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Federal election one of ‘most consequential’ in Canadian history, say political players

Federal election one of ‘most consequential’ in Canadian history, say political players

The winner of this election will be handed a list of issues that will be outside their control, says pollster Frank Graves. 'This is not a business as usual election.' The federal election, called amid a trade war with the United States, is one of the “most consequential” in Canadian history for party leaders and the country as the outcome...

Federal leaders' debates scheduled for April 16-17 in Montreal

Federal leaders' debates scheduled for April 16-17 in Montreal

TVO journalist Steve Paikin will host the English-language debate. The leaders of the main federal political parties will be invited...

Some industries may be spared from next round of U.S. tariffs despite Trump threats

Some industries may be spared from next round of U.S. tariffs despite Trump threats

White House official lowers expectations around new sectoral tariffs starting April 2. It appears some key industries facing the threat...

CityNews-Leger poll shows strong support for Carney-led Liberal party among Torontonians

CityNews-Leger poll shows strong support for Carney-led Liberal party among Torontonians

Torontonians strongly favour a Liberal government under Mark Carney, according to a CityNews-Leger poll. That is likely not good news...

Poillievre proposes tax cut to save 'modest income' families about $1,800 per year

Poillievre proposes tax cut to save 'modest income' families about $1,800 per year

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced a proposal on Monday to cut the lowest income tax bracket, saving the average family...

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Consumer confidence continues to erode in wake of Canada-US tensions (Bloomberg/Nanos)

Consumer confidence continues to erode in wake of Canada-US tensions (Bloomberg/Nanos)

Nanos conducted an RDD dual frame (land- and cell-lines) telephone random survey of 1,100 respondents in Canada. This report is...

As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

Our latest survey, completed between March 17 and 20 among 1,500 eligible voters, offers a detailed picture of the political...



ElectionWatch 2025

Polling Trendlines

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Latest Results

CityNews-Leger poll shows strong support for Carney-led Liberal party among Torontonians

CityNews-Leger poll shows strong support for Carney-led Liberal party among Torontonians

Torontonians strongly favour a Liberal government under Mark Carney, according to a CityNews-Leger poll. That is likely not good news...

And they're off! Where things stand as the race begins.

And they're off! Where things stand as the race begins.

Earlier today, Prime Minister Mark Carney met the governor general and dissolved the 44th Parliament, setting April 28 as the...

As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

Our latest survey, completed between March 17 and 20 among 1,500 eligible voters, offers a detailed picture of the political...

Seat Projections

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Election News

Federal leaders' debates scheduled for April 16-17 in Montreal

Federal leaders' debates scheduled for April 16-17 in Montreal

TVO journalist Steve Paikin will host the English-language debate. The leaders of the main federal political parties will be invited...

The economic question at the heart of this election

The economic question at the heart of this election

This Canadian election is about a lot of things. It’s about trade and tariffs and threats and sovereignty. It’s about...

Federal election one of ‘most consequential’ in Canadian history, say political players

Federal election one of ‘most consequential’ in Canadian history, say political players

The winner of this election will be handed a list of issues that will be outside their control, says pollster...

'Offensive and false': Alberta premier's office denies Smith urged U.S. to interfere in federal election

'Offensive and false': Alberta premier's office denies Smith urged U.S. to interfere in federal election

Smith told U.S. officials she hoped they'd put tariffs 'on pause' until after the election. The office of Alberta Premier...

Alberta premier faces backlash for asking America to pause tariffs until after election

Alberta premier faces backlash for asking America to pause tariffs until after election

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith is facing criticism over comments made earlier in March during an interview with an American right-wing...

How a two-week-old interview by Danielle Smith drove day one of the election campaign

How a two-week-old interview by Danielle Smith drove day one of the election campaign

For Pierre Poilievre, who would rather focus his comments on the record of the Liberal government, it was an unwelcome...

Campaign Analysis

It’s a two-horse race

It’s a two-horse race

With the campaign officially started, Canadians are about to experience something more akin to what we see south of the...

