening

              Smith's cosy ties in U.S. wrecked Poilievre campaign opening

              If Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives have one goal today, it should be to get Danielle Smith to stay home and shut...

              Trump’s threat to Canada means this election must be a choice between the Liberals and Conservatives

              Trump’s threat to Canada means this election must be a choice between the Liberals and Conservatives

              With the campaign officially started, Canadians are about to experience something more akin to what we see south of the...

              Another Election About Trade and Sovereignty, but Not Quite Déja Vu

              Another Election About Trade and Sovereignty, but Not Quite Déja Vu

              After months of prime ministerial departure and succession drama, of bilateral chaos, avoidable economic uncertainty, and a spit-take reversal in...

              Poilievre Finally Gets the Election He’s Been Dying For. But Is It Too Late?

              Poilievre Finally Gets the Election He’s Been Dying For. But Is It Too Late?

              The “Canada Is Broken” candidate faces a changed national mood. RICHARD LIVES in a pup tent in downtown Ottawa, next...

              Danielle Smith’s Trump talk threatens Pierre Poilievre’s chances to win

              Danielle Smith’s Trump talk threatens Pierre Poilievre’s chances to win

              Pierre Poilievre has a problem, and her name is Danielle Smith. The Alberta premier has become a thorn in the...

              For Danielle Smith, a Liberal win is just as scary as Trump’s tariffs

              For Danielle Smith, a Liberal win is just as scary as Trump’s tariffs

              So much for Team Canada. Mark Carney may want all the premiers united behind him, but Alberta’s Danielle Smith has...

              Poilievre and Carney agree on one thing: This federal election is about change


              April could be the cruelest month for Poilievre

              April could be the cruelest month for Poilievre

              Fading Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre should read a little T.S. Eliot. April could indeed be the cruelest month for the...

              2021 vs. 2025: Comparing public opinion at the start of both campaigns

              2021 vs. 2025: Comparing public opinion at the start of both campaigns

              As we kick off the 2025 Canadian federal election campaign, it’s instructive to look back at where we stood at...

              The ‘artificial border’ and how it can be corrected

              The ‘artificial border’ and how it can be corrected

              It’s truly breathtaking to hear U.S. President Donald Trump muse about the Canada-U.S. border and show his complete ignorance about...

              Trump, Ukraine, and the New World Order

              Trump, Ukraine, and the New World Order

              Canada has now entered an election campaign amid what Prime Minister Mark Carney terms “the most significant threat of our...

              Danielle Smith is Mark Carney's secret weapon

              Danielle Smith is Mark Carney's secret weapon

              It was supposed to be a cakewalk. Instead, as Pierre Poilievre kicks off the election campaign that was supposed to...

              This election is about Donald Trump — and a lot more

              This election is about Donald Trump — and a lot more

              In ways no one could have understood at the time, June 16, 2015, turned out to be a momentous day...

              Donald Trump upends notions of stability and change as Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre square off

              Donald Trump upends notions of stability and change as Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre square off

              In a little more than five weeks, either Mark Carney or Pierre Poilievre will be the prime minister of Canada...

              Canadian Conservatives are desperate for Donald Trump to come to their rescue -  one of Canada’s most prominent conservative leaders asked Trump’s government to interfere

              Canadian Conservatives are desperate for Donald Trump to come to their rescue - one of Canada’s most prominent conservative leaders asked Trump’s government to interfere

              An election that will be fought about the sovereignty of Canada is beginning with news that one of Canada’s most...

              Is Pierre Poilievre the new Justin Trudeau?

              Is Pierre Poilievre the new Justin Trudeau?

              Matt Gurney: Well, here we are. Yay, I guess. There goes our April. For the one or two readers who...

              Canada’s Existential Election

              Canada’s Existential Election

              The campaign launched Sunday by Governor General Mary Simon’s proclamation — signed at the request of Prime Minister Mark Carney...

              Pierre Poilievre is a victim of his own success — but don’t expect him to go down without a fight

              Pierre Poilievre is a victim of his own success — but don’t expect him to go down without a fight

              Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre heads into the election campaign he’s long demanded on Sunday fighting for his political life, a...

