Top News
Liberals take lead for the first time in years

Liberals take lead for the first time in years

Our latest survey, completed between March 20 and 25, 2025 interviewed 2,000 eligible voters and asked a few of our usual Canadian politics tracking questions. We will have another deeper dive into the election out this weekend. Be sure to subscribe to our newsletter so you never miss our polls. Liberals take a numerical lead for the first time since...

Trump's auto tariffs derail Carney's federal election campaign plans

Trump's auto tariffs derail Carney's federal election campaign plans

OTTAWA -- Liberal Leader Mark Carney is back in Ottawa today to deal with the fallout of new auto tariffs...

Carney set up a blind trust, screens to avoid conflicts of interest. Is that enough?

Carney set up a blind trust, screens to avoid conflicts of interest. Is that enough?

Those protections have their limits, experts say. When Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre accused Mark Carney this week of being beholden...

Trump’s auto tariffs a ‘direct attack,’ Carney says as leaders react

Trump’s auto tariffs a ‘direct attack,’ Carney says as leaders react

Prime Minister Mark Carney called new 25 per cent tariffs set to be imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump on...

Former MP wants to explore Alberta’s future with U.S.

Former MP wants to explore Alberta’s future with U.S.

Medicine Hat’s former Member of Parliament is part of a group hoping to open direct talks with U.S President Donald...

Polls

View More

Supported by

This section is sponsored by Canada's mining companies.
Liberals take lead for the first time in years.

Liberals take lead for the first time in years.

Our latest survey, completed between March 20 and 25, 2025 interviewed 2,000 eligible voters and asked a few of our...

How an emerging precarity mindset is impact public opinion and the Canadian election

How an emerging precarity mindset is impact public opinion and the Canadian election

We’re at a turning point in Canadian public opinion: once defined by a scarcity mindset—where rising housing costs, healthcare strains...



ElectionWatch 2025

Polling Trendlines

NNW EW2025 Dataviz 2025 EN1 POLLS

Latest Results

Liberals take lead for the first time in years.

Liberals take lead for the first time in years.

Our latest survey, completed between March 20 and 25, 2025 interviewed 2,000 eligible voters and asked a few of our...

How an emerging precarity mindset is impact public opinion and the Canadian election

How an emerging precarity mindset is impact public opinion and the Canadian election

We’re at a turning point in Canadian public opinion: once defined by a scarcity mindset—where rising housing costs, healthcare strains...

Liberals hold six-point lead over Conservatives: Leger poll

Liberals hold six-point lead over Conservatives: Leger poll

The federal Liberals are pushing further ahead of the Conservatives in voter support, and almost one in two Canadians surveyed...

Seat Projections

NNW EW2025 Dataviz 2025 EN1 SEATS

Election News

Liberals take lead for the first time in years

Liberals take lead for the first time in years

Our latest survey, completed between March 20 and 25, 2025 interviewed 2,000 eligible voters and asked a few of our...

Carney set up a blind trust, screens to avoid conflicts of interest. Is that enough?

Carney set up a blind trust, screens to avoid conflicts of interest. Is that enough?

Those protections have their limits, experts say. When Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre accused Mark Carney this week of being beholden...

Trump's auto tariffs derail Carney's federal election campaign plans

    Trump's auto tariffs derail Carney's federal election campaign plans

    Liberal Leader Mark Carney is back in Ottawa today to deal with the fallout of new auto tariffs announced by...

    Trump going ahead with 25% tariffs on autos

    Trump going ahead with 25% tariffs on autos

    U.S. President Donald Trump is dealing another tariff blow to Canada, signing an executive order on Wednesday that will hit...

    Poilievre attacks Carney’s French: ‘To represent Quebecers, you have to listen to them in their language’

    Poilievre attacks Carney’s French: ‘To represent Quebecers, you have to listen to them in their language’

    Federal Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre argued Mark Carney’s French is too poor for him to be an effective prime minister...