Sask. has been a sea of blue in recent federal elections. Here's why it's worth watching this time around

Sask. has been a sea of blue in recent federal elections. Here's why it's worth watching this time around

Saskatchewan has been almost entirely blue in federal politics since the Conservative Party of Canada first ran a slate of...

Poilievre Finally Gets the Election He’s Been Dying For. But Is It Too Late?

Poilievre Finally Gets the Election He’s Been Dying For. But Is It Too Late?

The “Canada Is Broken” candidate faces a changed national mood. RICHARD LIVES in a pup tent in downtown Ottawa, next...

Danielle Smith’s Trump talk threatens Pierre Poilievre’s chances to win

Danielle Smith’s Trump talk threatens Pierre Poilievre’s chances to win

Pierre Poilievre has a problem, and her name is Danielle Smith. The Alberta premier has become a thorn in the...

Poilievre and Carney agree on one thing: This federal election is about change
April could be the cruelest month for Poilievre

April could be the cruelest month for Poilievre

Fading Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre should read a little T.S. Eliot. April could indeed be the cruelest month for the...

Policy Announcements

Poilievre Will Axe The Tolls For Islanders

    Poilievre Will Axe The Tolls For Islanders

    Conservative Deputy Leader Melissa Lantsman announced today that a Conservative government led by Pierre Poilievre will scrap the tolls on...

    The NDP will unlock public land to build more homes people can afford

      The NDP will unlock public land to build more homes people can afford

      Canada needs 6 million new homes. Today Jagmeet Singh unveiled the first step in the NDP plan to use every...

      Poillievre proposes tax cut to save 'modest income' families about $1,800 per year

      Poillievre proposes tax cut to save 'modest income' families about $1,800 per year

      Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced a proposal on Monday to cut the lowest income tax bracket, saving the average family...

      Conservatives Will Bring Back The Seal Harvest, Save Fishing Jobs

        Conservatives Will Bring Back The Seal Harvest, Save Fishing Jobs

        Today, Clifford Small, Conservative candidate for Central Newfoundland, announced that Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Government will restore the seal harvest to...

        Liberals launch 2025 campaign with middle-class tax cut

          Liberals launch 2025 campaign with middle-class tax cut

          Today, Mark Carney launched the 2025 Liberal campaign by announcing a middle-class tax cut that will help Canadians keep more...

          Carney keeping emissions cap on oil and gas, but focusing on investing in green tech

          Carney keeping emissions cap on oil and gas, but focusing on investing in green tech

          Prime Minister Mark Carney confirmed Friday that his government would keep the emissions cap on oil and gas production in...



          It’s a two-horse race

          It’s a two-horse race

          With the campaign officially started, Canadians are about to experience something more akin to what we see south of the...

          Poilievre Finally Gets the Election He’s Been Dying For. But Is It Too Late?

          Poilievre Finally Gets the Election He’s Been Dying For. But Is It Too Late?

          The “Canada Is Broken” candidate faces a changed national mood. RICHARD LIVES in a pup tent in downtown Ottawa, next...

          Danielle Smith’s Trump talk threatens Pierre Poilievre’s chances to win

          Danielle Smith’s Trump talk threatens Pierre Poilievre’s chances to win

          Pierre Poilievre has a problem, and her name is Danielle Smith. The Alberta premier has become a thorn in the...

          Poilievre and Carney agree on one thing: This federal election is about change
          April could be the cruelest month for Poilievre

          April could be the cruelest month for Poilievre

          Fading Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre should read a little T.S. Eliot. April could indeed be the cruelest month for the...

          2021 vs. 2025: Comparing public opinion at the start of both campaigns

          2021 vs. 2025: Comparing public opinion at the start of both campaigns

          As we kick off the 2025 Canadian federal election campaign, it’s instructive to look back at where we stood at...

          The ‘artificial border’ and how it can be corrected

          The ‘artificial border’ and how it can be corrected

          It’s truly breathtaking to hear U.S. President Donald Trump muse about the Canada-U.S. border and show his complete ignorance about...

