As the federal campaign enters its final days, Mark Carney’s Liberals appear set to win a majority Monday, according to the Star’s poll aggregator, the Signal.While Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives have closed the gap nationally in terms of voter preference, that does not seem to be translating into additional seats for the official opposition party.
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has scheduled a last-minute “whistle stop” rally in his rural Ottawa riding amidst reports that he’s in danger of losing his seat. On Sunday night, Poilievre will meet with constituents in the rural Ottawa riding of Carleton — a seat he’s held since being first elected in 2004 at age 25 — on the eve of...
“If Poilievre loses his seat? He’s done. He’s gone,” said one Conservative source. “And so is Jenni. And if the Liberals win a majority, the knives will be out for Jenni as well. There’ll have to be a graceful exit.” The long-running drama playing out behind the scenes between Ontario Premier Doug Ford’s team and the federal Conservatives led by...
Liberal leader's rally held in London-Fanshawe, where polling suggests a toss-up race. With only a weekend to go until election day, Liberal Leader Mark Carney and NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh shifted their attention to London, Ont., on Friday, ending the campaign's final week with duelling events in ridings that have incumbents from the other's party. Singh's event on Friday evening...
The final Good Talk before Monday's election decision. Millions of Canadians are about to decide, if they haven't already in advance polls, just which party and which leader they want to form a government. It's a significant decision, and the challenges facing Canada on multiple fronts will not be easy to manage. Chantal Hebert and Rob Russo bring us the...
A new poll by Liaison Strategies for the National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada (NEPMCC), the industry association representing Canada’s non-official language newspapers, TV, radio, and online news media, finds the Liberals leading with 44% (+1) to the Conservatives 39% (+1). The rolling survey, conducted from April 22 to April 24, 2025, used interactive voice response technology to...
The CTV-Globe and Mail/Nanos nightly federal election tracking conducted by Nanos Research surveys 1,200 Canadians aged 18 years and over three days (400 interviews each day). Respondents are all randomly recruited through a dual-frame (cell- and land-line) RDD sample using live agents. Three quarters of the sample are administered the questionnaire by telephone and one quarter is administered the same...
The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted from Tuesday, April 22nd to Thursday, April 24th, 2025, among a sample of 1365 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was conducted using IVR. The survey is intended to represent the voting population in Canada. The margin of error for the...
83% of our watchers expect a Liberal victory, compared to 86% last week. 44% expect a Liberal majority, the highest number we’ve seen to date.
Most think the debates did not affect Liberal support. A decent sized minority (44%) think Poilievre may have gained votes.
Liberal leader's rally held in London-Fanshawe, where polling suggests a toss-up race. With only a weekend to go until election day, Liberal Leader Mark Carney and NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh shifted their attention to London, Ont., on Friday, ending the campaign's final week with duelling events in ridings that have incumbents from the other's party. Singh's event on Friday evening...
According to NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, the party’s internal numbers are “much better” than what national polling indicates, and he is “confident” about how many NDP MPs will be elected on Monday. “We’re going to re-elect lots of New Democrats and we’re going to elect more New Democrats. We’re confident about that,” Singh said in an interview with George Stroumboulopoulos...
Polls suggest the Green Party is at risk of being wiped off Canada's electoral map on election night, but co-Leader Elizabeth May believes the numbers don't reflect the party's ground game.May, who's running for a fifth term, said she's knocked on so many doors that only her left hand can continue.
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre took his message of change Friday to Calgary, where his supporters will hope there's minimal change as Liberals push for multiple victories in the predominantly Conservative city.Speaking to what organizers said was more than 3,000 people, he stressed the importance of ensuring all their friends and relatives vote in Monday's election.
Third-party advertisers are spending millions to influence voters. THIS STORY A Toronto billionaire bought full-page newspaper ads endorsing Pierre Poilievre.A right-wing activist spent nearly a quarter of a million dollars in donations at his own media company.
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has scheduled a last-minute “whistle stop” rally in his rural Ottawa riding amidst reports that he’s in danger of losing his seat. On Sunday night, Poilievre will meet with constituents in the rural Ottawa riding of Carleton — a seat he’s held since being first elected in 2004 at age 25 — on the eve of...
