Canada is holding its most consequential election Monday. Here’s how the country’s most successful Conservative right now thinks it will go. Ontario Premier Doug Ford is a canny politician, a throwback to a more ideologically flexible but no-bullshit archetype common in 20th-century, big-city American politics. Ford’s shrewdest play may have been his most recent, when he called for a snap...
President Donald Trump weighed in on Canada's election today, repeating his claim that Canada should become a U.S. state.Trump's tariffs and repeated threats of annexation have become a central issue ahead of today's vote.The president posted on social media that Canada could become a 51st state without "an artificially drawn line from many years ago."
Nobody even thinks about booing when Miss Rodeo Taber, Shaylynn Amen, rides out on horseback, holding the Stars and Stripes aloft as she gallops around the arena while Bill Lawson sings the American anthem, a capella, in a gravelly but tuneful cowboy baritone. This is not a hockey game in eastern Canada, where the Star-Spangled Banner has regularly been booed...
In August 2019, a prominent official delivered an unusual argument to a room of global central bankers gathered in Wyoming: the U.S. dollar should be knocked off its perch atop the global financial system. “In the longer term, we need to change the game,” this man said at the Federal Reserve’s annual conference in Jackson Hole, in a lodge overlooking...
Pollster Greg Lyle says this election will likely be remembered as the greatest turnaround in Canadian political history. The “historic” and “substantive” election on April 28 is shaping up to be one of the most consequential in Canadian history, serving as a referendum on which party leader is best suited to manage Canada–U.S. relations and tackle the pressing cost-of-living crisis...
The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same...
We submit our final poll for the 2025 federal election. We are selecting our 3-day rolling IVR poll as our choice to predict the final vote outcome. Our chosen final poll shows a stable six-point Liberal lead (44.4 per cent versus 36.5 per cent for the Conservatives), which we believe will produce a 184-seat majority government. The NDP is in...
Likely voters who are Millennials or Generation Z members are more concerned about housing than their older counterparts. Vancouver, BC [April 27, 2025] – The Liberal Party heads to tomorrow’s federal election in Canada as the frontrunner, a new Research Co. poll has found. In the online survey of a representative national sample of likely voters and Canadians who have...
83% of our watchers expect a Liberal victory, compared to 86% last week. 44% expect a Liberal majority, the highest number we’ve seen to date.
Most think the debates did not affect Liberal support. A decent sized minority (44%) think Poilievre may have gained votes.
U.S. President Donald Trump injected himself into the federal election on Monday, appearing to suggest Canadians vote for him when they go to the polls. "Good luck to the Great people of Canada,'" Trump wrote on his social media site Truth Social. "Elect the man who has the strength and wisdom to cut your taxes in half, increase your military...
President Donald Trump weighed in on Canada's election today, repeating his claim that Canada should become a U.S. state.Trump's tariffs and repeated threats of annexation have become a central issue ahead of today's vote.The president posted on social media that Canada could become a 51st state without "an artificially drawn line from many years ago."
Nobody even thinks about booing when Miss Rodeo Taber, Shaylynn Amen, rides out on horseback, holding the Stars and Stripes aloft as she gallops around the arena while Bill Lawson sings the American anthem, a capella, in a gravelly but tuneful cowboy baritone. This is not a hockey game in eastern Canada, where the Star-Spangled Banner has regularly been booed...
Justin Trudeau held the spotlight in Canada for almost a decade, then he pretty much just disappeared.That the former prime minister was nowhere to be found during the campaign leading to Election Day was a quiet relief to Liberal Party candidates on the trail.
At the outset of this campaign, I said the election was about a number of things: tariffs and trade and Trump and threats. But at its heart, it was about the economy. Whoever wins this thing will have an incredibly difficult task ahead. Whichever party forms government will have to take immediate steps to grow the economy. I wrote a...
If you want to have a sense of the federal parties' campaign strategies, it helps to follow the leader. An individual announcement in one riding might not indicate much, but taking a wider view reveals patterns in a party's plan of attack. CBC News analyzed the whereabouts of the main party leaders and every event they held over the course...
With a brand new leader at the Liberal Party helm and with the distinct chance of new leadership in all the main federal parties, the old order of national politics could change faster than Newfoundland and Labrador weather.