          Trump, Ukraine, and the New World Order

          Trump, Ukraine, and the New World Order

          Canada has now entered an election campaign amid what Prime Minister Mark Carney terms “the most significant threat of our...

          Danielle Smith is Mark Carney's secret weapon

          Danielle Smith is Mark Carney's secret weapon

          It was supposed to be a cakewalk. Instead, as Pierre Poilievre kicks off the election campaign that was supposed to...

          This election is about Donald Trump — and a lot more

          This election is about Donald Trump — and a lot more

          In ways no one could have understood at the time, June 16, 2015, turned out to be a momentous day...



          Donald Trump upends notions of stability and change as Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre square off

          Donald Trump upends notions of stability and change as Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre square off

          In a little more than five weeks, either Mark Carney or Pierre Poilievre will be the prime minister of Canada...

          Canadian Conservatives are desperate for Donald Trump to come to their rescue -  one of Canada’s most prominent conservative leaders asked Trump’s government to interfere

          Canadian Conservatives are desperate for Donald Trump to come to their rescue - one of Canada’s most prominent conservative leaders asked Trump’s government to interfere

          An election that will be fought about the sovereignty of Canada is beginning with news that one of Canada’s most...

          Is Pierre Poilievre the new Justin Trudeau?

          Is Pierre Poilievre the new Justin Trudeau?

          Matt Gurney: Well, here we are. Yay, I guess. There goes our April. For the one or two readers who...

          Canada’s Existential Election

          Canada’s Existential Election

          The campaign launched Sunday by Governor General Mary Simon’s proclamation — signed at the request of Prime Minister Mark Carney...

          Pierre Poilievre is a victim of his own success — but don’t expect him to go down without a fight

          Pierre Poilievre is a victim of his own success — but don’t expect him to go down without a fight

          Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre heads into the election campaign he’s long demanded on Sunday fighting for his political life, a...

          The campaign of a lifetime is upon us

          The campaign of a lifetime is upon us

          I was seven years old the last time an election in this country centered around a single issue. Then, it...

          Mark Carney’s first week had its bright spots — but he still needs to learn this lesson

          Mark Carney’s first week had its bright spots — but he still needs to learn this lesson

          Mark Carney had quite a first week as prime minister of Canada. He was sworn on Friday, unveiled a smaller...

          The NDP’s free fall reveals an essential truth about this election

          The NDP’s free fall reveals an essential truth about this election

          The NDP’s flashy new ads, portraying Jagmeet Singh as a fighter, seem to be borne of an alternate universe. The...

          Poilievre must pivot from his apple munching ways

          Poilievre must pivot from his apple munching ways

          Pierre Poilievre often stresses that the Liberals are seeking a fourth consecutive term, implying that four is simply too many...

          A strategy focused on winning, not pleasing political pundits

          A strategy focused on winning, not pleasing political pundits

          For the past several weeks, many of the nation’s top political pundits have struggled to make sense of the response...

          Carney’s theft of Poilievre’s platform has turned into a farce

          Carney’s theft of Poilievre’s platform has turned into a farce

          If Mark Carney and the Liberals are best equipped to take on U.S. President Donald Trump in a tariff war...

          All of a sudden, nothing seems to be going Pierre Poilievre’s way. Not even attacking his opponent

          All of a sudden, nothing seems to be going Pierre Poilievre’s way. Not even attacking his opponent

          On Thursday, Pierre Poilievre announced a plan for “shovel-ready zones” across the country to accelerate development projects. Apparently, in these...

          Barring another crisis upset, the ballot question of our next federal election is set. And it’s advantage, Carney

          Barring another crisis upset, the ballot question of our next federal election is set. And it’s advantage, Carney

          Most analysis of elections includes some discussion of the so-called “ballot question” — namely, the question the various political parties...

