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Ousted Liberal MP Chandra Arya barred from running under party’s banner over alleged ties to India

Ousted Liberal MP Chandra Arya barred from running under party’s banner over alleged ties to India

The Liberal Party revoked MP Chandra Arya’s bid to run for the party leadership and his nomination in his own Ottawa riding over alleged foreign-interference concerns involving India, according to a source with top-secret clearance. Mr. Arya took a trip to India last August and met Prime Minister Narendra Modi. The source said Mr. Arya had not informed the government...

Carney's green funds at Brookfield used Bermuda tax haven to attract investors

Carney's green funds at Brookfield used Bermuda tax haven to attract investors

Liberal Party refuses to answer questions about leader's time in private sector. In his time at Brookfield Asset Management, Liberal...

Stretch between potential April 2 U.S. tariffs and voting day will be ‘critical’ to the election outcome, say political players

Stretch between potential April 2 U.S. tariffs and voting day will be ‘critical’ to the election outcome, say political players

Seizing the momentum amid the United States’ trade war with Canada, Prime Minister Mark Carney has called an early election—a...

Has the rise of Carney's Liberals sunk this upstart centrist party?

Has the rise of Carney's Liberals sunk this upstart centrist party?

The Canadian Future Party bills itself as a place for voters disillusioned by Liberals and Conservatives. Dominic Cardy, leader of...

SMT -- Opening Impressions -- Danielle Smith, French Debates, Crowd Size, Tom Mulcair

SMT -- Opening Impressions -- Danielle Smith, French Debates, Crowd Size, Tom Mulcair

It's only been forty eight hours and opening impressions rarely last long, but what about these? How damaging was Danielle...

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How an emerging precarity mindset is impact public opinion and the Canadian election

How an emerging precarity mindset is impact public opinion and the Canadian election

We’re at a turning point in Canadian public opinion: once defined by a scarcity mindset—where rising housing costs, healthcare strains...

Carney Boosts Liberals as Canadian Federal Campaign Begins

Carney Boosts Liberals as Canadian Federal Campaign Begins

Support for the governing Liberal Party has significantly increased since Mark Carney was selected as its leader, a new Research...



ElectionWatch 2025

Polling Trendlines

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Latest Results

How an emerging precarity mindset is impact public opinion and the Canadian election

How an emerging precarity mindset is impact public opinion and the Canadian election

We’re at a turning point in Canadian public opinion: once defined by a scarcity mindset—where rising housing costs, healthcare strains...

Liberals hold six-point lead over Conservatives: Leger poll

Liberals hold six-point lead over Conservatives: Leger poll

The federal Liberals are pushing further ahead of the Conservatives in voter support, and almost one in two Canadians surveyed...

Polls show Carney’s Liberals have widened their lead over Poilievre’s Tories since election call

Polls show Carney’s Liberals have widened their lead over Poilievre’s Tories since election call

Voters in Ontario and Quebec are propelling Mark Carney’s Liberals deep into majority government territory, polls suggest. The Star’s election...

Seat Projections

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Election News

Stretch between potential April 2 U.S. tariffs and voting day will be ‘critical’ to the election outcome, say political players

Stretch between potential April 2 U.S. tariffs and voting day will be ‘critical’ to the election outcome, say political players

Seizing the momentum amid the United States’ trade war with Canada, Prime Minister Mark Carney has called an early election—a...

Ousted Liberal MP Chandra Arya barred from running under party’s banner over alleged ties to India

Ousted Liberal MP Chandra Arya barred from running under party’s banner over alleged ties to India

The Liberal Party revoked MP Chandra Arya’s bid to run for the party leadership and his nomination in his own...

Liberals and Conservatives taking their federal election campaigns to Quebec

    Liberals and Conservatives taking their federal election campaigns to Quebec

    Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre and Liberal Leader Mark Carney are shifting their campaigns to Quebec. Poilievre, who held a rally...

    Has the rise of Carney's Liberals sunk this upstart centrist party?

    Has the rise of Carney's Liberals sunk this upstart centrist party?

    The Canadian Future Party bills itself as a place for voters disillusioned by Liberals and Conservatives. Dominic Cardy, leader of...

