Jason Markusoff

Alberta separatists getting organized — a unity challenge for Canada and Danielle Smith's party

Prominent campaigners will push for provincial independence, inside and outside of UCP tent. You don't need to be a Preston-Manning-like soothsayer to imagine western separatist sentiment ticks upward if the Liberals win re-election. You just need to remember 2019 and the Wexit movement. Justin Trudeau's Liberals narrowly won a second term that fall, and disgruntled Albertans and Saskatchewanians self-branded a...

Green Party co-leader says removal from leaders' debates is 'undemocratic'

Green Party co-leader Jonathan Pedneault says the "last minute decision" to remove his party from the debate is "unfounded" and "undemocratic." Early this morning the Leaders' Debate Commission rescinded its invitation to the Green Party to participate in the two federal leaders' debates. It says the decision was made because the party made a strategic decision not to run candidates...

Robert Fife, Steven Chase

TD Bank closed accounts of pro-China group, ex-Liberal MP Han Dong, records show

Toronto-Dominion Bank closed down the accounts of a pro-Beijing organization on suspicion of money laundering in the spring of 2023, and shuttered the joint account of then-sitting MP Han Dong without explanation, according to confidential documents. Records show TD Bank had concerns about suspicious activities of the Confederation of Toronto Chinese Canadian Organizations and the information was passed on to...

Spencer Van Dyk

Outgoing Conservative MP Ed Fast slams ‘sham’ process to replace him in longtime riding

Longtime Conservative MP Ed Fast says his party held a “sham” nomination process in his B.C. riding, where he has endorsed an Independent candidate to be his successor. “I still support the election of a strong Conservative government under (leader) Pierre Poilievre, but this is not the way to do it,” Fast told CTV’s Power Play host Vassy Kapelos in...

John Paul Tasker

Nearly 900,000 fewer people went to the U.S. in March as cross-border travel plummets

The number of cross-border travellers going from Canada to the U.S. dropped by nearly 900,000 in March compared to the same month last year, according to the latest U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) data — easily one of the worst year-over-year drops recorded outside of the COVID-19 health crisis. The border figures show 4,105,516 travellers crossed the U.S. northern...

ElectionWatch 2025

Polling Trendlines

Latest Results

The Liberal Party holds a commanding lead across Atlantic Canada.

With election day less than two weeks away, the Liberal Party holds a commanding lead across Atlantic Canada. Voting intentions: When considering voting intentions among decided voters the Liberal Party holds a strong lead with two-thirds (65%) planning to vote Liberal in the upcoming federal election. One-quarter (26%) plan to vote for the Conservative Party, while fewer than one in...

Nik Nanos

LPC 44.7, CPC 37.3, NDP 8.3, BQ 6.2, GP 2.2, PPC 1.1

The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same...

Federal Politics: With Two Weeks Left, Carney’s Lead Narrows

Mark Carney’s Liberal Party continues to lead in voting intentions. Currently, 43% of Canadians say they would vote for the Liberal Party if the election were held today, compared to 38% for Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party. The gap between the Liberals and the Conservatives narrows from 7 points to 5 points this week.

Seat Projections

Canada's Campaign Watchers

Third Wave Analysis:

Our watchers continue to see Liberals having the most momentum (89%), best candidates (82%) most effective leader (77%) and most impactful message (70%). Responses are a bit tighter on best ads, and Conservatives continue to be seen as having the best events. Read more.

Previous Analysis:

Wave 1, Wave 2, Wave 2 Update

Who Our Watchers Are:

Adam Taylor Adrian Jean Alex Maheu Ali Salam Aliya Mohammed Andrew Casey Andrew MacDougall Andy Gibbons Axel Rioux Ben Parsons Brad Lavigne Brendan McGuinty Brian Clow Brianna Ames Bruce Winchester Bruce Anderson Cameron MacKeen Cara Salci Carlene Variyan Caroline Séguin Chad Bowie Chad Walsh Chisholm Pothier Chris Day Chris McCluskey Christine Burke Dan Mader Dave Forestell Dave Prisco David McArthur Dennis Matthews Dennis Prouse Derek Nighbor Dil Puar Dimitri Soudas Don Stickney Elder Marques Elly Alboim Eric Johnson Fraser Macdonald Fred DeLorey Gabe Garfinkel Gabrielle Berard Greg MacNeil Greg MacEachern Hardave Birk Jaime Watt Jamie Kippen Janet Fryday Dorey Jason Kenney Jeremy Broadhurst Jim Anderson Joanne Macrae Jordan Deagle Kate Harrison Kathleen Monk Katie Telford Ken Boessenkool Kevin Bosch Lanny Cardow Laryssa Waler Laura Kurkimaki Laura Pennell Lawrence Cannon Lisa MacLeod Lisa Raitt Marc-Olivier Fortin Marcia Smith Max Dea Megan Leslie Melanie Richer Melissa Cotton Mike Solberg Mollie Anderson Monte Solberg Morgan Swan Nancy Jamieson Patrick Rogers Perry Tsergas Phil Cartwright Rebecca Rogers Richard Mahoney Rick Anderson Rob Silver Roxanna Benoit Ryan Dunn Sabrina Grover Scott Feschuk Scott Reid Sean Speer Sheamus Murphy Stephen Carter Tasha Kheiriddin Tausha Michaud Tim Powers Tyler Banham Vandana Fatima Kattar Will Stewart Yaroslav Baran Zain Velji Zita Astravas