    Carney on defence as Poilievre, Singh accuse him of using Bermuda ‘tax havens’

    Carney on defence as Poilievre, Singh accuse him of using Bermuda ‘tax havens’

    While Liberal Leader Mark Carney wanted to focus on sharing his new promise to protect Canada’s auto sector Wednesday on...

    Campaign Analysis

    Poilievre’s lack of security clearance is back in the spotlight — and this time, it could actually hurt his chances

    Poilievre’s lack of security clearance is back in the spotlight — and this time, it could actually hurt his chances

    It’s been a surprisingly quiet race so far. That may not last, but after all the drama and buildup, the...

    Pierre Poilievre does his best to miss the point on foreign interference

    Pierre Poilievre does his best to miss the point on foreign interference

    There was a familiar echo when Pierre Poilievre dismissed the news that India had sought to interfere in the 202...

    I discovered Pierre Poilievre’s secret election strategy in a North York ballroom
    How have Mark Carney and the Liberals kept extending their lead? These three numbers tell the story

    How have Mark Carney and the Liberals kept extending their lead? These three numbers tell the story

    It’s Week 1 of the federal election campaign, and Canadians are already asking the usual question: “Who’s up, and who’s...

    Should Canadians care about Mark Carney’s religion?

    Should Canadians care about Mark Carney’s religion?

    At least one journalist seems concerned about our new prime minister’s faith. During the opening campaign news conference, she noted...

    The book on Pierre Poilievre: He’s ‘an angry teenager in the body of a grown man’

    Policy Announcements

    NDP announces plan to cut taxes for working and middle-class families, not millionaires and billionaires

      NDP announces plan to cut taxes for working and middle-class families, not millionaires and billionaires

      Today, Jagmeet Singh announced a plan to put more money in the pockets of the people who need it most—working...

      Lower Taxes, Secure Retirement for Our Seniors

        Lower Taxes, Secure Retirement for Our Seniors

        Poilievre’s plan allows seniors to earn up to $34,000 tax free (a boost of $10,000 more than at present), allow...

        Liberals to protect Canadian auto workers and stand up against tariffs

          Liberals to protect Canadian auto workers and stand up against tariffs

          President Trump’s tariffs have directly threatened Canada’s auto manufacturing sector. Today, Mark Carney announced a new Liberal plan to protect...

          Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre pledges to allow working seniors to earn up to $34,000 tax free
          Liberals release plan to rebuild, reinvest, and rearm the Canadian Armed Forces

            Liberals release plan to rebuild, reinvest, and rearm the Canadian Armed Forces

            Today, Mark Carney announced a new Liberal plan to invest in the Canadian Armed Forces (CAF) and to protect our...

            Mark Carney promises new submarines, more icebreakers, pay-raises for Armed Forces


            Crowdfunding Rules Are Inhibiting Canada’s Kindness
            Poilievre’s lack of security clearance is back in the spotlight — and this time, it could actually hurt his chances

            Poilievre’s lack of security clearance is back in the spotlight — and this time, it could actually hurt his chances

            It’s been a surprisingly quiet race so far. That may not last, but after all the drama and buildup, the...

            Pierre Poilievre does his best to miss the point on foreign interference

            Pierre Poilievre does his best to miss the point on foreign interference

            There was a familiar echo when Pierre Poilievre dismissed the news that India had sought to interfere in the 202...

            I discovered Pierre Poilievre’s secret election strategy in a North York ballroom
            How have Mark Carney and the Liberals kept extending their lead? These three numbers tell the story

            How have Mark Carney and the Liberals kept extending their lead? These three numbers tell the story

            It’s Week 1 of the federal election campaign, and Canadians are already asking the usual question: “Who’s up, and who’s...

            Should Canadians care about Mark Carney’s religion?

            Should Canadians care about Mark Carney’s religion?

            At least one journalist seems concerned about our new prime minister’s faith. During the opening campaign news conference, she noted...

            Done properly, Danielle Smith's brand of American outreach is the way forward

            Done properly, Danielle Smith's brand of American outreach is the way forward

            If you want to influence Donald Trump, who else would you talk to but influencers? It’s a fine line between...

