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Liberals widen lead to double digits over Tories in Canada election: poll

Liberals widen lead to double digits over Tories in Canada election: poll

The Liberals have widened their lead over the Conservatives to double digits among voters as the federal election campaign enters its third week, a new poll shows.The Ipsos poll conducted exclusively for Global News and released Sunday shows 46 per cent of Canadians surveyed would cast their ballots for the Liberals, up two points from last week.

Former Liberal justice minister endorses Bloc Québécois's Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe

Former Liberal justice minister endorses Bloc Québécois's Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe

Irwin Cotler calls Brunelle-Duceppe an outstanding MP on social media. Former Liberal justice minister and internationally renowned human rights expert Irwin Cotler says Bloc Québécois candidate Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe deserves support this election, regardless of his political affiliation. In a social media post endorsing the incumbent MP on Friday, Cotler said that Brunelle-Duceppe has been "an outstanding member of Parliament, a...

The Canadian Political Brawler Who Had a 25-Point Lead and a Problem: Trump

The Canadian Political Brawler Who Had a 25-Point Lead and a Problem: Trump

Just two months ago, Pierre Poilievre seemed destined to become Canada’s next prime minister. But his double digit polling lead vanished with President Trump's threat to annex Canada. Carrying his 6-year-old daughter on his shoulders, Pierre Poilievre, the Conservative Party leader running to lead Canada, was wading through a crowd of well-wishers in his electoral district in Ottawa.

Canadians feel this federal election ‘more important’ than in the past, primarily driven by leader choice: Nanos survey

Canadians feel this federal election ‘more important’ than in the past, primarily driven by leader choice: Nanos survey

An overwhelming majority of Canadians believe that the current federal election, being fought amid continued threats against Canada’s sovereignty from U.S. President Donald Trump, is the most import one yet According to a new survey from Nanos Research, 86 per cent of Canadians believe this election is more important than past elections. In Ontario and B.C., that sentiment was highest...

Parties lost a swath of candidates last week. After Monday, it'll be too late to replace them

Parties lost a swath of candidates last week. After Monday, it'll be too late to replace them

Candidates were dropping almost as fast as the writs in the first two weeks of the campaign. But after Monday, political parties will have an additional problem if they decide to remove someone from their ticket — they won't be able to put forward a backup contender. Between the Liberals and Conservatives, more than half a dozen candidates have stepped...



ElectionWatch 2025

Polling Trendlines

NNW EW2025 Dataviz 2025 EN1 POLLS

Latest Results

Carney Liberals Open Up Double-Digit Lead

Carney Liberals Open Up Double-Digit Lead

The Liberal Party led by Mark Carney continues to gain momentum in week two of election campaigning (46%, +2), opening a double-digit lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives (34%, -4 pts) among decided voters. This level of national support firmly places the Liberals in majority-government territory if the election were held today. The Liberals hold a lead in Ontario, British Columbia...

Decided Liberal Voters Most Likely to Say They Will Vote to Ensure Another Party Does Not Win Election

Decided Liberal Voters Most Likely to Say They Will Vote to Ensure Another Party Does Not Win Election

Around half of decided voters continue to say they are “absolutely” certain of their vote choice, higher among Conservative voters (59%) compared to Liberal voters (54%) and NDP voters (38%). Just under one in five (16%) say their vote choice has changed in the last four weeks. The Liberal (22%) and NDP parties (22%) gained the most momentum from vote...

National Tracker: Liberals 44%, Conservatives 39%

National Tracker: Liberals 44%, Conservatives 39%

A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 44% (-2) to the Conservatives 39% (+1).

Seat Projections

NNW EW2025 Dataviz 2025 EN1 SEATS

Canada's Campaign Watchers

Second Wave Analysis:

The second wave of our survey of campaign watchers has been completed. A total of 94 people shared their views this week. Again, roughly half the sample had campaign experience with the Liberals (50%), and with Conservatives (49%). Read More 

Who Our Watchers Are:
Adam Taylor Adrian Jean Alex Maheu Ali Salam Aliya Mohammed Andrew Casey Andrew MacDougall Andy Gibbons Axel Rioux Ben Parsons Brad Lavigne Brendan McGuinty Brian Clow Brianna Ames Bruce Winchester Bruce Anderson Cameron MacKeen Cara Salci Carlene Variyan Caroline Séguin Chad Bowie Chad Walsh Chisholm Pothier Chris Day Chris McCluskey Christine Burke Dan Mader Dave Forestell Dave Prisco David McArthur Dennis Matthews Dennis Prouse Derek Nighbor Dil Puar Dimitri Soudas Don Stickney Elder Marques Elly Alboim Eric Johnson Fraser Macdonald Fred DeLorey Gabe Garfinkel Gabrielle Berard Greg MacNeil Greg McEachern Hardave Birk Jaime Watt Jamie Kippen Janet Fryday Dorey Jason Kenney Jeremy Broadhurst Jim Anderson Joanne Macrae Jordan Deagle Kate Harrison Kathleen Monk Katie Telford Ken Boessenkool Kevin Bosch Lanny Cardow Laryssa Waler Laura Kurkimaki Laura Pennell Lawrence Cannon Lisa MacLeod Lisa Raitt Marc-Olivier Fortin Marcia Smith Max Dea Megan Leslie Melanie Richer Melissa Cotton Mike Solberg Mollie Anderson Monte Solberg Morgan Swan Nancy Jamieson Patrick Rogers Perry Tsergas Phil Cartwright Rebecca Rogers Richard Mahoney Rick Anderson Rob Silver Roxanna Benoit Ryan Dunn Sabrina Grover Scott Feschuk Scott Reid Sean Speer Sheamus Murphy Stephen Carter Tasha Kheiriddin Tausha Michaud Tim Powers Tyler Banham Vandana Fatima Kattar Will Stewart Yaroslav Baran Zain Velji Zita Astravas