              The campaign of a lifetime is upon us

              The campaign of a lifetime is upon us

              I was seven years old the last time an election in this country centered around a single issue. Then, it...

              Mark Carney’s first week had its bright spots — but he still needs to learn this lesson

              Mark Carney’s first week had its bright spots — but he still needs to learn this lesson

              Mark Carney had quite a first week as prime minister of Canada. He was sworn on Friday, unveiled a smaller...

              The NDP’s free fall reveals an essential truth about this election

              The NDP’s free fall reveals an essential truth about this election

              The NDP’s flashy new ads, portraying Jagmeet Singh as a fighter, seem to be borne of an alternate universe. The...

              Poilievre must pivot from his apple munching ways

              Poilievre must pivot from his apple munching ways

              Pierre Poilievre often stresses that the Liberals are seeking a fourth consecutive term, implying that four is simply too many...

              A strategy focused on winning, not pleasing political pundits

              A strategy focused on winning, not pleasing political pundits

              For the past several weeks, many of the nation’s top political pundits have struggled to make sense of the response...

              Carney’s theft of Poilievre’s platform has turned into a farce

              Carney’s theft of Poilievre’s platform has turned into a farce

              If Mark Carney and the Liberals are best equipped to take on U.S. President Donald Trump in a tariff war...

              Premier Smith's comments continue to draw ire of federal leaders on election campaign

                Premier Smith's comments continue to draw ire of federal leaders on election campaign

                Alberta Premier Danielle Smith’s comments to an American media outlet continue to be a political football among national political leaders...

                Carney releases another Mike Myers video, this time without a citizenship quiz

                Carney releases another Mike Myers video, this time without a citizenship quiz

                The Liberal campaign has returned to its Mike Myers strategy a second time, this time with an explicit endorsement from...

                Manitoba premier accused of breaking conflict of interest laws by taking Bombers charters to Grey Cup

                  Manitoba premier accused of breaking conflict of interest laws by taking Bombers charters to Grey Cup

                  Premier Wab Kinew took plane chartered by Winnipeg Blue Bombers to Grey Cup in 2023 and 2024. Manitoba's premier is...

                  Elections Canada has been in touch with social media platforms about election misinformation

                  Elections Canada has been in touch with social media platforms about election misinformation

                  The head of Elections Canada says he has been in touch with social media platforms in an effort to address...



                  Federal leaders' debates scheduled for April 16-17 in Montreal

                  Federal leaders' debates scheduled for April 16-17 in Montreal

                  TVO journalist Steve Paikin will host the English-language debate. The leaders of the main federal political parties will be invited...

                  Some industries may be spared from next round of U.S. tariffs despite Trump threats

                  Some industries may be spared from next round of U.S. tariffs despite Trump threats

                  White House official lowers expectations around new sectoral tariffs starting April 2. It appears some key industries facing the threat...

                  Sask. has been a sea of blue in recent federal elections. Here's why it's worth watching this time around

                  Sask. has been a sea of blue in recent federal elections. Here's why it's worth watching this time around

                  Saskatchewan has been almost entirely blue in federal politics since the Conservative Party of Canada first ran a slate of...

                  Poillievre proposes tax cut to save 'modest income' families about $1,800 per year

                  Poillievre proposes tax cut to save 'modest income' families about $1,800 per year

                  Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced a proposal on Monday to cut the lowest income tax bracket, saving the average family...

                  The economic question at the heart of this election

                  The economic question at the heart of this election

                  This Canadian election is about a lot of things. It’s about trade and tariffs and threats and sovereignty. It’s about...

                  CityNews-Leger poll shows strong support for Carney-led Liberal party among Torontonians

                  CityNews-Leger poll shows strong support for Carney-led Liberal party among Torontonians

                  Torontonians strongly favour a Liberal government under Mark Carney, according to a CityNews-Leger poll. That is likely not good news...

                  Federal election one of ‘most consequential’ in Canadian history, say political players

                  Federal election one of ‘most consequential’ in Canadian history, say political players

                  The winner of this election will be handed a list of issues that will be outside their control, says pollster...

