Top News
Carney hits 3rd campaign pause, says Trump’s trade war raises ‘stakes’

Carney hits 3rd campaign pause, says Trump’s trade war raises ‘stakes’

Prime Minister Mark Carney is pausing his federal election campaign for a third time to tackle U.S. President Donald Trump’s escalating global trade war. Carney, who is campaigning as the Liberal Party leader but retains caretaker authorities as the current prime minister during a federal election, said he will return to Ottawa to convene a meeting of the cabinet committee...

Pierre Poilievre ducks question about whether he trusts polls that show him trailing Mark Carney

Pierre Poilievre ducks question about whether he trusts polls that show him trailing Mark Carney

On a campaign stop in Milton, a reporter asked if Poilievre would “respect the results of the election no matter the outcome.” Trailing in every major public-opinion poll, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre says he will respect the results of the April 28 election win or lose. But Poilievre — some of whose supporters have been sporting gear saying “Do You...

Poilievre takes aim at Carney's ability to handle Trump and his tariffs

Poilievre takes aim at Carney's ability to handle Trump and his tariffs

Conservative leader says Carney is using U.S. president and his economic threats as a campaign 'distraction.' Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre took aim at his Liberal opponent Thursday over his handling of the Canada-U.S. relationship, saying Mark Carney has so far "failed" to secure any tariff relief for Canada, even as other countries get something of a break. Carney, meanwhile, said...

Conservatives are limiting media access to Poilievre. Is it helping or hurting him?

Conservatives are limiting media access to Poilievre. Is it helping or hurting him?

Media can ask 4 questions per event, with no follow-ups At a news conference in Sault Ste. Marie, Ont., on Wednesday, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre ignored a CTV reporter's question about his refusal to get a security clearance, instead dismissing her as "just a protester." The reporter had shouted the question out of turn, as she was not one of...

Majority of Canadians tap Carney as best to negotiate with Trump: poll

Majority of Canadians tap Carney as best to negotiate with Trump: poll

More than three in five Canadians see Liberal Leader Mark Carney as the best person to negotiate with U.S. President Donald Trump, a new public opinion poll suggests. The survey, commissioned by The Globe and Mail and La Presse and conducted by Nanos Research, says 62 per cent of respondents think Mr. Carney would do the best job in talks...



ElectionWatch 2025

Polling Trendlines

NNW EW2025 Dataviz 2025 EN1 POLLS

Latest Results

Are men and women voting differently this election?

Are men and women voting differently this election?

Last week comments from Pierre Poilievre about biological clocks sparked two conversations; one about the validity of these comments for young Canadians, and another about the messenger. Before the election kicked off officially the Conservatives had been performing well among both men and women. Here we dive into how things are playing out in the election campaign thus far.

National Tracker: Liberals 43%, Conservatives 40%

National Tracker: Liberals 43%, Conservatives 40%

– A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 43% (-2) to the Conservatives 40% (+2). The rolling survey, conducted from April 7 to April 9, 2025, used interactive voice response technology...

LPC 43.0, CPC 38.1, NDP 8.9, BQ 5.7, GP 2.6, PPC 1.5

LPC 43.0, CPC 38.1, NDP 8.9, BQ 5.7, GP 2.6, PPC 1.5

The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same...

Seat Projections

NNW EW2025 Dataviz 2025 EN1 SEATS

Canada's Campaign Watchers

Second Wave Analysis (Update):

Dealing with Trump/Tariffs: Two out of three feel Mark Carney (64%) has the best approach for dealing with Donald Trump, while 19% believe Pierre Poilievre does. Most felt that Pierre Poilievre has done well enough (56%) in his response to the US tariff. Read More

Previous Analysis:

Wave 1, Wave 2

Who Our Watchers Are:
Adam Taylor Adrian Jean Alex Maheu Ali Salam Aliya Mohammed Andrew Casey Andrew MacDougall Andy Gibbons Axel Rioux Ben Parsons Brad Lavigne Brendan McGuinty Brian Clow Brianna Ames Bruce Winchester Bruce Anderson Cameron MacKeen Cara Salci Carlene Variyan Caroline Séguin Chad Bowie Chad Walsh Chisholm Pothier Chris Day Chris McCluskey Christine Burke Dan Mader Dave Forestell Dave Prisco David McArthur Dennis Matthews Dennis Prouse Derek Nighbor Dil Puar Dimitri Soudas Don Stickney Elder Marques Elly Alboim Eric Johnson Fraser Macdonald Fred DeLorey Gabe Garfinkel Gabrielle Berard Greg MacNeil Greg MacEachern Hardave Birk Jaime Watt Jamie Kippen Janet Fryday Dorey Jason Kenney Jeremy Broadhurst Jim Anderson Joanne Macrae Jordan Deagle Kate Harrison Kathleen Monk Katie Telford Ken Boessenkool Kevin Bosch Lanny Cardow Laryssa Waler Laura Kurkimaki Laura Pennell Lawrence Cannon Lisa MacLeod Lisa Raitt Marc-Olivier Fortin Marcia Smith Max Dea Megan Leslie Melanie Richer Melissa Cotton Mike Solberg Mollie Anderson Monte Solberg Morgan Swan Nancy Jamieson Patrick Rogers Perry Tsergas Phil Cartwright Rebecca Rogers Richard Mahoney Rick Anderson Rob Silver Roxanna Benoit Ryan Dunn Sabrina Grover Scott Feschuk Scott Reid Sean Speer Sheamus Murphy Stephen Carter Tasha Kheiriddin Tausha Michaud Tim Powers Tyler Banham Vandana Fatima Kattar Will Stewart Yaroslav Baran Zain Velji Zita Astravas

Election News

Pierre Poilievre ducks question about whether he trusts polls that show him trailing Mark Carney

Pierre Poilievre ducks question about whether he trusts polls that show him trailing Mark Carney

On a campaign stop in Milton, a reporter asked if Poilievre would “respect the results of the election no matter the outcome.” Trailing in every major public-opinion poll, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre says he will respect the results of the April 28 election win or lose. But Poilievre — some of whose supporters have been sporting gear saying “Do You...