Election News

Former Liberal justice minister endorses Bloc Québécois's Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe

Former Liberal justice minister endorses Bloc Québécois's Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe

Irwin Cotler calls Brunelle-Duceppe an outstanding MP on social media. Former Liberal justice minister and internationally renowned human rights expert Irwin Cotler says Bloc Québécois candidate Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe deserves support this election, regardless of his political affiliation. In a social media post endorsing the incumbent MP on Friday, Cotler said that Brunelle-Duceppe has been "an outstanding member of Parliament, a...

Liberals widen lead to double digits over Tories in Canada election: poll

Liberals widen lead to double digits over Tories in Canada election: poll

The Liberals have widened their lead over the Conservatives to double digits among voters as the federal election campaign enters its third week, a new poll shows.The Ipsos poll conducted exclusively for Global News and released Sunday shows 46 per cent of Canadians surveyed would cast their ballots for the Liberals, up two points from last week.

Liberals promise tariff protection to ag sector
NDP's Singh drops 'I'm running for prime minister' messaging two weeks into the campaign

NDP's Singh drops 'I'm running for prime minister' messaging two weeks into the campaign

As Jagmeet Singh heads into his third week of campaigning, the NDP leader is dropping his assertive messaging that he is running to be prime minister.Singh is no longer explicitly repeating the line at news conferences.On Wednesday and Friday, CBC News asked Singh if he was still running for the country's top political job.

Canadian Export Graydon Carter Talks Trump, Napoleon and Canada’s Election

Canadian Export Graydon Carter Talks Trump, Napoleon and Canada’s Election

The former Vanity Fair editor’s long-running feud with Trump is legendary. Now, he’s sounding off on his threats toward his home country of Canada.

The Canadian Political Brawler Who Had a 25-Point Lead and a Problem: Trump

The Canadian Political Brawler Who Had a 25-Point Lead and a Problem: Trump

Just two months ago, Pierre Poilievre seemed destined to become Canada’s next prime minister. But his double digit polling lead vanished with President Trump's threat to annex Canada. Carrying his 6-year-old daughter on his shoulders, Pierre Poilievre, the Conservative Party leader running to lead Canada, was wading through a crowd of well-wishers in his electoral district in Ottawa.

Campaign Analysis

Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre are being forced to learn on the job — and it shows

Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre are being forced to learn on the job — and it shows

Matt Gurney: I want to ask you a specific question about the campaign — a few different parts of it, really. But I want to lead with a broader question, just as a vibe check. Does this feel like an election yet? I have to say, it doesn’t to me. It’s my job to follow this stuff. I do! But...

It’s dangerous to frame Canada’s election around what Donald Trump wants

It’s dangerous to frame Canada’s election around what Donald Trump wants

In a normal election campaign, the ballot-box question would revolve around what voters want.But Canada is not in a normal campaign, and a lot of time is being spent in this one focused on what Donald Trump might want.

Good Talk -- Reality Sinks In ... This is Going to Hurt

Good Talk -- Reality Sinks In ... This is Going to Hurt

As the week ends thousands of Canadians are out of work because of the Donald Trump tariffs. Thousands more could be soon. But that's not all as grocery prices and a lot more will soon start going up as well. The trade war is on. The question now is how will it impact the federal election campaign as it approaches...

A Laurentian mayor may be a harbinger of a Liberal breakthrough in rural Quebec

A Laurentian mayor may be a harbinger of a Liberal breakthrough in rural Quebec

The Bloc Québécois had expected to easily win a new riding in the Laurentians North of Montreal. The ‘Carney effect’ is being felt even in those parts of the province where the Liberals haven’t won a seat in years. Tim Watchorn is the mayor of the beautiful Laurentian village of Morin Heights. This is my neck of the woods and...

Carney says he's for Alberta — the crap detector alarm goes off

Carney says he's for Alberta — the crap detector alarm goes off

'I resile to no one in terms of my understanding of the West,' says Liberal Leader Mark Carney, leading people to rush for the closest dictionary.

Only Poilievre and Conservatives unequivocally condemn antisemitism

Only Poilievre and Conservatives unequivocally condemn antisemitism

It's ironic that the strongest defenders of Canada's Jewish community are the Conservatives, who the Liberals often accuse of conspiring with neo-Nazis and white supremacists

Policy Announcements

NDP to end landlord money grabs and bring in national rent control

    NDP to end landlord money grabs and bring in national rent control

    Today, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh announced a plan to fight soaring rents and protect renters, starting by implementing national rent control—a policy that will stop predatory corporate landlords that profiteer off people’s homes with unfair and unreasonable rent increases. "No one should lose their home because their landlord wants to double the rent,” said Singh. “New Democrats will take a...