John Duffy, the late political strategist and author, began Fights of Our Lives, his lively and encyclopedic account of the federal campaigns that shaped this country, with a simple premise — one always worth returning to at moments like this. "Elections matter," he wrote. Writing in 2002, Duffy was pushing back against what he saw as the lazy cynicism of...
Matt Gurney: A few weeks ago, I expressed some irritation with the candidates. I still feel that way. This has been an uninspiring campaign. We are, we’re told, facing major, existential threats to our way of life and maybe even our national survival. And I honestly can’t recall a single policy proposal from any of the parties off the top...
Years ago, someone put a Canadian spin on the old joke about the chicken crossing the road. Question: Why does a chicken cross the street in Canada? Answer: To get to the middle of the road. As the 2025 election winds down to its last hours, let it be noted that this was a campaign about forcing all the political...
The final Good Talk before Monday's election decision. Millions of Canadians are about to decide, if they haven't already in advance polls, just which party and which leader they want to form a government. It's a significant decision, and the challenges facing Canada on multiple fronts will not be easy to manage. Chantal Hebert and Rob Russo bring us the...
Whatever happens in Monday’s federal election, Canada will have a very different political party system when it is over. The Liberal Party has been Justin Trudeau’s party for over ten years; what Mark Carney will make of it, win or lose, is not yet clear. The smaller parties have been struggling to be heard this entire campaign and might end...
Donald Trump, it seems, just can’t help himself. He can’t stop trash-talking Canada, even when he knows he shouldn’t. Trump was remarkably silent about this country for weeks, ever since Mark Carney took over as prime minister in fact. He seemed to be restraining himself, or at least turning his malevolent gaze on other countries as he announced punitive tariffs...
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced today that as Prime Minister he will cancel the summer holiday for Ottawa politicians and introduce three pieces of legislation to make life affordable, stop crime, and unleash our economy to bring back powerful paycheques. Because change can’t wait. A new Conservative government will kickstart the plan to undo the damage of the Lost Liberal...
This election comes at a time of crisis. President Trump is disrupting global markets and fundamentally reshaping the international trading system. With Canada, he has been even more direct and aggressive: he wants to break us so America can own us. That will never happen. “President Trump’s tariffs are a direct attack on Ontario workers and businesses,” said Mark Carney...
As Donald Trump ramps up trade threats, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh delivered a clear message from Manitoba: Canada’s water, public health care, environmental protections, and Indigenous Treaty rights are not bargaining chips—and New Democrats will be there to make sure no government dares to put them on the table. Standing with workers in Winnipeg, Singh warned that Trump’s “America First”...
This election comes at a time of crisis. President Trump is disrupting global markets and fundamentally reshaping the international trading system. With Canada, he has been even more direct and aggressive: he wants to break us so America can own us. Mark Carney won’t let that happen. He has a plan that will fight, protect, and build in the face...
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre announced his plan to immediately scrap the ‘Car(ney) Tax’ that will add a $20,000 tax on gas-powered cars starting next year. This is after Poilievre already announced his plan to axe the GST on Canadian-made cars, making them more affordable for hardworking families. Conservatives will be champions of Canada’s auto sector by maintaining all existing supports...
John Duffy, the late political strategist and author, began Fights of Our Lives, his lively and encyclopedic account of the federal campaigns that shaped this country, with a simple premise — one always worth returning to at moments like this. "Elections matter," he wrote. Writing in 2002, Duffy was pushing back against what he saw as the lazy cynicism of...
Matt Gurney: A few weeks ago, I expressed some irritation with the candidates. I still feel that way. This has been an uninspiring campaign. We are, we’re told, facing major, existential threats to our way of life and maybe even our national survival. And I honestly can’t recall a single policy proposal from any of the parties off the top...
Years ago, someone put a Canadian spin on the old joke about the chicken crossing the road. Question: Why does a chicken cross the street in Canada? Answer: To get to the middle of the road. As the 2025 election winds down to its last hours, let it be noted that this was a campaign about forcing all the political...