Poilievre takes aim at Carney's ability to handle Trump and his tariffs

Poilievre takes aim at Carney's ability to handle Trump and his tariffs

Conservative leader says Carney is using U.S. president and his economic threats as a campaign 'distraction.' Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre took aim at his Liberal opponent Thursday over his handling of the Canada-U.S. relationship, saying Mark Carney has so far "failed" to secure any tariff relief for Canada, even as other countries get something of a break. Carney, meanwhile, said...

Carney hits 3rd campaign pause, says Trump’s trade war raises ‘stakes’

Carney hits 3rd campaign pause, says Trump’s trade war raises ‘stakes’

Prime Minister Mark Carney is pausing his federal election campaign for a third time to tackle U.S. President Donald Trump’s escalating global trade war. Carney, who is campaigning as the Liberal Party leader but retains caretaker authorities as the current prime minister during a federal election, said he will return to Ottawa to convene a meeting of the cabinet committee...

Poilievre closing the gap as preferred prime minister, as frontrunner battle remains close: Nanos tracking

Poilievre closing the gap as preferred prime minister, as frontrunner battle remains close: Nanos tracking

The close race between the Liberals and Conservatives continues on Day 19 of the federal election campaign with a five-point difference separating the two main parties. Meanwhile, the once 20-point advantage Liberal Leader Mark Carney enjoyed over Conservative Leader Pierre Poiliever less than a week ago—on the question of whom Canadians think would be the best prime minster—continues to incrementally...

Majority of Canadians tap Carney as best to negotiate with Trump: poll

Majority of Canadians tap Carney as best to negotiate with Trump: poll

More than three in five Canadians see Liberal Leader Mark Carney as the best person to negotiate with U.S. President Donald Trump, a new public opinion poll suggests. The survey, commissioned by The Globe and Mail and La Presse and conducted by Nanos Research, says 62 per cent of respondents think Mr. Carney would do the best job in talks...

Liberal candidate Peter Yuen, chosen to replace Paul Chiang, linked to pro-Beijing groups, events

Liberal candidate Peter Yuen, chosen to replace Paul Chiang, linked to pro-Beijing groups, events

The Liberal candidate selected by Mark Carney to replace one who was dropped over a China-related controversy is a member of a Beijing-friendly lobby organization and has given talks at events honouring a Toronto group that advocates for the annexation of Taiwan by China. Onetime Toronto police deputy chief Peter Yuen, who is now carrying the Liberal banner in the...

Campaign Analysis

Betting on Pierre Poilievre? This weekend's Canada Strong and Free Conference is another risky distraction for the Conservative campaign

Betting on Pierre Poilievre? This weekend's Canada Strong and Free Conference is another risky distraction for the Conservative campaign

Betting markets for political outcomes are relatively new - and fair to say - not really proven. Polymarket, the highest profile of these, found fame because bettors on the platform favoured Donald Trump, who obviously went on to win the 2024 election. But there is some controversy around the fact that such platforms are vulnerable to manipulation.

Carney’s rosy energy promises meet the Liberals’ dismal record

Carney’s rosy energy promises meet the Liberals’ dismal record

I’m reading my six-year-old son Lewis Carroll’s classic Through the Looking-Glass and What Alice Found There, with all its delightful nonsense talk about shoes and ships and sealing wax, of cabbages and kings.

Jagmeet Singh is running out the clock on his own political career

Jagmeet Singh is running out the clock on his own political career

It was Monday morning and Jagmeet Singh, once the most electric prospect in Canadian politics, was standing on a balcony in downtown Toronto trying to be heard over the roaring whoosh of a gardener’s leaf blower across the road. “You’re trailing far behind the Liberals and the Conservatives in the polls,” a reporter asked the NDP leader. WAAAHHH, went the...

The nickname ‘Carbon Tax Carney’ appears to be sticking with voters — but not the way Pierre Poilievre hoped

The nickname ‘Carbon Tax Carney’ appears to be sticking with voters — but not the way Pierre Poilievre hoped

Canadians didn’t get an “axe the tax” election in 2025, as Pierre Poilievre hoped, but that may be just as well for the Conservatives.New polling from Abacus Data shows that Liberal Leader Mark Carney, not Poilievre, is getting credit for axing the carbon levy — by a margin of nearly two to one.

Pierre Poilievre is running a good but very frustrating campaign
The West wants out? That’s not how this works

The West wants out? That’s not how this works

On a personal level, Preston Manning is a good and decent person. He is friendly, insightful, and kind. While I came from the Progressive Conservative wing of the conservative movement, I did not view him as the great destroyer of that once-great party. If anything, I saw him as provocative and an idea disruptor. All the ideas weren’t my cup...

