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Federal election one of ‘most consequential’ in Canadian history, say political players

Federal election one of ‘most consequential’ in Canadian history, say political players

The winner of this election will be handed a list of issues that will be outside their control, says pollster Frank Graves. 'This is not a business as usual election.' The federal election, called amid a trade war with the United States, is one of the “most consequential” in Canadian history for party leaders and the country as the outcome...

National defence is often an afterthought in Canadian elections. Not this time

National defence is often an afterthought in Canadian elections. Not this time

Trump's annexation threats have upended the notion that there are no votes in defence. Issues of sovereignty, national security and...

CityNews-Leger poll shows strong support for Carney-led Liberal party among Torontonians

CityNews-Leger poll shows strong support for Carney-led Liberal party among Torontonians

Torontonians strongly favour a Liberal government under Mark Carney, according to a CityNews-Leger poll. That is likely not good news...

Poillievre proposes tax cut to save 'modest income' families about $1,800 per year

Poillievre proposes tax cut to save 'modest income' families about $1,800 per year

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced a proposal on Monday to cut the lowest income tax bracket, saving the average family...

'Offensive and false': Alberta premier's office denies Smith urged U.S. to interfere in federal election

'Offensive and false': Alberta premier's office denies Smith urged U.S. to interfere in federal election

Smith told U.S. officials she hoped they'd put tariffs 'on pause' until after the election. The office of Alberta Premier...

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As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

Our latest survey, completed between March 17 and 20 among 1,500 eligible voters, offers a detailed picture of the political...

Three in four Canadians want to increase defense spending to at least two per cent

Three in four Canadians want to increase defense spending to at least two per cent

Close to seven in ten Canadians prefer increasing defense spending to reach the current two per cent NATO ally target...



ElectionWatch 2025

Polling Trendlines

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Latest Results

CityNews-Leger poll shows strong support for Carney-led Liberal party among Torontonians

CityNews-Leger poll shows strong support for Carney-led Liberal party among Torontonians

Torontonians strongly favour a Liberal government under Mark Carney, according to a CityNews-Leger poll. That is likely not good news...

And they're off! Where things stand as the race begins.

And they're off! Where things stand as the race begins.

Earlier today, Prime Minister Mark Carney met the governor general and dissolved the 44th Parliament, setting April 28 as the...

As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

Our latest survey, completed between March 17 and 20 among 1,500 eligible voters, offers a detailed picture of the political...

Seat Projections

NNW EW2025 Dataviz 2025 EN1 SEATS

Election News

The economic question at the heart of this election

The economic question at the heart of this election

This Canadian election is about a lot of things. It’s about trade and tariffs and threats and sovereignty. It’s about...

Federal election one of ‘most consequential’ in Canadian history, say political players

Federal election one of ‘most consequential’ in Canadian history, say political players

The winner of this election will be handed a list of issues that will be outside their control, says pollster...

'Offensive and false': Alberta premier's office denies Smith urged U.S. to interfere in federal election

'Offensive and false': Alberta premier's office denies Smith urged U.S. to interfere in federal election

Smith told U.S. officials she hoped they'd put tariffs 'on pause' until after the election. The office of Alberta Premier...

Alberta premier faces backlash for asking America to pause tariffs until after election

Alberta premier faces backlash for asking America to pause tariffs until after election

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith is facing criticism over comments made earlier in March during an interview with an American right-wing...

How a two-week-old interview by Danielle Smith drove day one of the election campaign

How a two-week-old interview by Danielle Smith drove day one of the election campaign

For Pierre Poilievre, who would rather focus his comments on the record of the Liberal government, it was an unwelcome...

Fish harvesters protest in St. John's ahead of Carney's 1st campaign rally

Fish harvesters protest in St. John's ahead of Carney's 1st campaign rally

Newfoundland and Labrador's fish harvesters quickly rallied on Sunday afternoon following cuts to the snow crab fishery and what they...

Campaign Analysis

Poilievre Finally Gets the Election He’s Been Dying For. But Is It Too Late?