    Carney's green funds at Brookfield used Bermuda tax haven to attract investors

    Carney's green funds at Brookfield used Bermuda tax haven to attract investors

    Liberal Party refuses to answer questions about leader's time in private sector. In his time at Brookfield Asset Management, Liberal...

    Carney apologizes to Montreal massacre survivor running for Liberals after getting name and school wrong

    Carney apologizes to Montreal massacre survivor running for Liberals after getting name and school wrong

    Liberal Leader Mark Carney named the wrong university as the site of the 1989 Montreal massacre on Tuesday — and...

    Campaign Analysis

    The NDP is dithering on the fringes of survival

    The NDP is dithering on the fringes of survival

    The NDP has a love affair with losing. Although the Conservatives are fumbling the bag, the New Democrats have no...

    SMT -- Opening Impressions -- Danielle Smith, French Debates, Crowd Size, Tom Mulcair

    SMT -- Opening Impressions -- Danielle Smith, French Debates, Crowd Size, Tom Mulcair

    It's only been forty eight hours and opening impressions rarely last long, but what about these? How damaging was Danielle...

    U.S. provides a warning to Canada: When you elect a clown, you get a circus

    U.S. provides a warning to Canada: When you elect a clown, you get a circus

    First, former United States President Joe Biden was too sleepy. Granted, he is old, but he got rid of student...

    When Danielle Smith tried explaining Poilievre to Americans, Canadians heard it too

    When Danielle Smith tried explaining Poilievre to Americans, Canadians heard it too

    Premier saying Conservative leader 'in sync' with Trump rattles both federal and provincial politics. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith came into...

    Cynical opportunists or dutiful Canadians? For Liberals MPs who changed their minds about running again, maybe a bit of both

    Cynical opportunists or dutiful Canadians? For Liberals MPs who changed their minds about running again, maybe a bit of both

    It’s a hard line to straddle. Are the Liberal MPs who announced they were heading for the exits when the...

    Globe's India story smears Poilievre with Carney talking points

    Globe's India story smears Poilievre with Carney talking points

    Well, there goes the Globe and Mail. One of the few news outlets in the country that hadn’t been entirely...

    Policy Announcements

    Mark Carney promises new submarines, more icebreakers, pay-raises for Armed Forces
    Poilievre To Axe GST On New Homes Under $1.3 Million

      Poilievre To Axe GST On New Homes Under $1.3 Million

      Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced today that he will axe the federal sales tax (GST) on new homes up to...

      Carney Proposes Raises for Canada Military to Bolster Recruitment

      Carney Proposes Raises for Canada Military to Bolster Recruitment

      Prime Minister Mark Carney said his government would give raises to the armed forces, speed up the acquisition of military...

      Maxime Bernier says PPC would cut foreign aid to shrink government spending

      Maxime Bernier says PPC would cut foreign aid to shrink government spending

      Maxime Bernier and the People's Party of Canada launched their official campaign from Saint-Georges, Que., on Monday, focused on slashing...

      Poilievre Will Axe The Tolls For Islanders

        Poilievre Will Axe The Tolls For Islanders

        Conservative Deputy Leader Melissa Lantsman announced today that a Conservative government led by Pierre Poilievre will scrap the tolls on...

        The NDP will unlock public land to build more homes people can afford

          The NDP will unlock public land to build more homes people can afford

          Canada needs 6 million new homes. Today Jagmeet Singh unveiled the first step in the NDP plan to use every...



          The NDP is dithering on the fringes of survival

          The NDP is dithering on the fringes of survival

          The NDP has a love affair with losing. Although the Conservatives are fumbling the bag, the New Democrats have no...

          U.S. provides a warning to Canada: When you elect a clown, you get a circus

          U.S. provides a warning to Canada: When you elect a clown, you get a circus

          First, former United States President Joe Biden was too sleepy. Granted, he is old, but he got rid of student...

          When Danielle Smith tried explaining Poilievre to Americans, Canadians heard it too

          When Danielle Smith tried explaining Poilievre to Americans, Canadians heard it too

          Premier saying Conservative leader 'in sync' with Trump rattles both federal and provincial politics. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith came into...