Policy Announcements

Mark Carney’s Liberals release plan to fight crime, protect Canadians, and build safer communities

    Mark Carney’s Liberals release plan to fight crime, protect Canadians, and build safer communities

    Today, Mark Carney announced his action plan to bring criminal gangs to justice, stop illegal guns and drugs from flowing over the U.S. border, and build safer communities here at home. “Canadians deserve to feel safe where they live, play, work, and worship. My government will hire thousands of new RCMP and CBSA officers to crack down on illegal drugs...

    Green Party Launches Foreign Policy Plan to Strengthen Canada’s Sovereignty and Global Role

      Green Party Launches Foreign Policy Plan to Strengthen Canada’s Sovereignty and Global Role

      The Green Party of Canada is calling for a new era of strategic autonomy, continued commitment to multilateralism, diplomacy, and democratic alliances to protect Canada’s sovereignty in a world increasingly shaped by instability, aggression, and economic coercion. “As global tensions rise and revisionist powers—including Russia, China, and the United States—threaten democratic norms and international stability, Canada must no longer remain...

      Green Party of Canada Unveils Bold Plan to Expand Universal Public Healthcare

        Green Party of Canada Unveils Bold Plan to Expand Universal Public Healthcare

        Today, the Green Party of Canada announced in Guelph a comprehensive plan to protect and expand Canada’s universal public healthcare system. The proposed policy would guarantee every Canadian access to primary care, while integrating dental care, pharmacare, and mental health into Canada’s public healthcare system. The plan also commits to addressing the national healthcare worker shortage and reversing the trend...

        Singh: Universal healthcare isn’t complete until pharmacare is delivered

          Singh: Universal healthcare isn’t complete until pharmacare is delivered

          Full universal pharmacare—the kind Tommy Douglas imagined—means no one is left behind when it comes to the medication they need. Today, Jagmeet Singh announced the next step toward that vision: beginning with essential medicines. “It’s simple,” said Singh. “If your doctor gives you a prescription, you should be able to get it—full stop. That’s what real universal health care means—and...

          Mark Carney’s Liberals to make Canada the world’s leading energy superpower

            Mark Carney’s Liberals to make Canada the world’s leading energy superpower

            President Trump’s tariffs are disrupting global markets and fundamentally reshaping the international trading system. His stance on Canada is even more direct and aggressive: he wants to weaken us so America can own us. Our response is to fight, protect, and build. Canada’s economic strength is underpinned by Canadian energy. Our energy sector supports 700,000 jobs across the country, powering...

            Poilievre to Crack Down on Liberal Violent Crime Wave with ‘Three-Strikes-And-You’re-Out’ Law

              Poilievre to Crack Down on Liberal Violent Crime Wave with ‘Three-Strikes-And-You’re-Out’ Law

              Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced today that he will end the Liberal wave of violent crime by passing a Three-Strikes-and-You’re-Out Law. This law will stop criminals convicted of three serious offences from getting bail, probation, parole or house arrest, and keep violent criminals behind bars longer to keep them away from their victims and off our streets. Poilievre will make...



              Betting on Pierre Poilievre? This weekend's Canada Strong and Free Conference is another risky distraction for the Conservative campaign

              Betting on Pierre Poilievre? This weekend's Canada Strong and Free Conference is another risky distraction for the Conservative campaign

              Betting markets for political outcomes are relatively new - and fair to say - not really proven. Polymarket, the highest profile of these, found fame because bettors on the platform favoured Donald Trump, who obviously went on to win the 2024 election. But there is some controversy around the fact that such platforms are vulnerable to manipulation.

              Carney’s rosy energy promises meet the Liberals’ dismal record

              Carney’s rosy energy promises meet the Liberals’ dismal record

              I’m reading my six-year-old son Lewis Carroll’s classic Through the Looking-Glass and What Alice Found There, with all its delightful nonsense talk about shoes and ships and sealing wax, of cabbages and kings.

              Jagmeet Singh is running out the clock on his own political career

              Jagmeet Singh is running out the clock on his own political career

              It was Monday morning and Jagmeet Singh, once the most electric prospect in Canadian politics, was standing on a balcony in downtown Toronto trying to be heard over the roaring whoosh of a gardener’s leaf blower across the road. “You’re trailing far behind the Liberals and the Conservatives in the polls,” a reporter asked the NDP leader. WAAAHHH, went the...

              The nickname ‘Carbon Tax Carney’ appears to be sticking with voters — but not the way Pierre Poilievre hoped

              The nickname ‘Carbon Tax Carney’ appears to be sticking with voters — but not the way Pierre Poilievre hoped

              Canadians didn’t get an “axe the tax” election in 2025, as Pierre Poilievre hoped, but that may be just as well for the Conservatives.New polling from Abacus Data shows that Liberal Leader Mark Carney, not Poilievre, is getting credit for axing the carbon levy — by a margin of nearly two to one.

              The Macdonald Commission at 40: Lessons for today’s Trump tumult

              The Macdonald Commission at 40: Lessons for today’s Trump tumult

              There is an incredible outpouring of nationalist sentiment in Canada resulting from the phenomenon of a capricious American president running roughshod over the traditional Canadian-American relationship. As Canadians puzzle over the astonishing turn, they might well reflect back on the key developments that launched us deeply into the embrace of the hegemonic power with which we share a border and...

