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As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

Our latest survey, completed between March 17 and 20 among 1,500 eligible voters, offers a detailed picture of the political landscape on the eve of the 2025 federal election call. The numbers reveal a competitive and fast-evolving race, one that combines the reassembly of old coalitions, erosion in others, and a level of voter interest that outstrips what we saw...

Mark Carney to run for seat in Ottawa's Nepean riding

    Mark Carney to run for seat in Ottawa's Nepean riding

    Previously held by Liberal MP Chandra Arya, it borders riding where Poilievre is seeking re-election. Prime Minister Mark Carney will...

    The federal election campaign is expected to kick off today. Here's what you need to know

    The federal election campaign is expected to kick off today. Here's what you need to know

    The table is set for a consequential and close federal election this spring, which is largely expected to focus on...

    Mark Carney to kick off federal Liberal campaign from St. John's today

    Mark Carney to kick off federal Liberal campaign from St. John's today

    St. John's will be Mark Carney's first stop today, after the federal election begins. The Prime Minister's Office confirmed to...

    ‘To fundamentally destroy Canada as a country’: Why Canadians must brace for U.S. interference in the upcoming federal election

    ‘To fundamentally destroy Canada as a country’: Why Canadians must brace for U.S. interference in the upcoming federal election

    Whatever he is doing — whether it be on impulse or a game of “5D chess” — U.S. President Donald...

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    As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

    As the Election Kicks Off, the Conservatives lead the Liberals by 3 as the NDP sinks further

    Our latest survey, completed between March 17 and 20 among 1,500 eligible voters, offers a detailed picture of the political...

    Three in four Canadians want to increase defense spending to at least two per cent

    Three in four Canadians want to increase defense spending to at least two per cent

    Close to seven in ten Canadians prefer increasing defense spending to reach the current two per cent NATO ally target...



    Poilievre must pivot from his apple munching ways

    Poilievre must pivot from his apple munching ways

    Pierre Poilievre often stresses that the Liberals are seeking a fourth consecutive term, implying that four is simply too many...

    A strategy focused on winning, not pleasing political pundits

    A strategy focused on winning, not pleasing political pundits

    For the past several weeks, many of the nation’s top political pundits have struggled to make sense of the response...

    Canada's Election Hinges on Who Can Fix an Economy Under US Threat

    Canada's Election Hinges on Who Can Fix an Economy Under US Threat

    Prime Minister Mark Carney is expected to plunge Canada into an election campaign on Sunday, as US President Donald Trump’s...

    Election day will be April 28 as Carney poised to launch spring election

    Election day will be April 28 as Carney poised to launch spring election

    Canadians will head to the polls on April 28. A Liberal source with knowledge of the plan confirmed that Prime...

    Politician's Pen

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    The State of Service Report

    The State of Service Report

    Our government created the Citizens’ Services portfolio in 2023 to champion service delivery excellence and to improve government efficiency. This...

    Why we shouldn’t boo the American anthem

    Why we shouldn’t boo the American anthem

    It’s understandable that Canadians are angry. With the return of Donald Trump to the White House, the United States has...



    Opinion (Continued) More View More

    Carney’s theft of Poilievre’s platform has turned into a farce

    Carney’s theft of Poilievre’s platform has turned into a farce

    If Mark Carney and the Liberals are best equipped to take on U.S. President Donald Trump in a tariff war...

    All of a sudden, nothing seems to be going Pierre Poilievre’s way. Not even attacking his opponent

    All of a sudden, nothing seems to be going Pierre Poilievre’s way. Not even attacking his opponent

    On Thursday, Pierre Poilievre announced a plan for “shovel-ready zones” across the country to accelerate development projects. Apparently, in these...

    Barring another crisis upset, the ballot question of our next federal election is set. And it’s advantage, Carney

    Barring another crisis upset, the ballot question of our next federal election is set. And it’s advantage, Carney

    Most analysis of elections includes some discussion of the so-called “ballot question” — namely, the question the various political parties...

    Carney is the nerd Canada needs right now

    Carney is the nerd Canada needs right now

    It’s unsurprising to me that the Liberals have overtaken the Conservatives in the latest polls, overturning a deficit that stretched...