Poilievre Finally Gets the Election He’s Been Dying For. But Is It Too Late?

The “Canada Is Broken” candidate faces a changed national mood. RICHARD LIVES in a pup tent in downtown Ottawa, next...

Danielle Smith’s Trump talk threatens Pierre Poilievre’s chances to win

Danielle Smith’s Trump talk threatens Pierre Poilievre’s chances to win

Pierre Poilievre has a problem, and her name is Danielle Smith. The Alberta premier has become a thorn in the...

Poilievre and Carney agree on one thing: This federal election is about change
April could be the cruelest month for Poilievre

April could be the cruelest month for Poilievre

Fading Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre should read a little T.S. Eliot. April could indeed be the cruelest month for the...

2021 vs. 2025: Comparing public opinion at the start of both campaigns

2021 vs. 2025: Comparing public opinion at the start of both campaigns

As we kick off the 2025 Canadian federal election campaign, it’s instructive to look back at where we stood at...

National defence is often an afterthought in Canadian elections. Not this time

National defence is often an afterthought in Canadian elections. Not this time

Trump's annexation threats have upended the notion that there are no votes in defence. Issues of sovereignty, national security and...

Policy Announcements

Poillievre proposes tax cut to save 'modest income' families about $1,800 per year

Poillievre proposes tax cut to save 'modest income' families about $1,800 per year

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced a proposal on Monday to cut the lowest income tax bracket, saving the average family...

Conservatives Will Bring Back The Seal Harvest, Save Fishing Jobs

    Conservatives Will Bring Back The Seal Harvest, Save Fishing Jobs

    Today, Clifford Small, Conservative candidate for Central Newfoundland, announced that Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Government will restore the seal harvest to...

    Liberals launch 2025 campaign with middle-class tax cut

      Liberals launch 2025 campaign with middle-class tax cut

      Today, Mark Carney launched the 2025 Liberal campaign by announcing a middle-class tax cut that will help Canadians keep more...

      Carney keeping emissions cap on oil and gas, but focusing on investing in green tech

      Carney keeping emissions cap on oil and gas, but focusing on investing in green tech

      Prime Minister Mark Carney confirmed Friday that his government would keep the emissions cap on oil and gas production in...

      Carney confirms Liberals won't proceed with planned capital gains tax change

      Carney confirms Liberals won't proceed with planned capital gains tax change

      OTTAWA -- Days before he's expected to call a federal election, Prime Minister Mark Carney is confirming he won't move...

      Poilievre outlines plan to boost apprenticeships, training for trades workers

      Poilievre outlines plan to boost apprenticeships, training for trades workers

      Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced a plan Friday to boost training and employment for workers in the skilled trades. Speaking...



      Poilievre Finally Gets the Election He’s Been Dying For. But Is It Too Late?

      Poilievre Finally Gets the Election He’s Been Dying For. But Is It Too Late?

      The “Canada Is Broken” candidate faces a changed national mood. RICHARD LIVES in a pup tent in downtown Ottawa, next...

      Danielle Smith’s Trump talk threatens Pierre Poilievre’s chances to win

      Danielle Smith’s Trump talk threatens Pierre Poilievre’s chances to win

      Pierre Poilievre has a problem, and her name is Danielle Smith. The Alberta premier has become a thorn in the...

      Poilievre and Carney agree on one thing: This federal election is about change
      April could be the cruelest month for Poilievre

      April could be the cruelest month for Poilievre

      Fading Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre should read a little T.S. Eliot. April could indeed be the cruelest month for the...

      2021 vs. 2025: Comparing public opinion at the start of both campaigns

      2021 vs. 2025: Comparing public opinion at the start of both campaigns

      As we kick off the 2025 Canadian federal election campaign, it’s instructive to look back at where we stood at...

      The ‘artificial border’ and how it can be corrected

      The ‘artificial border’ and how it can be corrected

      It’s truly breathtaking to hear U.S. President Donald Trump muse about the Canada-U.S. border and show his complete ignorance about...

