Ian Froese

As Poilievre targets tax havens, Conservatives rack up big business endorsements

Business community still sees benefits of Conservative government: political scientist.A political scientist says Pierre Poilievre's open resentment toward offshore tax havens and corporate jets likely isn't enough to sever his Conservative Party's relationship with business leaders.That's illustrated with endorsements by more than 30 prominent executives in newspaper advertisements that ran Saturday across the country, Lori Turnbull said.

Raffy Boudjikanian

Carney defends knowledge of Quebec culture, Poilievre insists he's no 'mini-Trump' on Tout le monde en parle

TLMEP regularly attracts large audiences in province that elects nearly a quarter of MPs in Canada. Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre faced the critical glare of the mega-popular Radio-Canada talk show Tout le monde en parle on Sunday in an attempt to woo francophone viewers, with the Liberal leader being pressed on his cultural awareness of the province and his...

Peter Zimonjic

Poilievre says he'll use notwithstanding clause to ensure multiple-murderers die in prison

Conservative leader says 'multiple-murderers should only come out in a box.' Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre says he'll ensure multiple-murderers die in jail by becoming the first Canadian prime minister to override Charter rights by invoking the notwithstanding clause. "Conservatives believe a punishment should be proportionate to the crime. If you kill multiple people you should spend the rest of your...

Abbas Rana

Despite dip in polls, Conservative path to victory remains possible, say political players

The ongoing trade war with the United States and Justin Trudeau’s exit as prime minister have significantly altered the political landscape for Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, but some believe his path to victory lies in a sharp focus on the cost of living and trade tariffs, placing their hopes on the upcoming leaders’ debates—where they expect him to “wipe the...

Liberal operatives planted 'stop the steal' buttons at conservative conference

Liberal Party says campaigners 'regrettably got carried away' with use of buttons. Two Liberal Party staffers attended last week's Canada Strong and Free Networking (CSFN) Conference where they planted buttons that used Trump-style language and highlighted division within the Conservative Party. The conference, often referred to by its former name, the Manning Conference, is an opportunity for conservative-leaning Canadians to...

ElectionWatch 2025

Polling Trendlines

Latest Results

David Valentin

National Tracker: Liberals 44%, Conservatives 38%

A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 44% (-1) to the Conservatives 38% (+1). The rolling survey, conducted from April 11 to April 13, 2025, used interactive voice response technology to...

Nik Nanos

LPC 44.8, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.8, BQ 5.5, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1

The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same...

Canadian Federal Election Daily Tracker Poll, Day 22

The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted from Friday, April 11th to Sunday, April 13th, 2025, among a sample of 1388 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was conducted using text message invite to complete an online survey. The survey is intended to represent the voting population in...

Seat Projections

Canada's Campaign Watchers

Second Wave Analysis (Update):

Dealing with Trump/Tariffs: Two out of three feel Mark Carney (64%) has the best approach for dealing with Donald Trump, while 19% believe Pierre Poilievre does. Most felt that Pierre Poilievre has done well enough (56%) in his response to the US tariff. Read More

Previous Analysis:

Wave 1, Wave 2

Who Our Watchers Are:

Adam Taylor Adrian Jean Alex Maheu Ali Salam Aliya Mohammed Andrew Casey Andrew MacDougall Andy Gibbons Axel Rioux Ben Parsons Brad Lavigne Brendan McGuinty Brian Clow Brianna Ames Bruce Winchester Bruce Anderson Cameron MacKeen Cara Salci Carlene Variyan Caroline Séguin Chad Bowie Chad Walsh Chisholm Pothier Chris Day Chris McCluskey Christine Burke Dan Mader Dave Forestell Dave Prisco David McArthur Dennis Matthews Dennis Prouse Derek Nighbor Dil Puar Dimitri Soudas Don Stickney Elder Marques Elly Alboim Eric Johnson Fraser Macdonald Fred DeLorey Gabe Garfinkel Gabrielle Berard Greg MacNeil Greg MacEachern Hardave Birk Jaime Watt Jamie Kippen Janet Fryday Dorey Jason Kenney Jeremy Broadhurst Jim Anderson Joanne Macrae Jordan Deagle Kate Harrison Kathleen Monk Katie Telford Ken Boessenkool Kevin Bosch Lanny Cardow Laryssa Waler Laura Kurkimaki Laura Pennell Lawrence Cannon Lisa MacLeod Lisa Raitt Marc-Olivier Fortin Marcia Smith Max Dea Megan Leslie Melanie Richer Melissa Cotton Mike Solberg Mollie Anderson Monte Solberg Morgan Swan Nancy Jamieson Patrick Rogers Perry Tsergas Phil Cartwright Rebecca Rogers Richard Mahoney Rick Anderson Rob Silver Roxanna Benoit Ryan Dunn Sabrina Grover Scott Feschuk Scott Reid Sean Speer Sheamus Murphy Stephen Carter Tasha Kheiriddin Tausha Michaud Tim Powers Tyler Banham Vandana Fatima Kattar Will Stewart Yaroslav Baran Zain Velji Zita Astravas

Election News

Peter Zimonjic

Poilievre says he'll use notwithstanding clause to ensure multiple-murderers die in prison

Catherine Kim

What the Polls in Canada Are Really Saying

Conservatives in Canada could be forgiven for celebrating earlier this year. Their nemesis Justin Trudeau announced that he was resigning as prime minister, and polls showed they would romp to victory over the Liberals whenever the election was called.