          Cynical opportunists or dutiful Canadians? For Liberals MPs who changed their minds about running again, maybe a bit of both

          Cynical opportunists or dutiful Canadians? For Liberals MPs who changed their minds about running again, maybe a bit of both

          It’s a hard line to straddle. Are the Liberal MPs who announced they were heading for the exits when the...

          Globe's India story smears Poilievre with Carney talking points

          Globe's India story smears Poilievre with Carney talking points

          Well, there goes the Globe and Mail. One of the few news outlets in the country that hadn’t been entirely...

          Mark Carney embraces the power of positive campaigning
          Someone in Carney’s campaign made a bad call in pulling out of the TVA French debate

          Someone in Carney’s campaign made a bad call in pulling out of the TVA French debate

          After taking part in many leaders’ debates during the 2015 federal election campaign, I may be in a unique position...

          Thanks to Danielle Smith, Alberta may trump Trump as the big ballot box question

          Thanks to Danielle Smith, Alberta may trump Trump as the big ballot box question

          Mere hours after finalizing his plan to run an election campaign focused on protecting Canada from U.S. President Donald Trump’s...

          Trump Is the Ballot Question—  But Do We Really Understand What’s at Stake?
          Election is now the Liberals' to lose

          Election is now the Liberals' to lose

          The 45th Canadian federal election is the Liberals’ to lose. That’s not a line anyone would have written two months...



          Why this election might be hard to predict

          Why this election might be hard to predict

          In the lead-up to most elections, pollsters and pundits usually have a good idea of what is most likely to...

          Pierre Poilievre’s advantage is slipping rapidly away. So he’s trying something he’s never done before

          Pierre Poilievre’s advantage is slipping rapidly away. So he’s trying something he’s never done before

          Who is that smiling man? Who is that affable fellow with the big grin and the adorable family, the one...

          Danielle Smith's election help isn't helping

          Danielle Smith's election help isn't helping

          Pierre Poilievre must wake up in the morning and wonder what it will take to get Alberta Premier Danielle Smith...

          Can't understand uproar over Smith's early March interview on Breitbart

          Can't understand uproar over Smith's early March interview on Breitbart

          Smith has continued to pursue a diplomatic course with the Trump administration, quietly building contacts that might influence the U.S...

          Charging politicians for news coverage could set a dangerous precedent

          Charging politicians for news coverage could set a dangerous precedent

          Should a political party pay for news coverage? That’s the bizarre question that was put to the party leaders by...

          For Doug Ford, Mark Carney will always be a better partner than Pierre Poilievre

          For Doug Ford, Mark Carney will always be a better partner than Pierre Poilievre

          It’s democratic déjà vu all over again. For the second time this year, Ontario voters are picking a homegrown leader...

          Conservatives look like they're being outfoxed by Carney

          Conservatives look like they're being outfoxed by Carney

          Instead of a smooth launch to get the campaign rolling, Conservatives found themselves hurtling backwards at pace

          Did Danielle Smith lobby the U.S. to help Pierre Poilievre? Sure looks like it
          Mark Carney is offering voters the other guy’s ideas, without the other guy

          Mark Carney is offering voters the other guy’s ideas, without the other guy

          If the last near-decade has proven any adage true, it’s that the Liberals are terrible at governing, but exceptional at...

          Smith's cosy ties in U.S. wrecked Poilievre campaign opening

          Smith's cosy ties in U.S. wrecked Poilievre campaign opening

          If Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives have one goal today, it should be to get Danielle Smith to stay home and shut...

          Trump’s threat to Canada means this election must be a choice between the Liberals and Conservatives

          Trump’s threat to Canada means this election must be a choice between the Liberals and Conservatives

          With the campaign officially started, Canadians are about to experience something more akin to what we see south of the...

          Another Election About Trade and Sovereignty, but Not Quite Déja Vu

          Another Election About Trade and Sovereignty, but Not Quite Déja Vu

          After months of prime ministerial departure and succession drama, of bilateral chaos, avoidable economic uncertainty, and a spit-take reversal in...

          Poilievre Finally Gets the Election He’s Been Dying For. But Is It Too Late?

          Poilievre Finally Gets the Election He’s Been Dying For. But Is It Too Late?