      Danielle Smith is Mark Carney's secret weapon

      Danielle Smith is Mark Carney's secret weapon

      It was supposed to be a cakewalk. Instead, as Pierre Poilievre kicks off the election campaign that was supposed to...

      This election is about Donald Trump — and a lot more

      This election is about Donald Trump — and a lot more

      In ways no one could have understood at the time, June 16, 2015, turned out to be a momentous day...

      Donald Trump upends notions of stability and change as Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre square off

      Donald Trump upends notions of stability and change as Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre square off

      In a little more than five weeks, either Mark Carney or Pierre Poilievre will be the prime minister of Canada...

      Canadian Conservatives are desperate for Donald Trump to come to their rescue -  one of Canada’s most prominent conservative leaders asked Trump’s government to interfere

      Canadian Conservatives are desperate for Donald Trump to come to their rescue - one of Canada’s most prominent conservative leaders asked Trump’s government to interfere

      An election that will be fought about the sovereignty of Canada is beginning with news that one of Canada’s most...



      Is Pierre Poilievre the new Justin Trudeau?

      Is Pierre Poilievre the new Justin Trudeau?

      Matt Gurney: Well, here we are. Yay, I guess. There goes our April. For the one or two readers who...

      Canada’s Existential Election

      Canada’s Existential Election

      The campaign launched Sunday by Governor General Mary Simon’s proclamation — signed at the request of Prime Minister Mark Carney...

      Pierre Poilievre is a victim of his own success — but don’t expect him to go down without a fight

      Pierre Poilievre is a victim of his own success — but don’t expect him to go down without a fight

      Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre heads into the election campaign he’s long demanded on Sunday fighting for his political life, a...

      The campaign of a lifetime is upon us

      The campaign of a lifetime is upon us

      I was seven years old the last time an election in this country centered around a single issue. Then, it...

      Mark Carney’s first week had its bright spots — but he still needs to learn this lesson

      Mark Carney’s first week had its bright spots — but he still needs to learn this lesson

      Mark Carney had quite a first week as prime minister of Canada. He was sworn on Friday, unveiled a smaller...

      The NDP’s free fall reveals an essential truth about this election

      The NDP’s free fall reveals an essential truth about this election

      The NDP’s flashy new ads, portraying Jagmeet Singh as a fighter, seem to be borne of an alternate universe. The...

      Poilievre must pivot from his apple munching ways

      Poilievre must pivot from his apple munching ways

      Pierre Poilievre often stresses that the Liberals are seeking a fourth consecutive term, implying that four is simply too many...

      A strategy focused on winning, not pleasing political pundits

      A strategy focused on winning, not pleasing political pundits

      For the past several weeks, many of the nation’s top political pundits have struggled to make sense of the response...

      Carney’s theft of Poilievre’s platform has turned into a farce

      Carney’s theft of Poilievre’s platform has turned into a farce

      If Mark Carney and the Liberals are best equipped to take on U.S. President Donald Trump in a tariff war...

      All of a sudden, nothing seems to be going Pierre Poilievre’s way. Not even attacking his opponent

      All of a sudden, nothing seems to be going Pierre Poilievre’s way. Not even attacking his opponent

      On Thursday, Pierre Poilievre announced a plan for “shovel-ready zones” across the country to accelerate development projects. Apparently, in these...

      Barring another crisis upset, the ballot question of our next federal election is set. And it’s advantage, Carney

      Barring another crisis upset, the ballot question of our next federal election is set. And it’s advantage, Carney

      Most analysis of elections includes some discussion of the so-called “ballot question” — namely, the question the various political parties...

      Carney is the nerd Canada needs right now

      Carney is the nerd Canada needs right now

      It’s unsurprising to me that the Liberals have overtaken the Conservatives in the latest polls, overturning a deficit that stretched...