    Not Flying the Unfriendly Skies: The Media-Free Conservative Campaign Tour

    Not Flying the Unfriendly Skies: The Media-Free Conservative Campaign Tour

    With an election call expected this Sunday, the Conservatives have devised a way they hope will increase Pierre Poilievre’s chances...

    Trump, the Dark Lord of Canada’s looming election, hands Poilievre an apparent gift

    Trump, the Dark Lord of Canada’s looming election, hands Poilievre an apparent gift

    As the campaign buses rev up for a federal election call this weekend, Donald Trump handed Pierre Poilievre a nice...

    We take our energy security for granted. Our adversaries do not.
    Naheed Nenshi needs to get his elbows up

    Naheed Nenshi needs to get his elbows up

    Naheed Nenshi isn’t used to asking for the spotlight. The Alberta NDP leader's unique brand of politics — politics in...

    Don’t get snippy. It’s a bad look whether you’re Mark Carney or Pierre Poilievre

    Don’t get snippy. It’s a bad look whether you’re Mark Carney or Pierre Poilievre

    The two leading contenders to be Canada’s next prime minister are not vying to get that job on the basis...

    A Federal Election is Imminent

    A Federal Election is Imminent

    After months of speculation, a federal election appears imminent. Prime Minister Mark Carney, only recently installed as Liberal leader, is...



    Smith sees a real danger Mark Carney could be worse than Trudeau

    Smith sees a real danger Mark Carney could be worse than Trudeau

    Well, no doubt about it. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith is on the political warpath, with the federal election campaign expected...

    Canada's food system is an international powerhouse that needs to be cultivated in the face of trade war uncertainty

    Canada's food system is an international powerhouse that needs to be cultivated in the face of trade war uncertainty

    From the golden canola fields in the Western provinces to the bustling processing plants in Ontario to the aquaculture industries...

    Pierre Poilievre doesn’t want to be held to the same standard that he holds Liberals to

    Pierre Poilievre doesn’t want to be held to the same standard that he holds Liberals to

    What is Pierre Poilievre afraid of? On Tuesday, Conservative national campaign director Jenni Byrne informed journalists that, in a break...

    Pierre Poilievre can't escape Donald Trump

    Pierre Poilievre can't escape Donald Trump

    Pierre Poilievre knows he has a Donald Trump problem. After spending the last two-plus years imitating Trump’s approach to politics...

    We need a leader who can offer Canadians hope

    We need a leader who can offer Canadians hope

    The next federal election is going to be about more than the tariff threat. In a world gone mad, the...

    It’s no wonder Mark Carney looked at ease in the U.K. Many there have been waiting for their ‘unreliable boyfriend’ to return as PM

    It’s no wonder Mark Carney looked at ease in the U.K. Many there have been waiting for their ‘unreliable boyfriend’ to return as PM

    Canada’s new prime minister was back “home” this week, as Mark Carney made a return to England as part of...

    Carney’s cabinet a step backwards in the dark

    Carney’s cabinet a step backwards in the dark

    This is a historical pattern that rears up when those who were once marginalized gain representation within the white supremacist...

    The ‘Rest of Canada’ should show caution with the rise of Canadian pride in Quebec

    The ‘Rest of Canada’ should show caution with the rise of Canadian pride in Quebec

    “Quebecers are discovering their inner Canadian” according to the Association for Canadian Studies (ASC). Its survey shows that the percentage...

    Pierre Poilievre’s strength is as an attack dog. But he’s growling against the wrong target

    Pierre Poilievre’s strength is as an attack dog. But he’s growling against the wrong target

    A moment of silence, please, for the devastating loss that the Conservative Party of Canada still hasn’t fully recognized –...

    Poilievre vows to kill industrial carbon pricing in ‘desperate’ move against Liberal surge

    Poilievre vows to kill industrial carbon pricing in ‘desperate’ move against Liberal surge

    Conservative Party Leader Pierre Poilievre’s new promise to kill industrial carbon pricing would eliminate the central plank of Canada’s emission-reduction...

    The Poilievre Predicament

    The Poilievre Predicament

    Now that Mark Carney is Prime Minister, federal elections could be triggered very soon. Since Justin Trudeau announced his resignation...