Election News

Green Party co-leader says removal from leaders' debates is 'undemocratic'

Leyland Cecco

Trump effect leaves Canada’s Conservatives facing catastrophic loss

When Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre finally emerged from a holding room, excited shouts erupted in a tsunami-like wave throughout the banquet hall. Party faithful – some in the ill-fitting free T-shirts handed out by staffers – craned their necks for a glimpse of the man they hoped will be the next Canadian prime minister.

Peter Zimonjic

Green Party dropped from leaders' debates for not running enough candidates

Leaders' Debates Commission says party's decision to remove candidates for strategic reasons led to decision. The Leaders' Debates Commission, which is tasked with organizing the French and English debates, has removed the Green Party from federal leaders' debates for failing to meet participation requirements. "Deliberately reducing the number of candidates running for strategic reasons is inconsistent with the Commission's interpretation...

Neil Young Trashes Trump in Mark Carney Endorsement: 'Could Use a Soul'

The musician Neil Young has written an open letter in support of Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney ahead of the country's federal election, as he takes on U.S. President Donald Trump in a battle over trade.

Verity Stevenson

Carney expected to be top target in French-language leaders' debate

Federal party leaders are getting ready for their first debate of the election campaign this evening.The French-language debate will take place this evening at 6 p.m., followed by the English debate tomorrow at 7 p.m. Both debates are happening in Montreal at the CBC/Radio-Canada building downtown, in a large studio in its ground-floor atrium.

Jason Markusoff

Alberta separatists getting organized — a unity challenge for Canada and Danielle Smith's party

Campaign Analysis

Josie Sabatino

What Conservative rally crowds reveal—and why it matters

One of the standout features of the 2025 federal election has been the ability of Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre to draw thousands of people out to listen to his stump speeches—even in ridings where the party currently holds no seats and has been shut out for years. From airport hangars to warehouses and convention centres, Poilievre has seen no shortage...

Peter Mansbridge, Bruce Anderson, Fred Delorey

SMT -- From Dirty Tricks to Debate Tactics

Liberal Bruce Anderson and Conservative Fred DeLorey continue their 2025 election conversation with two new topics this week. The LIberals get caught playing dirty tricks, while both parties prepare for this week's debates. With little time left in the campaign, is the die cast, or is anything still possible?

Richard Warnica

Would Pierre Poilievre rather lose than change?

If Pierre Poilievre was a hockey player instead of a politician, he’d be a pest — the kind of guy you hate to play against but love to have on your team. He’d be Sean Avery or Brad Marchand: making life miserable for the other team’s best player while driving opposing fans up the wall. He would, in other words...

John Ivison

The swan song of NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh could find its audience yet

Singh thinks the polls have stabilized enough to make it safe for progressives worried about a Conservative win to 'come home' to the NDP

Campbell Clark

Which Poilievre will show up for the French debate?

There are two big questions about who will show up for the first leaders’ debate this week: Which Pierre Poilievre will we see? And how forgiving will the audience be? The Pierre Poilievre who appeared on the Radio-Canada talk show, Tout le monde en parle, was a creature that had rarely been spotted in front of TV cameras. The Conservative...

Erica Ifill

Red-pill populism

Crowd size is the new phallic symbol. The red-pilling of Canadian politics is complete. In The Matrix, the main character Neo is faced with two choices: living an illusion represented metaphorically by taking the blue pill, or awakening to a hidden reality, represented by the red pill. The dilemma is popularized by the manosphere, the radicalization of men through misogynistic...

Policy Announcements

Mark Carney’s Liberals announce plan to train skilled workers for strong careers

In the face of President Trump’s tariffs, we need to build Canada strong. That starts by supporting our workers and helping them prepare for the careers of the future. Today, Mark Carney highlighted his plan to build Canada strong through this crisis, and announced a significant new benefit to help workers access and afford new skills training in the middle...