          Carney is the nerd Canada needs right now

          Carney is the nerd Canada needs right now

          It’s unsurprising to me that the Liberals have overtaken the Conservatives in the latest polls, overturning a deficit that stretched...

          Not Flying the Unfriendly Skies: The Media-Free Conservative Campaign Tour

          Not Flying the Unfriendly Skies: The Media-Free Conservative Campaign Tour

          With an election call expected this Sunday, the Conservatives have devised a way they hope will increase Pierre Poilievre’s chances...

          Trump, the Dark Lord of Canada’s looming election, hands Poilievre an apparent gift

          Trump, the Dark Lord of Canada’s looming election, hands Poilievre an apparent gift

          As the campaign buses rev up for a federal election call this weekend, Donald Trump handed Pierre Poilievre a nice...

          Naheed Nenshi needs to get his elbows up

          Naheed Nenshi needs to get his elbows up

          Naheed Nenshi isn’t used to asking for the spotlight. The Alberta NDP leader's unique brand of politics — politics in...

          Sask. has been a sea of blue in recent federal elections. Here's why it's worth watching this time around

          Sask. has been a sea of blue in recent federal elections. Here's why it's worth watching this time around

          Saskatchewan has been almost entirely blue in federal politics since the Conservative Party of Canada first ran a slate of...

          The economic question at the heart of this election

          The economic question at the heart of this election

          This Canadian election is about a lot of things. It’s about trade and tariffs and threats and sovereignty. It’s about...

          National defence is often an afterthought in Canadian elections. Not this time

          National defence is often an afterthought in Canadian elections. Not this time

          Trump's annexation threats have upended the notion that there are no votes in defence. Issues of sovereignty, national security and...

          'Offensive and false': Alberta premier's office denies Smith urged U.S. to interfere in federal election

          'Offensive and false': Alberta premier's office denies Smith urged U.S. to interfere in federal election

          Smith told U.S. officials she hoped they'd put tariffs 'on pause' until after the election. The office of Alberta Premier...



          Alberta premier faces backlash for asking America to pause tariffs until after election

          Alberta premier faces backlash for asking America to pause tariffs until after election

          Alberta Premier Danielle Smith is facing criticism over comments made earlier in March during an interview with an American right-wing...

          And they're off! Where things stand as the race begins.

          And they're off! Where things stand as the race begins.

          Earlier today, Prime Minister Mark Carney met the governor general and dissolved the 44th Parliament, setting April 28 as the...

          How a two-week-old interview by Danielle Smith drove day one of the election campaign

          How a two-week-old interview by Danielle Smith drove day one of the election campaign

          For Pierre Poilievre, who would rather focus his comments on the record of the Liberal government, it was an unwelcome...

          Fish harvesters protest in St. John's ahead of Carney's 1st campaign rally

          Fish harvesters protest in St. John's ahead of Carney's 1st campaign rally

          Newfoundland and Labrador's fish harvesters quickly rallied on Sunday afternoon following cuts to the snow crab fishery and what they...

          Edmonton mayor to run in 2025 federal election, Liberals say

          Edmonton mayor to run in 2025 federal election, Liberals say

          Edmonton Mayor Amarjeet Sohi will be running for the Liberal Party of Canada in the federal election, which was called...

          ‘Let’s just put things on pause': Alberta premier under fire for Breitbart interview

          ‘Let’s just put things on pause': Alberta premier under fire for Breitbart interview

          Alberta Premier Danielle Smith is under fire for an interview she did Mar. 8 with Breitbart in the U.S. over...

          Federal election kicks off on patriotic note, as Canadians head to polls on April 28

          Federal election kicks off on patriotic note, as Canadians head to polls on April 28

          Canada's 45th general election got underway Sunday, with the leaders vying to become Canada's next prime minister each positioning themselves...

          Mike Myers backs Mark Carney with 'elbows up' ad aimed at Trump

          Mike Myers backs Mark Carney with 'elbows up' ad aimed at Trump

          Mike Myers is throwing his support behind Prime Minister Mark Carney with a new ad aimed to tug at the...