    Mark Carney’s Liberals to cover costs of apprenticeship training for skilled trades workers

      Mark Carney’s Liberals to cover costs of apprenticeship training for skilled trades workers

      In the face of President Trump’s tariffs, we need to build Canada strong. That starts by supporting our workers. The work of bricklayers, crane operators, welders, and others are essential in building the future of Canada – and a Mark Carney government will invest in their futures. Today, Mark Carney announced a plan to cover apprenticeship training costs of up...

      Singh pledges federal action to give every Canadian access to a family doctor by 2030

        Singh pledges federal action to give every Canadian access to a family doctor by 2030

        Today, NDP leader Jagmeet Singh laid out a plan to ensure every Canadian has a family doctor addressing the worsening shortage in primary care that has left nearly seven million Canadians without a family physician. “The Canada we are proud of was built by people who believe that health care should be there for you when you need it—not just...

        Mark Carney’s Liberals to protect Canada’s national identity by strengthening CBC/Radio-Canada

          Mark Carney’s Liberals to protect Canada’s national identity by strengthening CBC/Radio-Canada

          Montreal, QC – Today, Mark Carney announced a new Liberal plan to protect our Canadian identity by strengthening CBC/Radio-Canada. In this time of crisis, protecting our identity is a critical part of keeping Canada strong.

          Poilievre To Cut Red Tape by 25%, Bring in Two-for-One Law

            Poilievre To Cut Red Tape by 25%, Bring in Two-for-One Law

            Today, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced his plan to eliminate 25 percent of all red tape within his first two years as Prime Minister. This will significantly ease the administrative burden on taxpayers and businesses, waking up our economy from the red tape-induced slumber it has been in after a Lost Liberal Decade. Poilievre will introduce a ‘two-for-one’ law mandating...

            Poilievre Pledges Tougher Sentencing for Intimate Partner Violence

              Poilievre Pledges Tougher Sentencing for Intimate Partner Violence

              Today, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced his plan to address the epidemic of intimate partner violence. Poilievre will keep abusers off the street and behind bars to protect the most vulnerable Canadians.



              Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre are being forced to learn on the job — and it shows

              Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre are being forced to learn on the job — and it shows

              Matt Gurney: I want to ask you a specific question about the campaign — a few different parts of it, really. But I want to lead with a broader question, just as a vibe check. Does this feel like an election yet? I have to say, it doesn’t to me. It’s my job to follow this stuff. I do! But...

              It’s dangerous to frame Canada’s election around what Donald Trump wants

              It’s dangerous to frame Canada’s election around what Donald Trump wants

              In a normal election campaign, the ballot-box question would revolve around what voters want.But Canada is not in a normal campaign, and a lot of time is being spent in this one focused on what Donald Trump might want.

              There is only one way for Canada to deal with Donald Trump

              There is only one way for Canada to deal with Donald Trump

              A few weeks ago, I argued that the strongest political opposition to Donald Trump resided right here in Canada.Turns out, that’s an increasingly dangerous place to be.

              A Laurentian mayor may be a harbinger of a Liberal breakthrough in rural Quebec

              A Laurentian mayor may be a harbinger of a Liberal breakthrough in rural Quebec

              The Bloc Québécois had expected to easily win a new riding in the Laurentians North of Montreal. The ‘Carney effect’ is being felt even in those parts of the province where the Liberals haven’t won a seat in years. Tim Watchorn is the mayor of the beautiful Laurentian village of Morin Heights. This is my neck of the woods and...

              Carney says he's for Alberta — the crap detector alarm goes off

              Carney says he's for Alberta — the crap detector alarm goes off

              'I resile to no one in terms of my understanding of the West,' says Liberal Leader Mark Carney, leading people to rush for the closest dictionary.

              Only Poilievre and Conservatives unequivocally condemn antisemitism

              Only Poilievre and Conservatives unequivocally condemn antisemitism

              It's ironic that the strongest defenders of Canada's Jewish community are the Conservatives, who the Liberals often accuse of conspiring with neo-Nazis and white supremacists

              Trump has Canadian voters tuned in. But on election day, who will turn out?
              What's the state of the race at the end of election Week 2? | Power & Politics

              What's the state of the race at the end of election Week 2? | Power & Politics

              The CBC's Olivia Stefanovich, Evan Dyer and David Thurton report from the road with the main parties as Week 2 of the campaign draws down. Our panel of party insiders also discusses how parties are positioning themselves and attacking each other.

              Why Canada Fell Out of Love with Justin Trudeau

              Why Canada Fell Out of Love with Justin Trudeau

              He promised sunny ways but left behind a divided country. THE MORNING AFTER leading the Liberal Party to a stunning come-from-behind majority in 2015, Justin Trudeau, prime minister–in–waiting, showed up at a Montreal Metro station. He was there to greet surprised commuters and, in many cases, share his gratitude for the victory. A cynic might have dismissed it as staged...

              A new ballot question: How should Canada define its relationship with the U.S.?