Poilievre Will Stop Scammers Targeting Our Seniors

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced his plan to protect Canadian seniors by cracking down on financial scammers who target them. A new Conservative government will ensure that Canadian banks and cell phone companies do a better job detecting scams, alerting victims before they are scammed, and reporting and blocking suspected fraud in real-time. We will also increase fines and prison...

NDP Plan for Better Health Care: More Nurses, Safer Workplaces, No Cuts or Private Agencies

Today, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh unveiled a national strategy to tackle the nursing shortage by hiring more nurses, improving working conditions, and ending the wasteful use of costly private agencies—because public health care only works when we protect the people who deliver it. “Health care is at the heart of what makes Canada, Canada. But right now, people are waiting...

Mark Carney announces further measures to secure Canadian sovereignty

This election comes at a time of crisis. With President Trump threatening our economy and sovereignty, we need to secure Canada by supporting our businesses and industry here at home, and helping them diversify to new markets. “We will protect our sovereignty in an increasingly dangerous and divided world by rebuilding, reinvesting, and rearming our military,” said Mark Carney, Leader...

Poilievre Will Restore Consecutive Sentences For Mass Murderers

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced today that a new Conservative government will put justice first–For a Change–by giving judges back the power to sentence multiple murderers to consecutive prison sentences without parole eligibility beyond 25 years. “For the worst mass murderers, a life sentence should mean what it says: a sentence for life,” Poilievre said. “These monsters should face the...

NDP Plan for the Northern Ontario: Local Doctors, Affordable Food, Better Roads

Today, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh announced key elements of the NDP’s Northern Ontario platform—focused on fixing health care, lowering grocery prices, investing in infrastructure, and protecting access to French-language services in the North. “For too many people in the North, life is getting harder,” said Singh. “It’s harder to find a doctor, harder to afford groceries, and harder to access...

The swan song of NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh could find its audience yet

Singh thinks the polls have stabilized enough to make it safe for progressives worried about a Conservative win to 'come home' to the NDP

Campbell Clark

Which Poilievre will show up for the French debate?

Erica Ifill

Red-pill populism

Donald Barry

Trump’s tariffs: Where do we go from here?

Andrew Coyne

In the U.S., defying the courts is a constitutional crisis. In Canada, it’s a simple matter of paperwork

Not three months into Donald Trump’s second term, the United States has entered the constitutional crisis everyone knew was coming, but somehow hoped would never arrive. The Trump administration is now openly defying a Supreme Court ruling ordering it to bring home Kilmar Abrego Garcia – a U.S. resident who, though he has neither been charged with nor convicted of...

Kylie Villeneuve

Tough on Crime, Soft on Results

Susan Delacourt

Pierre Poilievre is taking a beating from conservatives who should have his back

Doug Ford and Pierre Poilievre agreed on one subject this week: change is needed.The federal Conservative leader is saying that Canada needs change. The Ontario premier is saying that Poilievre needs to change his campaign team.

Don Lenihan

Trump Wants to Bring Factories Home: Jobs? Not So Much.

Bruce Anderson

"The camera is an X-Ray machine for the soul." First impressions and the Poilievre-Carney battle

Much ink has been spilled offering explanations for how the Liberals have replaced a 25 point deficit with a 4 or 5 point advantage – all in a matter of a few months.

Aaron Wherry

Carney and Poilievre are fighting an election that's about both change and stability

According to survey data released last week by Pollara, Canadians are evenly split on whether they want this federal election to result in "change" or "stability" — 46 per cent of Canadians want change and 45 per cent want stability. Among those who want change, 47 per cent say Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre would best deliver that change, while 2...

Tasha Kheiriddin

Debates should be about real issues, not superficial personality contests

As Canadians tune in to the leaders’ debates this week — in French on Wednesday and English on Thursday — they’ll hear about affordability, tariffs, immigration and even an entire segment on climate, an issue that no longer cracks the top five. But one subject is conspicuously absent from both stages: national defence. It’s a baffling omission. While the French...

David Coletto

What is happening to NDP support?

Something significant has happened to the NDP vote in this federal election. A party that, for much of the past two years, consistently held between 18% and 20% support now finds itself with just 9% of the committed vote, according to our latest Abacus Data survey conducted from April 7 to 10, 2025. That’s a collapse—one of the most dramatic...

Patrick McCurdy, Kaitlin Clarke

The many dangers of Pierre Poilievre’s war on ‘woke’

As the federal election campaign tightly focuses on the ongoing trade war with America, we must also consider the implications for Canada of the culture war – in particular Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre’s weaponization of the word “woke” and what he means by promising action against it. The term woke is rooted in the African-American experience of racialized violence and...