          The “Canada Is Broken” candidate faces a changed national mood. RICHARD LIVES in a pup tent in downtown Ottawa, next...

          Danielle Smith’s Trump talk threatens Pierre Poilievre’s chances to win

          Danielle Smith’s Trump talk threatens Pierre Poilievre’s chances to win

          Pierre Poilievre has a problem, and her name is Danielle Smith. The Alberta premier has become a thorn in the...

          For Danielle Smith, a Liberal win is just as scary as Trump’s tariffs

          For Danielle Smith, a Liberal win is just as scary as Trump’s tariffs

          So much for Team Canada. Mark Carney may want all the premiers united behind him, but Alberta’s Danielle Smith has...

          Poilievre and Carney agree on one thing: This federal election is about change
          April could be the cruelest month for Poilievre

          April could be the cruelest month for Poilievre

          Fading Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre should read a little T.S. Eliot. April could indeed be the cruelest month for the...

          Liberals and Conservatives taking their federal election campaigns to Quebec

            Liberals and Conservatives taking their federal election campaigns to Quebec

            Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre and Liberal Leader Mark Carney are shifting their campaigns to Quebec. Poilievre, who held a rally...

            Donald Trump may impose escalating tariff levels, and Canada could be on the lower end: Sources

            Donald Trump may impose escalating tariff levels, and Canada could be on the lower end: Sources

            Canada could be on the lower end of U.S. President Donald Trump’s threatened global tariffs next week, the Star has...

            Carney apologizes to Montreal massacre survivor running for Liberals after getting name and school wrong

            Carney apologizes to Montreal massacre survivor running for Liberals after getting name and school wrong

            Liberal Leader Mark Carney named the wrong university as the site of the 1989 Montreal massacre on Tuesday — and...

            Poilievre says he won leadership ‘fair and square’ despite allegations of India’s meddling

            Poilievre says he won leadership ‘fair and square’ despite allegations of India’s meddling

            National security leaks are rare in Canada. They’re even more rare during fraught election campaigns. So the allegations, delivered by...



            CSIS alleges India organized support for Poilievre’s 2022 Conservative leadership bid

            CSIS alleges India organized support for Poilievre’s 2022 Conservative leadership bid

            Agents of India and their proxies allegedly meddled in the 2022 election of Pierre Poilievre as Conservative Party Leader as...

            Canada freezes Tesla’s $43-million rebate payments, bars it from future rebates because of tariffs

            Canada freezes Tesla’s $43-million rebate payments, bars it from future rebates because of tariffs

            Canada has frozen $43 million in payments to Tesla pending a line-by-line investigation into its last-minute surge in EV rebate...

            Amid calls to cancel, Alberta's Smith stands by plan to go to U.S. fundraiser

            Amid calls to cancel, Alberta's Smith stands by plan to go to U.S. fundraiser

            Alberta Premier Danielle Smith is defending her plan to fly to Florida to appear at an event alongside a far-right...

            Liberal MP Sean Fraser changes mind, will seek re-election

            Liberal MP Sean Fraser changes mind, will seek re-election

            Liberal MP and former cabinet minister Sean Fraser is cancelling his plans to retire from politics and will announce today...

            Beijing's envoy calls for more trade with Canada as U.S. trade war continues

            Beijing's envoy calls for more trade with Canada as U.S. trade war continues

            Beijing's ambassador to Canada says China is interested in stepping up trade with Ottawa as the U.S. continues to pursue...

            Carney’s ‘decisive’ first week as prime minister may determine if he gets to stay post-election, say strategists

            Carney’s ‘decisive’ first week as prime minister may determine if he gets to stay post-election, say strategists

            Mark Carney's first nine days as prime minister were jam-packed, but he can't keep coasting on the quick and easy...

            Carney says export taxes an option in trade war and he wants serious talks with Trump, ‘not theatre’

            Carney says export taxes an option in trade war and he wants serious talks with Trump, ‘not theatre’

            Prime Minister Mark Carney says export taxes on shipments remain an option for retaliation in an escalating Canada-U.S. trade war...