              A new ballot question: How should Canada define its relationship with the U.S.?

              In these disorienting days, Canadian leaders are responding in real time to a deeply uncertain world. On the day the president of the United States launched a global trade war, Alberta Premier Danielle Smith chose to look on the bright side. The United States, she wrote, had decided to "uphold the majority of the free trade agreement … between our...



              Pierre Poilievre spurned Brian Mulroney’s advice, and is paying the price
              Who Has the Best Housing Plan?

              Who Has the Best Housing Plan?

              I hope everyone had a pleasant Liberation Day. I’m coming to you from overcast Kingston, Ontario, where Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre is campaigning. All party leaders have spent the past 24 hours scrambling to respond to Donald Trump’s quixotic tariff announcement — which, conspicuously, left out Canada and Mexico. While we still face a litany of sector-specific tariffs, everyone is...

              Canada’s Bigger-Boat Election

              Canada’s Bigger-Boat Election

              In the 1975 Spielberg summer blockbuster Jaws, a line that had become a running on-set joke about the stinginess of producers Richard Zanuck and David Brown in failing to supply a boat big enough to assist the film’s shooting barge made its way into the final cut, becoming one of the most quoted, and misquoted, lines in movie history. “You’re...

              Pierre Poilievre has a problem with women. Mark Carney has a problem with men

              Pierre Poilievre has a problem with women. Mark Carney has a problem with men

              It is nearly impossible to win a federal election unless you are able to attract two key constituencies of “swing voters” — blue collar workers and new Canadians.This formula has been the key to the Liberals’ success and the Conservatives’ failure in the last three federal elections and has reshaped how all parties campaign.

              5 reasons Canada should keep calm and carry on amid Trump tariff chaos

              5 reasons Canada should keep calm and carry on amid Trump tariff chaos

              In late June 1939, the United Kingdom’s Ministry of Information produced three posters to boost domestic morale and focus the public anxiety about the war around them and the anticipated coming invasion.One poster read “Freedom is In Peril / Defend It With All Your Might.” A second poster read “Your Courage, Your Cheerfulness, Your Resolution Will Bring Us Victory.”

              Mark Carney will not make Canada more prosperous
              On the Trail of Pierre the ‘Ripper’

              On the Trail of Pierre the ‘Ripper’

              Historian and journalist Mark Bourrie writes, “This book is about how Canada made its own version of Donald Trump, albeit with fewer guns and less rioting, but with lots of trucks and lies.” Around the world extreme right-wing leaders are coming to power, authoritarians who offer “easy and simple answers to complicated questions.” Aggressive people see an opportunity, and COVID...

              Is there a Carney multiplier effect?

              Is there a Carney multiplier effect?

              Liberal fortunes today are clearly in the hands of their leader Mark Carney - For every one point ballot box advantage today is a two point advantage on the preferred PM tracking.

              Trump’s tariffs are what he says they are: weapons of blunt-force, wrong-headed protectionism
              If Trump shuts up now, Conservatives have a shot at regaining edge

              If Trump shuts up now, Conservatives have a shot at regaining edge

              Pity poor Pierre Poilievre.You study your whole life for an exam only to find out at the last minute that the subject has changed and that your fellow student, your rival for class president from next door, is a subject matter expert. Talk about rotten luck.

              Pierre Poilievre has a women problem

              Pierre Poilievre has a women problem

              Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre caused a bit of a stir online this week when he gave a shoutout to the enfeebled ovaries (and low-motile sperm) of this great nation when addressing millennials’ struggle to enter the housing market. “We will not forget,” he said, during a campaign stop in New Brunswick, “that young 36-year-old couple whose biological clock is running...

              Poilievre riding convoy into electoral brick wall

              Poilievre riding convoy into electoral brick wall

              When the truckers’ convoy rolled into Ottawa in a cacophonous cloud of diesel smoke in January 2022, Canada’s Conservative Party was led by Erin O’Toole, a mild-mannered centrist who had been trying to keep his party moderate enough to appeal to voters in Ontario suburbs. The arrival of thousands of horn-honking anti-vaccine protesters scrambled the opinion environment in the Conservative...

              Donald Trump gives Mark Carney another chance to wear his prime minister hat

              Donald Trump gives Mark Carney another chance to wear his prime minister hat

              Canada didn’t emerge totally unscathed from Donald Trump’s shock-and-awe day of sweeping tariffs this week, but the general agreement in this country is that it could have been a lot worse.

              Why Canadian women are suddenly breaking for the Liberals

              Why Canadian women are suddenly breaking for the Liberals

              If only women voted, Mark Carney would be on track for the biggest landslide in Canadian history

              Pierre Poilievre’s plans for the CBC are politically savvy and make no sense

              Pierre Poilievre’s plans for the CBC are politically savvy and make no sense

              At a rally Tuesday in Hamilton, Pierre Poilievre joked about the great day when a U-Haul rolls up Front Street “with a wonderful family in it to move into their wonderful new home in the headquarters of the CBC.” The next day in Montmagny, down the Saint Lawrence from Quebec City, he promised that he would “préserver les services de”...