Unless we fix what’s in our power to fix, the forces bearing down on us may make the Canada we knew impossible to sustain. We’ve all been thinking about our country lately. It’s something we haven’t done with the same intensity since the days of the Quebec referenda. We’re thinking about the price we’ll have to pay to stay who...
Whatever happens in Monday’s federal election, Canada will have a very different political party system when it is over. The Liberal Party has been Justin Trudeau’s party for over ten years; what Mark Carney will make of it, win or lose, is not yet clear. The smaller parties have been struggling to be heard this entire campaign and might end...
Donald Trump, it seems, just can’t help himself. He can’t stop trash-talking Canada, even when he knows he shouldn’t. Trump was remarkably silent about this country for weeks, ever since Mark Carney took over as prime minister in fact. He seemed to be restraining himself, or at least turning his malevolent gaze on other countries as he announced punitive tariffs...
With just days left before election day, the 2025 Canadian general election has become something few anticipated: a genuinely competitive race. What once looked like a near-certain Conservative victory has given way to Mark Carney’s Liberals now holding a narrow but meaningful lead. Back in January, just 12 per cent of Canadians said the Justin Trudeau Liberals deserved re-election. Meanwhile...
An election defined by external threats to the Canadian way of life is now rocked by an internal one: Pierre Poilievre’s unprecedented attack on our Charter of Rights and Freedoms. The Charter is one of Canada’s most celebrated achievements and serves as a model for other countries’ constitutions. More than 40 years after its inception, eight in 10 Canadians agree...
It is difficult to capture this moment in Europe’s reaction to the extraordinary storm Donald Trump has launched across multiple fronts. The winds, swells, and tides change almost from hour to hour. Writing from the UK, there is little else preoccupying policy and political minds, to say nothing of the talk in the Waitrose checkout line. In Canada, voters are...
Canada cannot afford four more years of Trudeau-style progressivism that pursues net zero and produces zero growth
He materializes on the screen like the ghost of elections past. With the federal election days away, the Conservatives consistently trailing the Liberals in the polls, and leader Pierre Poilievre in danger of losing his own Ottawa riding, Stephen Harper has been enlisted to rally the troops. The first appearance by the former prime minister was at a large rally...
Even the latest mini-scandal that broke on Thursday works in his favour, given it concerns a subject he is desperate to talk about. Article content Radio-Canada reported that in Carney’s call with Donald Trump on March 28, the president brought up the issue of Canada becoming the 51st state of the United States. At the time, Carney said Trump had...
On January 7, one day after Justin Trudeau announced his plan to resign as prime minster, Donald Trump, then two weeks out from his second inauguration, spoke to reporters in Mar-a-Lago, in Florida, and accidentally set the tone for the coming Canadian election campaign.
In our most recent national survey, we asked Canadians a simple but revealing question: “Now, imagine you were describing each of the following people to a child and you wanted to tell that child how these people are like—the kind of person they are. What three words would you use?”
The costed Conservative election platform released this week largely eschews the hyperpolarizing language that had defined Pierre Poilievre until recently. The word “broken” shows up seven times in the 30-page document, but nowhere does the Tory platform apply that descriptor to Canada as a whole, as Mr. Poilievre had been endlessly doing until the federal election campaign began. Rather, the...
The term “the Trump effect” has been used over the past eight years to describe a range of political phenomena, from certain trends in tactical disruption to the dominance of propaganda in the news cycle. As we approach the 100-day mark (on April 30th) of the unlikely American president’s second term, the Trump effect has taken on a whole new...
Liberal and Conservative campaigns are not what they claim to be
This week, as the federal election campaign entered its final week, Liberal Leader Mark Carney introduced a long-term economic framework that the Liberals say is aimed at revitalizing growth and tackling affordability. The campaign announcement comes at a fraught moment: amid rising global uncertainty, escalating trade tensions, and renewed tariff threats, a shadow has been cast over the country’s economic...
Canada’s major political parties should be commended for preparing thoughtful economic plans that have important differences. No plan is perfect and each are open to some criticism on economic grounds, but after studying the platforms of the Liberals, Conservatives, the NDP and Bloc Québécois — when measured against the priorities occupying Canadians in this time of conflict with the U.S...