    No, Carney, you're the one who must 'look inside yourself'

    No, Carney, you're the one who must 'look inside yourself'

    Will ethical issues upend the Liberal election campaign? The Conservatives certainly hope so — and they’re getting a hand from...

    Conservatives just can’t quit the carbon tax

    Conservatives just can’t quit the carbon tax

    After years of promising to axe the carbon tax, Conservatives watched in obvious horror as Prime Minister Mark Carney did...

    Donald Trump has launched a cultural revolution, like China’s Mao. Here is how Canada should respond

    Donald Trump has launched a cultural revolution, like China’s Mao. Here is how Canada should respond

    A charismatic leader with a cult following. Governing by slogans. Demonizing opponents. Purging civil servants. A population scarred by inflation...

    Pierre Poilievre wants to axe the tax, even if it is the wrong one

    Pierre Poilievre wants to axe the tax, even if it is the wrong one

    The signs still work. Phew. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre put a lot of work into that “axe the tax” slogan...

    Mark Carney must meet voters and test his legitimacy—now

    Mark Carney must meet voters and test his legitimacy—now

    Prime Minister Mark Carney represents a familiar archetype in the pantheon of Canadian politics, with a sparkling CV that includes...

    We visit Florida every March to watch the Jays at spring training. But Trump changed all that

    We visit Florida every March to watch the Jays at spring training. But Trump changed all that

    About now, I should be leaning over a bullpen railing in Dunedin, Fla., cold beer in hand and pasty legs...

    News (Continued) More View More

    Just hours left before PM Carney is expected to trigger a federal election

      Just hours left before PM Carney is expected to trigger a federal election

      With just hours left to go before a widely expected election call, the main political parties are gearing up as...

      Liberals to expand eligibility for dental care program on eve of expected election

      Liberals to expand eligibility for dental care program on eve of expected election

      The federal government announced expanded access to its dental care program on Saturday, a day before a federal election is...

      Read an excerpt from Ripper: The Making of Pierre Poilievre

      Read an excerpt from Ripper: The Making of Pierre Poilievre

      Pierre Poilievre has better political instincts than the journalists and politics watchers who generate conventional wisdom. He understood Carleton’s past...

      Mark Carney claps back at Donald Trump’s claim he changed Canada’s political landscape

      Mark Carney claps back at Donald Trump’s claim he changed Canada’s political landscape

      Canadians will decide their next government, Carney said at a Friday news conference, adding any trade talks will only come...



      How Trump uses disinformation in his trade war with Canada

      How Trump uses disinformation in his trade war with Canada

      "Nobody knows that Canada is charging our dairy farmers," U.S. President Donald Trump complained Friday in the Oval Office. "They...

      Political polls are hitting overdrive. Here's a quick guide to understanding them

      Political polls are hitting overdrive. Here's a quick guide to understanding them

      On Sunday, Prime Minister Mark Carney is expected to ask the Governor General to dissolve Parliament and call a federal...

      Carney keeping emissions cap on oil and gas, but focusing on investing in green tech

      Carney keeping emissions cap on oil and gas, but focusing on investing in green tech

      Prime Minister Mark Carney confirmed Friday that his government would keep the emissions cap on oil and gas production in...

      Good Talk -- Game On! Carney versus Poilievre is The Main Event

      Good Talk -- Game On! Carney versus Poilievre is The Main Event

      The election will be called this weekend and the country's voters will be determining Canada's future. There could be as...

      Lobby groups urge Saskatchewan to reverse ‘misguided’ U.S. product ban that includes Canadian-brewed beers
      Randy Boissonnault announced he will not run in upcoming election

      Randy Boissonnault announced he will not run in upcoming election

      OTTAWA -- Former cabinet minister Randy Boissonnault says he will not run again in the upcoming election.

      Joe Rogan says Canada shouldn’t be 51st state, calls growing animosity with Canada ‘ridiculous’

      Joe Rogan says Canada shouldn’t be 51st state, calls growing animosity with Canada ‘ridiculous’

      Joe Rogan famously endorsed Donald Trump for U.S. President, but the hugely influential podcaster can’t get behind Trump’s imperialistic desire...