              Pierre Poilievre is running a good but very frustrating campaign
              The West wants out? That’s not how this works

              The West wants out? That’s not how this works

              On a personal level, Preston Manning is a good and decent person. He is friendly, insightful, and kind. While I came from the Progressive Conservative wing of the conservative movement, I did not view him as the great destroyer of that once-great party. If anything, I saw him as provocative and an idea disruptor. All the ideas weren’t my cup...

              If you’re going to threaten to secede, you might at least have the numbers to back it up
              Carney’s Surge in Quebec Could Wipe the Sovereigntist Party Off the Map

              Carney’s Surge in Quebec Could Wipe the Sovereigntist Party Off the Map

              SEASONED POLITICAL OBSERVERS will tell you that their circles—relatives, friends, colleagues—can often double as informal focus groups. By talking politics with real people, and not just those with their noses pressed against the glass, you can sometimes detect early signs of trends, however noisy they may be in a world where media cycles constantly overlap.

              Poilievre moves on to Plan C and brings out the guns

              Poilievre moves on to Plan C and brings out the guns

              On to Plan C.Pierre Poilievre made a belated campaign pivot last Wednesday to focus more heavily on U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade war. Now the Conservative Leader has pivoted again.He’s taking big swings to try to knock down Liberal Leader Mark Carney’s reputation as an economic manager. Before it’s too late.



              Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me four times? Seriously?

              Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me four times? Seriously?

              In Mark Carney’s first month as Liberal leader and prime minister, a picture has emerged of who he is: a technocratic version of Justin Trudeau, without the charisma, great hair or ability to communicate comfortably in French, but with many of his banished predecessor’s other personality characteristics and policy propensities.

              When it comes to unifying Canada, one institution is my go-to choice

              When it comes to unifying Canada, one institution is my go-to choice

              The 2020s have been the most volatile decade of my life so far. Once Jan. 1, 2020 hit, everything went haywire. We’ve lived through multiple, serious life-changing world events: the COVID-19 and its after-effects, climate disasters, rising partisan political and now the ripple effects of international economic uncertainty (hello, tariffs and trade wars).

              Trump’s chaos is imperialism in a transparent disguise

              Trump’s chaos is imperialism in a transparent disguise

              United States President Donald Trump is mashing up the global order. I have a theory.Last week, Trump imposed so-called “reciprocal” tariffs on American trading partners. His actions sent markets plunging, investment funds devaluing, and panic rising. There are no rules for the new global economic regime.

              Trump’s tariff experiment is the volcano at the science fair
              Carney’s Telling Jokes: Ford, Smith, and the Federal Race

              Carney’s Telling Jokes: Ford, Smith, and the Federal Race

              During a speech in Victoria on Sunday, Mark Carney quipped: “We’re sending Doug Ford onto FOX News to show them that we’re not messing around up here,” which made Liberal supporters in the room laugh. Then, he added: “And we’re going to send Danielle next. Well, maybe we won’t. We won’t send Danielle. That’s a bad idea. Strike that.” The...

              Danielle Smith sends message that Carney will win — allowing her to continue undermining Canada

              Danielle Smith sends message that Carney will win — allowing her to continue undermining Canada

              There is no danger that Alberta won’t return plenty of Conservative MPs to the House of Commons at the end of April. It’s practically a sacrosanct duty in a federal election to elect as many Conservatives as possible. So why is Premier Danielle Smith talking as if the Conservatives are going to lose? Why isn’t she boosting their chances across...

              Carney should show the West some respect

              Carney should show the West some respect

              Liberal Leader Mark Carney should feel right at home in Alberta: after all, he was raised there. But his trip there this week feels more like a political minefield than a homecoming. That’s largely due to his recent quip that while he’s happy to dispatch Ontario Premier Doug Ford to advocate for Canada in Washington, he wouldn’t send Alberta Premier...

              If Pierre Poilievre can’t handle the media, who else will he avoid confronting?

              If Pierre Poilievre can’t handle the media, who else will he avoid confronting?

              If you have paid attention to Pierre Poilievre in recent months, you could be forgiven for thinking he is afraid of journalists.From the outset of the campaign, the Conservatives have aggressively tried to limit journalists’ access to their leader and undermine their ability to ask him tough questions about how he hopes to govern the country.

              As Westerners, our belief in Canada is unconditional
              Carney isn’t making his visit to Alberta a welcome one
              Western secessionists play into Donald Trump’s hands when they embrace his sore loser approach to elections

              Western secessionists play into Donald Trump’s hands when they embrace his sore loser approach to elections

              Mark Carney calls it “dramatic.” Former Reform party leader Preston Manning says it’s just the plain truth.Whatever way you look at this flurry of talk about Western secession if the Liberals win the federal election on April 28, it has injected another dose of existential rhetoric into a campaign already laden with do-or-die propositions.

              Pierre Poilievre Wants to Slash Canadian Foreign Aid

              Pierre Poilievre Wants to Slash Canadian Foreign Aid

              “We will cut back on foreign aid to dictators, terrorists, and global bureaucracy,” Poilievre told some 4,000-odd supporters in Kingston last week, “to bring our money home.” He repeated that notion again in Trois-Rivières on Friday: “I will be cutting waste, bureaucracy, consultants, foreign aid and other unnecessary expenses,” he declared. Poilievre appeared on Radio-Canada this week for a lengthy...

              Carney is clearly the most qualified candidate to take on Trump

              Carney is clearly the most qualified candidate to take on Trump

              Even if Trump is using tariffs to negotiate better deals with trading partners, that process could take up the rest of his presidency. After all, he has levied punitive tariffs against scores of countries. If these countries want to negotiate an exemption or a carveout, they will have to stand in a very long line to get to the president.