All in all, both Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre promise fiscal restraint, but they have very expensive priorities and are planning to run deficits. Time will tell whether how much of a 'change' the next prime minister is from the last one.
Whoever wins the federal election on Monday, their task — beyond resetting the relationship with U.S. President Donald Trump, navigating Canada out of an impending economic crisis, addressing affordability and safety concerns — must be to reach out to those Canadians who did not vote for them. Although the main party leaders portray themselves as figures who can heal a...
'It would be an extremely rash politician who links events in Vancouver to federal government policy'
Pierre Poilievre goes out of his way to be seen as a firebrand. It’s a look he’s been working on for years. He loved ginning up partisan supporters by saying he would fire the Governor of the Bank of Canada and replace him with someone “who would reinstate our low inflation mandate”. That was in May of 2022. Inflation peaked...
When President John F. Kennedy asked Congress to fund the establishment of a dedicated foreign development agency in 1961, he did so by letting them know that the world was watching. “The eyes of other industrialized nations, awaiting our leadership for a stronger united effort,” Kennedy said. “The eyes of our adversaries, awaiting the weakening of our resolve in this...
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced today that as Prime Minister he will cancel the summer holiday for Ottawa politicians and introduce three pieces of legislation to make life affordable, stop crime, and unleash our economy to bring back powerful paycheques. Because change can’t wait. A new Conservative government will kickstart the plan to undo the damage of the Lost Liberal...
This election comes at a time of crisis. President Trump is disrupting global markets and fundamentally reshaping the international trading system. With Canada, he has been even more direct and aggressive: he wants to break us so America can own us. That will never happen. “President Trump’s tariffs are a direct attack on Ontario workers and businesses,” said Mark Carney...
As Donald Trump ramps up trade threats, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh delivered a clear message from Manitoba: Canada’s water, public health care, environmental protections, and Indigenous Treaty rights are not bargaining chips—and New Democrats will be there to make sure no government dares to put them on the table. Standing with workers in Winnipeg, Singh warned that Trump’s “America First”...
This election comes at a time of crisis. President Trump is disrupting global markets and fundamentally reshaping the international trading system. With Canada, he has been even more direct and aggressive: he wants to break us so America can own us. Mark Carney won’t let that happen. He has a plan that will fight, protect, and build in the face...
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced his plan to immediately scrap the ‘Car(ney) Tax’ that will add a $20,000 tax on gas-powered cars starting next year. This is after Poilievre already announced his plan to axe the GST on Canadian-made cars, making them more affordable for hardworking families. Conservatives will be champions of Canada’s auto sector by maintaining all existing supports...
With a brand new leader at the Liberal Party helm and with the distinct chance of new leadership in all the main federal parties, the old order of national politics could change faster than Newfoundland and Labrador weather.
All in all, both Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre promise fiscal restraint, but they have very expensive priorities and are planning to run deficits. Time will tell whether how much of a 'change' the next prime minister is from the last one.
Whoever wins the federal election on Monday, their task — beyond resetting the relationship with U.S. President Donald Trump, navigating Canada out of an impending economic crisis, addressing affordability and safety concerns — must be to reach out to those Canadians who did not vote for them. Although the main party leaders portray themselves as figures who can heal a...
'It would be an extremely rash politician who links events in Vancouver to federal government policy'
Pierre Poilievre goes out of his way to be seen as a firebrand. It’s a look he’s been working on for years. He loved ginning up partisan supporters by saying he would fire the Governor of the Bank of Canada and replace him with someone “who would reinstate our low inflation mandate”. That was in May of 2022. Inflation peaked...
When President John F. Kennedy asked Congress to fund the establishment of a dedicated foreign development agency in 1961, he did so by letting them know that the world was watching. “The eyes of other industrialized nations, awaiting our leadership for a stronger united effort,” Kennedy said. “The eyes of our adversaries, awaiting the weakening of our resolve in this...
This is the election campaign that wasn’t. Everyone knew what this thing was going to be; it had been building forever. It was going to be a reckoning on 10 years of Liberal government, a volcanic vent for the public’s exhausted fury with the party and Justin Trudeau, who, to some, had become a walking expletive. We were going to...