                  National defence is often an afterthought in Canadian elections. Not this time

                  National defence is often an afterthought in Canadian elections. Not this time

                  Trump's annexation threats have upended the notion that there are no votes in defence. Issues of sovereignty, national security and...

                  New minister of justice’s dedication to his community ‘unmatched’

                  New minister of justice’s dedication to his community ‘unmatched’

                  While the outcome of the federal election remains to be seen, for now, the government is conducting business at least...

                  'Offensive and false': Alberta premier's office denies Smith urged U.S. to interfere in federal election

                  'Offensive and false': Alberta premier's office denies Smith urged U.S. to interfere in federal election

                  Smith told U.S. officials she hoped they'd put tariffs 'on pause' until after the election. The office of Alberta Premier...

                  Alberta premier faces backlash for asking America to pause tariffs until after election

                  Alberta premier faces backlash for asking America to pause tariffs until after election

                  Alberta Premier Danielle Smith is facing criticism over comments made earlier in March during an interview with an American right-wing...

                  And they're off! Where things stand as the race begins.

                  And they're off! Where things stand as the race begins.

                  Earlier today, Prime Minister Mark Carney met the governor general and dissolved the 44th Parliament, setting April 28 as the...

                  How a two-week-old interview by Danielle Smith drove day one of the election campaign

                  How a two-week-old interview by Danielle Smith drove day one of the election campaign

                  For Pierre Poilievre, who would rather focus his comments on the record of the Liberal government, it was an unwelcome...

                  Fish harvesters protest in St. John's ahead of Carney's 1st campaign rally

                  Fish harvesters protest in St. John's ahead of Carney's 1st campaign rally

                  Newfoundland and Labrador's fish harvesters quickly rallied on Sunday afternoon following cuts to the snow crab fishery and what they...

                  Edmonton mayor to run in 2025 federal election, Liberals say

                  Edmonton mayor to run in 2025 federal election, Liberals say

                  Edmonton Mayor Amarjeet Sohi will be running for the Liberal Party of Canada in the federal election, which was called...

                  ‘Let’s just put things on pause': Alberta premier under fire for Breitbart interview

                  ‘Let’s just put things on pause': Alberta premier under fire for Breitbart interview

                  Alberta Premier Danielle Smith is under fire for an interview she did Mar. 8 with Breitbart in the U.S. over...

                  Federal election kicks off on patriotic note, as Canadians head to polls on April 28

                  Federal election kicks off on patriotic note, as Canadians head to polls on April 28

                  Canada's 45th general election got underway Sunday, with the leaders vying to become Canada's next prime minister each positioning themselves...

                  Mike Myers backs Mark Carney with 'elbows up' ad aimed at Trump

                  Mike Myers backs Mark Carney with 'elbows up' ad aimed at Trump

                  Mike Myers is throwing his support behind Prime Minister Mark Carney with a new ad aimed to tug at the...

                  Alberta Premier Danielle Smith asked US administration to "put things on pause" to help Poilievre get elected as PM

                  Alberta Premier Danielle Smith asked US administration to "put things on pause" to help Poilievre get elected as PM

                  Here's the audio excerpt (Q&A) with Premier Danielle Smith on Breitbart confirming she asked the U.S. adminstration to "put things...

                  Will Doug Ford join the federal campaign? Trump's trade war may pull him into the fight

                  Will Doug Ford join the federal campaign? Trump's trade war may pull him into the fight

                  Fresh off his third straight election win, Ontario Premier Doug Ford seems content to watch the fight to form the...

                  As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

                  As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

                  Our latest survey, completed between March 17 and 20 among 1,500 eligible voters, offers a detailed picture of the political...

                  Politician's Pen

                  More View More
                  The State of Service Report

                  The State of Service Report

                  Our government created the Citizens’ Services portfolio in 2023 to champion service delivery excellence and to improve government efficiency. This...

                  Why we shouldn’t boo the American anthem

                  Why we shouldn’t boo the American anthem

                  It’s understandable that Canadians are angry. With the return of Donald Trump to the White House, the United States has...


                  Trump says countries that buy Venezuelan oil will face 25% tariff

                  Trump says countries that buy Venezuelan oil will face 25% tariff

                  WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Donald Trump said Monday he would be placing a 25% tariff on all imports from any...