      Not Flying the Unfriendly Skies: The Media-Free Conservative Campaign Tour

      Not Flying the Unfriendly Skies: The Media-Free Conservative Campaign Tour

      With an election call expected this Sunday, the Conservatives have devised a way they hope will increase Pierre Poilievre’s chances...

      Trump, the Dark Lord of Canada’s looming election, hands Poilievre an apparent gift

      Trump, the Dark Lord of Canada’s looming election, hands Poilievre an apparent gift

      As the campaign buses rev up for a federal election call this weekend, Donald Trump handed Pierre Poilievre a nice...

      Naheed Nenshi needs to get his elbows up

      Naheed Nenshi needs to get his elbows up

      Naheed Nenshi isn’t used to asking for the spotlight. The Alberta NDP leader's unique brand of politics — politics in...

      We take our energy security for granted. Our adversaries do not.
      Don’t get snippy. It’s a bad look whether you’re Mark Carney or Pierre Poilievre

      Don’t get snippy. It’s a bad look whether you’re Mark Carney or Pierre Poilievre

      The two leading contenders to be Canada’s next prime minister are not vying to get that job on the basis...

      The economic question at the heart of this election

      The economic question at the heart of this election

      This Canadian election is about a lot of things. It’s about trade and tariffs and threats and sovereignty. It’s about...

      Alberta premier faces backlash for asking America to pause tariffs until after election

      Alberta premier faces backlash for asking America to pause tariffs until after election

      Alberta Premier Danielle Smith is facing criticism over comments made earlier in March during an interview with an American right-wing...

      And they're off! Where things stand as the race begins.

      And they're off! Where things stand as the race begins.

      Earlier today, Prime Minister Mark Carney met the governor general and dissolved the 44th Parliament, setting April 28 as the...

      How a two-week-old interview by Danielle Smith drove day one of the election campaign

      How a two-week-old interview by Danielle Smith drove day one of the election campaign

      For Pierre Poilievre, who would rather focus his comments on the record of the Liberal government, it was an unwelcome...



      Fish harvesters protest in St. John's ahead of Carney's 1st campaign rally

      Fish harvesters protest in St. John's ahead of Carney's 1st campaign rally

      Newfoundland and Labrador's fish harvesters quickly rallied on Sunday afternoon following cuts to the snow crab fishery and what they...

      Edmonton mayor to run in 2025 federal election, Liberals say

      Edmonton mayor to run in 2025 federal election, Liberals say

      Edmonton Mayor Amarjeet Sohi will be running for the Liberal Party of Canada in the federal election, which was called...

      ‘Let’s just put things on pause': Alberta premier under fire for Breitbart interview

      ‘Let’s just put things on pause': Alberta premier under fire for Breitbart interview

      Alberta Premier Danielle Smith is under fire for an interview she did Mar. 8 with Breitbart in the U.S. over...

      Federal election kicks off on patriotic note, as Canadians head to polls on April 28

      Federal election kicks off on patriotic note, as Canadians head to polls on April 28

      Canada's 45th general election got underway Sunday, with the leaders vying to become Canada's next prime minister each positioning themselves...

      Mike Myers backs Mark Carney with 'elbows up' ad aimed at Trump

      Mike Myers backs Mark Carney with 'elbows up' ad aimed at Trump

      Mike Myers is throwing his support behind Prime Minister Mark Carney with a new ad aimed to tug at the...

      Alberta Premier Danielle Smith asked US administration to "put things on pause" to help Poilievre get elected as PM

      Alberta Premier Danielle Smith asked US administration to "put things on pause" to help Poilievre get elected as PM

      Here's the audio excerpt (Q&A) with Premier Danielle Smith on Breitbart confirming she asked the U.S. adminstration to "put things...

      Will Doug Ford join the federal campaign? Trump's trade war may pull him into the fight

      Will Doug Ford join the federal campaign? Trump's trade war may pull him into the fight

      Fresh off his third straight election win, Ontario Premier Doug Ford seems content to watch the fight to form the...

      As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

      As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

      Our latest survey, completed between March 17 and 20 among 1,500 eligible voters, offers a detailed picture of the political...