Every successful campaign starts with a clear sense of purpose. Too often, when people hear “message,” they think it means a slogan or a handful of talking points. But a campaign message is far more than a tagline—it’s the central argument, the foundational story a party is telling voters about why it deserves their trust and their vote. It’s the...
Jagmeet Singh, in a tough election fight, is opening up about another tense period in his life as New Democratic Party leader — the winter of 2023-24, when real and credible death threats put him and his family under heavy RCMP protection for weeks on end.
A number of political pundits across the nation claim that the decisive issue in the 2025 federal election — the “ballot-box question” upon which the outcome of the election will be decided — is which party and leader will most effectively stand up to U.S. President Donald Trump and his administration on matters of trade and security. Other pundits suggest...
With two days to go until polling day, Mark Carney was careful not to break into a victory lap.At a campaign event at Seneca College in this commuter community 40 km north of Toronto, Carney was asked to grade his own campaign performance.
Conservatives go door-knocking in Winnipeg South to win over voters in a riding that, in most elections of the past century, has supported whichever party forms government in Ottawa. Liberal Terry Duguid has been the MP here since 2015.
The room at the Oak Ridges Community Centre is full for a weeknight local candidates forum. Staff from the Richmond Hill Board of Trade bring in extra chairs, but some residents remaining standing at the back of the room. At the front are three tables for the participants. Two placards are notably absent, for Costas Menegakis, the Conservative candidate for...
John Duffy, the late political strategist and author, began Fights of Our Lives, his lively and encyclopedic account of the federal campaigns that shaped this country, with a simple premise — one always worth returning to at moments like this. "Elections matter," he wrote. Writing in 2002, Duffy was pushing back against what he saw as the lazy cynicism of...
Last week, in a small church in Musquodoboit Harbour, Nova Scotia, six people with wildly different views — left, right, somewhere in between — shared a stage and debated the future of our country. And no one interrupted. No one heckled. No one shouted anyone down. In a world that feels increasingly divided, it was a quiet reminder of the...
Matt Gurney: A few weeks ago, I expressed some irritation with the candidates. I still feel that way. This has been an uninspiring campaign. We are, we’re told, facing major, existential threats to our way of life and maybe even our national survival. And I honestly can’t recall a single policy proposal from any of the parties off the top...
Years ago, someone put a Canadian spin on the old joke about the chicken crossing the road. Question: Why does a chicken cross the street in Canada? Answer: To get to the middle of the road. As the 2025 election winds down to its last hours, let it be noted that this was a campaign about forcing all the political...
Unless we fix what’s in our power to fix, the forces bearing down on us may make the Canada we knew impossible to sustain. We’ve all been thinking about our country lately. It’s something we haven’t done with the same intensity since the days of the Quebec referenda. We’re thinking about the price we’ll have to pay to stay who...
Whatever happens in Monday’s federal election, Canada will have a very different political party system when it is over. The Liberal Party has been Justin Trudeau’s party for over ten years; what Mark Carney will make of it, win or lose, is not yet clear. The smaller parties have been struggling to be heard this entire campaign and might end...
Donald Trump, it seems, just can’t help himself. He can’t stop trash-talking Canada, even when he knows he shouldn’t. Trump was remarkably silent about this country for weeks, ever since Mark Carney took over as prime minister in fact. He seemed to be restraining himself, or at least turning his malevolent gaze on other countries as he announced punitive tariffs...
With just days left before election day, the 2025 Canadian general election has become something few anticipated: a genuinely competitive race. What once looked like a near-certain Conservative victory has given way to Mark Carney’s Liberals now holding a narrow but meaningful lead. Back in January, just 12 per cent of Canadians said the Justin Trudeau Liberals deserved re-election. Meanwhile...
An election defined by external threats to the Canadian way of life is now rocked by an internal one: Pierre Poilievre’s unprecedented attack on our Charter of Rights and Freedoms. The Charter is one of Canada’s most celebrated achievements and serves as a model for other countries’ constitutions. More than 40 years after its inception, eight in 10 Canadians agree...