              Carney’s Ford-like Playbook Drives Liberal Advantage in Polls

              Carney’s Ford-like Playbook Drives Liberal Advantage in Polls

              The latest national tracking survey shows a lift in support for the Liberal Party, now leading with 46% of voter backing. The Conservatives follow at 37%, while the New Democrats trail at a tracking low of 9%, dipping from 11% in earlier tracking. Over the initial five days of data collection, the Liberals have experienced a notable rise, climbing from...

              Poilievre’s agenda is radically different than Carney’s and it’s frightening

              Poilievre’s agenda is radically different than Carney’s and it’s frightening

              A deeply flawed argument has slipped into the national election conversation.It goes like this: there isn’t much policy difference between front-runners Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre, so it really comes down to who can best handle Donald Trump.

              Liberals promise tariff protection to ag sector
              NDP's Singh drops 'I'm running for prime minister' messaging two weeks into the campaign

              NDP's Singh drops 'I'm running for prime minister' messaging two weeks into the campaign

              As Jagmeet Singh heads into his third week of campaigning, the NDP leader is dropping his assertive messaging that he is running to be prime minister.Singh is no longer explicitly repeating the line at news conferences.On Wednesday and Friday, CBC News asked Singh if he was still running for the country's top political job.

              Canadian Export Graydon Carter Talks Trump, Napoleon and Canada’s Election

              Canadian Export Graydon Carter Talks Trump, Napoleon and Canada’s Election

              The former Vanity Fair editor’s long-running feud with Trump is legendary. Now, he’s sounding off on his threats toward his home country of Canada.

              Poilievre stands by B.C. candidate after Indigenous leaders urge Conservatives to drop him over ‘horrific’ online posts

              Poilievre stands by B.C. candidate after Indigenous leaders urge Conservatives to drop him over ‘horrific’ online posts

              Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre is defending one of his candidates in British Columbia who was accused of making “horrific and offensive” comments on social media about the harms perpetrated against Indigenous Peoples in Canada. At a campaign stop in Osoyoos, B.C., Poilievre rejected calls from Indigenous leaders and others for the Conservatives to drop Aaron Gunn, a documentary filmmaker running...



              Inside the NDP’s struggling campaign as party faces possible collapse

              Inside the NDP’s struggling campaign as party faces possible collapse

              The bus is orange. The seats are carpeted. And the battle cry for the partisans on board is borrowed from the late Jack Layton: “Don’t let them tell you it can’t be done.” Layton led the NDP to its best-ever election result in 2011, when the party won 100 seats and, for the first and only time, became the official...

              Police arrest man who barricaded himself inside Parliament Hill East Block, ending hours-long standoff

              Police arrest man who barricaded himself inside Parliament Hill East Block, ending hours-long standoff

              The Ottawa Police Service says a man was arrested without incident after he barricaded himself inside Parliament Hill’s East Block, ending an hours-long standoff Saturday. “The barricaded man call at East Block has ended without incident. One man is in custody. The @ottawapolice criminal investigation is ongoing and an update will be provided in the morning. We thank the public...

              Carney warns of 'tough days ahead' as tariffs make U.S. recession 'likely'

              Carney warns of 'tough days ahead' as tariffs make U.S. recession 'likely'

              Pierre Poilievre says Trump endorses Carney, Jagmeet Singh pledges to keep up tariff fight. Donald Trump's latest round of tariffs is only a few days old, but the havoc they're already exerting on the global economy points to upcoming "pressure" on Canada's employment levels, Liberal Leader Mark Carney is warning. Wednesday's announcement of new tariffs on imports to the United...

              Canada wanted to ‘cooperate’ on illegal immigration. Trump chose tariffs

              Canada wanted to ‘cooperate’ on illegal immigration. Trump chose tariffs

              Newly released documents show that in the days following the U.S. election, Canada favoured “cooperation” with the second Trump administration on “common challenges” related to illegal immigration before the U.S. threatened sweeping tariffs. But following his victory, it appeared U.S. President Donald Trump had little interest in collaboration, choosing instead to publicly attack the U.S.’s closest ally and threaten its...

              Liberals could pick up five to six seats in Alberta, but NDP’s bleed in votes could also help Conservatives, say strategists

              Liberals could pick up five to six seats in Alberta, but NDP’s bleed in votes could also help Conservatives, say strategists

              The Mark Carney Liberals could be competitive in three seats in Calgary and two in Edmonton, says political strategist Stephen Carter. Alberta has long been a stronghold for the federal Conservative Party, but political insiders say the Liberal Party’s rapid surge in the polls over the past two months has put at least five of the province’s 37 ridings into...

              Liberals have 11-point lead over Conservatives; Carney opens up 22-point advantage over Poilievre as preferred PM

              Liberals have 11-point lead over Conservatives; Carney opens up 22-point advantage over Poilievre as preferred PM

              The federal Liberals now have an 11-point advantage over the Conservatives on Day 14 of the federal election campaign, while Mark Carney has opened up a 22-point lead over Pierre Poilievre when it comes to Canadians’ preferences for prime minister.A three-day rolling sample by Nanos Research ending April 4 has the Liberals at 46 per cent over the Conservatives at 35 per cent.