Luke LeBrun

The Liberal ‘button’ scheme was a colossal self-own. That’s not the worst part of it

It’s bad enough Canada already faces myriad threats to our democracy from covert foreign influence campaigns and online disinformation. Now, Canadians apparently also need to worry about Liberal operatives sneaking around planting fake evidence about their political opponents.

Deveryn Ross

Mark Carney in the political crosshairs

Benjamin Perrin

Why I’m Endorsing Mark Carney & The Liberals

The federal election on April 28th is one of the most consequential in our history. With U.S. President Donald Trump openly threatening to annex Canada amidst an unjustified and unprovoked trade war, and conservative figures like Preston Manning and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith fanning the flames of “Western separatism”, the stakes couldn’t be higher.

Rick Bell

Mark Carney Liberal sleaze and Premier Doug Ford's big mouth

Carney Liberals once again want to link Pierre Poilievre to Donald Trump, this time with dirty tricks of their own

Justin Ling

Tale of the TLMEP - Trudeau and Poilievre visit Quebec's most important TV programme

It’s debate week on the Chaos Campaign, but arguably the most important conversation of the campaign transpired last night. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre and Liberal leader Mark Carney visited Radio-Canada’s nouvelle maison to participate in Tout le monde en parle, the wide-ranging panel show hosted by comedian Guy A. Lepage, and watched live by at least one million Quebecers every...

Michael Harris

Carney grasps a key point that Poilievre has missed in the trade war

The dramatic collapse in the once insurmountable lead Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre held over the Liberals is the most astonishing reversal of political fortunes I have ever seen. For one thing, it happened in a matter of a few weeks. For the two years before that, the Liberals could barely see Poilievre’s tail lights. He was on cruise control to...

Susan Riley

Poilievre: we’re just not that into him

That was a very short-lived pivot by Pierre Poilievre.Yes, after internal party dissent and at the urging of various Conservative worthies, he now weaves more criticism of Donald Trump into his stump speeches. It doesn’t seem terribly heart-felt, but, to be fair, the opposition leader betrays no hint of admiration for the rampaging U.S. president.

David Coletto

The Resilient Appeal of Mark Carney is One of the Biggest Stories of this Election

I spend a lot of time digging into our Abacus Data polling data, looking at trends, understanding the relationship between variables. Imagine a chef in a kitchen testing out new recipes. That’s me in a dataset, and I love it!

Éric Blais

Carney passes major test facing critical Quebec media

This week’s leaders’ debates began in Quebec — albeit unofficially. The much-anticipated French-language debate is set for Wednesday night — scheduled at the same time as the Montreal Canadiens’ final regular-season game. Unlike in 2011, when the debate was moved up a day to avoid a similar clash, this time the Leaders’ Debates Commission either didn’t have a choice —...

Susan Delacourt

The other leader at this week’s federal election debates: Donald Trump

One of the more searing images of the 2016 U.S. presidential campaign came during the debate when Donald Trump kept lurking behind Hillary Clinton on stage.Clinton, who lost that election, would recall later in her book that she found it “incredibly uncomfortable,” and considered telling Trump: “Back up, you creep.”

Scott Stinson

Canadians are laser-focused on Trump. After a spotty decade of Liberal government, that suits Carney just fine

Mark Carney must know, from his hockey-playing days, the uncomfortable feeling of nursing a lead while the clock winds down. It always goes slower than you’d like. But instead of watching the minutes and seconds tick by on an arena scoreboard, Carney has two-plus weeks to steer the Liberals toward what, three months ago, would’ve seemed like an unthinkable victory...

Alexandra Ages

Mark Carney’s cabinet sends the wrong message on gender equality

Shortly after being sworn in as Canada’s new prime minister, Mark Carney presented his new cabinet consisting of ministers who kept their jobs, others who were shuffled to a new portfolio and some new faces. Conspicuously absent was the role of minister for women and gender equality and youth.Cutting this ministry is a mistake.

News More View More

Leyland Cecco

Trump effect leaves Canada’s Conservatives facing catastrophic loss

Peter Zimonjic

Green Party dropped from leaders' debates for not running enough candidates

Peter Mansbridge, Bruce Anderson, Fred Delorey

SMT -- From Dirty Tricks to Debate Tactics

Neil Young Trashes Trump in Mark Carney Endorsement: 'Could Use a Soul'

Verity Stevenson

Carney expected to be top target in French-language leaders' debate

Neil Moss

Trade talks more opaque after Canada’s foreign ministry cuts live briefings in wake of media leaks

The Liberal government has consistently trumpeted a commitment to transparency in trade negotiations, but Canada’s foreign ministry ended verbal briefings to stakeholders on the status of trade talks to “better control” information after leaks to media. The Hill Times previously obtained information from briefings on negotiations regarding trade talks with Indonesia, India, and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)...