It is difficult to capture this moment in Europe’s reaction to the extraordinary storm Donald Trump has launched across multiple fronts. The winds, swells, and tides change almost from hour to hour. Writing from the UK, there is little else preoccupying policy and political minds, to say nothing of the talk in the Waitrose checkout line. In Canada, voters are...
Canada cannot afford four more years of Trudeau-style progressivism that pursues net zero and produces zero growth
He materializes on the screen like the ghost of elections past. With the federal election days away, the Conservatives consistently trailing the Liberals in the polls, and leader Pierre Poilievre in danger of losing his own Ottawa riding, Stephen Harper has been enlisted to rally the troops. The first appearance by the former prime minister was at a large rally...
Even the latest mini-scandal that broke on Thursday works in his favour, given it concerns a subject he is desperate to talk about. Article content Radio-Canada reported that in Carney’s call with Donald Trump on March 28, the president brought up the issue of Canada becoming the 51st state of the United States. At the time, Carney said Trump had...
U.S. President Donald Trump injected himself into the federal election on Monday, appearing to suggest Canadians vote for him when they go to the polls. "Good luck to the Great people of Canada,'" Trump wrote on his social media site Truth Social. "Elect the man who has the strength and wisdom to cut your taxes in half, increase your military...
U.S. President Donald Trump will seek even more restrictions on Canada’s ability to sign trade agreements with China when Washington and Ottawa start renegotiations on the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, an international trade expert predicts. David Collins, who specializes in international trade and investment law at City St. George’s, University of London, says he expects the United States will seek to...
Justin Trudeau held the spotlight in Canada for almost a decade, then he pretty much just disappeared.That the former prime minister was nowhere to be found during the campaign leading to Election Day was a quiet relief to Liberal Party candidates on the trail.
At the outset of this campaign, I said the election was about a number of things: tariffs and trade and Trump and threats. But at its heart, it was about the economy. Whoever wins this thing will have an incredibly difficult task ahead. Whichever party forms government will have to take immediate steps to grow the economy. I wrote a...
If you want to have a sense of the federal parties' campaign strategies, it helps to follow the leader. An individual announcement in one riding might not indicate much, but taking a wider view reveals patterns in a party's plan of attack. CBC News analyzed the whereabouts of the main party leaders and every event they held over the course...
Voters are heading to the polls in Quebec, where the Liberals are trying to gain enough seats to clinch a majority government and the Bloc Québécois is hoping an eleventh-hour bump in support will be enough to claim the balance of power. The campaign in Quebec has been a tough slog for Bloc Leader Yves-François Blanchet, who has watched his...
1st results will trickle in from Newfoundland and Labrador just after 7 p.m. ET. Millions of Canadians are expected to cast their ballots today in a pivotal election that will decide who will lead the country through a trade battle with the United States. The 36-day campaign has been nothing short of remarkable for the leading contenders: Liberal Leader Mark...
— Murder charges have been laid against the man accused of driving an SUV into a crowd celebrating at a Filipino community street festival Saturday. The attack killed 11 people, the youngest of whom was only five years old. The suspect, 30-year-old Vancouver resident Kai-Ji Adam Lo, has been charged with eight counts of second-degree murder. Charge assessment is ongoing...
Prime Minister Mark Carney briefly paused his election campaign on Sunday to express condolences to victims and their families hours after a vehicle attack in Vancouver killed nine people and injured many more. "Last night, families lost a sister, a brother, a mother, a father, a son or a daughter. Those families are living every family's worst nightmare," Carney said...
Mark Carney’s Liberal Party is holding a four-percentage point lead over Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives on the eve of Monday’s general election, new data from Ipsos suggests. But the tight national race obscures the Liberals’ advantage in the key provinces of Ontario and Québec that will likely determine if the party receives a fourth consecutive mandate from Canadian voters...
Singh was at Lapu Lapu Day festival and left moments before driver rammed into crowd. The final day of the federal election campaign took on a sombre tone as the leaders reacted to the deaths of nine people at a Filipino street festival in Vancouver Saturday night. Vancouver police said a driver of a black SUV slammed into a crowd...