              Pierre Poilievre is a much better politician than Mark Carney. The Conservatives might lose anyway

              Pierre Poilievre is a much better politician than Mark Carney. The Conservatives might lose anyway

              It can be easy to forget, following the news, that Mark Carney, the leader of the Liberal party and the odds-on favourite to win the 2025 federal election, has never done this before. He has never won a local council race. He didn’t serve on his school board. He isn’t a sitting MP. Carney’s resume outside of politics is unimpeachable...

              Poilievre the preacher aims to keep the converted fired up for election day

              Poilievre the preacher aims to keep the converted fired up for election day

              It was the end of a long day, but Pierre Poilievre had more energy in the evening than in the morning. “Wow, what a wonderful crowd,” the Conservative Leader said in Oshawa, Ont., as he quickly stepped onto a two-foot-high platform in an airplane hangar and went into his slogans. “Who’s ready to axe some taxes?” he said at the...

              Meltdown: The World Scrambles to Cope with Trump’s Torrent of Chaos

              Meltdown: The World Scrambles to Cope with Trump’s Torrent of Chaos

              On April 2, or what Donald Trump declared “Liberation Day” (The Economist called it “Ruination Day”), leaders and citizens across the interconnected world paused for an hour to watch an American president launch a global trade war. Abusing yet again the power of the captive audience that comes with the office, Trump unleashed the most destructive set of measures of...

              Canada’s ad campaign in the U.S. is too tame — here is my plan to attack Trump

              Canada’s ad campaign in the U.S. is too tame — here is my plan to attack Trump

              If you’ve ever driven from Toronto to Florida, you’ve likely encountered the visual cacophony of billboards along America’s Interstate Highways. These range from posters for injury lawyers and gentlemen’s clubs to fast food outlets and reminders that Jesus loves you. Upon reaching Florida, one might chuckle at an AC repair ad proclaiming, “Your wife is hot.” But lately, these roadsides...

              Brookfield used Cayman Islands to register 3rd fund managed by Carney

              Brookfield used Cayman Islands to register 3rd fund managed by Carney

              A $5-billion investment fund created under Mark Carney's leadership at Brookfield Asset Management was registered in the Cayman Islands tax haven, according to records obtained by Radio-Canada.

              Doug Ford says he was ‘shocked’ Canada wasn’t included in Trump’s 90-day tariff pause

              Doug Ford says he was ‘shocked’ Canada wasn’t included in Trump’s 90-day tariff pause

              Ontario Premier Doug Ford says he was “shocked” Canada wasn’t included in U.S. President Donald Trump’s 90-day tariff pause. “We were shocked that we weren’t part of the group, per se. And you know, (we’re the United States’) number one customer -- we’re both each other’s number one customer -- and we need to get through this and bring certainty...

              Poilievre closing the gap as preferred prime minister, as frontrunner battle remains close: Nanos tracking

              Poilievre closing the gap as preferred prime minister, as frontrunner battle remains close: Nanos tracking

              The close race between the Liberals and Conservatives continues on Day 19 of the federal election campaign with a five-point difference separating the two main parties. Meanwhile, the once 20-point advantage Liberal Leader Mark Carney enjoyed over Conservative Leader Pierre Poiliever less than a week ago—on the question of whom Canadians think would be the best prime minster—continues to incrementally...

              Liberal candidate Peter Yuen, chosen to replace Paul Chiang, linked to pro-Beijing groups, events

              Liberal candidate Peter Yuen, chosen to replace Paul Chiang, linked to pro-Beijing groups, events

              The Liberal candidate selected by Mark Carney to replace one who was dropped over a China-related controversy is a member of a Beijing-friendly lobby organization and has given talks at events honouring a Toronto group that advocates for the annexation of Taiwan by China. Onetime Toronto police deputy chief Peter Yuen, who is now carrying the Liberal banner in the...



              Western separation is unlikely, Alberta political scientist says. Here’s what might happen instead

              Western separation is unlikely, Alberta political scientist says. Here’s what might happen instead

              Not long ago, the 2025 election seemed like Pierre Poilievre’s to lose. That’s made the rapid ascension of Mark Carney’s Liberals in public approval polling a source of some frustration across the Conservative-leaning Prairies – and for the first time in years, the notion of Western separation appears to be gaining significant traction in both Alberta and Saskatchewan. But how...

              Trump threats revive push for pipelines. Is Quebec on board?

              Trump threats revive push for pipelines. Is Quebec on board?

              On a stretch of land by the Ottawa River, near the Quebec-Ontario border, Katherine Massam points to a sign warning of a pipeline under "high pressure." Beneath her feet runs Enbridge Line 9B, which transports oil from Alberta to Montreal refineries. The proposed Energy East pipeline was also supposed to pass nearby, but the project was abandoned in 2017, after...

              Some voters say B.C. oil tanker ban must be lifted for national unity. Others warn it will reopen an old fight

              Some voters say B.C. oil tanker ban must be lifted for national unity. Others warn it will reopen an old fight

              Coastal First Nation leaders, Conservative candidate, have long feared impact of ocean spills. If a ban on oil tankers off British Columbia's North Coast is lifted, Arnie Nagy is ready to fight. A member of the Haida Nation living in Prince Rupert, more than 700 kilometres up the coast from Vancouver, he spent his career working in fish canneries that...