Erik Hertzberg

An Election Like No Other Promises to Damage Canada's Finances

Canada’s fiscal position is set to worsen as the country’s two leading political parties vie to win an election by promising tax cuts and measures to protect industries from US President Donald Trump’s tariff barrage.

'Unprecedented growth' in Canadian food banks prompts calls for it to be a top federal election issue

Demand for the services of local food banks has never been higher, and Carolyn McLeod-McCarthy of the Guelph Food Bank says she's worried about the impact U.S. tariffs will have on the local economy and workers."We're quite nervous about what that's going to mean for being able to provide food to people in need," McLeod-McCarthy told CBC News.

Abbas Rana

Despite dip in polls, Conservative path to victory remains possible, say political players

Raffy Boudjikanian

Carney defends knowledge of Quebec culture, Poilievre insists he's no 'mini-Trump' on Tout le monde en parle

Campaign Analysis

Bruce Anderson

"The camera is an X-Ray machine for the soul." First impressions and the Poilievre-Carney battle

Much ink has been spilled offering explanations for how the Liberals have replaced a 25 point deficit with a 4 or 5 point advantage – all in a matter of a few months.

Michael Harris

Carney grasps a key point that Poilievre has missed in the trade war

The dramatic collapse in the once insurmountable lead Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre held over the Liberals is the most astonishing reversal of political fortunes I have ever seen. For one thing, it happened in a matter of a few weeks. For the two years before that, the Liberals could barely see Poilievre’s tail lights. He was on cruise control to...

Susan Riley

Poilievre: we’re just not that into him

That was a very short-lived pivot by Pierre Poilievre.Yes, after internal party dissent and at the urging of various Conservative worthies, he now weaves more criticism of Donald Trump into his stump speeches. It doesn’t seem terribly heart-felt, but, to be fair, the opposition leader betrays no hint of admiration for the rampaging U.S. president.

David Coletto

The Resilient Appeal of Mark Carney is One of the Biggest Stories of this Election

I spend a lot of time digging into our Abacus Data polling data, looking at trends, understanding the relationship between variables. Imagine a chef in a kitchen testing out new recipes. That’s me in a dataset, and I love it!

Éric Blais

Carney passes major test facing critical Quebec media

This week’s leaders’ debates began in Quebec — albeit unofficially. The much-anticipated French-language debate is set for Wednesday night — scheduled at the same time as the Montreal Canadiens’ final regular-season game. Unlike in 2011, when the debate was moved up a day to avoid a similar clash, this time the Leaders’ Debates Commission either didn’t have a choice —...

Susan Delacourt

The other leader at this week’s federal election debates: Donald Trump

One of the more searing images of the 2016 U.S. presidential campaign came during the debate when Donald Trump kept lurking behind Hillary Clinton on stage.Clinton, who lost that election, would recall later in her book that she found it “incredibly uncomfortable,” and considered telling Trump: “Back up, you creep.”

Policy Announcements

NDP Plan for Better Health Care: More Nurses, Safer Workplaces, No Cuts or Private Agencies

Today, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh unveiled a national strategy to tackle the nursing shortage by hiring more nurses, improving working conditions, and ending the wasteful use of costly private agencies—because public health care only works when we protect the people who deliver it. “Health care is at the heart of what makes Canada, Canada. But right now, people are waiting...

Mark Carney announces further measures to secure Canadian sovereignty

This election comes at a time of crisis. With President Trump threatening our economy and sovereignty, we need to secure Canada by supporting our businesses and industry here at home, and helping them diversify to new markets. “We will protect our sovereignty in an increasingly dangerous and divided world by rebuilding, reinvesting, and rearming our military,” said Mark Carney, Leader...

Poilievre Will Restore Consecutive Sentences For Mass Murderers

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced today that a new Conservative government will put justice first–For a Change–by giving judges back the power to sentence multiple murderers to consecutive prison sentences without parole eligibility beyond 25 years. “For the worst mass murderers, a life sentence should mean what it says: a sentence for life,” Poilievre said. “These monsters should face the...

NDP Plan for the Northern Ontario: Local Doctors, Affordable Food, Better Roads

Today, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh announced key elements of the NDP’s Northern Ontario platform—focused on fixing health care, lowering grocery prices, investing in infrastructure, and protecting access to French-language services in the North. “For too many people in the North, life is getting harder,” said Singh. “It’s harder to find a doctor, harder to afford groceries, and harder to access...