Eleven people have been killed and multiple others injured after the driver of a black SUV slammed into a crowd Saturday evening at a street festival in Vancouver celebrating the contributions of the Filipino Canadian community, police say. It happened shortly after 8 p.m. PT, a few blocks from East 41st Avenue and Fraser Street, where the Lapu Lapu Day...
Canadians vote Monday in a snap election that will go down in history as one of the wildest campaigns the country has ever seen.
Liberal Leader holding rallies in Edmonton and Calgary on Sunday. Once seen as flyover territory during federal campaigns, Alberta has turned into a hotbed of political activity on the final weekend before election day. Liberal Leader Mark Carney is travelling to Alberta on Sunday for a pair of events, with rallies at 2:30 p.m. in Edmonton, and 5:30 p.m. in...
Well, that was illuminating.I spent three weeks following (in the virtual sense) the campaign speeches of Canada’s national political leaders.
Conservative Party of Canada Leader Pierre Poilievre did not take any questions from media during his brief campaign stop in Sudbury on Saturday, after which local candidates also declined to answer questions
In an election campaign plagued by misinformation, exaggerated claims and even lies, how can voters tell what's true? CBC's Election Fact Check Unit has looked into dozens of statements made by the leaders of the four largest federal parties. It found that each of the leaders — some more than others — has at times made statements or cited facts...
Reposted invitation to protest outside Liberal opponent’s office. The NDP candidate for Winnipeg South Centre is apologizing after his campaign reposted information online encouraging people to attend a pro-Palestinian protest outside the campaign office of his Liberal opponent. Jorge Requena Ramos said his campaign’s social media manager reposted the information about the Saturday rally at MP Ben Carr’s office on...
Former prime minister Jean Chrétien predicted the Liberals will win a majority government on Monday, as party leaders blitzed key ridings in Ontario and British Columbia hoping to swing last minute votes their way. At a rally for Ottawa Centre Liberal incumbent Yasir Naqvi, Chrétien said he expects "to celebrate the majority government of the Liberal party" after polls close...
Manitoba's Progressive Conservatives have elected Obby Khan as their new leader. Khan, a former cabinet minister and pro football player, was chosen by party members over Wally Daudrich, a hotel owner and longtime party board member. Khan secured the support of many caucus members for his leadership bid and promoted himself as a big-tent conservative who can grow the party's...
Houston says Blanchet should take more pride in Canada 'or step aside.' Nova Scotia Premier Tim Houston is stepping into the federal fray, blasting the leader of the Bloc Québécois for calling Canada an "artificial country." At a campaign stop earlier this week, Yves-François Blanchet said he felt like he was a member of a "foreign parliament." When asked about...
A new POLITICO/Focaldata poll finds Trump looms over Monday’s election, boosting Mark Carney and the Liberals as Canadians turn against the United States.
Léa Stréliski was just 13 in 1995 when the Oui side in the independence referendum fell 54,288 votes short of a mandate to make Québec a country, and ever since she has been hoping to one day play a role in the creation of a new nation. “My first position is, I’m an artist,” she said in a recent interview...
Liberal Leader Mark Carney says he rejects comments made by Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet, who called Canada “an artificial country.” “I reject them completely. This is an incredible country. I’m incredibly proud to be Canadian,” Carney said during a campaign stop at Seneca Polytechnic in King City, Ont., on Saturday morning. “We have done incredible things. Those who came...
In the final days of the federal campaign, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre is trying to reassure his western base that the period he refers to as the “lost Liberal decade” is coming to an end. “This election comes down to one word, and that is change,” said Poilievre in Saskatoon, Sask., at his final scheduled news conference of the campaign...
MANCHESTER, N.H. (AP) -- Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker sharply criticized fellow Democrats on Sunday for not doing enough to oppose President Donald Trump, drawing a clear divide between himself and other high-profile Democrats seen as future presidential contenders.
"60 Minutes" correspondent Scott Pelley paid tribute Sunday to Bill Owens, the show's executive producer who resigned last week, saying on the air that "none of us is happy" about the extra supervision that corporate leaders are imposing.
President Donald Trump made clear Sunday that he would not follow his predecessor's practice of recognizing Indigenous Peoples Day alongside Columbus Day in October, accusing Democrats of denigrating the explorer's legacy as he pressed his campaign to restore what he argues are traditional American icons.