With less than a week to go before the federal election, Canadian voters are left with a familiar question right up to the moment they cast their vote: What can they really believe? As in every election campaign, voters this time have been inundated with promises: tax cuts, massive housing construction, the revival of regional rail transport, new childcare spaces…...
When asked about the current environment - no one foresaw the Liberal turnaround. Back prior to end of the 2024, the Liberals were on the ropes. Just before Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau stepped down his party trailed the Pierre Poilievre Conservatives by 27 points in the Nanos tracking (CPC 47, LPC 20).
Pierre Poilievre is counting on the budget balancing itself. Almost. There are some mostly vague plans for spending cuts in the Conservative election platform Mr. Poilievre released Tuesday, but it’s not enough to pay for all the party’s promises. So instead, the Conservative platform relies on the hope that their policies would cause a big economic boom, mostly in the...
Unlike previous Conservative leaders, Pierre Poilievre has yet to hold a single event in Saskatchewan, where support for his party is highest.
The major political parties’ platforms were all released extremely late in this election cycle, having apparently decided to wait until after the debates were over, possibly for fear of being grilled on the details of their plans on camera, which is what happened in the last election cycle. To make it worse, advance voting had already begun (with record turnout...
According to NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, the party’s internal numbers are “much better” than what national polling indicates, and he is “confident” about how many NDP MPs will be elected on Monday. “We’re going to re-elect lots of New Democrats and we’re going to elect more New Democrats. We’re confident about that,” Singh said in an interview with George Stroumboulopoulos...
Polls suggest the Green Party is at risk of being wiped off Canada's electoral map on election night, but co-Leader Elizabeth May believes the numbers don't reflect the party's ground game.May, who's running for a fifth term, said she's knocked on so many doors that only her left hand can continue.
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre took his message of change Friday to Calgary, where his supporters will hope there's minimal change as Liberals push for multiple victories in the predominantly Conservative city.Speaking to what organizers said was more than 3,000 people, he stressed the importance of ensuring all their friends and relatives vote in Monday's election.
Third-party advertisers are spending millions to influence voters. THIS STORY A Toronto billionaire bought full-page newspaper ads endorsing Pierre Poilievre.A right-wing activist spent nearly a quarter of a million dollars in donations at his own media company.
And I say the only way this thing really works is for Canada to become a state. Read the Full Transcript of Donald Trump’s ‘100 Days’ Interview With TIME
Crime content used in Canada Proud's anti-Carney campaign
Bloc Quebecois Leader Yves-Francois Blanchet issued a scathing assessment Friday of Canada as a country, and Quebec’s place in it as he made his case to Quebecers that only he would protect their interests. “We are, whether we like it or not, part of an artificial country with very little meaning, called Canada,” Blanchet said in English during a campaign...
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre is campaigning in what polls suggest are Conservative-safe ridings today as election day approaches.Poilievre is set to begin his day in Saskatoon, where he will hold a press conference, before holding a rally in Nanoose Bay, B.C., in the evening.
FT analysis finds network of X accounts attacking Liberal leader Mark Carney As Canadians prepare to go to the polls on Monday, they are being bombarded with misleading rightwing content on US social media platforms that has fuelled concerns about their potentially damaging role in the general election. A Financial Times analysis of more than 350,000 posts on X related...
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre’s six-point ethics plan echoes some long-standing calls for stricter rules, but observers say they read less like a blueprint for ethics reform and more like a calculated strike against Liberal Leader Mark Carney ahead of the April 28 election. Poilievre is anchoring his proposed ethics reforms in what he calls “Accountability Act 2.0,” a nod to...
Sources say a top Conservative adviser reprimanded Houston’s team last year. For the first time this campaign, Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre made a stop in Nova Scotia on Thursday — the second province he's visited led by a Progressive Conservative premier conspicuously absent from the federal party's events. Poilievre's sole campaign trip to Nova Scotia ended without meeting Premier Tim...
Just days before the 2025 federal election, the potential outcome in several Metro Vancouver ridings is unclear, even in those that are often considered sure things for all of the three main parties. A couple of weeks ago, the polls were showing the potential that the Liberals may win every seat in the Metro Vancouver area. As of April 24...