Mark Carney’s Liberals announce new Canada Strong Pass

With President Trump threatening our economy and sovereignty, Canadians are uniting to find new ways to discover and celebrate our beautiful country. So many Canadians are cutting back vacations to the United States, and instead making memories here at home and showing our Canadian pride. Today, Mark Carney’s Liberals announced a new Canada Strong Pass so kids and young families...

Conservatives Announce Plan to Put Canada’s Veterans First

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced his plan to give Veterans the support they have earned.The plan begins with ensuring Veterans’ benefits are in place before they leave the military and will:

Opinion More

Bruce Anderson

"The camera is an X-Ray machine for the soul." First impressions and the Poilievre-Carney battle

Much ink has been spilled offering explanations for how the Liberals have replaced a 25 point deficit with a 4 or 5 point advantage – all in a matter of a few months.

Michael Harris

Carney grasps a key point that Poilievre has missed in the trade war

Susan Riley

Poilievre: we’re just not that into him

David Coletto

The Resilient Appeal of Mark Carney is One of the Biggest Stories of this Election

Éric Blais

Carney passes major test facing critical Quebec media

Susan Delacourt

The other leader at this week’s federal election debates: Donald Trump

Scott Stinson

Canadians are laser-focused on Trump. After a spotty decade of Liberal government, that suits Carney just fine

Mark Carney must know, from his hockey-playing days, the uncomfortable feeling of nursing a lead while the clock winds down. It always goes slower than you’d like. But instead of watching the minutes and seconds tick by on an arena scoreboard, Carney has two-plus weeks to steer the Liberals toward what, three months ago, would’ve seemed like an unthinkable victory...

Alexandra Ages

Mark Carney’s cabinet sends the wrong message on gender equality

Shortly after being sworn in as Canada’s new prime minister, Mark Carney presented his new cabinet consisting of ministers who kept their jobs, others who were shuffled to a new portfolio and some new faces. Conspicuously absent was the role of minister for women and gender equality and youth.Cutting this ministry is a mistake.

Tasha Kheiriddin

Both Liberals and Conservatives have a Trump problem

It’s been a strange Canadian election campaign, dominated by a politician who isn’t on the ballot, or even a citizen of our country: US President Donald Trump. While initially the Conservatives thought Trump’s win might help them – who would have better relations with Washington, ultra-progressive PM Justin Trudeau or Elon Musk-approved Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre? – that theory quickly...

Robin Baranyai

Liberal Leader Carney is no technocrat - Mark Carney is a political newcomer with a career in crisis management

It’s hard to pin a simple description on Prime Minister Mark Carney, who has devoted much of his career to public service without holding public office, and is now running his first election campaign. One word that seems to be sticking is “technocrat.” With respect to my media colleagues, we should un-stick it. Admittedly, it’s usually a compliment. In the...

Susan Delacourt, Matt Gurney

Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre are ignoring the NDP. Has anyone even noticed?

Matt Gurney: Something the small but mighty team at The Line is doing during the campaign is a fun little feature with a profane name we publish on Fridays. It’s an accountability/fact-check feature. Last week, we noted in it that the parties were more or less behaving and keeping relatively honest. As late as the middle of this week, that...

Luke LeBrun

Pierre Poilievre has dropped multiple candidates. Here are two others who should go

As Donald Trump continues waging his dizzying trade war against Canada and sends global markets spiraling, ordinary Canadians could be forgiven if they missed an extraordinary milestone in our ongoing federal election.Just recently, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre set what is perhaps a new Canadian election record by dropping not one, not two, but three candidates all on one day.

Justin Ling

While everyone focuses on Carney and Poilievre, some of the election’s most interesting ideas are coming from an unlikely place

“In many ways,” Jonathan Pedneault says, “the Greens have been at the forefront of identifying threats.” Risk-detection may not be the first attribute that comes to mind when thinking about the Green Party. But Pedneault, the party’s co-leader along with stalwart Elizabeth May, is hoping to convince Canadians that, in dark, weird, and uncertain times, the Greens are up to...

Lorrie Goldstein

Reckless Liberal spending compromised our ability to fight tariff war

Liberal government misspending has left us ill-equipped to fight a tariff war with the U.S. – and one of the only alternatives the government has will be to increase taxes to do so.

Shannon Proudfoot

Pierre Poilievre is sticking to his greatest hits. That’s the problem

Bruce Anderson

Betting on Pierre Poilievre? This weekend's Canada Strong and Free Conference is another risky distraction for the Conservative campaign

Betting markets for political outcomes are relatively new - and fair to say - not really proven. Polymarket, the highest profile of these, found fame because bettors on the platform favoured Donald Trump, who obviously went on to win the 2024 election. But there is some controversy around the fact that such platforms are vulnerable to manipulation.