              How the Conservative and Liberal federal election campaigns are treating the media

              How the Conservative and Liberal federal election campaigns are treating the media

              On Wednesday morning, as Pierre Poilievre wrapped up the press conference portion of a Bay Street breakfast event, a clamour erupted at the back of the room. To those watching on TV, it sounded as if protesters had begun heckling the Conservative Leader. In fact, it was a handful of reporters, apparently frustrated by the campaign’s tight control of access...

              Good Talk -- Reality Sinks In ... This is Going to Hurt

              Good Talk -- Reality Sinks In ... This is Going to Hurt

              As the week ends thousands of Canadians are out of work because of the Donald Trump tariffs. Thousands more could be soon. But that's not all as grocery prices and a lot more will soon start going up as well. The trade war is on. The question now is how will it impact the federal election campaign as it approaches...

              Many of the Conservatives’ crime policies would be unconstitutional, experts say

                Many of the Conservatives’ crime policies would be unconstitutional, experts say

                Pierre Poilievre has pledged to end what he calls the “hug-a-thug” criminal justice policies of the Liberal government — policies he claims have turned the streets of Canadian cities into “war zones.” At his campaign rallies, the Conservative leader tells his supporters about prolific repeat offenders being treated with kid gloves. “Right now, if you steal 100 cars, you get...

                Mark Carney’s French skills not good enough for a prime minister, say a third of Francophone Canadians

                Mark Carney’s French skills not good enough for a prime minister, say a third of Francophone Canadians

                More than a third of Francophones in Canada think Mark Carney’s French is not good enough to be prime minister, suggests a new poll by Abacus Data shared exclusively with the Star. The new poll comes as the high-stakes federal leaders debates inch closer, and as Carney’s French-speaking skills remain a topic of discussion throughout the election campaign where all...

                High-stakes battlegrounds: the eight ridings that could shape the 2025 federal election

                High-stakes battlegrounds: the eight ridings that could shape the 2025 federal election

                With the federal election campaign in full swing, party leaders are crisscrossing the country to court voters. Where they campaign—and how well they connect with voters in battleground ridings—could prove pivotal in a 37-day race like no other. Canadians will vote in the shadow of an escalating trade war. In a stunning turnaround, the Liberal Party is polling ahead of...

                Why Anaida Poilievre has taken on an 'outsized role' in her husband's campaign

                Why Anaida Poilievre has taken on an 'outsized role' in her husband's campaign

                At a recent campaign event in North York, Ont., Pierre Poilievre had just left the podium after answering a media question about an underfunded francophone school when his wife Anaida approached him. The Conservative leader promptly returned to the podium, saying that his wife had just reminded him to make the point that Liberal Leader Mark Carney does not have...

                Fissure among Conservatives undermining Poilievre's pitch he's a national unifier: experts

                Fissure among Conservatives undermining Poilievre's pitch he's a national unifier: experts

                'There is a fairly profound divide within the Conservative movement': University of Calgary's Lisa Young. Long-simmering tensions within the Conservative movement are bursting out into the federal election, experts say — undercutting Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre's efforts to present himself as a unifier who can take on U.S. President Donald Trump. Those tensions materialized again after ex-Reform Party leader Preston...

                Demand rises for removal of North Island-Powell River candidate

                  Demand rises for removal of North Island-Powell River candidate

                  Calls for the Conservative Party of Canada to remove Aaron Gunn as its candidate in the North Island-Powell River riding are coming from First Nations, national party leaders and two other candidates running locally.On April 3, First Nations Leadership Council (FNLC) issued a media release about previous comments made by Gunn on social media.

                  GM increasing production at U.S. plant that makes same vehicle as Oshawa facility

                  GM increasing production at U.S. plant that makes same vehicle as Oshawa facility

                  General Motors says that it plans to hire an unspecified number of temporary employees at its Fort Wayne, Indiana, assembly plant in the wake of a U.S. tariff on imported vehicles that took effect this week. The assembly plant in Fort Wayne manufactures the Chevrolet Silverado and GMC Sierra pickup trucks. The Silverado is currently the only vehicle produced at...

                  Conservatives oust another Quebec candidate after he accuses Polytechnique survivor of exploiting tragedy

                  Conservatives oust another Quebec candidate after he accuses Polytechnique survivor of exploiting tragedy

                  Hours after appearing at a campaign event Friday on protecting women from violence, a Conservative candidate in Quebec was dropped by the party after social media posts surfaced of him attacking Polytechnique massacre survivor and Liberal candidate Nathalie Provost. Simon Payette, who was running in the riding of Berthier–Maskinongé, had criticized Provost’s gun-control advocacy in a series of posts, as...

                  Conservative Candidate Used a Secret Signal Group Chat With Freedom Convoy Leaders, Right-Wing Media and Far-Right Influencers

                  Conservative Candidate Used a Secret Signal Group Chat With Freedom Convoy Leaders, Right-Wing Media and Far-Right Influencers

                  Andrew Lawton was a member of the “clandestine” group chat used to coordinate convoy messaging on social media. One of Pierre Poilievre’s high-profile Conservative candidates was a member of a secret group chat used by Freedom Convoy leaders and their lawyers to coordinate messages on social media with right-wing alternative media personalities and far-right social media influencers.