              Federal NDP leader worried for kids after Saskatchewan MLA called him a terrorist

              Federal NDP leader worried for kids after Saskatchewan MLA called him a terrorist

              RICHMOND -- Federal NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh says he's worried about the message being sent to children after a Saskatchewan legislature member and former teacher called him a terrorist.

              Sask. Party MLA apologizes for calling federal NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh ‘a terrorist’

              Sask. Party MLA apologizes for calling federal NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh ‘a terrorist’

              A Saskatchewan Party MLA has issued an apology after she called federal NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh “a terrorist” during a speech on the floor of the legislature more than two weeks ago. Racquel Hilbert, the Sask. Party MLA for Humboldt-Watrous, made the comment on March 25. “During my budget response speech, I made an inappropriate comment regarding the federal NDP...

              May says Conservatives won’t win election, and more Greens makes Parliament ‘function better’

              May says Conservatives won’t win election, and more Greens makes Parliament ‘function better’

              Green Party co-leader Elizabeth May says while a majority-Conservative election victory seemed like a foregone conclusion at this time last year, she now believes Canada is in for another Liberal government. “I think predictions are not a game I want to play,” May said in a joint interview with party co-leader Jonathan Pedneault on CTV News Channel’s Power Play. “Certainly...

              White House says Canada exempt from Trump’s baseline reciprocal tariffs, raises China’s to 125%

                White House says Canada exempt from Trump’s baseline reciprocal tariffs, raises China’s to 125%

                U.S. President Donald Trump has “authorized” a 90-day pause on some tariffs while vowing to raise levies against China to 125 per cent, effective immediately, he said Wednesday. It’s not yet clear how those fees will be applied. “I have authorized a 90 day PAUSE, and a substantially lowered Reciprocal Tariff during this period, of 10%, also effective immediately,” the...

                Mark Carney pledges to make Canada an energy superpower, proposes faster project reviews

                Mark Carney pledges to make Canada an energy superpower, proposes faster project reviews

                Liberal Leader Mark Carney pledged a new approach to make Canada an energy superpower and proposed a new federal office to review projects faster. Mr. Carney announced in Calgary on Wednesday that a Liberal government would establish a federal project office with a new mandate to conduct one review per project and issue a decision within two years instead of...

                No Conservative candidate in Quebec City riding due to submission issue

                  No Conservative candidate in Quebec City riding due to submission issue

                  Chanie Thériault's candidacy papers did not comply with requirements, Elections Canada says. The Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) will not be represented by a candidate on the ballot in Quebec City's riding of Québec-Centre this federal election, according to the party. In an emailed statement, the party confirmed that an issue arose when the candidate, Chanie Thériault, was submitting her...

                  Poilievre promises to ban bail, parole and house arrest for repeat serious offenders

                  Poilievre promises to ban bail, parole and house arrest for repeat serious offenders

                  Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre insisted Wednesday that his promised three-strikes law wouldn't run afoul of the Constitution, after several justice experts said some of his crime policies are likely to get struck down by the courts. Poilievre was campaigning in Sault Ste. Marie, Ont. where he repeated his promise that a government led by him would make those convicted three...

                  Unpacking Pierre Poilievre’s plan to tackle opioid abuse and government-funded ‘drug dens’

                  Unpacking Pierre Poilievre’s plan to tackle opioid abuse and government-funded ‘drug dens’

                  On Sunday, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre unveiled a bold plan: he wanted to save 50,000 lives that could be lost to Canada’s toxic drug and overdose crisis, and he was ready to explain how.He chose that number because it was close to 50,928 — the number of people who have died in Canada between 2016 and 2024 due to opioid abuse.

                  Conservatives continue to make gains at halfway point; Carney still has comfortable lead as preferred PM but it’s ‘diminishing’: Nanos

                  Conservatives continue to make gains at halfway point; Carney still has comfortable lead as preferred PM but it’s ‘diminishing’: Nanos

                  The federal Liberals’ advantage over the Conservatives has narrowed further and sits at four points on Day 18, the halfway point of the federal election campaign.A three-day rolling sample by Nanos Research ending April 8 has the Liberals at 43 per cent over the Conservatives who are now at 39 per cent nationally.

                  A Liberal and a Conservative knocked on the same door and some polite trash talk ensued

                  A Liberal and a Conservative knocked on the same door and some polite trash talk ensued

                  On the front steps of a Toronto home, two Robs appear at the same door.

                  The Modi ‘friends’ who helped finance Poilievre’s leadership campaign

                  The Modi ‘friends’ who helped finance Poilievre’s leadership campaign

                  Two months into his 2022 leadership campaign, Pierre Poilievre spoke at the home of Aditya Tawatia, a politically active Vancouver realtor.“Delighted to host the next Prime Minister of Canada,” Tawatia wrote on X, adding his mother had “blessed” Poilievre’s campaign.

                  Inside a Pierre Poilievre rally, where hope for change overshadowed the polls

                  Inside a Pierre Poilievre rally, where hope for change overshadowed the polls

                  Evan Weller, his wife, Amber-Dawn, and their three small children travelled for an hour and a half to attend Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre’s Monday night rally in Edmonton. The couple had never been to a political rally before. But as they stood in a line that snaked around a cavernous warehouse south of the city, they said they felt compelled...