Fred Delorey

Why are so many troublesome candidates being dropped? How political parties protect themselves from these ‘million-dollar mistakes’

There’s no such thing as a perfect candidate. Anyone who’s worked a federal campaign knows that. But there are candidates who work hard, who organize, who understand that this is a team sport—and who don’t get in the way of the campaign’s core message. In fact, the best ones help amplify it. That’s who you’re looking for when you build...

Dean Blundell

Carney’s Checkmate: How Canada's Quiet Bond Play Forced Trump to Drop Tariffs

Carney, Japan And The EU proved America's Idiot Emperor Has No Clothes. Let’s talk about the moment Donald Trump blinked. It wasn’t loud. It wasn’t a tweetstorm or a rally rant. When the tariff threats that had the world on edge—125% on China, 25% on Canada’s autos, a global trade war in the making—suddenly softened. A “pause,” he called it...

Max Fawcett

How Alberta keeps wrecking Pierre Poilievre's campaign

At least he still has his rallies. While public polling shows a large and durable Liberal lead, and global betting markets putting overwhelming odds on a Mark Carney victory on April 28, Pierre Poilievre can still comfort himself with the fact that thousands of people are willing to line up to hear him talk. In Edmonton, somewhere between 9,000 and...

Andrew Phillips

I attended a Pierre Poilievre rally to figure out the disconnect between his large crowds but shrinking support in the polls

I went to Pierre Poilievre’s “Stop the Crime” night in Brampton on Wednesday. I wanted to figure out how the Conservative leader could be taking luxuriant crowd baths across the country while languishing in the polls. More to the point, I wanted to find out how the people who turn out for him are dealing with that. I learned, no...

James Moore

Leaders’ debates have come to mean less and less

Do leaders’ debates matter? Will these coming debates matter? Yes, but no. First, Canadians should watch the debates with an open mind and keen eye for sincerity of presentation, signs of depth and credibility, and try to decide which of these candidates has the strength and substance to sit across from Donald Trump in the chair occupied not long ago...

Althia Raj

Exactly where do the Conservatives stand on abortion?

Half way through this federal election campaign and one word has yet to be uttered: abortion. Maybe it’s because U.S. President Donald Trump continues to threaten our economy. Maybe it’s because Liberal Leader Mark Carney appears to be heading toward a win. Maybe it’s because Pierre Poilievre declared himself to be pro-choice. But so far the Conservative leader has escaped...

Olivia Bowden

The Kids Are Leaning Right: How the Manosphere Is Shaping Voters

The polls look good for the Liberals now, but the Conservatives have been winning over young men. OVER THE COURSE of a 101-minute-long podcast interview released in January, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre and his host, Jordan Peterson, lamented the erosion of “traditional values” and the loss of “masculinity” in Canada.

David Coletto

Three numbers tell the story of the election this week, and none of them looks good for Poilievre

Halfway through the federal election campaign, it’s safe to say that things have not unfolded as many predicted they would back in January, when then-prime minister Justin Trudeau announced his resignation. At the time, there was widespread talk that the Liberals were bound to falter and that the Conservatives, led by Pierre Poilievre, were well-positioned to make significant gains. Yet...

Nik Nanos

It’s an East versus West showdown – Issue spotlight on auto tariffs

It is an East versus West show down in popular support with the Liberals leading in Eastern Canada, the Conservatives leading in the Prairies and British Columbia being a toss-up. The Liberal advantage in national ballot support continues with the party six points ahead of their Conservative competitors (LPC 44, CPC 38, NDP 9).

Andrew Coyne

Trump’s chaotic rule means we need a growth strategy more than ever. Somebody tell our political leaders

Rick Bell

Mark Carney is now on a collision course with Danielle Smith

'It's like saying you'll win an Olympic swimming medal with an anvil tied around your foot,' says Alberta Premier Smith, on how Canada will never be an energy superpower with anti-oilpatch laws

The Bank of Canada's tariff decision

I started writing this newsletter as a way of framing and better understanding how the events of the week ahead were going to shape the conversation. But events are happening at a breakneck speed right now. So the last few editions have been focused on the impact those events are having. But this week, we have the Bank of Canada...

'Unprecedented growth' in Canadian food banks prompts calls for it to be a top federal election issue

Sean Boynton

Liberals lead dips for 1st time in Canada election as Tories gain: poll

The Liberals continue to lead the federal election race at the halfway point of the campaign, a new poll suggests, but the Conservatives have narrowed the gap. The latest Ipsos poll exclusively for Global News shows 42 per cent of Canadians surveyed would vote for the Liberals, down four points from last week and the first time since the election...

Jeremy Warren

Poll of Sask. voters has Conservatives maintaining strong support, but Liberals gaining ground

Liberals most competitive in Saskatoon, Regina: SUMA poll. A new poll of Saskatchewan voters shows growing support for federal Liberals in Saskatoon and Regina — enough to make some races competitive — but Conservative support remains high across the province. "That the Liberals are really neck and neck with the Conservatives in the two big cities is a bit of...