                  B.C. premier urges support for federal NDP as former leader Tom Mulcair calls party 'an afterthought'

                  B.C. premier urges support for federal NDP as former leader Tom Mulcair calls party 'an afterthought'

                  Polls project NDP losing majority of its seats in B.C. as Liberals and Conservatives eat into support. British Columbia's New Democrat premier, David Eby, is urging voters to cast their ballots for NDP candidates in the upcoming federal election. The message comes as the party slumps in the polls, and former federal New Democrat leader Tom Mulcair calls the party...

                  Conservatives target labour vote as NDP support wanes, but union leader says there’s ‘no substance’ behind catchy slogans

                  Conservatives target labour vote as NDP support wanes, but union leader says there’s ‘no substance’ behind catchy slogans

                  The Conservatives have been courting what one strategist calls a “politically homeless” faction among unionized workers, with policy pledges and messaging to gain NDP voters as economic anxiety threatens to reshape Canada’s labour landscape.

                  Carney calls Preston Manning's Western independence comments 'dramatic'

                  Carney calls Preston Manning's Western independence comments 'dramatic'

                  Reform founder wrote Carney will be 'the last prime minister of a united Canada' if Liberals wins. Liberal Leader Mark Carney says he governs for all of Canada and called prominent conservative Preston Manning's comments on Western independence "dramatic" during a campaign stop in Montreal on Friday. In a recent op-ed for the Globe and Mail, the Reform Party founder...

                  Carney pledges $150M boost to 'underfunded' CBC

                  Carney pledges $150M boost to 'underfunded' CBC

                  Liberal government would make the broadcaster's funding statutory. Liberal Leader Mark Carney said on Friday that his government would provide an initial $150-million annual funding increase to CBC and Radio-Canada as part of a new mandate for the public broadcaster. "When we compare ourselves to the U.K., France or Germany, we see that our public broadcaster is underfunded," Carney said...

                  Politician's Pen

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                  Ovechkin’s NHL Legacy: A Hockey Milestone Overshadowed by Sportswashing and Ties to Putin
                  The State of Service Report

                  The State of Service Report

                  Our government created the Citizens’ Services portfolio in 2023 to champion service delivery excellence and to improve government efficiency. This State of Service report was drafted to communicate how we are accomplishing this mandate and to update Canadians on some of our biggest programs, including the Passport Program, the Canadian Dental Care Plan, Employment Insurance, Benefits Delivery Modernization and the...


                  'Hands Off!' protests against Trump and Musk are planned across the US

                  'Hands Off!' protests against Trump and Musk are planned across the US

                  WASHINGTON (AP) -- Opponents of President Donald Trump and billionaire Elon Musk plan to rally across the U.S. on Saturday to protest the administration's actions on government downsizing, the economy, human rights and other issues.

                  Retirees keep their eyes on the economy as Trump's tariffs roil financial markets

                  Retirees keep their eyes on the economy as Trump's tariffs roil financial markets

                  When retired school counselor Don Herneisen meets up with friends each week for breakfast at a hole-in-the-wall restaurant, the conversation often turns to the economy. With financial markets in turmoil as President Donald Trump unveiled his latest tariffs this week, the popularity of that topic is unlikely to change anytime soon.

                  Trump's tariffs slam world markets in the biggest blow since the pandemic hit in 2020

                  Trump's tariffs slam world markets in the biggest blow since the pandemic hit in 2020

                  Asian shares slid further Friday after U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs sent shudders through financial markets at a level of shock unseen since the COVID-19 pummeled world markets in 2020.

                  Trump says Musk will probably leave in 'a few months'

                  Trump says Musk will probably leave in 'a few months'

                  WASHINGTON (AP) -- President Donald Trump said Thursday that Elon Musk would likely leave his administration in "a few months," the clearest sign that his most powerful and disruptive adviser will be wrapping up his work inside the government.

                  International

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                  This section is sponsored by Canada's Motion Picture Industry.
                  The US must return a Maryland man mistakenly deported to an El Salvador prison, a judge says

                  The US must return a Maryland man mistakenly deported to an El Salvador prison, a judge says

                  GREENBELT, Md. (AP) -- A federal judge on Friday ordered the Trump administration to arrange for the return of a Maryland man to the United States after he was mistakenly deported to a notorious El Salvador prison, while a U.S. government attorney was at a loss to explain what happened.

                  China retaliates as Trump's tariffs affect world markets

                  China retaliates as Trump's tariffs affect world markets

                  Shares slid further in Europe and Asia and U.S. futures also fell Friday as investors counted the potential costs of U.S. President Donald Trump's latest set of tariffs, even as China retaliated by announcing it will impose a 34% tariff on imports of all U.S. products beginning April 10.

                  French far-right leader Marine Le Pen is barred from seeking public office for embezzlement

                    French far-right leader Marine Le Pen is barred from seeking public office for embezzlement

                    French far-right leader Marine Le Pen strode out of a French court as the chief judge on Monday barred her from seeking public office after she was found guilty of embezzling EU funds. The judge hasn’t yet said how long Le Pen will be ineligible for running for public office -- a decision that could derail the far-right leader’s career...