            Mark Carney promises new submarines, more icebreakers, pay-raises for Armed Forces
            Toronto councillor Jennifer McKelvie to run for federal Liberals in Ajax

              Toronto councillor Jennifer McKelvie to run for federal Liberals in Ajax

              Toronto city councillor Jennifer McKelvie is running as the federal Liberal candidate in Ajax.

              Liberals hold six-point lead over Conservatives: Leger poll

              Liberals hold six-point lead over Conservatives: Leger poll

              The federal Liberals are pushing further ahead of the Conservatives in voter support, and almost one in two Canadians surveyed...

              Polls show Carney’s Liberals have widened their lead over Poilievre’s Tories since election call

              Polls show Carney’s Liberals have widened their lead over Poilievre’s Tories since election call

              Voters in Ontario and Quebec are propelling Mark Carney’s Liberals deep into majority government territory, polls suggest. The Star’s election...

              Trump Is the Ballot Question— But Do We Really Understand What’s at Stake?

              Trump Is the Ballot Question— But Do We Really Understand What’s at Stake?

              Everyone seems agreed that the ballot question in this election is which leader can best deal with Trump. But that’s...

              Carney slams Poilievre's 'irresponsible' lack of security clearance after reports India meddled in leadership

              Carney slams Poilievre's 'irresponsible' lack of security clearance after reports India meddled in leadership

              Conservative leader has long rejected calls to go through the process, claiming it would muzzle him. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre's...

              Carney Proposes Raises for Canada Military to Bolster Recruitment

              Carney Proposes Raises for Canada Military to Bolster Recruitment

              Prime Minister Mark Carney said his government would give raises to the armed forces, speed up the acquisition of military...

              Poilievre faces ‘balancing act’ between Conservative MAGA support and anti-Trump Canadian sentiment: ‘they’re definitely not going to do interviews talking about why they like Donald Trump’

              Poilievre faces ‘balancing act’ between Conservative MAGA support and anti-Trump Canadian sentiment: ‘they’re definitely not going to do interviews talking about why they like Donald Trump’

              A Conservative source told The Hill Times that 'at least 75 per cent' of Conservative MPs, most from Western Canada...

              Premiers’ Performance: The Trump bump? Most provincial leaders see approval rise amid U.S. threats

                Premiers’ Performance: The Trump bump? Most provincial leaders see approval rise amid U.S. threats

                Trade war with the U.S. has caused not only federal political upheaval, but provincial turmoil as well. That is perhaps...

                Carney declines French TVA debate, but official debates are on for April 16 and 17 in Montreal

                Carney declines French TVA debate, but official debates are on for April 16 and 17 in Montreal

                Liberal Leader Mark Carney has declined to participate in a French-language debate with the other federal party leaders on TVA...

                Canada studies how to join Ukraine peacekeeping force — including end to training mission in country

                Canada studies how to join Ukraine peacekeeping force — including end to training mission in country

                Detailed planning​ for a potential "coalition of the willing" peacekeeping mission to Ukraine is expected to kick off this week...

                New riding map gives Tories slight boost compared to 2021 election

                New riding map gives Tories slight boost compared to 2021 election

                The Conservatives could have won seven extra seats if the 2021 election had been contested using the 2025 electoral boundaries...

                Liberal lead over CPC increases to eight points, but is Carney’s house of dreams built on concrete or sand?

                  Liberal lead over CPC increases to eight points, but is Carney’s house of dreams built on concrete or sand?

                  As party leaders travel across the country on the campaign hustings, the Liberal plane appears to have more lift than...

                  Poilievre says Alberta premier ‘free’ to make interventions in Trump’s trade war

                  Poilievre says Alberta premier ‘free’ to make interventions in Trump’s trade war

                  Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre says Danielle Smith is “free” to express her opinions on the U.S.-Canada trade war after the...

                  Politician's Pen

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                  The State of Service Report

                  The State of Service Report

                  Our government created the Citizens’ Services portfolio in 2023 to champion service delivery excellence and to improve government efficiency. This...

                  Why we shouldn’t boo the American anthem

                  Why we shouldn’t boo the American anthem

                  It’s understandable that Canadians are angry. With the return of Donald Trump to the White House, the United States has...


                  Republicans eye actions against the courts and judges as Trump rails against rulings

                  Republicans eye actions against the courts and judges as Trump rails against rulings

                  WASHINGTON (AP) -- Angry over the crush of court rulings against the Trump administration, Republicans in Congress are trying to...