The latest example of viral misinformation disrupting Canada’s federal election involves a decontextualized photo featuring a retiree giving two middle fingers at a Mark Carney rally in Brantford, Ontario. The man in the photo tells PressProgress the intended recipient of his hand gestures was a group of far-right activists with “F–k Carney” flags, Pierre Polievre banners and pro-Trump t-shirts who...
Canada’s next prime minister is set to inherit a half-year of flat economic growth, economists predict, an immediate test of their governance as President Donald Trump’s trade war grinds business investment and exports lower. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg see the economy contracting 0.2% in the second quarter and no growth in the third quarter. That would put it on the...
Premier Andrew Furey has heard from Liberal Leader Mark Carney regarding a letter to all of the main federal leaders earlier this month, but there has been silence from the rest. Furey penned a letter to Carney, Pierre Poilievre, Jagmeet Singh, and Yves-Francois Blanchet asking for their party’s stance on a variety of issues affecting Newfoundland and Labrador. The premier...
Superior Court Justice Maria Carroccia has declared a mistrial in the case against five former world junior hockey players accused of sexually assaulting a woman in a London, Ont., hotel in 2018. The stunning and rare move comes three days after a 14-member jury was chosen to hear the case against the men, all of whom had careers in the...
With just four days left before voters head to the polls, Pierre Poilievre made his first campaign visit to Saskatchewan in a province wrapped in Conservative blue. On Thursday evening Poilievre basked in the applause of hundreds of supporters who crowded into a warehouse in Saskatoon to hear him give his stump speech. Poilievre opened with new material after Liberal...
The Ottawa riding with one of the longest ballots in history had the highest voter turnout across Canada in advance polls, according to Elections Canada. Preliminary data shows 43,394 people voted in the riding of Carleton during the four days of advance polls over the Easter weekend. There are 91 candidates on the ballot in the riding of Carleton, after...
For years, the printer-paper photograph hung on the wall of Berro’s Pizzeria: Mark Carney, smiling over a partially consumed Hawaiian pizza. The photo was snapped during a visit to Fort Smith, NWT, in 2009; Mr. Carney, then the governor of the Bank of Canada, was visiting the place where he was born in 1965. The house where he lived is...
If the people that live in the quaint Southwest Calgary neighbourhood surrounding Henry Wise Wood High School by some miracle forget to remind you, yearbooks from the 1990s certainly will: This is the old stomping grounds of Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre. On a sunny April afternoon with her baby in a stroller, Michelle Lombardo is one of many who casually...
The Liberal Party of Canada has sent a cease and desist notice to one of its former Edmonton candidates.Rod Loyola is running in the Edmonton-Gateway riding as an independent candidate after being dropped by the Liberal party and replaced by Jeremy Hoefsloot.Loyola’s campaign signs may leave some confused about his party status, though.
A veteran political organizer in Calgary asked Lindsay Luhnau if she'd consider running for the Liberals last fall.It was an easy "no thanks" for Luhnau, director of a local investment co-operative — Justin Trudeau's party was polling miles behind the Conservatives, and the leader's name was mud nationwide, let alone in blue Alberta's biggest city.
Facing a possible collapse of the NDP, Jagmeet Singh insists he has no regrets. The NDP leader stood by his decision not to plunge the country into an early election last fall while support for Justin Trudeau’s Liberals plummeted, telling the Star’s editorial board he “couldn’t stomach” the idea of causing Pierre Poilievre’s seizure of power, and that he made...
Carney, meet Critch. CBC says Liberal Leader Mark Carney is among the politicians who will appear on the hour-long "Vote Canadian: A 22 Minutes Election Special," in which he'll sit down for a Tim Hortons coffee with comedian Mark Critch. The special episode of "This Hour Has 22 Minutes" hits Gem on Thursday evening, just over a week after the...
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre painted a gloomy picture of Canada in his closing pitch to voters on Thursday, saying life will get worse if voters return a Liberal government in this election. After sounding a more optimistic and hopeful tone earlier this week around the release of his party's platform, Poilievre reverted to form at a news conference in Halifax...