                  Conservatives’ tight grip on media access not living up to promise to be ‘most accessible and transparent campaign,’ say reporters

                  Conservatives’ tight grip on media access not living up to promise to be ‘most accessible and transparent campaign,’ say reporters

                  The Conservative leader took 65 questions in broadcast press conferences during the first two weeks of the campaign, compared to the 148 fielded by the Liberal leader, 163 by the Bloc leader, and 208 by the NDP leader. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre’s national campaign has attempted to keep a tight grip on the media’s access to its candidates—figuratively and literally—in...

                  Pierre Poilievre is boasting about his rallies. But does size indicate success?

                  Pierre Poilievre is boasting about his rallies. But does size indicate success?

                  Conservative Party estimates about 15,000 attended Edmonton rally. At a news conference in Edmonton on Tuesday, it was Pierre Poilievre who decided to ask the media a couple questions, specifically about the size of the crowd at his rally in the city the night before. Before a Globe and Mail reporter was able to ask her question — whether the...

                  Muslim group, constituents call for Andrew Lawton's removal as Conservative candidate in southern Ontario

                  Muslim group, constituents call for Andrew Lawton's removal as Conservative candidate in southern Ontario

                  Lawton cites earlier Facebook post, which says he's 'ashamed' of previous conduct and will do better. An advocacy group that combats Islamophobia is urging the Conservative Party of Canada (CPC) to remove a London, Ont.-area candidate from the federal election ballot over his past comments about marginalized groups including the Muslim community, women and 2SLGBTQ+ groups.

                  Poilievre digs at Carney's 'banker's haircut,' Liberal says his rival hasn't managed a crisis

                  Poilievre digs at Carney's 'banker's haircut,' Liberal says his rival hasn't managed a crisis

                  Conservative leader's swipes at main opponent get personal on Day 17 of campaign. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre's criticisms of Mark Carney got personal on Tuesday, while the Liberal leader hit back at Poilievre's political career. Poilievre's past swipes at his main political opponent include criticisms that Carney is no different than his predecessor Justin Trudeau and that the Liberal leader...

                  Liberals favoured to best manage energy, resources, Ipsos poll says

                  Liberals favoured to best manage energy, resources, Ipsos poll says

                  With Canada’s future relationship with the United States dominating the federal election campaign so far, a new poll is shedding some light on which party Canadians think would be best to manage the country’s resources — one of the pillars of our economic relationship with the Americans.

                  Canada to impose tariffs of up to 25% on vehicles imported from U.S. Wednesday, escalating trade war

                  Canada to impose tariffs of up to 25% on vehicles imported from U.S. Wednesday, escalating trade war

                  The Canadian government’s retaliatory tariffs on vehicles imported from the United States will take effect Wednesday, an escalation of the Canada-U.S. trade war that could increase the sticker price of U.S.-made autos by as much as 25 per cent. The Department of Finance announced the counter-tariffs Canada is imposing on U.S-assembled vehicles will apply as of 12:01 a.m. EDT April...

                  Politician's Pen

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                  Ovechkin’s NHL Legacy: A Hockey Milestone Overshadowed by Sportswashing and Ties to Putin
                  The State of Service Report

                  The State of Service Report

                  Our government created the Citizens’ Services portfolio in 2023 to champion service delivery excellence and to improve government efficiency. This State of Service report was drafted to communicate how we are accomplishing this mandate and to update Canadians on some of our biggest programs, including the Passport Program, the Canadian Dental Care Plan, Employment Insurance, Benefits Delivery Modernization and the...


                  Trump's tariff turnaround shows he's vulnerable to pressure, says former negotiator

                  Trump's tariff turnaround shows he's vulnerable to pressure, says former negotiator

                  Canada's former top trade negotiator said Thursday that if nations around the world co-ordinate their responses to Donald Trump's global trade war, the U.S. president would be more likely to back away from tariffs sooner.

                  House approves budget framework for Trump's 'big' bill after intense wrangling sways GOP holdouts

                  House approves budget framework for Trump's 'big' bill after intense wrangling sways GOP holdouts

                  WASHINGTON (AP) -- House Republicans narrowly approved their budget framework Thursday, a political turnaround after Speaker Mike Johnson worked into the night to satisfy GOP holdouts who had refused to advance trillions of dollars in tax breaks without deeper spending cuts.

                  House passes GOP bill requiring proof of US citizenship for voting, a Trump priority

                  House passes GOP bill requiring proof of US citizenship for voting, a Trump priority

                  WASHINGTON (AP) -- House Republicans passed one of their signature issues for the year on Thursday, approving legislation to require proof of U.S. citizenship when registering to vote for federal elections, one of President Donald Trump's top election-related priorities.

                  Johnson vows to try again after GOP holdouts block action on Trump's 'big, beautiful' budget bill

                  Johnson vows to try again after GOP holdouts block action on Trump's 'big, beautiful' budget bill

                  WASHINGTON (AP) -- After abruptly halting votes, House Speaker Mike Johnson vowed to try again Thursday to approve a Republican budget framework, having worked into the night to satisfy GOP holdouts who refused to advance trillions of dollars in tax breaks without deeper spending cuts.

                  International

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                  This section is sponsored by Canada's Motion Picture Industry.
                  Trump's latest round of tariffs have taken effect  -  and China is retaliating. Here's what we know

                  Trump's latest round of tariffs have taken effect - and China is retaliating. Here's what we know

                  NEW YORK (AP) -- President Donald Trump has launched tariff wars with nearly all of America's trading partners. And there's no end in sight.