      Mark Carney to kick off federal Liberal campaign from St. John's today

      Mark Carney to kick off federal Liberal campaign from St. John's today

      St. John's will be Mark Carney's first stop today, after the federal election begins. The Prime Minister's Office confirmed to...

      The federal election campaign is expected to kick off today. Here's what you need to know

      The federal election campaign is expected to kick off today. Here's what you need to know

      The table is set for a consequential and close federal election this spring, which is largely expected to focus on...

      Mark Carney to run for seat in Ottawa's Nepean riding

        Mark Carney to run for seat in Ottawa's Nepean riding

        Previously held by Liberal MP Chandra Arya, it borders riding where Poilievre is seeking re-election. Prime Minister Mark Carney will...

        ‘To fundamentally destroy Canada as a country’: Why Canadians must brace for U.S. interference in the upcoming federal election

        ‘To fundamentally destroy Canada as a country’: Why Canadians must brace for U.S. interference in the upcoming federal election

        Whatever he is doing — whether it be on impulse or a game of “5D chess” — U.S. President Donald...

        Canada's Election Hinges on Who Can Fix an Economy Under US Threat

        Canada's Election Hinges on Who Can Fix an Economy Under US Threat

        Prime Minister Mark Carney is expected to plunge Canada into an election campaign on Sunday, as US President Donald Trump’s...

        Election day will be April 28 as Carney poised to launch spring election

        Election day will be April 28 as Carney poised to launch spring election

        Canadians will head to the polls on April 28. A Liberal source with knowledge of the plan confirmed that Prime...

        Just hours left before PM Carney is expected to trigger a federal election

          Just hours left before PM Carney is expected to trigger a federal election

          With just hours left to go before a widely expected election call, the main political parties are gearing up as...

          Liberals to expand eligibility for dental care program on eve of expected election

          Liberals to expand eligibility for dental care program on eve of expected election

          The federal government announced expanded access to its dental care program on Saturday, a day before a federal election is...

          Read an excerpt from Ripper: The Making of Pierre Poilievre

          Read an excerpt from Ripper: The Making of Pierre Poilievre

          Pierre Poilievre has better political instincts than the journalists and politics watchers who generate conventional wisdom. He understood Carleton’s past...

          Mark Carney claps back at Donald Trump’s claim he changed Canada’s political landscape

          Mark Carney claps back at Donald Trump’s claim he changed Canada’s political landscape

          Canadians will decide their next government, Carney said at a Friday news conference, adding any trade talks will only come...

          How Trump uses disinformation in his trade war with Canada

          How Trump uses disinformation in his trade war with Canada

          "Nobody knows that Canada is charging our dairy farmers," U.S. President Donald Trump complained Friday in the Oval Office. "They...

          Political polls are hitting overdrive. Here's a quick guide to understanding them

          Political polls are hitting overdrive. Here's a quick guide to understanding them

          On Sunday, Prime Minister Mark Carney is expected to ask the Governor General to dissolve Parliament and call a federal...

          Carney keeping emissions cap on oil and gas, but focusing on investing in green tech

          Carney keeping emissions cap on oil and gas, but focusing on investing in green tech

          Prime Minister Mark Carney confirmed Friday that his government would keep the emissions cap on oil and gas production in...

          Politician's Pen

          More View More
          The State of Service Report

          The State of Service Report

          Our government created the Citizens’ Services portfolio in 2023 to champion service delivery excellence and to improve government efficiency. This...

          Why we shouldn’t boo the American anthem

          Why we shouldn’t boo the American anthem

          It’s understandable that Canadians are angry. With the return of Donald Trump to the White House, the United States has...


          Second lady Usha Vance will visit Greenland as Trump talks up US takeover

          Second lady Usha Vance will visit Greenland as Trump talks up US takeover

          WASHINGTON (AP) -- Second lady Usha Vance plans a trip to Greenland, the self-governing, mineral-rich territory of American ally Denmark...