            The book on Pierre Poilievre: He’s ‘an angry teenager in the body of a grown man’
            Pierre Poilievre vs Pierre Poilievre

            Pierre Poilievre vs Pierre Poilievre

            Pierre Poilievre has been witness to a lot of change over the 21 years he’s served as a member of...

            Flip-flopping Carney wrong choice to lead fight against Trump

            Flip-flopping Carney wrong choice to lead fight against Trump

            The idea that Liberal Leader Mark Carney and the current Liberal government are best equipped to fight a trade war...



            The NDP is dithering on the fringes of survival

            The NDP is dithering on the fringes of survival

            The NDP has a love affair with losing. Although the Conservatives are fumbling the bag, the New Democrats have no...

            U.S. provides a warning to Canada: When you elect a clown, you get a circus

            U.S. provides a warning to Canada: When you elect a clown, you get a circus

            First, former United States President Joe Biden was too sleepy. Granted, he is old, but he got rid of student...

            The authors of Canada's 'lost decade' would like another try

            The authors of Canada's 'lost decade' would like another try

            All elections are consequential. But the one just called will be more consequential than most. At a time of self-inflicted...

            When Danielle Smith tried explaining Poilievre to Americans, Canadians heard it too

            When Danielle Smith tried explaining Poilievre to Americans, Canadians heard it too

            Premier saying Conservative leader 'in sync' with Trump rattles both federal and provincial politics. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith came into...

            Cynical opportunists or dutiful Canadians? For Liberals MPs who changed their minds about running again, maybe a bit of both

            Cynical opportunists or dutiful Canadians? For Liberals MPs who changed their minds about running again, maybe a bit of both

            It’s a hard line to straddle. Are the Liberal MPs who announced they were heading for the exits when the...

            Globe's India story smears Poilievre with Carney talking points

            Globe's India story smears Poilievre with Carney talking points

            Well, there goes the Globe and Mail. One of the few news outlets in the country that hadn’t been entirely...

            Mark Carney embraces the power of positive campaigning
            Someone in Carney’s campaign made a bad call in pulling out of the TVA French debate

            Someone in Carney’s campaign made a bad call in pulling out of the TVA French debate

            After taking part in many leaders’ debates during the 2015 federal election campaign, I may be in a unique position...

            Thanks to Danielle Smith, Alberta may trump Trump as the big ballot box question

            Thanks to Danielle Smith, Alberta may trump Trump as the big ballot box question

            Mere hours after finalizing his plan to run an election campaign focused on protecting Canada from U.S. President Donald Trump’s...

            Trump Is the Ballot Question—  But Do We Really Understand What’s at Stake?
            Election is now the Liberals' to lose

            Election is now the Liberals' to lose

            The 45th Canadian federal election is the Liberals’ to lose. That’s not a line anyone would have written two months...

            Why this election might be hard to predict

            Why this election might be hard to predict

            In the lead-up to most elections, pollsters and pundits usually have a good idea of what is most likely to...

            Pierre Poilievre’s advantage is slipping rapidly away. So he’s trying something he’s never done before

            Pierre Poilievre’s advantage is slipping rapidly away. So he’s trying something he’s never done before

            Who is that smiling man? Who is that affable fellow with the big grin and the adorable family, the one...

            Danielle Smith's election help isn't helping

            Danielle Smith's election help isn't helping

            Pierre Poilievre must wake up in the morning and wonder what it will take to get Alberta Premier Danielle Smith...

            Can't understand uproar over Smith's early March interview on Breitbart

            Can't understand uproar over Smith's early March interview on Breitbart

            Smith has continued to pursue a diplomatic course with the Trump administration, quietly building contacts that might influence the U.S...

            Charging politicians for news coverage could set a dangerous precedent

            Charging politicians for news coverage could set a dangerous precedent

            Should a political party pay for news coverage? That’s the bizarre question that was put to the party leaders by...