Bill Graveland

'You don't know my dad': Daughter of late Conservative MP running for the Liberals

Visitors to the Liberal campaign office in Calgary East are greeted by a smiling picture of one of the longest serving Conservative MPs. And next to it is an ornate green vase of blown glass that contains some of the ashes of Deepak Obhrai. The vase, the picture and the Liberal campaign office all belong to Obhrai’s daughter, Priti Obhrai-Martin...

Emma Godmere

This Bloc challenger lost by 12 votes last time. He's back to take on a Liberal star candidate

In Châteauguay-Les Jardins-de-Napierville, it’s ground game versus party politics. Patrick O'Hara might be one of the most motivated federal candidates in Canada. "Either way it's going to go this year," the Bloc Québécois candidate told CBC Radio's The House, "I know what to expect, right?" Last election night, in September 2021, O'Hara believed he'd won his seat by 286 votes...

Calder McHugh

Pierre Poilievre’s Biggest Selling Point Is Now a Huge Liability

The Canadian Conservative leader soared because of a media strategy that sounded a lot like Donald Trump. That’s no longer helping him.Pierre Poilievre was asking Elon Musk for help. In April 2023, the Canadian Conservative Leader sent a letter to Twitter’s headquarters requesting that the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation be labeled as “government-funded media.”

Ian Froese

Carney attacked for wanting 'free ride,' 'hiding' from public amid latest campaign break

Liberal leader says he was speaking with NATO secretary general Saturday morning. Two federal party leaders took aim Saturday at Mark Carney, whom polls suggest is the front-runner in the April 28 election, for once again skipping the campaign trail. Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet accused the Liberal leader of trying to capitalize on his early momentum by coasting through...

Poilievre accuses Liberals of mixed messaging as candidate calls Gaza war 'genocide'

Adam van Koeverden made the remarks in a video posted by another user on X. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre is accusing the Liberals of mixed messaging over the war in Gaza as video emerged of one candidate calling the crisis a "genocide" just days after leader Mark Carney clarified his own remarks. Poilievre's comments were in response to a reporter's...

Katie Dangerfield

Carney unveils new ‘Canada Strong Pass.’ What free perks are available?

With more Canadians opting for local vacations amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States, Liberal Leader Mark Carney has introduced a “Canada Strong Pass,” calling it a way to make it easier for families and young people to explore the country this summer.

Trump administration says it will exclude some electronics from reciprocal tariffs

The Trump administration late Friday said they would exclude electronics like smartphones and laptops from reciprocal tariffs, a move that could help keep the prices down for popular consumer electronics that aren't usually made in the U.S. It would also benefit big tech companies like Apple and Samsung and chip makers like Nvidia and sets the stage for a likely...

Jesse Cnockaert

Liberals’ lead could change if domestic concerns surpass U.S. tensions, says pundits, pollster

The Liberals have been boosted in the polls because of public concern about how Canada should deal with the United States, but a shift in focus to more domestic policy issues could make the outcome of the election much harder to predict, say lobbyists and pundits. “The way I see it is, these last two weeks have been marred and...

Peter Mansbridge, Chantal Hébert, Rob Russo

Good Talk - "Do You Believe The Polls?"

We've passed the halfway point of the campaign with the television debates just around the corner. And you have to wonder when the Conservatives, or at least some of them, start to question the validity of the polls, that there's trouble in the Tory ranks. Both Rob Russo and Chantal Hebert have been travelling this week, one on the west...

Stephanie Ha, Vassy Kapelos

Former Trump trade rep says Canada will have ‘happy’ outcome from U.S. tariff policy

U.S. President Donald Trump’s former trade representative Bob Lighthizer says Canada will “benefit” from the United States’ current attempt to overhaul trade around the world – while also claiming the relationship between the two countries “is not fraught,” despite trade tensions. “If the president is right, and if it works out the way it should work out, we will find...

Mike Blanchfield

Lighthizer gives private trade-war advice to Canada’s conservatives

An architect of President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade policy told a closed-door Canadian audience Friday that the two neighbors can recover from this period of unprecedented tensions. Robert Lighthizer, the pro-tariff former U.S. trade representative during Trump’s first term, told a conference of Canadian conservatives in Ottawa that their country can help mend the tattered relationship by spending more on...

Robert Fife, Steven Chase

Liberal candidate accepted invitation from China to celebrate People’s Liberation Army event

A Liberal candidate running in a Greater Toronto Area riding, whose candidacy has come under scrutiny for ties to pro-Beijing groups, accepted an invitation from China to celebrate the 70th anniversary of the People’s Liberation Army victory over Japan in the Second World War. Peter Yuen, who has also been linked to Toronto’s Chinese consulate, joined a group of about...