          Alberta Premier Danielle Smith asked US administration to "put things on pause" to help Poilievre get elected as PM

          Alberta Premier Danielle Smith asked US administration to "put things on pause" to help Poilievre get elected as PM

          Here's the audio excerpt (Q&A) with Premier Danielle Smith on Breitbart confirming she asked the U.S. adminstration to "put things...

          Will Doug Ford join the federal campaign? Trump's trade war may pull him into the fight

          Will Doug Ford join the federal campaign? Trump's trade war may pull him into the fight

          Fresh off his third straight election win, Ontario Premier Doug Ford seems content to watch the fight to form the...

          As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

          As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

          Our latest survey, completed between March 17 and 20 among 1,500 eligible voters, offers a detailed picture of the political...

          Mark Carney to kick off federal Liberal campaign from St. John's today

          Mark Carney to kick off federal Liberal campaign from St. John's today

          St. John's will be Mark Carney's first stop today, after the federal election begins. The Prime Minister's Office confirmed to...

          The federal election campaign is expected to kick off today. Here's what you need to know

          The federal election campaign is expected to kick off today. Here's what you need to know

          The table is set for a consequential and close federal election this spring, which is largely expected to focus on...

          Mark Carney to run for seat in Ottawa's Nepean riding

            Mark Carney to run for seat in Ottawa's Nepean riding

            Previously held by Liberal MP Chandra Arya, it borders riding where Poilievre is seeking re-election. Prime Minister Mark Carney will...

            ‘To fundamentally destroy Canada as a country’: Why Canadians must brace for U.S. interference in the upcoming federal election

            ‘To fundamentally destroy Canada as a country’: Why Canadians must brace for U.S. interference in the upcoming federal election

            Whatever he is doing — whether it be on impulse or a game of “5D chess” — U.S. President Donald...

            Canada's Election Hinges on Who Can Fix an Economy Under US Threat

            Canada's Election Hinges on Who Can Fix an Economy Under US Threat

            Prime Minister Mark Carney is expected to plunge Canada into an election campaign on Sunday, as US President Donald Trump’s...

            Election day will be April 28 as Carney poised to launch spring election

            Election day will be April 28 as Carney poised to launch spring election

            Canadians will head to the polls on April 28. A Liberal source with knowledge of the plan confirmed that Prime...

            Just hours left before PM Carney is expected to trigger a federal election

              Just hours left before PM Carney is expected to trigger a federal election

              With just hours left to go before a widely expected election call, the main political parties are gearing up as...

              Liberals to expand eligibility for dental care program on eve of expected election

              Liberals to expand eligibility for dental care program on eve of expected election

              The federal government announced expanded access to its dental care program on Saturday, a day before a federal election is...

              Read an excerpt from Ripper: The Making of Pierre Poilievre

              Read an excerpt from Ripper: The Making of Pierre Poilievre

              Pierre Poilievre has better political instincts than the journalists and politics watchers who generate conventional wisdom. He understood Carleton’s past...

              Mark Carney claps back at Donald Trump’s claim he changed Canada’s political landscape

              Mark Carney claps back at Donald Trump’s claim he changed Canada’s political landscape

              Canadians will decide their next government, Carney said at a Friday news conference, adding any trade talks will only come...

              Politician's Pen

              More View More
              The State of Service Report

              The State of Service Report

              Our government created the Citizens’ Services portfolio in 2023 to champion service delivery excellence and to improve government efficiency. This...

              Why we shouldn’t boo the American anthem

              Why we shouldn’t boo the American anthem

              It’s understandable that Canadians are angry. With the return of Donald Trump to the White House, the United States has...


              Trump says countries that buy Venezuelan oil will face 25% tariff

              Trump says countries that buy Venezuelan oil will face 25% tariff

              WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Donald Trump said Monday he would be placing a 25% tariff on all imports from any...