            For Doug Ford, Mark Carney will always be a better partner than Pierre Poilievre

            For Doug Ford, Mark Carney will always be a better partner than Pierre Poilievre

            It’s democratic déjà vu all over again. For the second time this year, Ontario voters are picking a homegrown leader...

            Fear and uncertainty for Ontario autoworkers after Trump announces 25% tariff

              Fear and uncertainty for Ontario autoworkers after Trump announces 25% tariff

              On a day when U.S. President Donald Trump took aim at the vehicle manufacturing industry, Ontario autoworkers said it's the...

              Trump's auto tariffs derail Carney's federal election campaign plans

                Trump's auto tariffs derail Carney's federal election campaign plans

                Liberal Leader Mark Carney is back in Ottawa today to deal with the fallout of new auto tariffs announced by...

                Alberta Premier Smith rejects criticism U.S. meetings amount to treason

                Alberta Premier Smith rejects criticism U.S. meetings amount to treason

                EDMONTON -- Alberta Premier Danielle Smith, dressed in red and white and quoting Winston Churchill, stood in the legislature Wednesday...

                Trump going ahead with 25% tariffs on autos

                Trump going ahead with 25% tariffs on autos

                U.S. President Donald Trump is dealing another tariff blow to Canada, signing an executive order on Wednesday that will hit...



                Poilievre attacks Carney’s French: ‘To represent Quebecers, you have to listen to them in their language’

                Poilievre attacks Carney’s French: ‘To represent Quebecers, you have to listen to them in their language’

                Federal Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre argued Mark Carney’s French is too poor for him to be an effective prime minister...

                Carney on defence as Poilievre, Singh accuse him of using Bermuda ‘tax havens’

                Carney on defence as Poilievre, Singh accuse him of using Bermuda ‘tax havens’

                While Liberal Leader Mark Carney wanted to focus on sharing his new promise to protect Canada’s auto sector Wednesday on...

                Trudeau rents home in Ottawa but ultimately plans to live in Montreal

                Trudeau rents home in Ottawa but ultimately plans to live in Montreal

                Justin Trudeau has rented a home in the upscale Ottawa neighbourhood of Rockcliffe, where he plans to live for at...

                Alberta premier stands by plan to speak at U.S. fundraiser, despite calls to cancel

                Alberta premier stands by plan to speak at U.S. fundraiser, despite calls to cancel

                Alberta Premier Danielle Smith is defending her plan to fly to Florida to appear at an event alongside a far-right...

                Trudeau was warned about Trump's trade plans before phone call: briefing note

                Trudeau was warned about Trump's trade plans before phone call: briefing note

                Then-prime minister Justin Trudeau went into his first phone call with a newly re-elected Donald Trump aware that the U.S...

                Poilievre says he'll keep retirement age at 65 in play for boomers

                Poilievre says he'll keep retirement age at 65 in play for boomers

                Voters ages of 65 to 74 have turned out in the biggest numbers in every federal election since 2004. Conservative...

                Carney announces $2B fund to protect tariff-threatened auto industry

                Carney announces $2B fund to protect tariff-threatened auto industry

                Liberal leader says he wants to build an 'all-in-Canada' manufacturing network. Homing in once again on the fractured Canada-U.S. relationship...

                Liberals and Conservatives campaign in Quebec, NDP proposes tax measures

                Liberals and Conservatives campaign in Quebec, NDP proposes tax measures

                Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre and Liberal Leader Mark Carney are shifting their campaigns to Quebec, while the NDP rolls out...

                Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre pledges to allow working seniors to earn up to $34,000 tax free
                Stretch between potential April 2 U.S. tariffs and voting day will be ‘critical’ to the election outcome, say political players

                Stretch between potential April 2 U.S. tariffs and voting day will be ‘critical’ to the election outcome, say political players

                Seizing the momentum amid the United States’ trade war with Canada, Prime Minister Mark Carney has called an early election—a...