Mark Gollom

Carney and Poilievre have both pledged 'energy corridors.' That could be complicated

Liberal Leader Mark Carney and Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre are offering similar sounding energy development plans that would fast-track regulatory processes and create energy corridors to develop natural resource projects.But some industry analysts and observers, while applauding the directions that both leaders are taking, are cautioning that their proposals may face significant challenges.

Andrew Weichel

Petition to remove controversial Conservative candidate reaches 15K signatures

A petition for the Conservative Party to remove a controversial candidate from Vancouver Island has reached 15,000 signatures. Aaron Gunn, who is running in the North Island-Powell River riding, has come under fire over social media posts he’s made about residential schools and Canada’s treatment of Indigenous people. That includes a 2020 post in which Gunn wrote, “There was no...

Aishwarya Dudha

Sask. Party MLA who called Jagmeet Singh a 'terrorist' stripped of additional MLA duties

Racquel Hilbert, the Saskatchewan Party MLA who called federal NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh a terrorist in the provincial legislature last month, has been removed from additional MLA duties, the party says.Premier Scott Moe said in the legislature Thursday that comments made by the Humboldt-Watrous member were inaccurate and highly inappropriate.

Irem Koca

Campaigns quick to cut ties with candidates, have ‘less tolerance’ for controversy, in the age of social media, say politicos

With the election campaign in full swing, political parties are under pressure to avoid controversy at all costs. But in the digital era, where past posts, videos, or comments can quickly resurface and make headlines, candidates are one engagement away from being sent packing since parties are quick to shed candidates who risk tarnishing their chances of winning, say political...

Ingersoll GM plant shutdown: 500 layoffs imminent

There will be a shutdown of the GM CAMI Assembly plant in Ingersoll, Ont. with hundreds of layoffs to come. According to Unifor, GM has informed Local 88, which represents the workers, that it will will initiate temporary layoffs. The company said the decision to halt production is not related to U.S. tariffs but rather market demand and high inventory...

Carney warns of signs that global economies are slowing amid Trump's tariffs

Prime Minister Mark Carney said there are signs the global and Canadian economies are slowing as U.S. President Donald Trump's trade war escalated again Friday, with China announcing it will push up retaliatory tariffs to 125 per cent. "In the last week there have been a lot of developments in terms of U.S. tariffs policy, reactions from others including China...

Brennan MacDonald, Rachel Hanes

Brookfield registered entities to Grand Cayman address Obama called ‘largest tax scam in the world’

Liberal Leader Mark Carney’s former firm Brookfield has registered more than a dozen business entities to an infamous address in the Cayman Islands that former U.S. president Barack Obama once described as either “the largest building in the world or the largest tax scam in the world.” CTV News reviewed U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission filings between 2015 and 202...

Politician's Pen

Stéphanie Plante

Ovechkin’s NHL Legacy: A Hockey Milestone Overshadowed by Sportswashing and Ties to Putin

Terry Beech

The State of Service Report

Our government created the Citizens’ Services portfolio in 2023 to champion service delivery excellence and to improve government efficiency. This State of Service report was drafted to communicate how we are accomplishing this mandate and to update Canadians on some of our biggest programs, including the Passport Program, the Canadian Dental Care Plan, Employment Insurance, Benefits Delivery Modernization and the...

US Poli

U.S. President Trump says CBS and ‘60 Minutes’ should ‘pay a big price’ for going after him

U.S. President Donald Trump bitterly attacked “60 Minutes” shortly after the CBS newsmagazine broadcast stories on Ukraine and Greenland on Sunday, saying the network was out of control and should “pay a big price” for going after him.

Marc Levy, The Associated Press

What to know about Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro and the alleged arson at his official residence

HARRISBURG, Pa. (AP) -- A man is facing charges after authorities say he broke into the Pennsylvania governor's mansion in the middle of the night, set a fire that left significant damage and forced Gov. Josh Shapiro, his family and guests to evacuate the building during the Jewish holiday of Passover.

Nicholas Riccardi, The Associated Press

Some top tech leaders have embraced Trump. That's created a political divide in Silicon Valley

SAN JOSE, Calif. (AP) -- Like many in the tech industry, Jeremy Lyons used to think of himself as a relatively apolitical guy.

Mae Anderson And Michael Liedtke, The Associated Press

Trump administration says it will exclude some electronics from reciprocal tariffs

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (AP) -- The Trump administration late Friday said they would exclude electronics like smartphones and laptops from reciprocal tariffs, a move that could help keep the prices down for popular consumer electronics that aren't usually made in the U.S.

International

Barbara Ortutay, The Associated Press

Meta faces historic antitrust trial that could force it to break off Instagram, WhatsApp

Meta Platforms Inc. faces a historic antitrust trial beginning Monday that could force the tech giant to break off Instagram and WhatsApp, startups it bought more than a decade ago that have since grown into social media powerhouses.

China hits back at U.S. and will raise tariffs on American goods from 84% to 125%

China announced Friday that it will raise tariffs on U.S. goods from 84 per cent to 125 per cent -- the latest salvo in an escalating trade war between the world’s two largest economies that has rattled markets and raised fears of a global slowdown. While U.S. President Donald Trump paused import taxes this week for other countries, he raised...