                  Second lady Usha Vance will visit Greenland as Trump talks up US takeover

                  Second lady Usha Vance will visit Greenland as Trump talks up US takeover

                  WASHINGTON (AP) -- Second lady Usha Vance plans a trip to Greenland, the self-governing, mineral-rich territory of American ally Denmark...

                  Schumer says he won't step down as Senate Democratic leader despite government funding uproar

                  Schumer says he won't step down as Senate Democratic leader despite government funding uproar

                  WASHINGTON (AP) -- Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer says he won't resign his post, despite pressure from some in his...

                  Legal experts say Trump official broke law by saying 'Buy Tesla' stock but don't expect a crackdown

                  Legal experts say Trump official broke law by saying 'Buy Tesla' stock but don't expect a crackdown

                  NEW YORK (AP) -- When a White House adviser in the first Trump administration told TV viewers to "Go buy...

                  International

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                  This section is sponsored by Canada's Motion Picture Industry.
                  Weekslong lockups of European tourists at US borders spark fears of traveling to America

                  Weekslong lockups of European tourists at US borders spark fears of traveling to America

                  SAN DIEGO (AP) -- Lennon Tyler and her German fiance often took road trips to Mexico when he vacationed in...

                  White House says Trump, Putin will seek limited ceasefire on energy, infrastructure in Ukraine war

                    White House says Trump, Putin will seek limited ceasefire on energy, infrastructure in Ukraine war

                    U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed during a lengthy call Tuesday to seek a limited ceasefire...

                    'Danish Viking blood is boiling.' Danes boycott US goods with fervor as others in Europe do so too

                    'Danish Viking blood is boiling.' Danes boycott US goods with fervor as others in Europe do so too

                    Ivan Hansen, a retired Danish police officer, loaded up his basket at the supermarket, carefully checking each product to avoid...

                    Trump and Putin will speak this week on Russia-Ukraine war, US envoy says

                    Trump and Putin will speak this week on Russia-Ukraine war, US envoy says

                    WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. (AP) -- President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin are expected to speak this week...

                    Trump orders strikes on Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen and issues new warning

                    Trump orders strikes on Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen and issues new warning

                    WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. (AP) -- President Donald Trump said he ordered a series of airstrikes on Yemen's capital, Sanaa...

                    Think Tank

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                    How Escalating U.S.-China Competition Over Critical Minerals Impacts Canada

                    How Escalating U.S.-China Competition Over Critical Minerals Impacts Canada

                    Over the last five years, competition over critical minerals has become a focal point of great-power rivalry — particularly between...

                    Removing internal trade barriers would help mitigate damage from Trump tariffs

                    Substacks

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                    A collection of SubStack publishing within Canadian public affairs.

                    Day 1 - They're off!

                    Day 1 - They're off!

                    Now that the election is called, time to riff from that part of my bio that says “campaign manager” and...

                    How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part I

                    How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part I

                    Vladimir Putin’s Kremlin and Donald Trump’s White House have shown how political leaders who bond with billionaires can be toxic...

                    Tariffs, taxes, and takeover bids: Welcome to Election 2025

                    Tariffs, taxes, and takeover bids: Welcome to Election 2025

                    Canada’s 45th general election is upon us, and it’s shaping up to be the nastiest we have ever seen. Already...

                    Podcasts

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                    The ‘trade war’ election campaign is under way

                      The ‘trade war’ election campaign is under way

                      At midday on Sunday, Prime Minister Mark Carney asked Governor-General Mary Simon to dissolve Parliament and begin an election campaign...

                      An election in a polluted media environment

                        An election in a polluted media environment

                        With trust in journalism eroding, disinformation — once fringe — is now mainstream. Much of it is spreading on social...

                        Election Snap! Here's Exactly Who You Should Vote For

                          Election Snap! Here's Exactly Who You Should Vote For

                          It’s possible that this will be the most consequential vote you’ll ever cast. With our sovereignty, our nation, our very...

                          It's campaign time! Here's everything you need to know

                            It's campaign time! Here's everything you need to know

                            We’ve waited a long time for this. On Sunday, Prime Minister Mark Carney is expected to ask the Governor General...