                SMT -- Opening Impressions -- Danielle Smith, French Debates, Crowd Size, Tom Mulcair

                SMT -- Opening Impressions -- Danielle Smith, French Debates, Crowd Size, Tom Mulcair

                It's only been forty eight hours and opening impressions rarely last long, but what about these? How damaging was Danielle...

                Ousted Liberal MP Chandra Arya barred from running under party’s banner over alleged ties to India

                Ousted Liberal MP Chandra Arya barred from running under party’s banner over alleged ties to India

                The Liberal Party revoked MP Chandra Arya’s bid to run for the party leadership and his nomination in his own...

                Liberals and Conservatives taking their federal election campaigns to Quebec

                  Liberals and Conservatives taking their federal election campaigns to Quebec

                  Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre and Liberal Leader Mark Carney are shifting their campaigns to Quebec. Poilievre, who held a rally...

                  Has the rise of Carney's Liberals sunk this upstart centrist party?

                  Has the rise of Carney's Liberals sunk this upstart centrist party?

                  The Canadian Future Party bills itself as a place for voters disillusioned by Liberals and Conservatives. Dominic Cardy, leader of...

                  Carney's green funds at Brookfield used Bermuda tax haven to attract investors

                  Carney's green funds at Brookfield used Bermuda tax haven to attract investors

                  Liberal Party refuses to answer questions about leader's time in private sector. In his time at Brookfield Asset Management, Liberal...

                  The feds raised doubts about a climate scientist’s LNG research. He says they sounded like fossil fuel lobbyists

                  The feds raised doubts about a climate scientist’s LNG research. He says they sounded like fossil fuel lobbyists

                  Which is worse for the climate — coal or LNG? After a study found LNG is worse than coal, internal...

                  Donald Trump may impose escalating tariff levels, and Canada could be on the lower end: Sources

                  Donald Trump may impose escalating tariff levels, and Canada could be on the lower end: Sources

                  Canada could be on the lower end of U.S. President Donald Trump’s threatened global tariffs next week, the Star has...

                  Carney apologizes to Montreal massacre survivor running for Liberals after getting name and school wrong

                  Carney apologizes to Montreal massacre survivor running for Liberals after getting name and school wrong

                  Liberal Leader Mark Carney named the wrong university as the site of the 1989 Montreal massacre on Tuesday — and...

                  Poilievre says he won leadership ‘fair and square’ despite allegations of India’s meddling

                  Poilievre says he won leadership ‘fair and square’ despite allegations of India’s meddling

                  National security leaks are rare in Canada. They’re even more rare during fraught election campaigns. So the allegations, delivered by...

                  CSIS alleges India organized support for Poilievre’s 2022 Conservative leadership bid

                  CSIS alleges India organized support for Poilievre’s 2022 Conservative leadership bid

                  Agents of India and their proxies allegedly meddled in the 2022 election of Pierre Poilievre as Conservative Party Leader as...

                  Canada freezes Tesla’s $43-million rebate payments, bars it from future rebates because of tariffs

                  Canada freezes Tesla’s $43-million rebate payments, bars it from future rebates because of tariffs

                  Canada has frozen $43 million in payments to Tesla pending a line-by-line investigation into its last-minute surge in EV rebate...

                  Politician's Pen

                  More View More
                  The State of Service Report

                  The State of Service Report

                  Our government created the Citizens’ Services portfolio in 2023 to champion service delivery excellence and to improve government efficiency. This...

                  Why we shouldn’t boo the American anthem

                  Why we shouldn’t boo the American anthem

                  It’s understandable that Canadians are angry. With the return of Donald Trump to the White House, the United States has...


                  A bill proposing a near-total abortion ban causes an uproar at Georgia's Capitol

                  A bill proposing a near-total abortion ban causes an uproar at Georgia's Capitol

                  ATLANTA (AP) -- A crowd of pro-abortion and anti-abortion protesters flooded a windowless Georgia Capitol hallway on Wednesday with chants...