NYC mayor says family of Spanish tourists, including 3 children, died in helicopter crash

A helicopter broke apart in midair Thursday and crashed upside-down into the Hudson River between Manhattan and the New Jersey waterfront, killing a family of Spanish tourists, including three children in the latest high-profile aviation disaster in the U.S., officials said. Mayor Eric Adams said the flight began at a downtown heliport around 3 p.m. and that the dead had...

Wyatte Grantham-philips, The Associated Press

Trump's latest round of tariffs have taken effect - and China is retaliating. Here's what we know

NEW YORK (AP) -- President Donald Trump has launched tariff wars with nearly all of America's trading partners. And there's no end in sight.

Michael Kunzelman And Ben Finley, The Associated Press

The US must return a Maryland man mistakenly deported to an El Salvador prison, a judge says

GREENBELT, Md. (AP) -- A federal judge on Friday ordered the Trump administration to arrange for the return of a Maryland man to the United States after he was mistakenly deported to a notorious El Salvador prison, while a U.S. government attorney was at a loss to explain what happened.

Think Tank

Vina Nadjibulla, Erin Williams

China, Russia Remain Close Despite Trump’s Efforts to Drive a Wedge

On April 2 — just before the U.S. announced sweeping new tariffs on much of the world — Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi concluded a three-day visit to Moscow, where he met with his counterpart, Sergey Lavrov, and Russian President Vladimir Putin. The two sides discussed the Russia-Ukraine war and other security flashpoints, including Iran’s nuclear program and the Korean...

Ryan Manucha

Unlocking Canada’s economy: Why mutual recognition is the key to supercharging internal trade

US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats seem to have reminded Canadians that we don’t even trade well with each other. We self-sabotage through domestic trade obstacles that hinder economic growth and security.

Ramona Coelho

Rushing to death in Canada’s MAiD regime: Ramona Coelho for Inside Policy

Canada legalized Medical Assistance in Dying (MAiD) in 2016, encompassing both euthanasia and assisted suicide. Initially limited to those nearing their natural death, eligibility expanded in 2021 to individuals with physical disabilities, with eligibility for individuals with mental illness in 2027. Parliamentary recommendations include MAiD for children. A recent federal consultation explored extending MAiD to those who lack capacity via...

Substacks

A collection of SubStack publishing within Canadian public affairs.

Steven Staples

Is the peace movement wrong?

Is it time I admit defeat, pull up my tent and go home? For 30 years I have advocated for reductions to Canada’s military spending, and it keeps rising and rising. Now it’s reached the point where Canada is the 6th highest in actual dollars within NATO (after USA, Germany, UK, France, Poland). Responding to expensive plans to increase military...

Dean Beeby

The dossier Trudeau took to Mar-a-Lago

Last fall, before the Trump shitstorm, advisers to the prime minister saw the black clouds gathering to the south. The new president had not yet been sworn into office, but it was clear Canada was in the crosshairs.

Dean Beeby

Mark Carney's $100 apology

The 10 men who have governed the Bank of Canada since its inception in 1934 have been taciturn types, studiously avoiding the mud-holes of public controversy. Central banks trade in trust, and must project immutability and stability.That’s why it was so unusual in 2012 to hear Mark Carney, then governor of the Bank, apologize to Canadians for screwing up.

Podcasts

Taylor Owen from McGill’s Centre for Media, Tech & Democracy

A deep dive into how disinformation is evolving—and what it means for Canada’s democracy and elections.

An interview with Green Party co-leader Jonathan Pedneault

The federal election is in two weeks, on April 28 – so the Decibel has invited the leaders from Canada’s major parties onto the show to share their vision for the country. And while environmental concerns haven’t been top-of-mind in this election … Green Party co-leader Jonathan Pedneault says he isn’t just concerned about climate change. Pedneault – who previously...

Election! Rallies, reporters, and tax havens

Election day in Canada is only two weeks away. All the major parties have been holding rallies across the country, with some Conservative supporters bringing “Do you believe the polls?” signs to a party event. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre is facing scrutiny over limiting media access, and Liberal leader Mark Carney is facing questions about his time working in the...

Will politics ever be less partisan? At Issue answers your questions

Rosemary Barton and The National’s At Issue panel bring the political discussion to Halifax, answering questions from Canadians about the biggest issues on the federal campaign trail. Rosemary Barton hosts Chantal Hébert, Andrew Coyne and Althia Raj.