      Carney promises 'free trade by Canada Day' between provinces and territories

      Carney promises 'free trade by Canada Day' between provinces and territories

      Ford says hiking energy tax on U.S. still on the table. Prime Minister Mark Carney says he and Canada's premiers...

      This election, the NDP could be fighting for its own survival

      This election, the NDP could be fighting for its own survival

      Party says it's a 'volatile' time as CBC Poll Tracker shows support under 12%. In a "get ready with me"...

      TVA says federal parties have to pay total of $300K for head-to-head French debate

        TVA says federal parties have to pay total of $300K for head-to-head French debate

        If the four main federal political parties want to take part in the TVA network's head-to-head French-language debate in the...

        Canada buying billboards in U.S. ‘red’ states to drum up opposition to Trump’s tariffs

        Canada buying billboards in U.S. ‘red’ states to drum up opposition to Trump’s tariffs

        Canada will erect a series of “huge billboards” along highways in the U.S. as part of a campaign to sow...

        Poilievre calls Smith’s oilpatch demands ‘reasonable,’ challenges Carney to disclose foreign oil investments

        Poilievre calls Smith’s oilpatch demands ‘reasonable,’ challenges Carney to disclose foreign oil investments

        Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre said Friday that a list of energy-related demands put out by Alberta Premier Danielle Smith was...

        Carney confirms Liberals won't proceed with planned capital gains tax change

        Carney confirms Liberals won't proceed with planned capital gains tax change

        OTTAWA -- Days before he's expected to call a federal election, Prime Minister Mark Carney is confirming he won't move...

        Doug Ford says his ‘absolutely swamped’ MPPs won’t have time to campaign for Pierre Poilievre

        Doug Ford says his ‘absolutely swamped’ MPPs won’t have time to campaign for Pierre Poilievre

        Premier Doug Ford is reminding Progressive Conservative cabinet ministers and MPPs they will be too “swamped” with their day jobs...

        Ford-Carney relationship could provide federal Liberals with crucial boost in Ontario, says Coletto

        Ford-Carney relationship could provide federal Liberals with crucial boost in Ontario, says Coletto

        Ontario Premier Doug Ford’s positive remarks about Prime Minister Mark Carney weaken Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre’s change narrative, says pollster...

        Gun control activist and Polytechnique massacre survivor Nathalie Provost to join Mark Carney’s team: report

          Gun control activist and Polytechnique massacre survivor Nathalie Provost to join Mark Carney’s team: report

          Nathalie Provost, spokesperson for the group PolySeSouvient and survivor of the École Polytechnique massacre, is about to make the leap...

          Poilievre outlines plan to boost apprenticeships, training for trades workers

          Poilievre outlines plan to boost apprenticeships, training for trades workers

          Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced a plan Friday to boost training and employment for workers in the skilled trades. Speaking...

          U.S. authorities closing Canadian access to library that straddles Quebec-Vermont border

          U.S. authorities closing Canadian access to library that straddles Quebec-Vermont border

          A small town in southern Quebec says American authorities have decided to close the Canadian access to an historic library...

          Will Edmonton Mayor Amarjeet Sohi make another run at federal politics?

          Will Edmonton Mayor Amarjeet Sohi make another run at federal politics?

          Could Amarjeet Sohi have his sights set on a return to Ottawa? Rumours abound that Edmonton’s mayor is mulling a...

          China ‘ready to move forward’ in relations with Canada, envoy says

          China ‘ready to move forward’ in relations with Canada, envoy says

          China’s ambassador says his country is open to negotiating a free-trade agreement with Ottawa and co-operating on a research station...

          Discovery of secret list of alleged Nazi war criminals in Canada raises questions about government secrecy

          Discovery of secret list of alleged Nazi war criminals in Canada raises questions about government secrecy

          U.S. researchers have found what they say is a late draft of a secret list of more than 700 suspected...

          Legal experts say Trump official broke law by saying 'Buy Tesla' stock but don't expect a crackdown

          Legal experts say Trump official broke law by saying 'Buy Tesla' stock but don't expect a crackdown

          NEW YORK (AP) -- When a White House adviser in the first Trump administration told TV viewers to "Go buy...