                    Powerful earthquakes rock Thailand and Myanmar, triggering the collapse of a Bangkok high-rise

                      Powerful earthquakes rock Thailand and Myanmar, triggering the collapse of a Bangkok high-rise

                      A state of emergency has been declared in six regions and states in Myanmar after a 7.7 magnitude earthquake whose epicenter was near the country’s second largest city. State-run MRTV television said the military-run government’s proclamation includes the capital Naypyitaw and Mandalay, after the earthquake and a strong aftershock hit midday. Myanmar is in the midst of a civil war...

                      Shares of GM and other automakers slump following Trump tariffs, with Tesla the exception

                      Shares of GM and other automakers slump following Trump tariffs, with Tesla the exception

                      NEW YORK (AP) -- Shares of major automakers slumped following President Donald Trump's announcement that he will place 25% tariffs on auto imports.

                      Think Tank

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                      Resetting Canada-India Relations: Navigating Security, Trade, and Strategic Opportunities in a Shifting Global Order

                      Resetting Canada-India Relations: Navigating Security, Trade, and Strategic Opportunities in a Shifting Global Order

                      Canada-India relations sharply deteriorated in September 2023 when former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau linked the murder of Canadian Khalistani activist Hardeep Singh Nijjar to Indian state agents. The crisis deepened in October 2024 when Ottawa accused Indian diplomats of being complicit in criminal activities, including intimidation, extortion, and murder. New Delhi rejected these claims, labelling Canada a “safe haven” for...

                      Canada at a Crossroads – Volume 3: Dollars and sense: The case for cutting income taxes

                      Canada at a Crossroads – Volume 3: Dollars and sense: The case for cutting income taxes

                      Canada is at a crossroads. The issues confronting Canada in 2025 go beyond mere setbacks and can more accurately be called crises. Unless they are resolved quickly, we face a deep and potentially permanent loss of our national standard of living and quality of life. We hereby introduce the “Canada at the Crossroads” series of reports from the Macdonald-Laurier Institute...

                      How Can Canada Tackle Foreign Interference Without a U.S. Ally?

                      How Can Canada Tackle Foreign Interference Without a U.S. Ally?

                      Within three months of taking office, U.S. President Donald Trump has given his greatest adversary, Beijing, what it always desired—the dismantling of U.S.-based civil society groups that supported human rights in China. With a stroke of his presidential pen, Donald Trump froze funding for Radio Free Asia, Voice of America, the National Endowment for Democracy, and the Woodrow Wilson International...


                      Substacks

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                      A collection of SubStack publishing within Canadian public affairs.

                      Mark Carney's $100 apology

                      Mark Carney's $100 apology

                      The 10 men who have governed the Bank of Canada since its inception in 1934 have been taciturn types, studiously avoiding the mud-holes of public controversy. Central banks trade in trust, and must project immutability and stability.That’s why it was so unusual in 2012 to hear Mark Carney, then governor of the Bank, apologize to Canadians for screwing up.

                      How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part II

                      How the rich captured a Canadian prime minister: Part II

                      Peter Larkin launched King’s fund with $25,000 of his own cash, deposited Sept. 22, 1925 at the Old Colony Trust Co.’s main branch in Boston, the same firm used by Salada Tea for its U.S. operations. Likely he reasoned that a foreign account would reduce the risk of discovery.

                      Day 1 - They're off!

                      Day 1 - They're off!

                      Now that the election is called, time to riff from that part of my bio that says “campaign manager” and offer up regular assessments and analysis on what I think is going on. Check this space regularly for my campaign updates. You can judge my content for its value and biases on its own. But for the record, let me...

                      Podcasts

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                      Is Canadian unity on the ballot this election?

                        Is Canadian unity on the ballot this election?

                        An elder statesman to many Conservatives is warning the country: a Liberal victory could fuel western secession. What’s the appetite for that message? Former Reform Party leader Preston Manning joins The House to explain why Canadian unity is on the ballot. Next, as union leaders say more pain from U.S. tariffs is likely around the corner, NDP candidate for Hamilton...

                        Hot Room explainer: The ‘third party’ advertisers filling up your screens

                          Hot Room explainer: The ‘third party’ advertisers filling up your screens

                          Canada Proud? Protecting Canada? Hill Times reporter Stuart Benson joins the podcast to talk about the so-called "third party" groups behind political ads posted on trucks and spamming your screens.

                          Canada’s response to Trump’s global tariff assault

                            Canada’s response to Trump’s global tariff assault

                            At Issue this week: Canada dodges Trump’s latest wave of global tariffs, but with some sectors already reeling, can it be considered a win? How the U.S. president’s moves are shifting the federal election campaign. And controversial candidates get booted off the ballot. Rosemary Barton hosts Chantal Hébert, Andrew Coyne and Althia Raj.

                            Election! Fallout from Trump’s trade bomb

                              Election! Fallout from Trump’s trade bomb

                              Canada may have dodged the worst of Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs, but it didn’t emerge unscathed. U.S. President Donald Trump confirmed that he is going ahead with a 25 per cent tariff on "all foreign-made" automobiles – a devastating blow for the Canadian auto sector, plunging it into uncertainty. Aaron Wherry, a senior writer with the CBC’s parliamentary bureau, joins...