As Poilievre targets tax havens, Conservatives rack up big business endorsements

Carney defends knowledge of Quebec culture, Poilievre insists he's no 'mini-Trump' on Tout le monde en parle

Poilievre says he'll use notwithstanding clause to ensure multiple-murderers die in prison

Despite dip in polls, Conservative path to victory remains possible, say political players

Liberal operatives planted 'stop the steal' buttons at conservative conference

ElectionWatch 2025

Polling Trendlines

Latest Results

National Tracker: Liberals 44%, Conservatives 38%

LPC 44.8, CPC 37.8, NDP 8.8, BQ 5.5, GP 1.9, PPC 1.1

Canadian Federal Election Daily Tracker Poll, Day 22

Seat Projections

Canada's Campaign Watchers

Second Wave Analysis (Update):

Previous Analysis:

Who Our Watchers Are:

Election News

Poilievre says he'll use notwithstanding clause to ensure multiple-murderers die in prison

What the Polls in Canada Are Really Saying

An Election Like No Other Promises to Damage Canada's Finances

'Unprecedented growth' in Canadian food banks prompts calls for it to be a top federal election issue

Despite dip in polls, Conservative path to victory remains possible, say political players

Carney defends knowledge of Quebec culture, Poilievre insists he's no 'mini-Trump' on Tout le monde en parle

Campaign Analysis

"The camera is an X-Ray machine for the soul." First impressions and the Poilievre-Carney battle

Carney grasps a key point that Poilievre has missed in the trade war

Poilievre: we’re just not that into him

The Resilient Appeal of Mark Carney is One of the Biggest Stories of this Election

Carney passes major test facing critical Quebec media

The other leader at this week’s federal election debates: Donald Trump

Policy Announcements

NDP Plan for Better Health Care: More Nurses, Safer Workplaces, No Cuts or Private Agencies

Mark Carney announces further measures to secure Canadian sovereignty

Poilievre Will Restore Consecutive Sentences For Mass Murderers

NDP Plan for the Northern Ontario: Local Doctors, Affordable Food, Better Roads

Mark Carney’s Liberals announce new Canada Strong Pass

Conservatives Announce Plan to Put Canada’s Veterans First

Opinion More

"The camera is an X-Ray machine for the soul." First impressions and the Poilievre-Carney battle

Carney grasps a key point that Poilievre has missed in the trade war

Poilievre: we’re just not that into him

The Resilient Appeal of Mark Carney is One of the Biggest Stories of this Election

Carney passes major test facing critical Quebec media

The other leader at this week’s federal election debates: Donald Trump

Canadians are laser-focused on Trump. After a spotty decade of Liberal government, that suits Carney just fine

Mark Carney’s cabinet sends the wrong message on gender equality

Both Liberals and Conservatives have a Trump problem

Liberal Leader Carney is no technocrat - Mark Carney is a political newcomer with a career in crisis management

Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre are ignoring the NDP. Has anyone even noticed?

Pierre Poilievre has dropped multiple candidates. Here are two others who should go

While everyone focuses on Carney and Poilievre, some of the election’s most interesting ideas are coming from an unlikely place

Reckless Liberal spending compromised our ability to fight tariff war

Pierre Poilievre is sticking to his greatest hits. That’s the problem

Betting on Pierre Poilievre? This weekend's Canada Strong and Free Conference is another risky distraction for the Conservative campaign

Why are so many troublesome candidates being dropped? How political parties protect themselves from these ‘million-dollar mistakes’

Carney’s Checkmate: How Canada's Quiet Bond Play Forced Trump to Drop Tariffs

How Alberta keeps wrecking Pierre Poilievre's campaign

I attended a Pierre Poilievre rally to figure out the disconnect between his large crowds but shrinking support in the polls

Leaders’ debates have come to mean less and less

Exactly where do the Conservatives stand on abortion?

The Kids Are Leaning Right: How the Manosphere Is Shaping Voters

Three numbers tell the story of the election this week, and none of them looks good for Poilievre

It’s an East versus West showdown – Issue spotlight on auto tariffs

Trump’s chaotic rule means we need a growth strategy more than ever. Somebody tell our political leaders

Mark Carney is now on a collision course with Danielle Smith

News More

What the Polls in Canada Are Really Saying

An Election Like No Other Promises to Damage Canada's Finances

The Bank of Canada's tariff decision

'Unprecedented growth' in Canadian food banks prompts calls for it to be a top federal election issue

Liberals lead dips for 1st time in Canada election as Tories gain: poll

Poll of Sask. voters has Conservatives maintaining strong support, but Liberals gaining ground

'You don't know my dad': Daughter of late Conservative MP running for the Liberals

This Bloc challenger lost by 12 votes last time. He's back to take on a Liberal star candidate

Pierre Poilievre’s Biggest Selling Point Is Now a Huge Liability

Carney attacked for wanting 'free ride,' 'hiding' from public amid latest campaign break

Poilievre accuses Liberals of mixed messaging as candidate calls Gaza war 'genocide'

Carney unveils new ‘Canada Strong Pass.’ What free perks are available?

Trump administration says it will exclude some electronics from reciprocal tariffs

Liberals’ lead could change if domestic concerns surpass U.S. tensions, says pundits, pollster