Alex Binkley

A wakeup call for Canadian agriculture

Ashley Burke

Conservative MPs attack Carney for his work at Brookfield. They also invested in its companies

Deputy leader Melissa Lantsman held an undisclosed number of shares in 2024, documents show

Vikki Hopes

Retiring Tory MP Ed Fast endorses Mike de Jong in Abbotsford-South Langley

Fast favours independent candidate over Sukhman Gill for the Conservatives.Retiring Conservative Abbotsford MP Ed Fast has announced his endorsement of independent candidate Mike de Jong instead of the candidate for his party.In a statement released Tuesday morning (April 15), Fast criticized the selection of 25-year-old Sukhman Gill as the Conservative candidate in the new riding of Abbotsford-South Langley.

Time changed for French-language debate due to Montreal Canadiens game

The start time of Wednesday's French-language debate has been changed from 8 p.m. to 6 p.m. after two federal party leaders requested it not clash with a potentially consequential Montreal Canadiens hockey game.

Barbara Patrocinio

Behind Doug Ford’s unusually public criticism of Poilievre’s campaign

The Premier’s unusually sharp critique of the federal Conservative campaign has insiders wondering why Ford is behaving like that. Some are saying he might be laying the groundwork for something bigger.

Darren Major

Greens held back some candidates despite giving full slate to debates commission - Party needed candidates for 90% of ridings to qualify for leaders' debates

The Green Party says it deliberately didn't run candidates in some ridings, even though the party submitted a full slate of potential candidates to the commission responsible for organizing the leadership debates.

Matteo Cimellaro

Stephen Harper's former chief of staff says a Poilievre government could move 'quickly' to cut the public service

For Ian Brodie, time is of the essence to reduce the federal budget. If Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives win the federal election, they could move at lightening speed to shrink the size of the public service. That’s according to Ian Brodie, a former chief of staff of prime minister Stephen Harper, who believes the most surefire way to usher in deregulation...

Sean Boynton

Trump still wants Canada to be the 51st U.S. state, White House says

U.S. President Donald Trump still wants Canada to become the country’s 51st state, the White House said Friday, a threat he has made repeatedly but had appeared to quiet on in recent weeks. Trump’s rhetoric toward Canada has appeared to soften since he spoke with Prime Minister Mark Carney last month, although he has occasionally brought up long-standing grievances on...

Kelly Geraldine Malone

Ottawa says automakers that keep building in Canada will get a tariff exemption

Automobile companies that continue to manufacture vehicles in Canada will get an exemption from Ottawa's retaliatory tariffs as U.S. President Donald Trump attempts to upend the North American industry through steep import duties. Federal Finance Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne announced Tuesday that auto manufacturers will be allowed to import a certain number of U.S.-assembled vehicles -- ones that comply with the...

Christopher Nardi

Poilievre says no timeline for defunding the CBC

In December, Poilievre told Toronto Sun columnist Brian Lilley that he would defund the public broadcaster 'very quick.' Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre now says he doesn’t have a timeline for when he would defund the CBC despite promising in December to do it “very quick.” Questioned by National Post on Tuesday on whether the Conservatives would defund the CBC within...

Honda denies reports that it intends to move auto production out of Canada

Ontario plant will 'operate at full capacity for the foreseeable future,' company said. Honda Canada says it is not planning to move production out of Canada to the U.S., contrary to reports from a Japanese news outlet. Nekkei newspaper reported Tuesday that Honda is working on plans to switch some car production from Mexico and Canada to the U.S., after...

Laura Ryckewaert

NDP has a familiar team fighting to keep its presence in the House

The federal NDP is facing plenty of challenges this campaign—from poor polling, to breaking into the Canada-United States relations narrative that has dominated the race—but the party has a familiar, experienced team on hand leading the fight.

Brian Platt

Carney Rides Anti-Trump Sentiment on Campaign Trail, and Voters Like It

On an overcast afternoon on Canada’s east coast, Mark Carney emerged from a pickup truck and stepped carefully in his dress shoes through the muddy lot outside a lumber mill. His hard hat didn’t fit right, pitched forward at an awkward angle; an aide hustled over to fix it before he went inside.

Catharine Tunney

Calls to reform the RCMP have been mounting for years. What are the parties proposing?