                  Trump downplays national security team texting military operation plan on Signal as a minor 'glitch'

                  Trump downplays national security team texting military operation plan on Signal as a minor 'glitch'

                  WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Donald Trump on Tuesday downplayed the texting of sensitive plans for a military strike against Yemen's...

                  Trump officials texted war plans to a group chat that included a journalist

                  Trump officials texted war plans to a group chat that included a journalist

                  Top national security officials for President Donald Trumptexted war plans for upcoming military strikes in Yemen to a group chat...

                  Trump says countries that buy Venezuelan oil will face 25% tariff

                  Trump says countries that buy Venezuelan oil will face 25% tariff

                  WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Donald Trump said Monday he would be placing a 25% tariff on all imports from any...

                  International

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                  Tesla sales fall by 49% in Europe even as the electric vehicle market grows

                  Tesla sales fall by 49% in Europe even as the electric vehicle market grows

                  FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) -- European sales of Tesla electric vehicles tumbled 49% in the first two months of the year...

                  Weekslong lockups of European tourists at US borders spark fears of traveling to America

                  Weekslong lockups of European tourists at US borders spark fears of traveling to America

                  SAN DIEGO (AP) -- Lennon Tyler and her German fiance often took road trips to Mexico when he vacationed in...

                  White House says Trump, Putin will seek limited ceasefire on energy, infrastructure in Ukraine war

                    White House says Trump, Putin will seek limited ceasefire on energy, infrastructure in Ukraine war

                    U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed during a lengthy call Tuesday to seek a limited ceasefire...

                    'Danish Viking blood is boiling.' Danes boycott US goods with fervor as others in Europe do so too

                    'Danish Viking blood is boiling.' Danes boycott US goods with fervor as others in Europe do so too

                    Ivan Hansen, a retired Danish police officer, loaded up his basket at the supermarket, carefully checking each product to avoid...

                    Trump and Putin will speak this week on Russia-Ukraine war, US envoy says

                    Trump and Putin will speak this week on Russia-Ukraine war, US envoy says

                    WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. (AP) -- President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin are expected to speak this week...

                    Think Tank

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                    Information and Communication Infrastructure Resiliency: Canada’s Invisible Security Risk

                    Information and Communication Infrastructure Resiliency: Canada’s Invisible Security Risk

                    The onslaught of President Donald Trump’s tariffs has pushed economic security to the forefront of the upcoming federal election. The...

                    How Escalating U.S.-China Competition Over Critical Minerals Impacts Canada

                    How Escalating U.S.-China Competition Over Critical Minerals Impacts Canada

                    Over the last five years, competition over critical minerals has become a focal point of great-power rivalry — particularly between...


                    Substacks

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                    A collection of SubStack publishing within Canadian public affairs.

                    How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part II

                    How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part II

                    Peter Larkin launched King’s fund with $25,000 of his own cash, deposited Sept. 22, 1925 at the Old Colony Trust...

                    Day 1 - They're off!

                    Day 1 - They're off!

                    Now that the election is called, time to riff from that part of my bio that says “campaign manager” and...

                    How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part I

                    How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part I

                    Vladimir Putin’s Kremlin and Donald Trump’s White House have shown how political leaders who bond with billionaires can be toxic...

                    Podcasts

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                    To Get Clearance Or Not Get Clearance, That Is The Question.

                      To Get Clearance Or Not Get Clearance, That Is The Question.

                      Day 3 on the campaign trail!

                      Game changer

                        Game changer

                        No time to wait for Stephen Carter. Zain and Corey assemble to talk about Pierre Poilievre's big swing.

                        Is This Anything?

                          Is This Anything?

                          David Herle, Scott Reid, Jordan Leichnitz, and Kory Teneycke provide insights on the latest in Canadian politics.

                          Poilievre Faces Questions Over Alleged Foreign Interference

                            Poilievre Faces Questions Over Alleged Foreign Interference

                            The campaign managers panel, Michele Cadario (Liberal), Jordan Paquet (Conservative) and Cheryl Oates (NDP) talk about the issue of alleged...