          Schumer says he won't step down as Senate Democratic leader despite government funding uproar

          Schumer says he won't step down as Senate Democratic leader despite government funding uproar

          WASHINGTON (AP) -- Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer says he won't resign his post, despite pressure from some in his...

          Legal experts say Trump official broke law by saying 'Buy Tesla' stock but don't expect a crackdown

          Legal experts say Trump official broke law by saying 'Buy Tesla' stock but don't expect a crackdown

          NEW YORK (AP) -- When a White House adviser in the first Trump administration told TV viewers to "Go buy...

          Trump acknowledges concerns over Musk's business interests and says he shouldn't get war plans

          Trump acknowledges concerns over Musk's business interests and says he shouldn't get war plans

          WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Donald Trump said Friday that war plans should not be shared with his adviser Elon Musk...

          International

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          This section is sponsored by Canada's Motion Picture Industry.
          Weekslong lockups of European tourists at US borders spark fears of traveling to America

          Weekslong lockups of European tourists at US borders spark fears of traveling to America

          SAN DIEGO (AP) -- Lennon Tyler and her German fiance often took road trips to Mexico when he vacationed in...

          White House says Trump, Putin will seek limited ceasefire on energy, infrastructure in Ukraine war

            White House says Trump, Putin will seek limited ceasefire on energy, infrastructure in Ukraine war

            U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed during a lengthy call Tuesday to seek a limited ceasefire...

            'Danish Viking blood is boiling.' Danes boycott US goods with fervor as others in Europe do so too

            'Danish Viking blood is boiling.' Danes boycott US goods with fervor as others in Europe do so too

            Ivan Hansen, a retired Danish police officer, loaded up his basket at the supermarket, carefully checking each product to avoid...

            Trump and Putin will speak this week on Russia-Ukraine war, US envoy says

            Trump and Putin will speak this week on Russia-Ukraine war, US envoy says

            WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. (AP) -- President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin are expected to speak this week...

            Trump orders strikes on Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen and issues new warning

            Trump orders strikes on Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen and issues new warning

            WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. (AP) -- President Donald Trump said he ordered a series of airstrikes on Yemen's capital, Sanaa...

            Think Tank

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            How Escalating U.S.-China Competition Over Critical Minerals Impacts Canada

            How Escalating U.S.-China Competition Over Critical Minerals Impacts Canada

            Over the last five years, competition over critical minerals has become a focal point of great-power rivalry — particularly between...

            Removing internal trade barriers would help mitigate damage from Trump tariffs

            Substacks

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            A collection of SubStack publishing within Canadian public affairs.

            How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part I

            How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part I

            Vladimir Putin’s Kremlin and Donald Trump’s White House have shown how political leaders who bond with billionaires can be toxic...

            Tariffs, taxes, and takeover bids: Welcome to Election 2025

            Tariffs, taxes, and takeover bids: Welcome to Election 2025

            Canada’s 45th general election is upon us, and it’s shaping up to be the nastiest we have ever seen. Already...

            Canada Proud should be ashamed

            Canada Proud should be ashamed

            Canada Proud, the right-wing provocateurs and third-party advertising group closely aligned with Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre, are not exactly renowned...

            Podcasts

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            The ‘trade war’ election campaign is under way

              The ‘trade war’ election campaign is under way

              At midday on Sunday, Prime Minister Mark Carney asked Governor-General Mary Simon to dissolve Parliament and begin an election campaign...

              An election in a polluted media environment

                An election in a polluted media environment

                With trust in journalism eroding, disinformation — once fringe — is now mainstream. Much of it is spreading on social...

                Election Snap! Here's Exactly Who You Should Vote For

                  Election Snap! Here's Exactly Who You Should Vote For

                  It’s possible that this will be the most consequential vote you’ll ever cast. With our sovereignty, our nation, our very...

                  It's campaign time! Here's everything you need to know

                    It's campaign time! Here's everything you need to know

                    We’ve waited a long time for this. On Sunday, Prime Minister Mark Carney is expected to ask the Governor General...