              Second lady Usha Vance will visit Greenland as Trump talks up US takeover

              Second lady Usha Vance will visit Greenland as Trump talks up US takeover

              WASHINGTON (AP) -- Second lady Usha Vance plans a trip to Greenland, the self-governing, mineral-rich territory of American ally Denmark...

              Schumer says he won't step down as Senate Democratic leader despite government funding uproar

              Schumer says he won't step down as Senate Democratic leader despite government funding uproar

              WASHINGTON (AP) -- Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer says he won't resign his post, despite pressure from some in his...

              Legal experts say Trump official broke law by saying 'Buy Tesla' stock but don't expect a crackdown

              Legal experts say Trump official broke law by saying 'Buy Tesla' stock but don't expect a crackdown

              NEW YORK (AP) -- When a White House adviser in the first Trump administration told TV viewers to "Go buy...

              International

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              This section is sponsored by Canada's Motion Picture Industry.
              Weekslong lockups of European tourists at US borders spark fears of traveling to America

              Weekslong lockups of European tourists at US borders spark fears of traveling to America

              SAN DIEGO (AP) -- Lennon Tyler and her German fiance often took road trips to Mexico when he vacationed in...

              White House says Trump, Putin will seek limited ceasefire on energy, infrastructure in Ukraine war

                White House says Trump, Putin will seek limited ceasefire on energy, infrastructure in Ukraine war

                U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed during a lengthy call Tuesday to seek a limited ceasefire...

                'Danish Viking blood is boiling.' Danes boycott US goods with fervor as others in Europe do so too

                'Danish Viking blood is boiling.' Danes boycott US goods with fervor as others in Europe do so too

                Ivan Hansen, a retired Danish police officer, loaded up his basket at the supermarket, carefully checking each product to avoid...

                Trump and Putin will speak this week on Russia-Ukraine war, US envoy says

                Trump and Putin will speak this week on Russia-Ukraine war, US envoy says

                WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. (AP) -- President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin are expected to speak this week...

                Trump orders strikes on Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen and issues new warning

                Trump orders strikes on Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen and issues new warning

                WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. (AP) -- President Donald Trump said he ordered a series of airstrikes on Yemen's capital, Sanaa...

                Think Tank

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                How Escalating U.S.-China Competition Over Critical Minerals Impacts Canada

                How Escalating U.S.-China Competition Over Critical Minerals Impacts Canada

                Over the last five years, competition over critical minerals has become a focal point of great-power rivalry — particularly between...

                Removing internal trade barriers would help mitigate damage from Trump tariffs

                Substacks

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                A collection of SubStack publishing within Canadian public affairs.

                How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part I

                How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part I

                Vladimir Putin’s Kremlin and Donald Trump’s White House have shown how political leaders who bond with billionaires can be toxic...

                Tariffs, taxes, and takeover bids: Welcome to Election 2025

                Tariffs, taxes, and takeover bids: Welcome to Election 2025

                Canada’s 45th general election is upon us, and it’s shaping up to be the nastiest we have ever seen. Already...

                Canada Proud should be ashamed

                Canada Proud should be ashamed

                Canada Proud, the right-wing provocateurs and third-party advertising group closely aligned with Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre, are not exactly renowned...

                Podcasts

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                The ‘trade war’ election campaign is under way

                  The ‘trade war’ election campaign is under way

                  At midday on Sunday, Prime Minister Mark Carney asked Governor-General Mary Simon to dissolve Parliament and begin an election campaign...

                  An election in a polluted media environment

                    An election in a polluted media environment

                    With trust in journalism eroding, disinformation — once fringe — is now mainstream. Much of it is spreading on social...

                    Election Snap! Here's Exactly Who You Should Vote For

                      Election Snap! Here's Exactly Who You Should Vote For

                      It’s possible that this will be the most consequential vote you’ll ever cast. With our sovereignty, our nation, our very...

                      It's campaign time! Here's everything you need to know

                        It's campaign time! Here's everything you need to know

                        We’ve waited a long time for this. On Sunday, Prime Minister Mark Carney is expected to ask the Governor General...