When it was time for former prime minister Justin Trudeau to vacate his office, he left at least one thing behind for his successor: blueprints to overhaul one of Canada's most iconic institutions: the RCMP. Calling the nearly 152-year-old agency "strained," Trudeau urged the winner of the next election to start the process of getting the Mounties out of boots-on-the-ground...

Mark Gollom

Poilievre says he'd pass a law that overrides a Charter right. That would be a first for a PM

No federal government has ever used the notwithstanding clause. In January 2006 during the federal leaders' debate, Liberal Leader Paul Martin surprised many political observers when he seemingly out of the blue raised the issue of the notwithstanding clause. Martin challenged Conservative Leader Stephen Harper to agree to a constitutional amendment ensuring that Ottawa would never use the controversial clause...

‘Not accurate’: Doug Ford disputes report Honda mulling moving Canadian production to U.S.

Ontario Premier Doug Ford says he was told by the president of Honda Canada that a report suggesting some production in Canada and Mexico will move to the U.S. is “not accurate at all.” Ford also told reporters Tuesday that the company plans to send out a statement clarifying the situation. “We’re going to keep Honda here, and I’ll do...

Zak Vescera

Deputy Conservative leader invested in Brookfield while attacking Mark Carney for running the investment giant

At least seven Conservative MPs held stock in Liberal leader’s former company, IJF analysis finds.Multiple Conservative MPs personally invested in Liberal Leader Mark Carney’s former company, a business their party has spent weeks attacking in the lead-up to this month’s election, according to an IJF analysis.

Codi Wilson

‘Sometimes the truth hurts’: Ford defends campaign manager who criticized Poilievre

Ontario Premier Doug Ford is defending his long-time campaign strategist Kory Teneycke for comments he made criticizing federal Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre. Speaking to CTV Power Play host Vassy Kapelos last week, Teneycke accused Poilievre and his team of “blowing” a big lead in the polls, which now firmly place the Liberals ahead of the Conservatives by a notable margin...

Laura Stone, Jeff Gray

Doug Ford defends campaign manager Kory Teneycke for criticizing Poilievre

Ontario Premier Doug Ford says the federal Conservatives would be in a better position if his own campaign manager were in charge, defending criticism from Kory Teneycke about Pierre Poilievre’s election strategy. Mr. Ford on Monday weighed into the latest fracas between the provincial and federal conservative parties, speaking out in support of Mr. Teneycke who has accused Mr. Poilievre’s...

Politician's Pen

Stéphanie Plante

Ovechkin’s NHL Legacy: A Hockey Milestone Overshadowed by Sportswashing and Ties to Putin

Terry Beech

The State of Service Report

Our government created the Citizens’ Services portfolio in 2023 to champion service delivery excellence and to improve government efficiency. This State of Service report was drafted to communicate how we are accomplishing this mandate and to update Canadians on some of our biggest programs, including the Passport Program, the Canadian Dental Care Plan, Employment Insurance, Benefits Delivery Modernization and the...

US Poli

Steve Peoples And Fatima Hussein, The Associated Press

Biden alleges Trump has 'taken a hatchet' to Social Security in his first post-presidency speech

CHICAGO (AP) -- Former President Joe Biden warned on Tuesday that President Donald Trump has "taken a hatchet" to Social Security, weighing in on a critical issue for millions of Americans as the 82-year-old Democrat briefly returned to the national stage.

Steve Peoples And Fatima Hussein, The Associated Press

Joe Biden will speak about Social Security in his return to the national stage

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Former President Joe Biden returns to the national stage Tuesday to elevate liberal concerns that President Donald Trump's agenda is threatening the health of Social Security.

Michael Casey, The Associated Press

Trump administration freezes $2.2 billion in grants to Harvard over campus activism

BOSTON (AP) -- The federal government says it's freezing more than $2.2 billion in grants and $60 million in contracts to Harvard University, since the institution said Monday it won't comply with the Trump administration's demands to limit activism on campus.

Will Weissert, The Associated Press

Vance fumbles Ohio State's NCAA football championship trophy as Buckeyes visit the White House

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Vice President JD Vance ended the Ohio State football team's visit to the White House on Monday by fumbling the team's national championship trophy.

International

Barbara Ortutay, The Associated Press

Meta faces historic antitrust trial that could force it to break off Instagram, WhatsApp

Meta Platforms Inc. faces a historic antitrust trial beginning Monday that could force the tech giant to break off Instagram and WhatsApp, startups it bought more than a decade ago that have since grown into social media powerhouses.