                  The US must return a Maryland man mistakenly deported to an El Salvador prison, a judge says

                  The US must return a Maryland man mistakenly deported to an El Salvador prison, a judge says

                  GREENBELT, Md. (AP) -- A federal judge on Friday ordered the Trump administration to arrange for the return of a Maryland man to the United States after he was mistakenly deported to a notorious El Salvador prison, while a U.S. government attorney was at a loss to explain what happened.

                  China retaliates as Trump's tariffs affect world markets

                  China retaliates as Trump's tariffs affect world markets

                  Shares slid further in Europe and Asia and U.S. futures also fell Friday as investors counted the potential costs of U.S. President Donald Trump's latest set of tariffs, even as China retaliated by announcing it will impose a 34% tariff on imports of all U.S. products beginning April 10.

                  French far-right leader Marine Le Pen is barred from seeking public office for embezzlement

                    French far-right leader Marine Le Pen is barred from seeking public office for embezzlement

                    French far-right leader Marine Le Pen strode out of a French court as the chief judge on Monday barred her from seeking public office after she was found guilty of embezzling EU funds. The judge hasn’t yet said how long Le Pen will be ineligible for running for public office -- a decision that could derail the far-right leader’s career...

                    Powerful earthquakes rock Thailand and Myanmar, triggering the collapse of a Bangkok high-rise

                      Powerful earthquakes rock Thailand and Myanmar, triggering the collapse of a Bangkok high-rise

                      A state of emergency has been declared in six regions and states in Myanmar after a 7.7 magnitude earthquake whose epicenter was near the country’s second largest city. State-run MRTV television said the military-run government’s proclamation includes the capital Naypyitaw and Mandalay, after the earthquake and a strong aftershock hit midday. Myanmar is in the midst of a civil war...

                      Think Tank

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                      China, Russia Remain Close Despite Trump’s Efforts to Drive a Wedge

                      China, Russia Remain Close Despite Trump’s Efforts to Drive a Wedge

                      On April 2 — just before the U.S. announced sweeping new tariffs on much of the world — Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi concluded a three-day visit to Moscow, where he met with his counterpart, Sergey Lavrov, and Russian President Vladimir Putin. The two sides discussed the Russia-Ukraine war and other security flashpoints, including Iran’s nuclear program and the Korean...

                      Unlocking Canada’s economy: Why mutual recognition is the key to supercharging internal trade

                      Unlocking Canada’s economy: Why mutual recognition is the key to supercharging internal trade

                      US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats seem to have reminded Canadians that we don’t even trade well with each other. We self-sabotage through domestic trade obstacles that hinder economic growth and security.

                      Rushing to death in Canada’s MAiD regime: Ramona Coelho for Inside Policy

                      Rushing to death in Canada’s MAiD regime: Ramona Coelho for Inside Policy

                      Canada legalized Medical Assistance in Dying (MAiD) in 2016, encompassing both euthanasia and assisted suicide. Initially limited to those nearing their natural death, eligibility expanded in 2021 to individuals with physical disabilities, with eligibility for individuals with mental illness in 2027. Parliamentary recommendations include MAiD for children. A recent federal consultation explored extending MAiD to those who lack capacity via...


                      Substacks

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                      A collection of SubStack publishing within Canadian public affairs.

                      The dossier Trudeau took to Mar-a-Lago

                      The dossier Trudeau took to Mar-a-Lago

                      Last fall, before the Trump shitstorm, advisers to the prime minister saw the black clouds gathering to the south. The new president had not yet been sworn into office, but it was clear Canada was in the crosshairs.

                      Mark Carney's $100 apology

                      Mark Carney's $100 apology

                      The 10 men who have governed the Bank of Canada since its inception in 1934 have been taciturn types, studiously avoiding the mud-holes of public controversy. Central banks trade in trust, and must project immutability and stability.That’s why it was so unusual in 2012 to hear Mark Carney, then governor of the Bank, apologize to Canadians for screwing up.

                      How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part II

                      How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part II

                      Peter Larkin launched King’s fund with $25,000 of his own cash, deposited Sept. 22, 1925 at the Old Colony Trust Co.’s main branch in Boston, the same firm used by Salada Tea for its U.S. operations. Likely he reasoned that a foreign account would reduce the risk of discovery.

                      Podcasts

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                      Do You Believe The Polls?

                        Do You Believe The Polls?

                        David Herle, Scott Reid, Jordan Leichnitz, and Kory Teneycke provide insights on the latest in Canadian politics.

                        What Canadians need to be talking about this election

                          What Canadians need to be talking about this election

                          On WONK this week, host Amanda Lang talks to an all-star election panel about the big issues, the rise of economic nationalism and some positive notes from the campaign The federal election has been dominated by Donald Trump and his tariffs. But is that the key ballot question? Energy, infrastructure, defense, productivity, housing and affordability, just to name a few...

                          The last time the U.S. tariffed the world

                            The last time the U.S. tariffed the world

                            On Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on his sweeping global reciprocal tariffs for all countries, except for China. Trump has long expressed his love of tariffs. Just last week, he spoke about how believes the U.S. was founded on tariffs, and that they could have helped the country avoid the Great Depression. Then, referring to the...

                            Global markets reel from tariff whiplash

                              Global markets reel from tariff whiplash

                              Last week, U.S. President Donald Trump announced sweeping global tariffs on most of the world, plunging markets into some of the worst days in recent memory. The tariffs took effect yesterday, but after hours of market volatility, the White House reversed course. Trump announced a 90-day pause on his initial tariff plans, instead issuing a 10-per-cent tariff on all implicated...