                  The White House says nothing classified was shared on Signal. Democrats say that strains credulity

                  The White House says nothing classified was shared on Signal. Democrats say that strains credulity

                  WASHINGTON (AP) -- The Trump administration struggled Wednesday to stem the fallout from revelations that top national security officials discussed...

                  Democrats take hope from upset win in a GOP-leaning Pennsylvania state Senate district

                  Democrats take hope from upset win in a GOP-leaning Pennsylvania state Senate district

                  MANHEIM, Pa. (AP) -- Democrat James Andrew Malone narrowly won a special election for a Pennsylvania state Senate seat in...

                  World Series champion LA Dodgers say they'll visit Trump at the White House on April 7

                  World Series champion LA Dodgers say they'll visit Trump at the White House on April 7

                  WASHINGTON (AP) -- The Los Angeles Dodgers say they have accepted President Donald Trump's invitation to the White House to...

                  International

                  More View More

                  Supported by

                  This section is sponsored by Canada's Motion Picture Industry.
                  Tesla sales fall by 49% in Europe even as the electric vehicle market grows

                  Tesla sales fall by 49% in Europe even as the electric vehicle market grows

                  FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) -- European sales of Tesla electric vehicles tumbled 49% in the first two months of the year...

                  Weekslong lockups of European tourists at US borders spark fears of traveling to America

                  Weekslong lockups of European tourists at US borders spark fears of traveling to America

                  SAN DIEGO (AP) -- Lennon Tyler and her German fiance often took road trips to Mexico when he vacationed in...

                  White House says Trump, Putin will seek limited ceasefire on energy, infrastructure in Ukraine war

                    White House says Trump, Putin will seek limited ceasefire on energy, infrastructure in Ukraine war

                    U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed during a lengthy call Tuesday to seek a limited ceasefire...

                    'Danish Viking blood is boiling.' Danes boycott US goods with fervor as others in Europe do so too

                    'Danish Viking blood is boiling.' Danes boycott US goods with fervor as others in Europe do so too

                    Ivan Hansen, a retired Danish police officer, loaded up his basket at the supermarket, carefully checking each product to avoid...

                    Trump and Putin will speak this week on Russia-Ukraine war, US envoy says

                    Trump and Putin will speak this week on Russia-Ukraine war, US envoy says

                    WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. (AP) -- President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin are expected to speak this week...

                    Think Tank

                    More View More
                    Information and Communication Infrastructure Resiliency: Canada’s Invisible Security Risk

                    Information and Communication Infrastructure Resiliency: Canada’s Invisible Security Risk

                    The onslaught of President Donald Trump’s tariffs has pushed economic security to the forefront of the upcoming federal election. The...


                    Substacks

                    More View More

                    A collection of SubStack publishing within Canadian public affairs.

                    How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part II

                    How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part II

                    Peter Larkin launched King’s fund with $25,000 of his own cash, deposited Sept. 22, 1925 at the Old Colony Trust...

                    Day 1 - They're off!

                    Day 1 - They're off!

                    Now that the election is called, time to riff from that part of my bio that says “campaign manager” and...

                    How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part I

                    How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part I

                    Vladimir Putin’s Kremlin and Donald Trump’s White House have shown how political leaders who bond with billionaires can be toxic...

                    Podcasts

                    View More
                    To Get Clearance Or Not Get Clearance, That Is The Question.

                      To Get Clearance Or Not Get Clearance, That Is The Question.

                      Day 3 on the campaign trail!

                      Game changer

                        Game changer

                        No time to wait for Stephen Carter. Zain and Corey assemble to talk about Pierre Poilievre's big swing.

                        Is This Anything?

                          Is This Anything?

                          David Herle, Scott Reid, Jordan Leichnitz, and Kory Teneycke provide insights on the latest in Canadian politics.

                          Poilievre Faces Questions Over Alleged Foreign Interference

                            Poilievre Faces Questions Over Alleged Foreign Interference

                            The campaign managers panel, Michele Cadario (Liberal), Jordan Paquet (Conservative) and Cheryl Oates (NDP) talk about the issue of alleged...