China hits back at U.S. and will raise tariffs on American goods from 84% to 125%

China announced Friday that it will raise tariffs on U.S. goods from 84 per cent to 125 per cent -- the latest salvo in an escalating trade war between the world’s two largest economies that has rattled markets and raised fears of a global slowdown. While U.S. President Donald Trump paused import taxes this week for other countries, he raised...

NYC mayor says family of Spanish tourists, including 3 children, died in helicopter crash

A helicopter broke apart in midair Thursday and crashed upside-down into the Hudson River between Manhattan and the New Jersey waterfront, killing a family of Spanish tourists, including three children in the latest high-profile aviation disaster in the U.S., officials said. Mayor Eric Adams said the flight began at a downtown heliport around 3 p.m. and that the dead had...

Wyatte Grantham-philips, The Associated Press

Trump's latest round of tariffs have taken effect - and China is retaliating. Here's what we know

NEW YORK (AP) -- President Donald Trump has launched tariff wars with nearly all of America's trading partners. And there's no end in sight.

Michael Kunzelman And Ben Finley, The Associated Press

The US must return a Maryland man mistakenly deported to an El Salvador prison, a judge says

GREENBELT, Md. (AP) -- A federal judge on Friday ordered the Trump administration to arrange for the return of a Maryland man to the United States after he was mistakenly deported to a notorious El Salvador prison, while a U.S. government attorney was at a loss to explain what happened.

Think Tank

Jonah Davids

Wired for worry: How smartphones and social media are harming Canadian youth

The introduction of smartphones, and with it, ubiquitous social media usage, are clearly key factors in the rise in youth mental health issues seen across the world.

Emaad Samsoodeen, Kevin Page

Assessing Canada’s Policy Responses to Trump’s Tariffs

The principal ballot box question for the 2025 federal election is which party leader is best positioned to address Donald Trump’s trade war and threats to Canadian sovereignty. The conflict with the Trump administration has the potential to be a turning point for the Canadian economy. Forecasters are suggesting we brace for an economic recession. Whether or not this happens...

Heather Exner-Pirot

Northern corridors: Hype or hope? Heather Exner-Pirot

In the rush to diversify Canada’s trade routes and export destinations, provincial, territorial, and federal politicians of all partisan stripes have heralded new corridors and ports. With major ports already established on the Pacific side, in Vancouver and Prince Rupert; and the Atlantic side, in Montreal, Halifax, and Saint John; attention has turned to the Arctic.

Substacks

A collection of SubStack publishing within Canadian public affairs.

Steven Staples

Is the peace movement wrong?

Is it time I admit defeat, pull up my tent and go home? For 30 years I have advocated for reductions to Canada’s military spending, and it keeps rising and rising. Now it’s reached the point where Canada is the 6th highest in actual dollars within NATO (after USA, Germany, UK, France, Poland). Responding to expensive plans to increase military...

Dean Beeby

The dossier Trudeau took to Mar-a-Lago

Last fall, before the Trump shitstorm, advisers to the prime minister saw the black clouds gathering to the south. The new president had not yet been sworn into office, but it was clear Canada was in the crosshairs.

Dean Beeby

Mark Carney's $100 apology

The 10 men who have governed the Bank of Canada since its inception in 1934 have been taciturn types, studiously avoiding the mud-holes of public controversy. Central banks trade in trust, and must project immutability and stability.That’s why it was so unusual in 2012 to hear Mark Carney, then governor of the Bank, apologize to Canadians for screwing up.

Podcasts

Election week 4: It's a jungle online

Making sense of the online invective-scape. Plus: Continued effort to make sense of Quebec! “There’s a lot of crap on the internet,” Taylor Owen tells me early in this week’s feature interview. “But that is not an election phenomenon, that is not a foreign-interference issue, that’s just a reality of our internet and our social media.”

The Magic Number is 14

Update on the campaign from over the weekend!

What can Canadians expect when travelling to the US?

To burner phone or not to burner phone? The current debate on social media amid heightened searches of personal electronic devices by US immigration officers. Combined with new requirements for Canadians travelling to the US, such as mandatory registration with the American government for a 30+ day stay, as well as frightening headlines of travelers being detained at the border...

The Conservative kingmaker behind Poilievre

Three terms and a decisive majority under Stephen Harper. Erin O'Toole's leadership run — and subsequent castigation. Pierre Poilievre's meteoric ascendency to within striking distance of the country's top office. What do these things all have in common? Jenni Byrne, the longtime Conservative powerbroker running Poilievre's campaign, who has moved in the party's inner circles since first joining the Reform...