MECHANICSBURG, Pa. (AP) -- Many days over the past two weeks, no one answered the phone at any of U.S. Rep. Scott Perry's four offices.
Royalty, presidents, prime ministers and a legion of faithful are paying their last respects to Pope Francis at a funeral mass in St. Peter's Square in Rome to honour his sometimes turbulent papacy. Applause rang out as the pontiff's simple wooden coffin, inlaid with a large cross, was brought out of St. Peter's Basilica and into the sun-filled square by...
NEW YORK (AP) -- Elon Musk has been called a Moonshot Master, the Edison of Our Age and the Architect of the Future, but he's got a big problem at his car company and it's not clear he can fix it: damage to its brand.
Pope Francis, whose nearly 12-year papacy ushered in a more open, welcoming Catholic Church that prioritized empathy for the poor and disenfranchised — including Indigenous victims of Canada's church-run residential schools — has died at 88, the Vatican said in a video statement Monday. "Dear brothers and sisters, it is with profound sadness I must announce the death of our...
Meta Platforms Inc. faces a historic antitrust trial beginning Monday that could force the tech giant to break off Instagram and WhatsApp, startups it bought more than a decade ago that have since grown into social media powerhouses.
China announced Friday that it will raise tariffs on U.S. goods from 84 per cent to 125 per cent -- the latest salvo in an escalating trade war between the world’s two largest economies that has rattled markets and raised fears of a global slowdown. While U.S. President Donald Trump paused import taxes this week for other countries, he raised...
Trump’s chaotic global tariff war, which has upended the international order, shows no sign of letting up. Presidents of the U.S. have long used trade as an instrument of power to assert economic and military dominance over the global economy. Trump however, does so against Canada and other allies—a vision driven by his pathological narcissistic view of the world, unrestrained...
Every assumption we’ve made about Canada’s place in the world over the past 80 years is open to question. We can no longer rely on others to safeguard our prosperity and security. It is up to us — guided by our interests, values, and a renewed sense of identity and common purpose.In this context, whoever forms the Cana
A collection of SubStack publishing within Canadian public affairs.
The world is chaotic. Sovereignty, diplomacy, trade, free speech, science are all under assault. Daily life seems suddenly dangerous. Even the weather report is scary. “Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,” as William Butler Yeats put it in The Second Coming (1919). We’ve entered an era of might makes right. Familiar rules are changing. Among the changes is the...
This will be a very short post on the access-to-information election promises of the five main political parties. That’s because there’s nothing to write about.With the release of the last platform today (Conservative), no party is committing to reforming the dysfunctional Access to Information Act, other than reciting cheap bromides. Some aren’t even offering bromides.
Is it time I admit defeat, pull up my tent and go home? For 30 years I have advocated for reductions to Canada’s military spending, and it keeps rising and rising. Now it’s reached the point where Canada is the 6th highest in actual dollars within NATO (after USA, Germany, UK, France, Poland). Responding to expensive plans to increase military...
It’s election day. The campaign has been short, but it’s been packed with plenty of drama. From annexation talk and economic chaos to stunning polls reversals to internal party blowups. Today we’re speaking with host of the The House podcast Catherine Cullen to spend a bit of time marveling at what an eventful several months this has been and talk...
After 36 days, it all comes down to this. Canada is voting for his next leader and all eyes are on the Liberals and Conservatives with a neck and neck race. It comes after a wild swing from the winter when the Conservatives had a double digit lead in the polls. Host Richard Southern and NewsRadio's Parliament Hill Correspondent Cormac...
Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative party, with the campaign’s momentum and tightening polls, could yet declare victory in the federal election. But the party infighting that started early in the campaign already has some sniffing around a potential leadership change, as the Political Hack newsletter’s Tasha Kheiriddin and Stuart Thomson discuss with Brian this week. Our 2025 election panel also gets into...
It’s the final countdown to election night. On Monday, millions of Canadians will cast their ballots and choose their next federal government at a critical moment for Canada. Catherine Cullen sits down with David Coletto to find out what pollsters will be watching as results roll in from coast to coast. Next, CBC reporters on the road send us their...