WASHINGTON (AP) -- Organizers and the Kennedy Center have canceled a week's worth of events celebrating LGBTQ+ rights for this summer's World Pride festival in Washington, D.C., amid a shift in priorities and the ousting of leadership at one of the nation's premier cultural institutions.
On Thursday, President Donald Trump directed his Department of Justice to investigate Act Blue, the Democratic Party-aligned fundraising site that has fueled so many successful challenges against his own party.
The FBI on Friday arrested Milwaukee Judge Hannah Dugan, saying she "intentionally misdirected" federal immigration agents away from a man they were trying to take into custody at her courthouse.
CENTRAL ISLIP, N.Y. (AP) -- Disgraced former U.S. Rep. George Santos, who lied about his life story and defrauded donors, was sentenced Friday to over seven years in prison, sobbing as he heard his punishment.
Royalty, presidents, prime ministers and a legion of faithful are paying their last respects to Pope Francis at a funeral mass in St. Peter's Square in Rome to honour his sometimes turbulent papacy. Applause rang out as the pontiff's simple wooden coffin, inlaid with a large cross, was brought out of St. Peter's Basilica and into the sun-filled square by...
NEW YORK (AP) -- Elon Musk has been called a Moonshot Master, the Edison of Our Age and the Architect of the Future, but he's got a big problem at his car company and it's not clear he can fix it: damage to its brand.
Pope Francis, whose nearly 12-year papacy ushered in a more open, welcoming Catholic Church that prioritized empathy for the poor and disenfranchised — including Indigenous victims of Canada's church-run residential schools — has died at 88, the Vatican said in a video statement Monday. "Dear brothers and sisters, it is with profound sadness I must announce the death of our...
Meta Platforms Inc. faces a historic antitrust trial beginning Monday that could force the tech giant to break off Instagram and WhatsApp, startups it bought more than a decade ago that have since grown into social media powerhouses.
China announced Friday that it will raise tariffs on U.S. goods from 84 per cent to 125 per cent -- the latest salvo in an escalating trade war between the world’s two largest economies that has rattled markets and raised fears of a global slowdown. While U.S. President Donald Trump paused import taxes this week for other countries, he raised...
Every assumption we’ve made about Canada’s place in the world over the past 80 years is open to question. We can no longer rely on others to safeguard our prosperity and security. It is up to us — guided by our interests, values, and a renewed sense of identity and common purpose.In this context, whoever forms the Cana
The act of setting fire to houses of worship carries profound implications for our culture, our politics, and for the state of religious liberty in Canada; it also has the potential to seriously undermine Indigenous reconciliation.
A collection of SubStack publishing within Canadian public affairs.
The world is chaotic. Sovereignty, diplomacy, trade, free speech, science are all under assault. Daily life seems suddenly dangerous. Even the weather report is scary. “Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world,” as William Butler Yeats put it in The Second Coming (1919). We’ve entered an era of might makes right. Familiar rules are changing. Among the changes is the...
This will be a very short post on the access-to-information election promises of the five main political parties. That’s because there’s nothing to write about.With the release of the last platform today (Conservative), no party is committing to reforming the dysfunctional Access to Information Act, other than reciting cheap bromides. Some aren’t even offering bromides.
Is it time I admit defeat, pull up my tent and go home? For 30 years I have advocated for reductions to Canada’s military spending, and it keeps rising and rising. Now it’s reached the point where Canada is the 6th highest in actual dollars within NATO (after USA, Germany, UK, France, Poland). Responding to expensive plans to increase military...
"There's executive risk all over these platforms," says former parliamentary budget officer Kevin Page, now with the University of Ottawa's Institute of Fiscal Studies and Democracy. Page takes a high-level look at the Liberal and Conservative party election platforms with Peter Mazereeuw.
David Herle, Scott Reid, Jordan Leichnitz, and Kory Teneycke provide insights on the latest in Canadian politics.
The federal election....from the "fringe". Most voters are familiar with the major national parties running in this election, such as the Liberals, Conservatives, NDP, & Greens. But there are actually 16 registered political parties looking for your vote. Some of them are known as fringe parties, while others are upstarts, hoping to make an impact down the road. Today on...