Alberta separatists getting organized — a unity challenge for Canada and Danielle Smith's party

Green Party co-leader says removal from leaders' debates is 'undemocratic'

TD Bank closed accounts of pro-China group, ex-Liberal MP Han Dong, records show

Outgoing Conservative MP Ed Fast slams ‘sham’ process to replace him in longtime riding

Nearly 900,000 fewer people went to the U.S. in March as cross-border travel plummets

ElectionWatch 2025

Polling Trendlines

Latest Results

The Liberal Party holds a commanding lead across Atlantic Canada.

LPC 44.7, CPC 37.3, NDP 8.3, BQ 6.2, GP 2.2, PPC 1.1

Federal Politics: With Two Weeks Left, Carney’s Lead Narrows

Seat Projections

Canada's Campaign Watchers

Third Wave Analysis:

Previous Analysis:

Who Our Watchers Are:

Election News

Green Party co-leader says removal from leaders' debates is 'undemocratic'

Trump effect leaves Canada’s Conservatives facing catastrophic loss

Green Party dropped from leaders' debates for not running enough candidates

Neil Young Trashes Trump in Mark Carney Endorsement: 'Could Use a Soul'

Carney expected to be top target in French-language leaders' debate

Alberta separatists getting organized — a unity challenge for Canada and Danielle Smith's party

Campaign Analysis

What Conservative rally crowds reveal—and why it matters

SMT -- From Dirty Tricks to Debate Tactics

Would Pierre Poilievre rather lose than change?

The swan song of NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh could find its audience yet

Which Poilievre will show up for the French debate?

Red-pill populism

Policy Announcements

Mark Carney’s Liberals announce plan to train skilled workers for strong careers

Poilievre Will Stop Scammers Targeting Our Seniors

NDP Plan for Better Health Care: More Nurses, Safer Workplaces, No Cuts or Private Agencies

Mark Carney announces further measures to secure Canadian sovereignty

Poilievre Will Restore Consecutive Sentences For Mass Murderers

NDP Plan for the Northern Ontario: Local Doctors, Affordable Food, Better Roads

Opinion More View More

What Conservative rally crowds reveal—and why it matters

Would Pierre Poilievre rather lose than change?

The swan song of NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh could find its audience yet

Which Poilievre will show up for the French debate?

Red-pill populism

Trump’s tariffs: Where do we go from here?

In the U.S., defying the courts is a constitutional crisis. In Canada, it’s a simple matter of paperwork

Tough on Crime, Soft on Results

Pierre Poilievre is taking a beating from conservatives who should have his back

Trump Wants to Bring Factories Home: Jobs? Not So Much.

"The camera is an X-Ray machine for the soul." First impressions and the Poilievre-Carney battle

Carney and Poilievre are fighting an election that's about both change and stability

Debates should be about real issues, not superficial personality contests

What is happening to NDP support?

The many dangers of Pierre Poilievre’s war on ‘woke’

The Liberal ‘button’ scheme was a colossal self-own. That’s not the worst part of it

Mark Carney in the political crosshairs

Why I’m Endorsing Mark Carney & The Liberals

Mark Carney Liberal sleaze and Premier Doug Ford's big mouth

Tale of the TLMEP - Trudeau and Poilievre visit Quebec's most important TV programme

Carney grasps a key point that Poilievre has missed in the trade war

Poilievre: we’re just not that into him

The Resilient Appeal of Mark Carney is One of the Biggest Stories of this Election

Carney passes major test facing critical Quebec media

The other leader at this week’s federal election debates: Donald Trump

Canadians are laser-focused on Trump. After a spotty decade of Liberal government, that suits Carney just fine

Mark Carney’s cabinet sends the wrong message on gender equality

News More View More

Trump effect leaves Canada’s Conservatives facing catastrophic loss

Green Party dropped from leaders' debates for not running enough candidates

SMT -- From Dirty Tricks to Debate Tactics

Neil Young Trashes Trump in Mark Carney Endorsement: 'Could Use a Soul'

Carney expected to be top target in French-language leaders' debate

Trade talks more opaque after Canada’s foreign ministry cuts live briefings in wake of media leaks

A wakeup call for Canadian agriculture

Conservative MPs attack Carney for his work at Brookfield. They also invested in its companies

Retiring Tory MP Ed Fast endorses Mike de Jong in Abbotsford-South Langley

Time changed for French-language debate due to Montreal Canadiens game

Behind Doug Ford’s unusually public criticism of Poilievre’s campaign

Greens held back some candidates despite giving full slate to debates commission - Party needed candidates for 90% of ridings to qualify for leaders' debates

Stephen Harper's former chief of staff says a Poilievre government could move 'quickly' to cut the public service

Trump still wants Canada to be the 51st U.S. state, White House says