          Trump acknowledges concerns over Musk's business interests and says he shouldn't get war plans

          Trump acknowledges concerns over Musk's business interests and says he shouldn't get war plans

          WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Donald Trump said Friday that war plans should not be shared with his adviser Elon Musk...

          Musk group offers $100 to Wisconsin voters ahead of pivotal state Supreme Court election

          Musk group offers $100 to Wisconsin voters ahead of pivotal state Supreme Court election

          MADISON, Wis. (AP) -- A group funded by billionaire Elon Musk is offering Wisconsin voters $100 to sign a petition...

          Trump will order a plan to shut down the US Education Department

          Trump will order a plan to shut down the US Education Department

          WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Donald Trump plans to sign an executive order Thursday calling for the shutdown of the U.S...

          International

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          Weekslong lockups of European tourists at US borders spark fears of traveling to America

          Weekslong lockups of European tourists at US borders spark fears of traveling to America

          SAN DIEGO (AP) -- Lennon Tyler and her German fiance often took road trips to Mexico when he vacationed in...

          White House says Trump, Putin will seek limited ceasefire on energy, infrastructure in Ukraine war

            White House says Trump, Putin will seek limited ceasefire on energy, infrastructure in Ukraine war

            U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin agreed during a lengthy call Tuesday to seek a limited ceasefire...

            'Danish Viking blood is boiling.' Danes boycott US goods with fervor as others in Europe do so too

            'Danish Viking blood is boiling.' Danes boycott US goods with fervor as others in Europe do so too

            Ivan Hansen, a retired Danish police officer, loaded up his basket at the supermarket, carefully checking each product to avoid...

            Trump and Putin will speak this week on Russia-Ukraine war, US envoy says

            Trump and Putin will speak this week on Russia-Ukraine war, US envoy says

            WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. (AP) -- President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin are expected to speak this week...

            Trump orders strikes on Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen and issues new warning

            Trump orders strikes on Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen and issues new warning

            WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. (AP) -- President Donald Trump said he ordered a series of airstrikes on Yemen's capital, Sanaa...

            Think Tank

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            How Escalating U.S.-China Competition Over Critical Minerals Impacts Canada

            How Escalating U.S.-China Competition Over Critical Minerals Impacts Canada

            Over the last five years, competition over critical minerals has become a focal point of great-power rivalry — particularly between...

            Removing internal trade barriers would help mitigate damage from Trump tariffs

            Substacks

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            A collection of SubStack publishing within Canadian public affairs.

            Canada Proud should be ashamed

            Canada Proud should be ashamed

            Canada Proud, the right-wing provocateurs and third-party advertising group closely aligned with Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre, are not exactly renowned...

            Justin Trudeau was a big talker in the House, that is, when he showed up.

            Justin Trudeau was a big talker in the House, that is, when he showed up.

            A recent analysis highlighted in La Presse reveals a startling aspect of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's oratory style. When assessed...

            The Liberals' “Canada Strong” has the right sentiment, but their opponents might weaken it.

            The Liberals' “Canada Strong” has the right sentiment, but their opponents might weaken it.

            If that's the overarching theme of the campaign, 'Canada Strong' could be a slogan-sized blind spot for the Liberal campaign.

            Podcasts

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            It's campaign time! Here's everything you need to know

              It's campaign time! Here's everything you need to know

              We’ve waited a long time for this. On Sunday, Prime Minister Mark Carney is expected to ask the Governor General...

              ‘No magic math’—Why cutting waste won’t fund election promises

                ‘No magic math’—Why cutting waste won’t fund election promises

                Peter Mazereeuw speaks with Sahir Khan, an expert in government finances at IFSD, about election promises from Mark Carney and...

                The Numbers: The Liberals are...the favourites?

                  The Numbers: The Liberals are...the favourites?

                  A flurry of polls conducted just ahead of Sunday’s expected writ drop show the Liberals in the lead — and...

                  Mark Carney’s first week as prime minister

                    Mark Carney’s first week as prime minister

                    At Issue this week: Mark Carney uses his first week as prime minister to try to strengthen Canada’s ties with...